ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
This Item outlines specific risks that could affect the ability of our various businesses to compete, change our risk profile or materially affect our financial condition or results of operations. Our operating environment continues to evolve and new risks continue to emerge. To address that challenge we have a risk management governance structure that oversees processes for monitoring evolving risks and oversees various initiatives designed to manage and control our potential exposure. This Item highlights risks that could affect us in material ways by causing future results to differ materially from past results, by causing future results to differ materially from current expectations, or by causing material changes in our financial condition. Some of these risks are interrelated and the occurrence of one or more of them may exacerbate the effect of others.
Traditional Competition Risks
We are subject to intense competition for clients and the nature of that competition is rapidly evolving.
Our primary areas of competition include: consumer and commercial deposits, commercial-related loans, residential real estate loans, and other consumer loans, trust, brokerage and other investment management services, and other consumer and commercial financial products and services. Our competitors in these areas include national, state and non-U.S. banks, credit unions, savings and loan associations, consumer finance companies, trust companies, mortgage banking firms, securities brokerage firms, investment counseling firms, insurance companies and agencies, money market funds and other mutual funds, hedge funds and other financial services companies that serve in our markets. The emergence of non-traditional, disruptive service providers (see Industry Disruption section below) has intensified this competitive environment. In addition, as customer preferences and expectations continue to evolve, technology has lowered barriers to entry and made it possible for nonbanks to offer products and services traditionally provided by banks, such as check-cashing, automatic transfer and automatic payment systems and “peer-to-peer” lending in which investors provide debt financing and/or capital directly to borrowers. While traditional banks are subject to the same regulatory framework as we are, nonbanks experience a significantly different or reduced degree of regulation as well as lower cost structures. We may face a competitive disadvantage as a result of our smaller size, more limited geographic diversification and inability to spread costs across broader markets. Although we compete by concentrating marketing efforts in our primary markets with local advertisements, personal contacts and greater flexibility and responsiveness in working with local customers, customer loyalty can be easily influenced by a competitor’s new products and our strategy may or may not continue to be successful. Failure to perform in any of these areas could significantly weaken our competitive position, which could adversely affect our growth and profitability which, in turn, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. We may also be affected by the marketplace loosening of credit underwriting standards and structures.
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Strategic and Macro Risks
We may be unable to successfully implement our strategy to grow our commercial and consumer banking businesses.
Although our current strategy is expected to evolve as business conditions change, in 2023 our strategy is to continue to invest resources in our banking businesses and operations as we integrate the businesses and operations of our recent acquisitions, including Charter, and seek to exploit opportunities for cost and revenue synergies. In the future, we expect to continue to nurture profitable organic growth as well as pursue acquisitions or strategic transactions if appropriate opportunities, within or outside of our current markets, present themselves. Our failure or inability to successfully implement those strategies could have a material and adverse effect on our results of operation and financial condition.
Failure to achieve one or more key elements needed for successful business acquisitions could adversely affect our business and earnings.
Expanding in our current markets and selecting attractive new growth markets by opening additional branches and service locations or through acquisitions of all or part of other financial institutions involve risks, any one of which could result in a material and adverse effect upon our results of operation or financial condition. These risks include, without limitation, the following:
•our inability to identify and expand into suitable markets;
•our inability to identify and acquire suitable sites for new branches and service locations;
•our inability to identify and execute potential acquisition targets;
•our inability to develop accurate estimates and judgments to evaluate asset values and credit, operations, management and market risks with respect to an acquired branch or institution, a new branch office or a new market;
•our inability to realize certain assumptions and estimates to preserve the expected financial benefits of the transaction;
•our inability to avoid the diversion of our management’s attention from existing operations during the negotiation of a transaction;
•our inability to manage successful entry into new markets where we have limited or no direct prior experience;
•our inability to obtain regulatory and other approvals, or obtain such approvals without restrictive conditions;
•our inability to integrate the acquired business’ operations, clients, and properties quickly and cost-effectively;
•our inability to manage cultural assimilation risks associated with growth through acquisitions, which can be an often-overlooked and often-critical failure point in mergers;
•our inability to combine the franchise values of businesses that we acquire with those of ours without significant loss from re-branding and other similar changes; or
•our inability to retain core clients and key associates.
Failure to achieve one or more key elements needed for successful organic growth could adversely affect our business and earnings.
There are a number of risks to the successful execution of our organic growth strategy that could result in a material and adverse effect upon our results of operation and financial condition. These risks include, without limitation, the following:
•our inability to attract and retain clients in our banking market areas, particularly as we integrate our recent acquisitions, including Charter;
•our inability to achieve and maintain growth in our earnings while pursuing new business opportunities;
•our inability to maintain a high level of client service while optimizing our physical branch count due to changing client demand, all while expanding our remote banking services and expanding or enhancing our information processing, technology, compliance, and other operational infrastructures effectively and efficiently;
•our inability to maintain loan quality in the context of significant loan growth;
•our inability to attract sufficient deposits and capital to fund anticipated loan growth;
•our inability to maintain adequate common equity and regulatory capital while managing the liquidity and capital requirements associated with growth, especially organic growth and cash-funded acquisitions;
•our inability to hire or retain adequate management personnel and systems to oversee and support such growth;
•our inability to implement additional policies, procedures and operating systems required to support our growth;
•our inability to manage effectively and efficiently the changes and adaptations necessitated by a complex, burdensome, and evolving regulatory environment
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Although we have in place strategies designed to achieve those elements that are significant to us at present, our challenge is to execute those strategies and adjust them, or adopt new strategies, as conditions change.
Industry Disruption
Failure to keep pace with technological changes could adversely affect our business.
The financial services industry is continually undergoing rapid technological change with frequent introductions of new technology-driven products and services. The effective use of technology increases efficiency and enables financial institutions to better serve customers and to reduce costs. Our future success depends, in part, upon our ability to address the needs of our customers by using technology to provide products and services that will satisfy customer demands, as well as to create additional efficiencies in our operations. Many of our competitors have substantially greater resources to invest in technological improvements. We may not be able to effectively implement new technology-driven products and services or be successful in marketing these products and services to our customers. Failure to successfully keep pace with technological change affecting the financial services industry could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Through technological innovations and changes in client habits, the manner in which clients use financial services continues to change at a rapid pace.
We provide a large number of services remotely (online and mobile), and physical branch utilization has been in long-term decline throughout the industry for many years. Technology has helped us reduce costs and improve service, but also has weakened traditional geographic and relationship ties, and has allowed disruptors to enter traditional banking areas. Through digital marketing and service platforms, many banks are making client inroads unrelated to physical presence. This competitive risk is especially pronounced from the largest U.S. banks, and from online-only banks, due in part to the investments they are able to sustain in their digital platforms. Companies as disparate as PayPal and Starbucks provide payment and exchange services which compete directly with banks in ways not possible traditionally. Recently, some government leaders have discussed having the U.S. Post Office offer banking services.
The nature of technology-driven disruption to our industry is changing, in some cases seeking to displace traditional financial service providers rather than merely enhance traditional services or their delivery.
A number of recent technologies have worked with the existing financial system and traditional banks, such as the evolution of ATM cards into debit/credit cards and the evolution of debit/credit cards into smart phones. These sorts of technologies often have expanded the market for banking services overall while siphoning a portion of the revenues from those services away from banks and disrupting prior methods of delivering those services. Additionally, some recent innovations may tend to replace traditional banks as financial service providers rather than merely augmenting those services. For example, companies which claim to offer applications and services based on artificial intelligence are beginning to compete much more directly with traditional financial services companies in areas involving personal advice, including high-margin services such as financial planning and wealth management. The low-cost, high-speed nature of these “robo-advisor” services can be especially attractive to younger, less-affluent clients and potential clients, as well as persons interested in “self-service” investment management. Other industry changes, such as zero-commission trading offered by certain large firms able to use trading as a loss-leader, may amplify this trend. Similarly, inventions based on blockchain technology eventually may be the foundation for greatly enhancing transactional security throughout the banking industry, but also eventually may reduce the need for banks as secure deposit-keepers and intermediaries.
Operational Risks
Fraud is a major, and increasing, operational risk for us and all banks.
Two traditional areas, deposit fraud (check kiting, wire fraud, etc.) and loan fraud, continue to be major sources of fraud attempts and loss. The sophistication and methods used to perpetrate fraud continue to evolve as technology changes. In addition to cybersecurity risk (discussed below), new technologies have made it easier for bad actors to obtain and use client personal information, mimic signatures and otherwise create false documents that look genuine. The industry fraud threat continues to evolve, including but not limited to card fraud, check fraud, social engineering and phishing attacks for identity theft and account takeover.Our anti-fraud measures are both preventive and, when necessary, responsive; however, some level of fraud loss is unavoidable, and the risk of a major loss cannot be eliminated.
Our ability to conduct and grow our businesses is dependent in part upon our ability to create, maintain, expand, and evolve an appropriate operational and organizational infrastructure, manage expenses, and recruit and retain personnel with the ability to manage a complex business.
Operational risk can arise in many ways, including: errors related to failed or inadequate physical, operational, information technology, or other processes; faulty or disabled computer or other technology systems; fraud, theft, physical security breaches,
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electronic data and related security breaches, or other criminal conduct by associates or third parties; and exposure to other external events. Inadequacies may present themselves in myriad ways. Actions taken to manage one risk may be ineffective against others. For example, information technology systems may be sufficiently redundant to withstand a fire, incursion, malware, or other major casualty, but they may be insufficiently adaptable to new business conditions or opportunities. Efforts to make systems more robust may make them less adaptable, and vice-versa. Also, our efforts to control expenses, which is a significant priority for us, increases our operational challenges as we strive to maintain client service and compliance at high quality and low cost.
A serious information technology security (cybersecurity) breach can cause significant damage and at the same time be difficult to detect even after it occurs.
Our operations rely on the secure processing, storage and transmission of confidential and other information in our computer systems and networks as well as through the internet through digital and mobile technologies. Although we take protective measures and endeavor to modify these systems as circumstances warrant, the advances in technology increase the risk of information security breaches. We provide our customers the ability to bank remotely, including over the internet or through their mobile device. The secure transmission of confidential information is a critical element of remote and mobile banking. Any failure, interruption or breach in security of these systems could result in disruptions to our accounting, deposit, loan and other systems, and adversely affect our customer relationships.
There have been increasing efforts on the part of third parties, including through cyber-attacks, to breach data security at financial institutions or with respect to financial transactions. There have been several recent instances involving financial services, credit bureaus and consumer-based companies reporting the unauthorized disclosure of client or customer information or the destruction or theft of corporate data, by both private individuals and foreign governments. In addition, because the techniques used to cause such security breaches change frequently, often are not recognized until launched against a target and may originate from less regulated and remote areas around the world, we may be unable to proactively address these techniques or to implement adequate preventative measures. Our network, and the systems of parties with whom we contract, could be vulnerable to unauthorized access, computer viruses, phishing schemes, spam attacks, human error, natural disasters, power loss and other security breaches.
Cyber threats are rapidly evolving and we may not be able to anticipate or prevent all such attacks. Among other things, damage can occur due to outright theft or extortion of our funds, fraud or identity theft perpetrated on clients, or adverse publicity associated with a breach and its potential effects. Perpetrators potentially can be associates, clients, and certain vendors, all of whom legitimately have access to some portion of our systems, as well as outsiders with no legitimate access. These risks are heightened through the increasing use of digital and mobile solutions which allow for rapid money movement and increase the difficulty to detect and prevent fraudulent transactions. We may be required to spend significant capital and other resources to protect against the threat of security breaches and computer viruses, or to alleviate problems caused by security breaches or viruses. To the extent that our activities or the activities of our customers involve the storage and transmission of confidential information, security breaches (including breaches of security of customer systems and networks) and viruses could expose us to claims, litigation and other possible liabilities. Any inability to prevent security breaches or computer viruses could also cause existing customers to lose confidence in our systems and could adversely affect our reputation, results of operations and ability to attract and maintain customers and businesses. In addition, a security breach could also subject us to additional regulatory scrutiny, expose us to civil litigation and possible financial liability and cause reputational damage.
We rely on information technology and telecommunications systems and certain third-party service providers, the operational functions of which may experience disruptions that could adversely affect us and over which we may have limited or no control.
Our business is highly dependent on the successful and uninterrupted functioning of our information technology and telecommunications systems, third-party accounting systems and mobile and online banking platforms. We outsource many of our major systems, such as data processing, loan servicing and deposit processing systems and online banking platforms. While we have selected these vendors carefully, we do not control their actions. The failure of these systems, or the termination of a third-party software license or service agreement on which any of these systems is based, could interrupt our operations. Financial or operational difficulties of a vendor could also damage our operations if those difficulties interfere with the vendor’s ability to serve us. Furthermore, our vendors could also be sources of operational and information security risk to us, including from breakdowns or failures of their own systems or capacity constraints. Replacing these third-party vendors could also create significant delay and expense. Because our information technology and telecommunications systems interface with and depend on third-party systems, we could experience service denials if demand for such services exceeds capacity or such third-party systems fail or experience interruptions. If sustained or repeated, a system failure or service denial could result in a deterioration of our ability to process new and renewed loans, gather deposits and provide customer service, compromise our ability to operate effectively, damage our reputation, result in a loss of customer business and/or subject us to additional regulatory scrutiny and possible financial liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. Our ability to recoup our losses may be limited legally or practically in many situations.
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Our risk management framework may not be effective in mitigating risks and/or losses.
We have implemented a risk management framework to mitigate our risk and loss exposure. This framework is comprised of various processes, systems and strategies, and is designed to identify, measure, monitor, report and manage the types of risk to which we are subject, including, among others, credit risk, interest rate risk, liquidity risk, legal and regulatory risk, compliance risk, strategic risk, reputational risk and operational risk related to its employees, systems and vendors, among others. Any system of control and any system to reduce risk exposure, however well designed and operated, is based in part on certain assumptions and can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurances that the objectives of the system are met and will be effective under all circumstances or that it will adequately identify, manage or mitigate any risk or loss to us. Additionally, instruments, systems and strategies used to hedge or otherwise manage exposure to various types of interest rate, price, legal and regulatory compliance, credit, liquidity, operational and business risks and enterprise-wide risk could be less effective than anticipated. As a result, we may not be able to effectively mitigate our risk exposures in particular market environments or against particular types of risk. If our risk management framework is not effective, we could suffer unexpected losses and become subject to litigation, negative regulatory consequences, or reputational damage among other adverse consequences, any of which could result in our business, financial condition, results of operations or prospects being materially adversely affected.
Competition for talent is substantial and increasing. Moreover, revenue growth in some business lines increasingly depends upon top talent.
In recent years the cost to us of hiring and retaining top revenue-producing talent has increased, and that trend is likely to continue. We have assembled a management team which has substantial background and experience in banking and financial services in our markets. Moreover, much of our organic loan growth in recent years was the result of our ability to attract experienced financial services professionals who have been able to attract customers from other financial institutions. We anticipate deploying a similar hiring strategy in the future. Additionally, operating our technology systems requires employees with specialized skills that are not readily available in the general employee candidate pool. Inability to retain these key personnel (including key personnel of the businesses we have acquired) or to continue to attract experienced lenders with established books of business could negatively affect our growth because of the loss of these individuals’ skills and customer relationships and/or the potential difficulty of promptly replacing them. Moreover, the higher costs we must pay to hire and retain these experienced individuals could cause our noninterest expense levels to rise and negatively impact our results of operations.
Risks From Changes in Economic Conditions
Inflationary pressures present a potential threat to our results of operation and financial condition.
The United States generally and the regions in which we operate specifically have recently experienced, for the first time in decades, significant inflationary pressures, evidenced by higher gas prices, higher food prices and other consumer items. Inflation represents a loss in purchasing power because the value of investments does not keep up with inflation and erodes the purchasing power of money and the potential value of investments over time. Accordingly, inflation can result in material adverse effects upon our customers, their businesses and, as a result, our financial position and results of operation. Inflation also can and does generally lead to higher interest rates, which have their own separate risks. See Risks Associated With Monetary Events and Interest Rate and Yield Curve Risks in this Item 1A of this report.
Generally, in periods of economic downturns, including periods of rising interest rates and recessions, our realized credit losses increase, demand for our products and services declines, and the credit quality of our loan portfolio declines.
Our success depends significantly upon local, national and global economic and political conditions, as well as governmental monetary policies and trade relations. Our financial performance generally, and in particular the ability of borrowers to pay interest on and repay principal of outstanding loans and the value of collateral securing those loans, as well as demand for loans and other products and services we offer, is highly dependent upon the business environment in the markets where we operate and in the United States as a whole. Unlike banks that are more geographically diversified, we are a regional bank that provides services to customers primarily in Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota. The market conditions in these markets may be different from, and could be worse than, the economic conditions in the United States as a whole. As discussed elsewhere in this Item 1A, inflationary pressures have caused the Federal Reserve to recently increase interest rates and indicate its intention to continue to do so. Increases in interest rates in the past have led to recessions of various lengths and intensities and might lead to such a recession in the near future. Such a recession or any other adverse changes in business and economic conditions generally or specifically in the markets in which we operate could affect our business, including causing one or more of the following negative developments:
•a decrease in the demand for loans and other products and services offered by us;
•a decrease in the value of the collateral securing our residential or commercial real estate loans;
•a permanent impairment of our assets; or
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•an increase in the number of customers or other counterparties who default on their loans or other obligations to us, which could result in a higher level of NPAs, net charge-offs and provision for loan losses.
Risks Associated with Monetary Events
The Federal Reserve has implemented significant economic strategies that have affected interest rates, inflation, asset values, and the shape of the yield curve. These strategies have had, and will continue to have, a significant impact on our business and on many of our clients.
In response to the recession in 2008 and the following uneven recovery, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of domestic monetary initiatives designed to lower interest rates and make credit easier to obtain. The Federal Reserve changed course in 2015, raising interest rates several times through 2018. Following a substantial and broad stock market decline in 2019, the Federal Reserve began to lower interest rates, which, until 2022, remained at historically low levels. In 2022, however, in response to inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates substantially. In 2023, the Federal Reserve has continued to increase interest rates and indicated its intent to further increase rates. These increases in interest rates can have significant and adverse effects upon our business as well as the business of many of our customers.
Federal Reserve strategies can, and often are intended to, affect the domestic money supply, inflation, interest rates, and the shape of the yield curve.
Effects on the yield curve often are most pronounced at the short end of the curve, which is of particular importance to us and other banks. Among other things, easing strategies are intended to lower interest rates, expand the money supply, and stimulate economic activity, while tightening strategies are intended to increase interest rates, tighten the money supply, and restrain economic activity. Many external factors may interfere with the effects of these plans or cause them to be changed, sometimes quickly. Such factors include significant economic trends or events as well as significant international monetary policies and events. Such strategies also can affect the U.S. and world-wide financial systems in ways that may be difficult to predict. Risks associated with interest rates and the yield curve are discussed in this Item 1A under the caption Interest Rate and Yield Curve Risks.
Reputation Risks
Our ability to conduct and grow our businesses, and to obtain and retain clients, is highly dependent upon external perceptions of our business practices and financial stability.
Our reputation is a key asset for us. Reputation risk, or the risk to our earnings, liquidity and capital from negative public opinion, is inherent in our business. Our reputation is affected principally by our business practices and how those practices are perceived and understood by others. Negative public opinion could adversely affect our ability to keep and attract customers and expose us to adverse legal and regulatory consequences. Negative public opinion could result from our actual or alleged conduct in any number of activities, including lending practices (including lending to certain customers that transact business in unpopular industries), corporate governance, regulatory compliance, securities compliance, mergers and acquisitions, from sharing or inadequate protection of customer information and from actions taken by government regulators and community organizations in response to that conduct. Negative public opinion could also result from adverse news or publicity that impairs the reputation of the financial services industry generally or that relates to parties with whom we have important relationships. Because we conduct most of our business under the “Nicolet” brand, negative public opinion about one business could affect our other businesses.
Credit and Counterparty Risks
We face the risk that our clients may not repay their loans or other obligations and that the realizable value of collateral may be insufficient to avoid a charge-off.
We also face risks that other counterparties, in a wide range of situations, may fail to honor their obligations to pay us. In our business some level of credit charge-offs is unavoidable and overall levels of credit charge-offs can vary substantially over time. Lending activities are inherently risky. When we lend money or commit to lend, we incur credit risk or the risk of loss if borrowers do not repay their loans or other credit obligations. Credit risk includes, among other things, the quality of our underwriting, the impact of increases in interest rates and changes in the economic conditions in the markets where we operate as well as across the United States.
These conditions could adversely affect the ability of borrowers to repay outstanding loans or the value of the collateral securing these loans. If loan customers with significant loan balances fail to repay their loans, our results of operations, financial condition and capital levels will suffer.
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We are exposed to higher credit and concentration risk from our commercial-related lending.
Our credit risk and credit losses can increase if our loans become concentrated to borrowers engaged in the same or similar activities or to borrowers who as a group may be uniquely or disproportionately affected by economic or market conditions. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 78% of our loan portfolio consisted of commercial-related loans, including commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied CRE, AG production and AG real estate, CRE investment, and construction and land-development loans. Our borrowers under these loans tend to be small to medium-sized businesses. These types of loans are typically larger than residential real estate loans or consumer loans. During periods of lower economic growth or challenging economic periods, small to medium-sized businesses may be impacted more severely and more quickly than larger businesses. Consequently, the ability of such businesses to repay their loans may deteriorate, and in some cases this deterioration may occur quickly, which would adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition. An increase in nonperforming loans could result in a net loss of earnings from these loans, an increase in the provision for loan losses and an increase in loan charge-offs, all of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Deterioration in economic conditions, housing conditions and commodity and real estate values and an increase in unemployment in certain states or locations could result in materially higher credit losses if loans are concentrated in those locations. Our loans are heavily concentrated in our primary markets of Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota. These markets may have different or weaker performance than other areas of the country and our portfolio may be more negatively impacted than a financial services company with wider geographic diversity.
The core industries in our market area are manufacturing, wholesaling, paper, packaging, food production and processing, agriculture, forest products, hospitality, retail, service, and businesses supporting the general building industry. The area has a broad range of diversified equipment manufacturing services related to these core industries and others. The residential and commercial real estate markets throughout these areas depend primarily on the strength of these core industries. A material decline in any of these sectors will affect the communities we serve and could negatively impact our financial results and have a negative impact on profitability.
If the communities in which we operate do not grow or if the prevailing economic conditions locally or nationally are less favorable than we have assumed, this may result in deterioration in the credit quality of our borrowers and the demand for our products and services, an increase in the number of loan delinquencies, defaults and charge-offs, foreclosures, additional provision for credit losses, adverse asset values of the collateral securing our loans, and an overall material adverse effect on the quality of our loan portfolio. These negative effects may cause us to incur losses and may adversely affect our capital, liquidity and financial condition.
See the section captioned “BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS - Loans” under Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation,” and Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8, for further discussion on commercial-related loans.
If our allowance for credit losses was required to be increased because it is not large enough to cover actual losses in our loan portfolio, our results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
We maintain an ACL, which is a reserve established through a provision for credit losses charged to expense. After adopting ASC 326, the ACL reflects our assessment of the current expected losses over the life of the loan using historical experience, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. CECL has created more volatility in the level of our ACL because it relies on macroeconomic forecasts. It is possible that CECL may increase the cost of lending in the industry and result in slower loan growth and lower levels of net income. The level of the allowance reflects our continuing evaluation of factors including current economic forecasts, historical loss experience, the volume and types of loans, and specific credit risks. The determination of the appropriate level of the ACL inherently involves subjectivity in our modeling and requires us to make estimates of current credit risks and future trends, all of which may undergo material changes or vary from our historical experience. Deterioration in economic conditions affecting borrowers, changing economic forecasts, new information regarding existing loans, identification of additional problem loans and other factors, both within and outside of our control, may require an increase in the ACL. If we are required to materially increase our level of ACL for any reason, such increase could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition, bank regulatory agencies periodically review our ACL and may require an increase in the provision for credit losses or the recognition of further loan charge-offs, based on judgments different than those of management. Furthermore, if charge-offs in future periods exceed the ACL, we will need additional provisions to increase the ACL. Any increases in the ACL will result in a decrease in net income and, possibly, capital, and may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. See the section captioned “BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS - Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans” under Part II, Item 7, “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operation,” for further discussion related to our process for determining the appropriate level of the ACL.
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Risks Related to Public Health Issues, Including COVID-19
Outbreaks of communicable diseases, including COVID-19 and its variants, have led to periods of significant volatility in financial, commodities (including oil and gas) and other markets, adversely affected our ability to conduct normal business, adversely affected our clients, and are likely to harm our businesses, financial condition and results of operations.
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has caused and may continue to cause significant disruption in the international and United States economies and financial markets and has had an adverse effect on our business and results of operations. This has recently been accompanied by a surge in flu and other respiratory illnesses of varying seriousness and magnitude. The spread of these diseases, including COVID variants, has caused illness and death resulting in quarantines, cancellation of events and travel, business and school shutdowns, reduction in business activity and financial transactions, supply chain interruptions, and overall economic and financial market instability. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the governments of the states in which we have branches, and most other states, periodically have taken preventative or protective actions, such as imposing restrictions on travel and business operations, advising or requiring individuals to limit or forego their time outside of their homes, and ordering temporary closures of businesses that have been deemed to be non-essential. These restrictions and other consequences of public health issues have resulted in significant adverse effects for many different types of businesses, including, among others, those in the hospitality (including hotels and lodging) and restaurant industries, and resulted in a significant number of layoffs and furloughs of employees nationwide and in the regions in which we operate.
Although we are taking precautions to protect the safety and well-being of our employees and customers, the unpredictability of the pandemic and public health issues could result in any of the following:
•employees contracting these diseases, including COVID-19 or its variants;
•reductions in operating effectiveness as employees work from home;
•a work stoppage, forced quarantine, or other interruption of our business, including sustained closures of our business locations;
•unavailability of key personnel necessary to conduct our business activities;
•effects on key employees, including operational management personnel and those charged with preparing, monitoring, and evaluating our financial reporting and internal controls;
•increased cybersecurity risks as a result of employees working remotely;
•declines in demand for loans and other banking services and products;
•reduced consumer spending due to job losses, inflation and other effects directly or indirectly attributable to the pandemic;
•continued volatility in United States financial markets;
•continued volatile performance of our investment securities portfolio;
•decline in the credit quality of our loan portfolio resulting from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in our markets, leading to a need to increase the ACL, as applicable;
•declines in value of collateral for loans, including real estate collateral;
•declines in the net worth and liquidity of borrowers and loan guarantors, impairing their ability to honor commitments to us, which may affect, among other things, the levels of NPAs, charge-offs, and provision expense; and
•declines in demand resulting from businesses deemed to be “non-essential” by governments in the markets that we serve, and from both “non-essential” and “essential” businesses suffering adverse effects from reduced levels of economic activity.
Regulatory, Legislative and Legal Risks
We are subject to a challenging regulatory environment that restricts our activities.
We operate in heavily regulated industries. Our regulatory burdens, including both operating restrictions and ongoing compliance costs, are substantial. We are subject to many banking, deposit, insurance, securities brokerage and underwriting, and consumer lending regulations in addition to the rules applicable to all companies whose securities are publicly traded in the U.S. securities markets. Failure to comply with applicable regulations could result in financial, structural, and operational penalties. In addition, efforts to comply with applicable regulations may increase our costs and/or limit our ability to pursue certain business opportunities. See Supervision and Regulation in Item 1 of this report, for additional information concerning financial industry regulations. Federal and state regulations significantly limit the types of activities in which we, as a financial institution, may engage. In addition, we are subject to a wide array of other regulations that govern other aspects of how we conduct our business, such as in the areas of employment and intellectual property. Federal and state legislative and regulatory authorities often change these regulations or adopt new ones. Actions could be taken that would further limit the amount of interest or fees we can charge, further restrict our ability to
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collect on loans or related collateral, affect the terms or profitability of the products and services we offer, or materially and adversely affect us in other ways. The following paragraphs highlight certain specific important risk areas related to regulatory matters currently. These paragraphs do not describe these risks exhaustively, and they do not describe all such risks that we face currently. Moreover, the importance of specific risks may grow or diminish as circumstances change.
Failure to maintain certain regulatory capital levels and ratios could result in regulatory actions that would be materially adverse to our shareholders.
U.S. capital standards are discussed under the captions Capital Adequacy and Prompt Corrective Action in Part I, Item 1, and the caption “Capital” in Part II, Item 7, of this Report. Pressures to maintain appropriate capital levels and address business needs in a changing economy could result in certain mandatory and possible additional discretionary actions by regulators that, if undertaken, could be dilutive or otherwise have an adverse effect on our shareholders. Such actions could include: reduction or elimination of dividends; the issuance of common or preferred stock, or securities convertible into stock; or the issuance of any class of stock having rights that are adverse to those of the holders of our existing classes of common or preferred stock. In addition, these requirements could have a negative impact on our ability to lend, grow deposit balances, make acquisitions or make share repurchases or redemptions. Higher capital levels could also lower our return on equity. Additional information concerning these risks and our management of them, all of which is incorporated into this Item 1A by this reference, appears: under the captions Capital Adequacy and Prompt Corrective Action in Part I, Item 1 of this Report; under the caption “Capital” of Part II, Item 7; and Note 17, “Regulatory Capital Requirements,” under Part II, Item 8.
Political dysfunction and volatility within the federal government, both at the regulatory and Congressional level, creates significant potential for major and abrupt shifts in federal policy regarding bank regulation, taxes, and the economy, any of which could have significant and adverse impacts on our business and financial performance.
Certain of our operations and customers are dependent on the regular operation of the federal or state government or programs they administer For example, our SBA lending program depends on interaction with the SBA, an independent agency of the federal government. During a lapse in funding, such as has occurred during previous federal government “shutdowns”, the SBA may not be able to engage in such interaction. Similarly, loans we make through USDA lending programs may be delayed or adversely affected by lapses in funding for the USDA. In addition, customers who depend directly or indirectly on providing goods and services to federal or state governments or their agencies may reduce their business with us or delay repayment of loans due to lost or delayed revenue from those relationships. If funding for these lending programs or federal spending generally is reduced as part of the appropriations process or by administrative decision, demand for our services may be reduced. Any of these developments could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.
Legal disputes are an unavoidable part of business, and the outcome of pending or threatened litigation cannot be predicted with any certainty.
We face the risk of litigation from clients, associates, vendors, contractual parties, and other persons, either singly or in class actions, and from federal or state regulators. We manage those risks through internal controls, personnel training, insurance, litigation management, our compliance and ethics processes, and other means. However, the commencement, outcome, and magnitude of litigation cannot be predicted or controlled with any certainty. Substantial legal liability or significant regulatory action against us could have material adverse financial effects or cause significant reputational harm to us, which in turn could seriously harm our business prospects.
Data privacy is becoming a major political concern. The laws governing it are new, and are likely to evolve and expand.
Many non-regulated, non-banking companies have gathered large amounts of personal details about millions of people, and have the ability to analyze that data and act on that analysis very quickly. This situation has prompted governmental responses. Two prominent responses are the European Union General Data Protection Regulation and the California Consumer Privacy Act. Neither is a banking industry regulation, but both apply to banks in relation to certain clients. Further general regulation to protect data privacy appears likely, and banking industry regulations might be enlarged as well.
Liquidity and Funding Risk
Liquidity is essential to our business model and a lack of liquidity, or an increase in the cost of liquidity could materially impair our ability to fund our operations and jeopardize our results of operation, financial condition and cash flows.
Liquidity represents an institution’s ability to provide funds to satisfy demands from depositors, borrowers and other creditors by either converting assets into cash or accessing new or existing sources of incremental funds. Liquidity risk arises from the possibility that we may be unable to satisfy current or future funding requirements and needs.
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Deposit levels may be affected by several factors, including rates paid by competitors, general interest rate levels, returns available to customers on alternative investments, general economic and market conditions and other factors. Loan repayments are a relatively stable source of funds but are subject to the borrowers’ ability to repay loans, which can be adversely affected by a number of factors including changes in general economic conditions, adverse trends or events affecting business industry groups or specific businesses, declines in real estate values or markets, business closings or lay-offs, inclement weather, natural disasters and other factors. Furthermore, loans generally are not readily convertible to cash.
From time to time, if deposits and loan payments are not sufficient to meet our needs, we may be required to rely on secondary sources of liquidity to meet growth in loans, deposit withdrawal demands or otherwise fund operations. Such secondary sources include FHLB advances, brokered deposits, secured and unsecured federal funds lines of credit from correspondent banks, Federal Reserve borrowings and/or accessing the equity or debt capital markets. The availability of these secondary funding sources is subject to broad economic conditions, to regulation and to investor assessment of our financial strength and, as such, the cost of funds may fluctuate significantly and/or the availability of such funds may be restricted, thus impacting our net interest income, our immediate liquidity and/or our access to additional liquidity. Additionally, if we fail to remain “well-capitalized” our ability to utilize brokered deposits may be restricted. We have somewhat similar risks to the extent high balance core deposits exceed the amount of deposit insurance coverage available.
We anticipate we will continue to rely primarily on deposits, loan repayments, and cash flows from our investment securities to provide liquidity. Additionally, when necessary, the secondary sources of borrowed funds described above will be used to augment our primary funding sources. An inability to maintain or raise funds (including the inability to access secondary funding sources) in amounts necessary to meet our liquidity needs would have a substantial negative effect, individually or collectively, on our liquidity. Our access to funding sources in amounts adequate to finance our activities, or on terms attractive to us, could be impaired by factors that affect us specifically or the financial services industry in general. For example, factors that could detrimentally impact our access to liquidity sources include our financial results, a decrease in the level of our business activity due to a market downturn or adverse regulatory action against us, a reduction in our credit rating, any damage to our reputation, counterparty availability, changes in the activities of our business partners, changes affecting our loan portfolio or other assets, or any other event that could cause a decrease in depositor or investor confidence in our creditworthiness and business. Our access to liquidity could also be impaired by factors that are not specific to us, such as general business conditions, interest rate fluctuations, severe volatility or disruption of the financial markets or negative views and expectations about the prospects for the financial services industry as a whole, or legal, regulatory, accounting, and tax environments governing our funding transactions. In addition, our ability to raise funds is strongly affected by the general state of the U.S. and world economies and financial markets as well as the policies and capabilities of the U.S. government and its agencies, and may remain or become increasingly difficult due to economic and other factors beyond our control. Any such event or failure to manage our liquidity effectively could affect our competitive position, increase our borrowing costs and the interest rates we pay on deposits, limit our access to the capital markets and have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition. Changes associated with LIBOR also may impact our funding ability; see Interest Rate and Yield Curve Risks below.
Interest Rate and Yield Curve Risks
We are subject to interest rate risk because a significant portion of our business involves borrowing and lending money, and investing in financial instruments.
A considerable amount of our profitability is dependent on net interest income, which is the difference between interest income earned on loans and investment securities and interest expense paid on deposits and other borrowings. The absolute level of interest rates as well as changes in interest rates, including changes to the shape of the yield curve, may affect our level of interest income, the primary component of our gross revenue, as well as the level of our interest expense. In a period of changing interest rates, interest expense may increase at different rates than the interest earned on assets, impacting our net interest income. Interest rate fluctuations are caused by many factors which, for the most part, are not under our control. For example, national monetary policy implemented by the Federal Reserve plays a significant role in the determination of interest rates. Additionally, competitor pricing and the resulting negotiations that occur with our customers also impact the rates we collect on loans and pay on deposits.
If short-term interest rates rise, our results of operations may be negatively impacted if we are unable to increase the rates we charge on loans or earn on our investment securities in excess of the increases we must pay on deposits and our other funding sources. As interest rates change, we expect that we will periodically experience “gaps” in the interest rate sensitivities of our assets and liabilities, meaning that either our interest-bearing liabilities (usually deposits and borrowings) will be more sensitive to changes in market interest rates than our interest-earning assets (usually loans and investment securities), or vice versa. In either event, if market interest rates should move contrary to our position, this “gap” may work against us, and our results of operations and financial condition may be negatively affected.
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A flat or inverted yield curve may reduce our net interest margin and adversely affect our loan and investment portfolios.
The yield curve is a reflection of interest rates applicable to short and long-term debt. The yield curve is steep when short-term rates are much lower than long-term rates; it is flat when short-term rates and long-term rates are nearly the same; and it is inverted when short-term rates exceed long-term rates. Historically, the yield curve is usually upward sloping (higher rates for longer terms). However, the yield curve can be relatively flat or inverted (downward sloping), which has happened several times in the past few years. A flat or inverted yield curve, which tends to decrease net interest margin, would adversely impact our lending businesses and investment portfolio. The Federal Reserve, consistent with long-term goals, has been raising rates in response to inflation. We cannot predict how long those conditions will exist. See Risks Associated with Monetary Events within this section of the Report for additional information.
Discontinuance of, and transition away from, LIBOR (and any other reference rates) may adversely affect our reputation, business, financial condition and results of operations.
ICE Benchmark Administration, the administrator of LIBOR, ceased publication of one-week and two-month USD LIBOR on a representative basis on December 31, 2021. The remaining USD LIBOR settings (i.e., overnight, one month, three month, six month and 12 month) will cease or become non-representative immediately after June 30, 2023.
We no longer originate loans that reference LIBOR. New floating rate loans reference alternative reference rates, such as SOFR or Prime. LIBOR and other benchmarks which rely upon LIBOR (or LIBOR transactions) for their calculation, however, remain the reference rate in a substantial number of our outstanding debt securities, derivatives, corporate and commercial loans, consumer loans, residential mortgages loans, credit cards, structured products, and other assets and liabilities. Discontinuance of, and transition away from, such reference rates present various uncertainties and operational, legal, reputational, compliance, financial and other risks and challenges.
For example, LIBOR-based products and contracts, may contain language requiring us to undertake certain actions to determine a successor rate to the existing benchmark or to exercise discretion in selection of such rate. We may face a risk of litigation, disputes or other actions from clients, counterparties, customers, investors or others based on various claims, for example that we incorrectly interpreted or enforced such contract provisions or failed to appropriately communicate or effectuate such transition.
Other LIBOR-based products and contracts may have no fallback provisions, and we are assessing and planning to utilize relevant contractual and statutory solutions, including the Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act, enacted in March 2022 and the implementing rules by the Federal Reserve (collectively, the “LIBOR Act”), to transition such products and contracts.
It is possible that the characteristics of alternative reference rates may not be sufficiently similar to, or produce the economic equivalent of, the benchmark rates that they are intended to replace. For example, SOFR is a riskless rate. Historically, in periods of economic or financial industry stress, riskless rates that are analogous to SOFR have been relatively stable. In contrast, LIBOR, which is designed to reflect the credit risk of banks, has widened relative to riskless rates, reflecting increased uncertainty regarding the creditworthiness of banks. SOFR, because it is riskless, tends to be a lower rate than LIBOR. To address these differences between LIBOR and SOFR, industry-recommended LIBOR fallback provisions and the LIBOR ACT include a concept of an adjustment spread that is applied when a LIBOR-based contract falls back to SOFR and that is calculated based on a five-year median look-back of the historical spot difference between the applicable LIBOR tenor and the applicable SOFR tenor. However, because any such adjustment spread is and will be based on a historical median, such adjustment spreads have not, and are likely in the future to not, reflect the spot difference between LIBOR and SOFR at certain points in time and there may be a value transfer between the contracting parties over the life of the instrument because the all-in rate applied to a contract, even taking into account the spread adjustment, might have behaved differently over the life of the instrument in the absence of LIBOR cessation.
Impacts from a change in reference rate would likely include changes to the yield on, and value of, loans or securities held by us, and amounts paid on debt we have issued. Any theoretical benefit to us could result in counterparty dissatisfaction, which, in turn could lead to litigation, potentially as class actions, or other adverse consequences, including dissatisfied customers or impaired relationships with financial institution counterparties resulting in loss of business.
In sum, the transition away from LIBOR to an alternative reference rate is complex and the failure to adequately manage the transition could have a range of material adverse effects, including the potential to:
•adversely affect the interest rates paid or received on, and the revenue and expenses associated with, our floating rate obligations, loans, deposits, borrowings, derivatives and other financial instruments tied to LIBOR rates, or other securities or financial arrangements given LIBOR’s role in determining market interest rates globally;
•adversely affect the value of our floating rate obligations, loans, deposits, borrowings, derivatives and other financial instruments tied to LIBOR rates, or other securities or financial arrangements given LIBOR’s role in determining market interest rates globally;
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•prompt inquiries or other actions from regulators in respect of our preparation and readiness for the replacement of LIBOR with an alternative reference rate;
•result in disputes, litigation or other actions with counterparties regarding the interpretation and enforceability of certain fallback language in LIBOR-based securities; and
•require the transition to or development of appropriate systems and analytics to effectively transition our risk management processes from LIBOR-based products to those based on the applicable alternative pricing benchmark.
Accounting and Tax Risks
The preparation of our consolidated financial statements in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles requires management to make significant assumptions, estimates and judgments that affect the financial statements.
Management must make significant assumptions and estimates and exercise significant judgment in selecting and applying accounting and reporting policies. In some cases, management must select a policy from two or more alternatives, any of which may be reasonable under the circumstances, which may result in reporting materially different results than would have been reported under a different alternative. The estimate that is consistently one of our most critical is the level of the allowance for credit losses.However, other estimates can be highly significant at discrete times or during periods of varying length, for example the valuation (or impairment) of our deferred tax assets. Estimates are made at specific points in time. As actual events unfold, estimates are adjusted accordingly. Due to the inherent nature of these estimates, it is possible that, at some time in the future, we may significantly increase the allowance for credit losses and/or sustain credit losses that are significantly higher than the provided allowance, or we may recognize a significant provision for impairment of assets, or we may make some other adjustment that will differ materially from the estimates that we make today. Moreover, in some cases, especially concerning litigation and other contingency matters where critical information is inadequate, often we are unable to make estimates until fairly late in a lengthy process.
In addition, changes in accounting standards or interpretations could negatively impact our reported earnings and financial condition.
The accounting standard setters, including the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”), the SEC and other regulatory agencies, periodically change the financial accounting and reporting standards that govern the preparation of our consolidated financial statements. For additional information, refer to Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” under Part II, Item 8 of this Report. These changes can be difficult to predict and can materially impact how we record and report our financial condition and results of operations. In some cases, we could be required to apply a new or revised standard retroactively, which would result in the recasting of our prior period financial statements.
We could be subject to changes in tax laws, regulations and interpretations or challenges to our income tax provision.
We compute our income tax provision based on enacted tax rates in the jurisdictions in which we operate. Any change in enacted tax laws, rules or regulatory or judicial interpretations, any adverse outcome in connection with tax audits in any jurisdiction or any change in the pronouncements relating to accounting for income taxes could adversely affect our effective tax rate, tax payments and results of operations.
Our internal controls and procedures may fail or be circumvented.
Maintaining and adapting our internal controls over financial reporting, disclosure controls and procedures and effective corporate governance policies and procedures (“controls and procedures”) is expensive and requires significant management attention. Moreover, as we continue to grow, our controls and procedures may become more complex and require additional resources to ensure they remain effective amid dynamic regulatory and other guidance. Failure to implement effective controls and procedures or circumvention of our controls and procedures could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition or cause us to fail to meet our public reporting obligations.
Geographic and Climate Risks
We are subject to risks of operating in various jurisdictions.
Our success is also influenced heavily by population growth, income levels, loans and deposits and on stability in real estate values in our markets. To a significant degree our banking business is exposed to economic, regulatory, natural disaster, and other risks that primarily impact the mid-western U.S. states where we do most of our traditional banking business. If those regions of the U.S. did not grow or were to experience adversity not shared by other parts of the country, we are likely to experience adversity to a degree not shared by those competitors which have a broader or different regional footprint. If market and economic conditions deteriorate, this may lead to valuation adjustments on our loan portfolio and losses on defaulted loans and on the sale of other real estate owned.
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Additionally, such adverse economic conditions in our market areas, specifically decreases in real estate property values due to the nature of our loan portfolio, the majority of which is secured by real estate, could reduce our growth rate, affect the ability of our customers to repay their loans and generally affect our financial condition and results of operations. As of December 31, 2022, approximately 39% of our loans were secured by commercial-based real estate, 11% of loans were secured by agriculture-based real estate, and 21% of our loans were secured by residential real estate. We are less able than larger institutions to spread the risks of unfavorable local economic conditions across a larger number of more diverse economies.
Natural disasters and weather-related events exacerbated by climate change could have a negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
We operate in markets in which natural disasters, including tornadoes, severe storms, fires, floods, hurricanes and earthquakes have occurred. Such natural disasters could significantly affect the local population and economies, the activities of many of our customers and clients, and our business, and could pose physical risks to our properties. Although our banking offices are geographically dispersed throughout portions of the midwestern United States and we maintain insurance coverage for such events, a significant natural disaster in or near one or more of our markets could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations or liquidity.
The markets in which we operate also are exposed to the adverse impacts of climate change, as well as uncertainties related to the transition to a low-carbon economy. Climate change presents both immediate and long-term risks to us and our customers and clients, with the risks expected to increase over time.
Climate risks can arise from both physical risks (those risks related to the physical effects of climate change) and transition risks (risks related to regulatory, compliance, technological, stakeholder and legal changes from a transition to a low-carbon economy). The physical and transition risks can manifest themselves differently across our risk categories in the short, medium and long terms.
The physical risk from climate change could result from increased frequency and/or severity of adverse weather events. For example, adverse weather events could damage or destroy our properties or our counterparties’ properties and other assets and disrupt operations, making it more difficult for counterparties to repay their obligations, whether due to reduced profitability, asset devaluations or otherwise. These events could also increase the volatility in financial markets and increase our counterparty exposures and other financial risks, which may result in lower revenues and higher cost of credit.
Transition risks may arise from changes in regulations or market preferences toward a low-carbon economy, which in turn could have negative impacts on asset values, results of operations or our reputation or that of our customers and clients. For example, our corporate credit exposures include industries that may experience reduced demand for carbon-intensive products due to the transition to a low-carbon economy. Moreover, banking regulators and others are increasingly focusing on the issue of climate risk at financial institutions, both directly and with respect to their clients. As an example, although not currently applicable to us, on December 16, 2021, the OCC requested feedback on draft principles designed to support the identification and management of climate-related financial risks at institutions with more than $100 billion in total consolidated assets.
Even as regulators, such as the SEC, begin to propose or mandate additional disclosure of climate-related information by companies across sectors, there may continue to be a lack of information for more robust climate-related risk analyses. Third party exposures to climate-related risks and other data generally are limited in availability and variable in quality. Modeling capabilities to analyze climate-related risks and interconnections are improving but remain incomplete. Legislative or regulatory uncertainties and changes regarding climate-related risk management and disclosures are likely to result in higher regulatory, compliance, credit, reputational and other risks and costs (for additional information, see the ongoing regulatory and legislative uncertainties and changes risk factor above). In addition, we could face increased regulatory, reputational and legal scrutiny as a result of its climate risk.
Stock Holding and Governance Risks
We have historically not paid dividends; moreover, the inability of our subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends or other distributions to the Holding Company could adversely affect its liquidity and ability to declare and pay dividends.
The holders of our common stock receive dividends only if and when declared by the Nicolet board of directors out of legally available funds. Nicolet’s board of directors has not declared a dividend on the common stock since our inception in 2000. Any future determination relating to dividend policy will be made at the discretion of Nicolet’s board of directors and will depend on a number of factors, including the company’s future earnings, capital requirements, financial condition, future prospects, regulatory restrictions and other factors that the board of directors may deem relevant. Our principal source of funds that would be used to pay cash dividends on our common and preferred stock is dividends that we receive from the Bank. As a national bank, the Bank is subject to limitations on the amount of dividends that it is permitted to pay, as described under “Regulation of the Bank – Payment of Dividends” in Part I, Item 1 of this Report. The federal banking agencies have also issued policy statements which provide that bank holding companies and insured banks should generally only pay dividends out of current earnings. The Federal Reserve may
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also prevent the payment of a dividend by the Bank if it determines that the payment would be an unsafe and unsound banking practice. The Holding Company and the Bank must also maintain the CET1 capital conservation buffer of 2.5% to avoid becoming subject to restrictions on capital distributions, including dividends. If the Bank is not permitted to pay cash dividends to the Holding Company, it is unlikely that we would be able to continue to pay interest on our indebtedness.
Holders of our indebtedness have rights that are senior to those of our common shareholders.
We have supported our continued growth by issuing trust preferred securities and accompanying junior subordinated debentures and by assuming the trust preferred securities and accompanying junior subordinated debentures issued by companies we have acquired. As of December 31, 2022, we had outstanding trust preferred securities and associated junior subordinated debentures with an aggregate par principal amount of approximately $49.8 million and $48.0 million, respectively.
We have unconditionally guaranteed the payment of principal and interest on our trust preferred securities. Also, the junior subordinated debentures issued to the special purpose trusts that relate to those trust preferred securities are senior to our common stock. As a result, we must make payments on the junior subordinated debentures before we can pay any dividends on our common stock, and in the event of our bankruptcy, dissolution or liquidation, holders of our junior subordinated debentures must be satisfied before any distributions can be made on our common stock. We do have the right to defer distributions on our junior subordinated debentures (and related trust preferred securities) for up to five years, but during that time would not be able to pay dividends on our common stock.
We may from time to time issue additional senior or subordinated indebtedness or preferred stock that would have to be repaid before our shareholders would be entitled to receive any of our assets.
Nicolet’s directors and executive officers own a significant portion of our common stock and can influence shareholder decisions.
Our directors and executive officers, as a group, beneficially owned approximately 18% of our fully diluted issued and outstanding common stock as of December 31, 2022. As a result of their ownership, our directors and executive officers have the ability, if they voted their shares in concert, to influence the outcome of matters submitted to our shareholders for approval, including the election of directors.
Our stock price can be volatile.
Stock price volatility may make it more difficult for you to resell your common stock when you want and at prices you find attractive. Our stock price can fluctuate significantly in response to a variety of factors, some of which are unrelated to our financial performance, including, among other things:
•actual or anticipated variations in quarterly results of operations;
•recommendations by securities analysts;
•operating and stock price performance of other companies that investors deem comparable to us;
•news reports relating to trends, concerns and other issues in the financial services industry;
•perceptions in the marketplace regarding us and/or our competitors;
•new technology used, or services offered, by competitors;
•significant acquisitions or business combinations, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments by or involving us or our competitors;
•failure to integrate acquisitions or realize anticipated benefits from acquisitions;
•changes in government regulations; or
•geopolitical conditions such as acts or threats of terrorism, military conflicts, the effects (or perceived effects) of pandemics and trade relations.
General market fluctuations, including real or anticipated changes in the strength of the local economy; industry factors and general economic and political conditions and events, such as economic slowdowns or recessions; interest rate changes, oil price volatility or credit loss trends could also cause our stock price to decrease regardless of our operating results.
Nicolet’s corporate organizational documents and the provisions of Wisconsin law to which we are subject contain certain provisions that could have an anti-takeover effect and may delay, make more difficult or prevent an attempted acquisition of Nicolet that you may favor.
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Nicolet’s amended and restated articles of incorporation, as amended (our “articles”), and bylaws, as amended (our “bylaws”), contain various provisions that could have an anti-takeover effect and may delay, discourage or prevent an attempted acquisition or change of control of Nicolet. These provisions include:
•a provision allowing the Board to consider the interests of our employees, customers, suppliers and creditors when considering an acquisition proposal;
•a provision that all amendments to the articles and bylaws must be approved by a majority of the outstanding shares of our capital stock entitled to vote;
•a provision requiring that any merger or share exchange involving Nicolet be approved by either: (i) two-thirds of the Nicolet directors then in office and a majority of Nicolet’s outstanding shares of common stock; or (ii) a majority of the Nicolet directors then in officer and two-thirds of Nicolet’s outstanding shares of common stock;
•a provision restricting removal of directors except for cause and upon the approval of a majority of the outstanding shares of our capital stock entitled to vote;
•a provision that any special meeting of shareholders may be called only by the chief executive officer pursuant to a resolution adopted by a majority of the board of directors or the holders of 10% of the outstanding shares of Nicolet’s capital stock entitled to vote; and
•a provision establishing certain advance notice procedures for matters to be considered at an annual meeting of shareholders.
Additionally, Nicolet’s articles authorize the Board to issue shares of preferred stock without shareholder approval and upon such terms as the Board may determine. The issuance of our preferred stock, while providing desirable flexibility in connection with possible acquisitions, financings and other corporate purposes, could have the effect of making it more difficult for a third party to acquire, or of discouraging a third party from acquiring, a controlling interest in us. In addition, certain provisions of Wisconsin law, including a provision which restricts certain business combinations between a Wisconsin corporation and certain affiliated shareholders, may delay, discourage or prevent an attempted acquisition or change in control of Nicolet.
Our stockholders may suffer dilution if we raisecapital throughpublic or privateequity financings to fund our operations, to increase our capital, or to expand.
If we raise funds by issuing equity securities or instruments that are convertible into equity securities, the percentage ownership of our current common stockholders will be reduced, the new equity securities may have rights and preferences superior to those of our common or outstanding preferred stock, and additional issuances could be at a sales price which is dilutive to current stockholders. We may issue or be required to issue additional shares of common stock, or securities convertible into, exchangeable for or representing rights to acquire shares of common stock in order to maintain capital at desired or regulatory-required levels. We could also issue additional equity securities directly as consideration in acquisitions of other financial institutions or other investments that we may make that would be dilutive to stockholders in terms of voting power and share-of-ownership, and could be dilutive financially or economically.
Nicolet’s securities are not FDIC insured.
Our securities are not savings or deposit accounts or other obligations of the Bank, and are not insured by the Deposit Insurance Fund, or any other agency or private entity and are subject to investment risk, including the possible loss of some or all of the value of your investment.
ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
None.
ITEM 2. PROPERTIES
The corporate headquarters of both the Parent Company and the Bank are located at 111 North Washington Street, Green Bay, Wisconsin. At year-end 2022, including the main office, the Bank operated 55 bank branch locations, 43 of which are owned and 12 that are leased. In addition, Nicolet owns or leases other real property that, when considered in aggregate, is not significant to its financial position. Most of the offices are free-standing, newer buildings that provide adequate access, customer parking, and drive-through and/or ATM services. The properties are in good condition and considered adequate for present and near term requirements. None of the owned properties are subject to a mortgage or similar encumbrance.
Two leased locations involve directors, with lease terms that management considers arms-length. For additional disclosure, see Note 15, “Related Party Transactions,” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8.
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ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
We and our subsidiaries may be involved from time to time in various routine legal proceedings incidental to our respective businesses. Neither we nor any of our subsidiaries are currently engaged in any legal proceedings that are expected to have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial position. For additional disclosure, see Note 14, “Commitments and Contingencies,” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
Not applicable.
PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Stock. Nicolet’s common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “NIC”. As of February 20, 2023, Nicolet had approximately 3,700 shareholders of record.
Dividends. Nicolet has not paid dividends on its common stock since its inception in 2000. The payment of dividends is a decision of our Board based upon then-existing circumstances, including our rate of growth, profitability, financial condition, existing and anticipated capital requirements, the amount of funds legally available for the payment of cash dividends, regulatory constraints and such other factors as the Board determines relevant. For the foreseeable future, we do not intend to declare cash dividends, as we intend to retain earnings to grow our business and strengthen our capital base, while returning value to our shareholders by continuing to repurchase shares from time to time. Any cash dividends paid by Nicolet on its common stock must comply with applicable Federal Reserve policies described further in “Business—Regulation of Nicolet—Dividend Restrictions.” The Bank is also subject to regulatory restrictions on the amount of dividends it is permitted to pay to Nicolet as further described in “Business—Regulation of the Bank—Payment of Dividends” and in Note 17, “Regulatory Capital Requirements,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8.
Stock Repurchases. The following table contains information regarding purchases of Nicolet’s common stock made during fourth quarter 2022 by or on behalf of the Company or any “affiliated purchaser,” as defined by Rule 10b-18(a)(3) of the Exchange Act.
(a) During fourth quarter 2022, the Company withheld 1,784 common shares for minimum tax withholding settlements on restricted stock and the Company withheld 1,884 common shares to satisfy the exercise price and tax withholding requirements on stock option exercises. These are not considered “repurchases” and, therefore, do not count against the maximum number of shares that may yet be purchased under the board of directors’ authorization.
(b) The board of directors approved a common stock repurchase program which authorized, with subsequent modifications, the use of up to $276 million to repurchase outstanding shares of common stock. This common stock repurchase program was last modified on April 19, 2022, and has no expiration date. At December 31, 2022, approximately $48 million remained available under this common stock repurchase program, or approximately 595,300 shares of common stock (based on the closing stock price of $79.79 on December 31, 2022).
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Performance Graph
The following graph shows the cumulative stockholder return on our common stock compared with the KBW NASDAQ Bank Index, the S&P 500 Index, and the S&P U.S. BMI Banks Index for the period of December 31, 2017 to December 31, 2022. The KBW NASDAQ Bank Index tracks the performance of 24 banking stocks representing the large U.S. national money centers, regional banks, and thrift institutions, while the S&P U.S. BMI Banks Index tracks the performance of all U.S. domiciled bank companies with float-adjusted market capitalization of at least $100 million. In 2022, the Company elected to move to the S&P U.S. BMI Banks Index as it provides a broader view of the banking industry rather than only focusing on the largest bank organizations. The graph assumes the value of the investment in the Company’s common stock and in each index was $100 on December 31, 2017. Historical stock price performance shown on the graph is not necessarily indicative of the future price performance. The following performance graph does not constitute soliciting material and should not be deemed filed or incorporated by reference into any other Company filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, except to the extent that we specifically incorporate the performance graphs by reference therein.
Period Ending
Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence
ITEM 6. [RESERVED]
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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion is management’s analysis to assist in the understanding and evaluation of the consolidated financial condition and results of operations of Nicolet. It should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and footnotes presented elsewhere in this report.
The Company’s financial performance and certain balance sheet line items were impacted by the timing and size of Nicolet’s 2022 and 2021 acquisitions. Nicolet acquired Charter Bankshares, Inc. (“Charter”) on August 26, 2022, County Bancorp, Inc. (“County”) on December 3, 2021, and Mackinac Financial Corporation (“Mackinac”) on September 3, 2021. Certain income statement results, average balances and related ratios for 2022 include partial contributions from Charter, while 2021 results include partial contributions from County and Mackinac, each from the respective acquisition date. Additional information on Nicolet’s recent acquisition activity is included in Note 2, “Acquisitions” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
The detailed financial discussion that follows focuses on 2022 results compared to 2021. For a discussion of 2021 results compared to 2020, see the information under the caption “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021, filed with the SEC on February 25, 2022, which information under that caption is incorporated herein by reference. Historical results of operations are not necessarily predictive of future results.
Overview
Economic Outlook
Growth in economic activity and demand for goods and services, combined with labor shortages, supply chain complications and geopolitical matters, have contributed to rising inflation. In response, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates from a target range of 0.00%-0.25% in early March 2022 to 4.25%-4.50% at the end of December 2022. In addition, the Federal Reserve raised the target range to 4.50%-4.75% in early February 2023, and continues to signal the potential for additional increases in the target range to mitigate the hardships caused by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, continued supply chain disruptions, and elevated global uncertainty. The tightening of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies, including these increases in the target range and the tapering of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, combined with ongoing economic and political instability, increases the risk of an economic recession. While forecasts vary, many economists are projecting that U.S. economic growth will slow and inflation will remain elevated in the coming quarters, potentially resulting in a contraction of the U.S. gross domestic output in 2023. The timing and impact of inflation and rising interest rates on our business and related financial results will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and difficult to predict.
2022 Highlights
In 2022, Nicolet delivered on growth, profitability, capital positioning, and sound asset quality management. On August 26, 2022, Nicolet completed its acquisition of Charter for a total purchase price of $137 million, including the issuance of 1.26 million shares of common stock valued at $98 million and the remainder in cash consideration. Charter added total assets of $1.1 billion, loans of $827 million, and deposits of $870 million, at acquisition.
Net income for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $94 million and earnings per diluted common share was $6.56, compared to net income of $61 million and earnings per diluted common share of $5.44 for 2021. Net income reflected non-core items and the related tax effect of each, including merger and integration related expenses, Day 2 credit provision expense required under the CECL model, branch optimization costs, and gains on other assets and investments. For the full year, non-core items negatively impacted diluted earnings per common share $0.34 for 2022 and $1.13 for 2021.
At December 31, 2022, Nicolet had total assets of $8.8 billion, an increase of $1.1 billion (14%) over December 31, 2021, largely due to the acquisition of Charter. Total loans increased $1.6 billion (34%) from December 31, 2021, including the Charter acquisition and the repurchase of approximately $100 million previously participated agriculture loans, as well as strong organic loan growth. Excluding the $827 million of loans acquired with Charter and the repurchased agriculture loans, organic loan growth was 14% from December 31, 2021. Total deposits increased $713 million (11%) from December 31, 2021, also largely due to the acquisition of Charter, while total borrowings increased $325 million, with approximately half acquired with Charter and the remainder related to new FHLB advances. Total stockholders’ equity was $973 million at December 31, 2022, an increase of $81 million since December 31, 2021, mostly due to the common stock issued in the Charter acquisition, as well as solid earnings, offset by unfavorable changes in the fair value of available for sale securities and common stock repurchases executed early in 2022.
Nonperforming assets were $40 million and represented 0.46% of total assets at December 31, 2022, compared to $56 million or 0.73% at year-end 2021, with the decline due to a $6 million improvement in nonaccrual loans and a $10 million reduction in other real estate owned (primarily sales of closed bank branches). The allowance for credit losses-loans increased to $62 million (1.00% of loans), mostly due to the Day 2 allowance increase from the Charter acquisition.
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Nicolet remains well positioned to execute its core strategy of providing shared success to its employees, customers, and shareholders after recording a record year of net income and earnings per share during 2022. The board and management team met several challenges throughout the year, most notably positioning the bank to manage the rapid increase in interest rates as the Federal Reserve aggressively attempted to curb inflationary pressures. The swift change in interest rates in the first half of the year caused a notable change in the market value of Nicolet’s securities portfolio, thus negatively impacting common equity, book values, and certain non-regulatory capital ratios. The additional pressure on common equity balances caused management to pause its share repurchase program for the first time in several years in April 2022. Additionally, while the acquisition of Charter Bankshares was successfully announced, closed, and integrated during 2022, the cash consideration in the transaction coupled with changes in mark-to-market accounting due to rapidly changing interest rates placed additional pressure on Nicolet’s capital. We view this pressure as temporary, as the combination of strong earnings, a stable balance sheet, and more predictable interest rates is expected to cause an increase in our common equity and related metrics and ratios.
In 2023, Nicolet’s board and management team have outlined certain strategic objectives it hopes to achieve, including the continued integration of the Charter acquisition, the cultural assimilation in the wealth management area due to high profile hires in late 2022, and a renewed focus on gathering core deposits. While the financial and physical integration of Charter was completed shortly after closing the merger, the cultural integration will continue well into 2023. As we have experienced with all of our past eight bank acquisitions, melding two cultures takes patience and effort by our entire employee base. While we are encouraged by what we’ve experienced through the first few months since closing, we also understand it takes time for employees and customers in new markets to understand how we operate. Nicolet has quickly made significant investments in our new communities of Eau Claire and Chetek, Wisconsin, and Chaska and Chanhassen, Minnesota, including a new branch in Lake Hallie, Wisconsin, which is expected to open in mid-2023. Similarly, Nicolet hired a highly experienced, well-known, and highly regarded financial advisor to its wealth team in fourth quarter 2022 and assembled a seasoned team of private bankers and wealth professionals in northern Michigan. Those hires have already resulted in several new account openings and added assets under management in a short period. This allows management the opportunity to assess its current product offerings and staffing levels, which will likely evolve during 2023.
The new interest rate environment has placed additional challenges on the banking industry as a whole, which Nicolet is certainly not immune to. We are in an interest rate environment last seen more than 15 years ago. Higher rates have caused our funding costs to increase more quickly than the yield earned from our securities and loan portfolios due to their fixed rate concentration. While we see ourselves as an asset sensitive bank, meaning our net interest income increases in a rising rate environment, we also require the benefit of time for our loan portfolio to price. As a result, we expect our net interest margin to remain under some pressure during the first quarter of 2023, and begin to steadily improve once the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes. Management has also placed a renewed emphasis on core deposit gathering in 2023, as the cost of core deposits is typically lower than wholesale borrowing options. However, several other banks and credit unions are in a similar position, and thus, we expect competition for local deposits will be intense throughout the year. Finally, higher rates have lowered the market value of our securities portfolio, thus lowering our common equity through mark-to-market accounting. While we see this as temporary, it did cause management to take a more conservative approach to managing capital, and thus pause the share buyback program in April 2022. The program remains on pause through early 2023 (beyond a small private purchase transaction), and management expects it to restart at some point during 2023, as common equity levels have rebounded due to strong retained earnings, and a shift in interest rates has improved the unrealized losses on securities available for sale.
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Table 1: Earnings Summary and Selected Financial Data
At and for the years ended December 31,
Results of operations:
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest — — 347
Net income attributable to Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. $ 94,260 $ 60,652 $ 60,122
Earnings per common share:
Common shares:
Year-End Balances:
Financial Ratios:
Tangible common equity to tangible assets (1) 6.82 7.51 8.31
Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures:
Adjusted net income reconciliation: (2)
Adjustments:
Provision expense related to merger 8,000 14,400 —
Branch closure expense — 944 500
Adjusted Diluted earnings per common share (Non-GAAP) $ 6.90 $ 6.57 $ 5.94
Tangible assets:
Tangible common equity:
Tangible average common equity:
(1) The ratios of tangible book value per common share, return on average tangible common equity, and tangible common equity to tangible assets exclude goodwill and other intangibles, net. These non-GAAP financial ratios have been included as they are considered to be critical metrics with which to analyze and evaluate financial condition and capital strength.
(2) The adjusted net income measure and related reconciliation provide information useful to investors in understanding the operating performance and trends of Nicolet and also to aid investors in the comparison of Nicolet’s financial performance to the financial performance of peer banks.
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We identify “tangible book value per common share,” “return on average tangible common equity,” “tangible common equity to tangible assets” “adjusted net income,” and “adjusted diluted earnings per common share” as “non-GAAP financial measures.” In accordance with the SEC’s rules, we identify certain financial measures as non-GAAP financial measures if such financial measures exclude or include amounts in the most directly comparable measures calculated and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) in effect in the United States in our statements of income, balance sheets or statements of cash flows. Non-GAAP financial measures do not include operating and other statistical measures, ratios or statistical measures calculated using exclusively financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP.
Management believes that the presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures (a) are important metrics used to analyze and evaluate our financial condition and capital strength and provide important supplemental information that contributes to a proper understanding of our operating performance and trends, (b) enables a more complete understanding of factors and trends affecting our business, and (c) allows investors to compare our financial performance to the financial performance of our peers and to evaluate our performance in a manner similar to management, the financial services industry, bank stock analysts, and bank regulators. Management uses non-GAAP measures as follows: in the preparation of our operating budgets, financial performance reporting, and in our presentation to investors of our performance. However, we acknowledge that these non-GAAP financial measures have a number of limitations. Limitations associated with non-GAAP financial measures include the risk that persons might disagree as to the appropriateness of items comprising these measures and that different companies might calculate these measures differently. These disclosures should not be considered an alternative to our GAAP results. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is presented in the table above.
INCOME STATEMENT ANALYSIS
Net Interest Income
Net interest income is the primary source of Nicolet’s revenue, and is the difference between interest income on earning assets, such as loans and investment securities, and interest expense on interest-bearing liabilities, such as deposits and other borrowings. Net interest income is directly impacted by the sensitivity of the balance sheet to changes in interest rates and by the amount, mix and composition of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, including characteristics such as the fixed or variable nature of the financial instruments, contractual maturities, and repricing frequencies. Tax-equivalent net interest income is a non-GAAP measure, but is a preferred industry measurement of net interest income (and is used in calculating a net interest margin) as it enhances the comparability of net interest income arising from taxable and tax-exempt sources. Tables 2 and 3 present information to facilitate the review and discussion of selected average balance sheet items, tax-equivalent net interest income, interest rate spread, and net interest margin.
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Table 2: Average Balance Sheet and Net Interest Income Analysis - Tax-Equivalent Basis
Years Ended December 31,
ASSETS
Interest-earning assets
Investment securities:
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Interest-bearing liabilities
(1)Nonaccrual loans and loans held for sale are included in the daily average loan balances outstanding.
(2)The yield on tax-exempt loans and tax-exempt investment securities is computed on a tax-equivalent basis using a federal tax rate of 21% and adjusted for the disallowance of interest expense.
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Table 3: Volume/Rate Variance - Tax-Equivalent Basis
Volume Rate Net (1) Volume Rate Net (1)
Interest-earning assets
Investment securities:
Interest-bearing liabilities
(1)The change in interest due to both rate and volume has been allocated in proportion to the relationship of dollar amounts of change in each.
(2)Nonaccrual loans and loans held for sale are included in the daily average loan balances outstanding.
(3)The yield on tax-exempt loans and tax-exempt investment securities is computed on a tax-equivalent basis using a federal tax rate of 21% and adjusted for the disallowance of interest expense.
Comparison of 2022 versus 2021
The Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates a total of 425 bps since mid-March 2022, increasing the Federal Funds rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.50% as of December 31, 2022. Prior to this, short-term interest rates remained steady since March 2020, with a Federal Funds rate of 0.00% to 0.25%.
Tax-equivalent net interest income was $242 million for 2022, comprised of net interest income of $240 million ($82 million or 52% higher than 2021) and a $2 million tax-equivalent adjustment. The increase in tax-equivalent net interest income was attributable to net favorable volumes (which added $94 million, mostly from interest-earning asset volumes added with the recent acquisitions, as well as solid loan growth and strategic investment purchases in fourth quarter 2021) and net unfavorable rates (which decreased net interest income $12 million from higher deposit rates and the lag in repricing the loan portoflio to current market interest rates).
Average interest-earning assets were $7.1 billion for 2022, $2.4 billion (51%) higher than 2021, primarily due to the acquisitions of Mackinac, County, and Charter (in September 2021, December 2021, and August 2022, respectively). Average loans increased $2.1 billion (65%) to $5.3 billion, largely due to the timing of the acquisitions (with Mackinac adding $940 million at acquisition, County adding $1.0 billion at acquisition, and Charter adding $827 million at acquisition). In addition, average loans reflected strong organic loan growth and the repurchase of approximately $100 million previously participated agricultural loans. Average investment securities increased $881 million, including growth related to the acquisitions, as well as the re-investment of approximately $0.5 billion excess cash liquidity into U.S. Treasury securities of varying yields and durations during fourth quarter 2021. Other interest-earning assets declined $565 million, mostly lower cash from the re-investment of excess cash liquidity noted above. As a result, the mix of average interest-earning assets shifted to 74% loans, 23% investment securities, and 3% other interest-earning assets (mostly cash) for 2022, compared to 67%, 16%, and 17%, respectively, for 2021.
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Average interest-bearing liabilities were $4.8 billion for 2022, an increase of $1.6 billion (52%) from 2021, also primarily due to the timing of the acquisitions. Average interest-bearing core deposits increased $1.3 billion and average brokered deposits grew $183 million, largely due to the acquisitions. Other interest-bearing liabilities increased $196 million, reflecting the private placement of $100 million in fixed-to-floating subordinated notes in July 2021, wholesale funding acquired with the acquisitions, and other funding needs in 2022 to support the strong loan growth. The mix of average interest-bearing liabilities was 84% core deposits, 10% brokered deposits, and 6% other funding for 2022, compared to 87% core deposits, 10% brokered deposits, and 3% other funding in 2021.
The interest rate spread decreased 6 bps between the periods, as our liabilities have repriced faster than our assets in the rapidly rising interest rate environment of 2022. The 2022 interest-earning asset yield increased 22 bps to 3.88% for 2022, largely due to the changing mix of interest-earning assets (to a higher percentage of loan assets, as noted above). The loan yield declined 28 bps to 4.64% for 2022, due to several factors: a lower percentage of PPP loans between the years, the impact of the low interest rate environment through early 2022 given the fixed nature of a portion of our loan portfolio, and competitive pricing pressures on new, renewed and variable rate loans. The investment yield declined 7 bps to 1.70%, attributable to the low rate environment through early 2022 and the re-investment of excess cash into U.S. Treasuries. The cost of funds increased 28 bps to 0.71% for 2022, reflecting the impact of a rising interest rate environment on core interest-bearing deposits (up 14 bps to 0.38%), as well as the changing mix of interest-bearing liabilities (as noted above). The contribution from net free funds increased 9 bps, attributable to the higher value in a rising interest rate environment and an increase in average net free funds (largely from higher average noninterest-bearing demand deposits and stockholders’ equity) between the years. As a result, the net interest margin was 3.40% for 2022, up 3 bps compared to 3.37% for 2021.
Tax-equivalent interest income was $276 million, up $103 million (60%) over 2021. Interest income on loans increased $87 million (56%) over 2021, mostly due to strong volumes from the acquisitions and organic loan growth. Between the years, interest income on investment securities increased $15 million to $28 million, with $13 million from higher average volumes due to the acquisitions and re-investment of excess cash (as noted above) and $2 million from higher rates. Interest expense was $34 million for 2022, up $20 million (150%) from 2021. Interest expense on deposits increased $11 million from 2021 given higher average deposit balances and a higher overall cost (up 15 bps to 0.49%). Interest expense on wholesale funding increased $9 million over 2021 mostly due to higher average balances from the July 2021 subordinated notes issuance, as well as wholesale funding acquired with the acquisitions.
Provision for Credit Losses
The provision for credit losses in 2022 was $11.5 million (comprised of $11.0 million related to the ACL-Loans, and the remainder for the ACL on unfunded commitments). The 2022 provision for credit losses included $8 million for the required Day 2 ACL increase from the acquisition of Charter, and the remaining increase to support the strong loan growth. Comparatively, the 2021 provision for credit losses was largely due to the required Day 2 ACL increase from the acquisitions of County and Mackinac. Asset quality trends have been solid and net charge-offs were negligible for both years.
The provision for credit losses is predominantly a function of Nicolet’s methodology and judgment as to qualitative and quantitative factors used to determine the appropriateness of the ACL-Loans. The appropriateness of the ACL-Loans is affected by changes in the size and character of the loan portfolio, changes in levels of collateral-dependent and other nonperforming loans, historical losses and delinquencies in each portfolio segment, the risk inherent in specific loans, concentrations of loans to specific borrowers or industries, existing and future economic conditions, the fair value of underlying collateral, and other factors which could affect potential credit losses. For additional information regarding asset quality and the ACL-Loans, see “BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS — Loans,” and “— Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans” and “—Nonperforming Assets.”
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Noninterest Income
Table 4: Noninterest Income
(in thousands) Years Ended December 31, Change From Prior Year
LSR income, net (1,366) — — (1,366) N/M — N/M
N/M means not meaningful.
Comparison of 2022 versus 2021
Noninterest income was $58 million for 2022, a decrease of $9 million (14%) from 2021, primarily due to lower net mortgage income. Notable contributions to the change in noninterest income were:
•Trust services fee income and brokerage fee income combined were $21 million for 2022, up $1 million (5%) from 2021, as growth in accounts and assets under management outpaced unfavorable market-related declines.
•Mortgage income represents net gains received from the sale of residential real estate loans into the secondary market, capitalized mortgage servicing rights (“MSRs”), servicing fees net of MSR amortization, fair value marks on the mortgage interest rate lock commitments and forward commitments (“mortgage derivatives”), and MSR valuation changes, if any. Net mortgage income was $8 million for 2022, down $14 million (62%) between the years, mostly due to the rising interest rate environment reducing secondary market volumes and the related gains on sales. See also “Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements, Lending-Related Commitments and Contractual Obligations” and Note 6, “Goodwill and Other Intangibles and Servicing Rights” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
•Service charges on deposit accounts were up $1 million (22%) to $6 million for 2022, mostly due to the larger deposit base from the acquisitions.
•Card interchange income grew $2 million (27%) to $12 million in 2022 largely due to higher volume and activity.
•BOLI income increased $1 million (60%) to $4 million for 2022, attributable to higher average balances from BOLI acquired with the acquisitions.
•The Company sponsors a nonqualifed deferred compensation (“NQDC”) plan for certain employees, that fluctuates based upon market valuations of the underlying plan assets. See also “Noninterest Expense” for the offsetting fair value change to the NQDC plan liabilities and Note 10, “Employee and Director Benefit Plans” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8, for additional information on the NQDC plan.
•Loan servicing rights (“LSR”) income includes agricultural loan servicing fees net of the related LSR amortization. Nicolet is not adding new loans to this servicing portfolio and repurchased approximately $100 million of these previously participated loans during second quarter 2022; thus, the LSR amortization is currently outpacing the loan servicing fees. See also Note 6, “Goodwill and Other Intangibles and Servicing Rights” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8, for additional information on the LSR asset.
•Other income grew $3 million to $7 million for 2022, largely due to revenue from crop insurance sales (acquired with County) and broker fees.
•The $3 million net asset gains in 2022 were primarily attributable to gains on sales of other real estate owned (mostly closed bank branch locations). Net asset gains in 2021 of $4 million were primarily attributable to favorable fair value marks on equity securities (including $3.5 million related to the initial public offering of an equity investment). Additional
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information on the net gains is also included in Note 16, “Asset Gains (Losses), Net,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
Noninterest Expense
Table 5: Noninterest Expense
($ in thousands) Years Ended December 31, Change From Prior Year
Comparison of 2022 versus 2021
Noninterest expense was $161 million, an increase of $31 million (24%) over 2021. Personnel costs increased $18 million (26%), while non-personnel expenses combined increased $13 million (23%) over 2021. Notable contributions to the change in noninterest expense were:
•Personnel expense (including salaries, overtime, cash and equity incentives, and employee benefit and payroll-related expenses) was $89 million for 2022, an increase of $18 million (26%) over 2021. Salary expense increased $15 million (25%) over 2021, reflecting higher salaries from the larger employee base (with average full-time equivalent employees up 41%) as well as merit increases between the years and investments in our wealth team. Salary expense also reflected increases in hourly pay and base salaries effective at the end of March 2022, which benefited the majority of our employee base. Fringe benefits increased $3 million (30%) over 2021, also mainly due to the larger employee base. Personnel expense was also impacted by the change in the fair value of the NQDC plan liabilities. See also “Noninterest Income” for the offsetting fair value change to the NQDC plan assets and Note 10, “Employee and Director Benefit Plans” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8, for additional information on the NQDC plan.
•Occupancy, equipment and office expense was $30 million for 2022, up $9 million (41%) from 2021, largely due to the expanded branch network with the recent acquisitions, as well as additional expense for software and technology solutions to drive operational efficiencies, and enhance products or services. 2021 also included approximately $1 million of accelerated depreciation and write-offs related to branch closures.
•Business development and marketing expense was $8 million for 2022, up $3 million (57%) from 2021, largely due to higher travel and entertainment expenses, as well as additional marketing donations, promotions, and media to support our expanded branch network and community base.
•Data processing expense was $15 million for 2022, up $3 million (21%) over 2021, mostly due to volume-based increases in core processing charges, including the larger operating base following the Charter, County, and Mackinac acquisitions.
•Intangible amortization increased $3 million (89%) between the years, due to higher amortization from the intangibles added with the recent acquisitions.
•Other expense was $9 million for 2022, minimally changed from 2021, with 2022 including higher professional fees, director fees, fraud losses, and higher overall expenses related to our larger operating base, while 2021 included a $2 million contract termination charge.
Income Taxes
Income tax expense was $31 million (effective tax rate of 25.0%) for 2022, compared to $20 million (effective tax rate of 25.2%) for 2021. The accounting for income taxes requires deferred income taxes to be analyzed to determine if a valuation allowance is required. A valuation allowance is required if it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred tax asset will not be realized. This analysis involves the use of estimates and assumptions concerning accounting pronouncements and federal and state tax codes; therefore, income taxes are considered a critical accounting estimate. At December 31, 2022 and 2021, no valuation allowance was determined to be necessary. Additional information on the subjectivity of income taxes is discussed further under
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“Critical Accounting Estimates-Income Taxes.” The Company’s income taxes accounting policy is described in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” and additional disclosures relative to income taxes are included in Note 13, “Income Taxes” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS
Loans
Nicolet services a diverse customer base throughout Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota, including the following industries: manufacturing, wholesaling, paper, packaging, food production and processing, agriculture, forest products, hospitality, retail, service, and businesses supporting the general building industry. The Company concentrates on originating loans in its local markets and assisting current loan customers. Nicolet actively utilizes government loan programs such as those provided by the U.S. Small Business Administration (“SBA”) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Farm Service Agency (“FSA”). In addition to the discussion that follows, accounting policies, general loan portfolio characteristics, and credit risk are described in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” and additional loan related disclosures are included in Note 4, “Loans, Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans, and Credit Quality,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
An active credit risk management process is used to ensure that sound and consistent credit decisions are made. The credit management process is regularly reviewed and has been modified over the past several years to further strengthen the controls. Factors that are important to managing overall credit quality are sound loan underwriting and administration, systematic monitoring of existing loans and commitments, effective loan review on an ongoing basis, early problem loan identification and remedial action to minimize losses, an appropriate ACL-Loans, and sound nonaccrual and charge-off policies.
Table 6: Period End Loan Composition
(in thousands) Amount % ofTotal Amount % ofTotal Amount % ofTotal
As noted in Table 6 above, year-end 2022 loans were broadly 78% commercial-based and 22% retail-based compared to 80% commercial-based and 20% retail-based at year-end 2021. Commercial-based loans are considered to have more inherent risk of default than retail-based loans, in part because the commercial balance per borrower is typically larger than that for retail-based loans, implying higher potential losses on an individual customer basis.
Total loans were $6.2 billion at December 31, 2022, an increase of $1.6 billion (34%), compared to total loans of $4.6 billion at December 31, 2021. The increase in total loans included the Charter acquisition (which added $827 million, at acquisition) and the repurchase of approximately $100 million previously participated agriculture loans, as well as strong organic loan growth. Excluding the loans acquired with Charter and the repurchased agriculture loans, organic loan growth was 14% from December 31, 2021.
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Table 7: Loan Maturity Distribution
The following table presents the maturity distribution of the loan portfolio at December 31, 2022.
(in thousands) Loan Maturity
Percent by maturity distribution 19 % 45 % 22 % 14 % 100 %
Fixed rate loans:
Floating rate loans:
* The residential construction loans with a loan maturity after five years represent a construction to permanent loan product.
Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans
In addition to the discussion that follows, accounting policies for the allowance for credit losses - loans are described in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” and additional ACL-Loans disclosures are included in Note 4, “Loans, Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans, and Credit Quality,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
Credit risks within the loan portfolio are inherently different for each loan type. Credit risk is controlled and monitored through the use of lending standards, a thorough review of potential borrowers, and ongoing review of loan payment performance. Active asset quality administration, including early problem loan identification and timely resolution of problems, aids in the management of credit risk and minimization of loan losses. Loans charged off are subject to continuous review, and specific efforts are taken to achieve maximum recovery of principal, interest, and related expenses. For additional information regarding nonperforming assets see “BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS – Nonperforming Assets.”
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The ACL-Loans represents management’s estimate of expected credit losses in the Company’s loan portfolio at the balance sheet date. To assess the overall appropriateness of the ACL-Loans, management applies an allocation methodology which focuses on evaluation of qualitative and environmental factors, including but not limited to: (i) evaluation of facts and issues related to specific loans; (ii) management’s ongoing review and grading of the loan portfolio; (iii) consideration of historical loan loss and delinquency experience on each portfolio segment; (iv) trends in past due and nonaccrual loans; (v) the risk characteristics of the various loan segments; (vi) changes in the size and character of the loan portfolio; (vii) concentrations of loans to specific borrowers or industries; (viii) existing economic conditions; (ix) the fair value of underlying collateral; and (x) other qualitative and quantitative factors which could affect expected credit losses. Assessing these factors involves significant judgment; therefore, management considers the ACL-Loans a critical accounting estimate, as further discussed under “Critical Accounting Estimates – Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans.”
Management allocates the ACL-Loans by pools of risk within each loan portfolio segment. The allocation methodology consists of the following components. First, a specific reserve is established for individually evaluated credit deteriorated loans, which management defines as nonaccrual credit relationships over $250,000, collateral dependent loans, purchased credit deteriorated loans, and other loans with evidence of credit deterioration. The specific reserve in the ACL-Loans for these credit deteriorated loans is equal to the aggregate collateral or discounted cash flow shortfall. Second, management allocates the ACL-Loans with historical loss rates by loan segment. The loss factors are measured on a quarterly basis and applied to each loan segment based on current loan balances and projected for their expected remaining life. Next, management allocates the ACL-Loans using the qualitative and environmental factors mentioned above. Consideration is given to those current qualitative or environmental factors that are likely to cause estimated credit losses at the evaluation date to differ from the historical loss experience of each loan segment. Lastly, management considers reasonable and supportable forecasts to assess the collectability of future cash flows.
Management performs ongoing intensive analysis of its loan portfolio to allow for early identification of customers experiencing financial difficulties, maintains prudent underwriting standards, understands the economy in its markets, and considers the trend of deterioration in loan quality in establishing the level of the ACL-Loans. In addition, various regulatory agencies periodically review the ACL-Loans. These agencies may require the Company to make additions to the ACL-Loans or may require that certain loan balances be charged off or downgraded into classified loan categories when their credit evaluations differ from those of management based on their judgments of collectability from information available to them at the time of their examination.
At December 31, 2022, the ACL-Loans was $62 million (representing 1.00% of period end loans) compared to $50 million at December 31, 2021. The increase in the ACL-Loans was largely due to the acquisition of Charter, which added $8 million of provision for the Day 2 allowance and $2 million related to purchased credit deteriorated loans. Net charge-offs (0.01% of average loans) remain negligible. The components of the ACL-Loans are detailed further in Tables 8 and 9 below.
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Table 8: Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans
(in thousands) Years Ended December 31,
Allowance for credit losses - loans:
Adoption of CECL — — 8,488
Initial PCD ACL — — 797
Total impact for adoption of CECL — — 9,285
Net charge-offs:
Commercial & industrial (86) 50 (692)
Owner-occupied CRE (555) — (449)
Agricultural — (48) —
Construction & land development — — —
Residential construction — — —
Residential first mortgage (57) (93) 9
Residential junior mortgage 1 4 67
Ratio of net charge-offs to average loans by loan composition
Commercial & industrial 0.01 % (0.01) % 0.07 %
Owner-occupied CRE 0.06 % — % 0.09 %
Agricultural — % 0.02 % — %
CRE investment (0.02) % — % 0.04 %
Construction & land development — % — % — %
Residential construction — % — % — %
Residential first mortgage 0.01 % 0.02 % — %
Residential junior mortgage — % — % (0.06) %
Total net charge-offs to average loans 0.01 % 0.01 % 0.05 %
The allocation of the ACL-Loans by loan category for each of the past three years is shown in Table 9. The largest portions of the ACL-Loans were allocated to commercial & industrial loans and CRE investment loans, representing 26% and 21%, respectively, of the ACL-Loans at December 31, 2022. In comparison, the largest portions of the ACL-Loans were allocated to commercial & industrial loans and agricultural loans, representing 25% and 19%, respectively, of the ACL-Loans at December 31, 2021. This change in allocated ACL-Loans was attributable to the change in loan portfolio composition, as well as changes in current and forecasted risk trends within loan categories.
Table 9: Allocation of the Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans
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Nonperforming Assets
As part of its overall credit risk management process, management is committed to an aggressive problem loan identification philosophy. This philosophy has been implemented through the ongoing monitoring and review of all pools of risk in the loan portfolio to identify problem loans early and minimize the risk of loss. Management continues to actively work with customers and monitor credit risk from the ongoing economic uncertainty. In addition to the discussion that follows, accounting policies for loans and the ACL-Loans are described in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” and additional credit quality disclosures are included in Note 4, “Loans, Allowance for Credit Losses - Loans, and Credit Quality,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
Nonperforming loans are considered one indicator of potential future loan losses. Nonperforming loans are defined as nonaccrual loans and loans 90 days or more past due but still accruing interest. Loans are generally placed on nonaccrual status when contractually past due 90 days or more as to interest or principal payments. Additionally, whenever management becomes aware of facts or circumstances that may adversely impact the collectability of principal or interest on loans, it is management’s practice to place such loans on nonaccrual status immediately. Nonperforming assets (which include nonperforming loans and other real estate owned “OREO”) were $40 million and represented 0.46% of total assets at December 31, 2022, compared to $56 million or 0.73% at December 31, 2021. The decline in nonperforming assets between the years included a $6 million improvement in nonaccrual loans and a $10 million reduction in other real estate owned (primarily sales of closed bank branches).
The level of potential problem loans is another predominant factor in determining the relative level of risk in the loan portfolio and in determining the appropriate level of the ACL-Loans. Potential problem loans are generally defined by management to include loans rated as Substandard by management but that are in performing status; however, there are circumstances present which might adversely affect the ability of the borrower to comply with present repayment terms. The decision of management to include performing loans in potential problem loans does not necessarily mean that Nicolet expects losses to occur, but that management recognizes a higher degree of risk associated with these loans. The loans that have been reported as potential problem loans are predominantly commercial-based loans covering a diverse range of businesses and real estate property types. Potential problem loans were $53 million (1% of total loans) at both December 31, 2022 and 2021. Potential problem loans require a heightened management review given the pace at which a credit may deteriorate, the potential duration of asset quality stress, and uncertainty around the magnitude and scope of economic stress that may be felt by Nicolet’s customers and on underlying real estate values.
Table 10: Nonperforming Assets
Nonperforming loans:
Residential construction — — —
Accruing loans past due 90 days or more — — —
OREO:
Commercial real estate owned 628 1,549 —
Residential real estate owned — 99 —
Performing troubled debt restructurings $ — $ 5,443 $ 2,120
Ratios:
Nonperforming loans to total loans 0.62 % 0.96 % 0.34 %
NPAs to total loans plus OREO 0.65 % 1.21 % 0.47 %
ACL-Loans to nonperforming loans 162 % 112 % 340 %
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Investment Securities Portfolio
The investment securities portfolio is intended to provide Nicolet with adequate liquidity, flexible asset/liability management and a source of stable income. The portfolio is structured with minimal credit exposure to Nicolet. All investment securities are classified at the time of purchase as available for sale (“AFS”) or held to maturity (“HTM”). In addition to the discussion that follows, the investment securities portfolio accounting policies are described in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” and additional disclosures are included in Note 3, “Securities and Other Investments,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
At December 31, 2022, the investment securities portfolio totaled $1.6 billion (representing 18% of total assets), comprised of $918 million securities AFS and $679 million securities HTM, minimally changed from $1.6 billion (representing 20% of total assets) at December 31, 2021, comprised of $922 million securities AFS and $652 million securities HTM. The primary changes in the investment securities portfolio during 2022, included the acquisition of Charter, (which added investment securities of $218 million at acquisition), and the unfavorable change in the fair value of the securities AFS portfolio (from an unrealized gain of $4 million at December 31, 2021 to an unrealized loss of $79 million at December 31, 2022) due to the dramatic increase in interest rates.
Nicolet also had other investments of $65 million and $44 million at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, consisting of capital stock in the Federal Reserve and the Federal Home Loan Bank (“FHLB”) (required as members of the Federal Reserve Bank System and the FHLB System), equity securities with readily determinable fair values, and to a lesser degree equity investments in other private companies. The FHLB and Federal Reserve investments are “restricted” in that they can only be sold back to the respective institutions or another member institution at par, and are thus not liquid, have no ready market or quoted market value, and are carried at cost. The private company equity investments have no quoted market prices, and are carried at cost less impairment charges, if any. The other investments are evaluated periodically for impairment, considering financial condition and other available relevant information.
Table 11: Investment Securities Portfolio Maturity Distribution (1)
(1) The yield on tax-exempt investment securities is computed on a tax-equivalent basis using a federal tax rate of 21% adjusted for the disallowance of interest expense.
Deposits
Deposits represent Nicolet’s largest source of funds. The deposit levels in 2021 were influenced by economic uncertainty and government stimulus payments related to the pandemic, which reduced spending and increased liquidity of consumers and businesses, as well as by PPP loan proceeds retained on deposit by commercial borrowers. In contrast, the deposit levels in 2022
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reflected a transition back to normal operations and activities, with consumers and businesses starting to use the excess liquidity. In addition, Charter added deposits of $870 million at acquisition.
Deposits levels may also be impacted by competition with other bank and nonbank institutions, as well as with a number of non-deposit investment alternatives available to depositors, such as mutual funds, money market funds, annuities, and other brokerage investment products. Deposit challenges include competitive deposit product features, price changes on deposit products given movements in the interest rate environment and other competitive pricing pressures, and customer preferences regarding higher-costing deposit products or non-deposit investment alternatives. Additional disclosures on deposits are included in Note 8, “Deposits,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8. See Table 2 for information on average deposit balances and deposit rates.
Table 12: Period End Deposit Composition
Amount % ofTotal Amount % ofTotal Amount % ofTotal
Total deposits were $7.2 billion at December 31, 2022, an increase of $713 million (11%) over year-end 2021, primarily due to the acquisition of Charter, and included a $565 million increase to customer deposits (core) and a $148 million increase to brokered deposits.
On average, deposits grew $2.1 billion (47%) between 2022 and 2021 (as detailed in Table 2), primarily due to the timing of the acquisitions (Mackinac in September 2021, County in December 2021, and Charter in August 2022) and the liquidity objectives of our customers in uncertain economic times. Average customer deposits (core) increased $1.9 billion (46%), while average brokered deposits increased $183 million (59%) over the prior year.
At December 31, 2022, Nicolet had $77 million of time deposits that exceed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) insurance limit of $250,000. The following table provides information on the maturity distribution of those time deposits, including the portion of those time deposits in excess of the FDIC insurance limits (over $250,000) as of December 31, 2022.
Table 13: Maturity Distribution of Uninsured Time Deposits
Total uninsured deposits were $2.3 billion and $2.1 billion as of December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Other Funding Sources
Other funding sources include short-term and long-term borrowings. Short-term borrowings (with an original contractual maturity of one year or less) consist mainly of short-term FHLB advances, customer repurchase agreements or federal funds purchased. Long-term borrowings (with an original contractual maturity of over one year) include FHLB advances, junior subordinated debentures, and subordinated notes. The interest on all long-term borrowings is current.
Short-term borrowings were $317 million and zero at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively, all in FHLB advances, with approximately half acquired with Charter. Long-term borrowings were $225 million and $217 million at December 31, 2022 and
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2021, respectively. See Note 9, “Short and Long-Term Borrowings,” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8 for additional disclosures and see section “Liquidity Management,” for information on available funding sources at December 31, 2022.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND CAPITAL
Liquidity Management
Liquidity management refers to the ability to ensure that adequate liquid funds are available to meet the current and future cash flow obligations arising in the daily operations of the Company. These cash flow obligations include the ability to meet the commitments to borrowers for extensions of credit, accommodate deposit cycles and trends, fund capital expenditures, pay dividends to stockholders (if any), and satisfy other operating expenses. The Company’s most liquid assets are cash and due from banks, interest-earning deposits, and federal funds sold, which totaled $155 million and $595 million at December 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Balances of these liquid assets are dependent on our operating, investing, and financing activities during any given period.
The $441 million decrease in cash and cash equivalents since year-end 2021 included $117 million net cash provided by operating activities (mostly earnings), more than offset by $516 million net cash used in investing activities (primarily to fund loan growth) and $42 million net cash used in financing activities (with funds from short-term borrowings offset by a net decrease in deposits and common stock repurchases). As of December 31, 2022, management believed that adequate liquidity existed to meet all projected cash flow obligations.
Nicolet’s primary sources of funds include the core deposit base, repayment and maturity of loans, investment securities calls, maturities, and sales, and procurement of brokered deposits or other wholesale funding. At December 31, 2022, approximately 55% of the investment securities portfolio was pledged as collateral to secure public deposits and borrowings, as applicable, and for liquidity or other purposes as required by regulation. Additional funding sources at December 31, 2022, consist of $195 million of available and unused Federal funds lines, available borrowing capacity at the FHLB of $607 million, and borrowing capacity in the brokered deposit market.
Management is committed to the Parent Company being a source of strength to the Bank and its other subsidiaries, and therefore, regularly evaluates capital and liquidity positions of the Parent Company in light of current and projected needs, growth or strategies. The Parent Company uses cash for normal expenses, debt service requirements and, when opportune, for common stock repurchases or investment in other strategic actions such as mergers or acquisitions. At December 31, 2022, the Parent Company had $64 million in cash. Additional cash sources available to the Parent Company include access to the public or private markets to issue new equity, subordinated notes or other debt. Dividends from the Bank and, to a lesser extent, stock option exercises, represent significant sources of cash flows for the Parent Company. The Bank is required by federal law to obtain prior approval of the OCC for payments of dividends if the total of all dividends declared by the Bank in any year will exceed certain thresholds, as more fully described in “Business—Regulation of the Bank – Payment of Dividends” and in Note 17, “Regulatory Capital Requirements,” in the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8. Management does not believe that regulatory restrictions on dividends from the Bank will adversely affect its ability to meet its cash obligations.
Interest Rate Sensitivity Management and Impact of Inflation
A reasonable balance between interest rate risk, credit risk, liquidity risk and maintenance of yield, is highly important to Nicolet’s business success and profitability. As an ongoing part of its financial strategy and risk management, Nicolet attempts to understand and manage the impact of fluctuations in market interest rates on its net interest income. The consolidated balance sheet consists mainly of interest-earning assets (loans, investments and cash) which are primarily funded by interest-bearing liabilities (deposits and other borrowings). Such financial instruments have varying levels of sensitivity to changes in market rates of interest. Market rates are highly sensitive to many factors beyond our control, including but not limited to general economic conditions and policies of governmental and regulatory authorities. Our operating income and net income depends, to a substantial extent, on “rate spread” (i.e., the difference between the income earned on loans, investments and other earning assets and the interest expense paid to obtain deposits and other funding liabilities).
Asset-liability management policies establish guidelines for acceptable limits on the sensitivity to changes in interest rates on earnings and market value of assets and liabilities. Such policies are set and monitored by management and the board of directors’ Asset and Liability Committee.
To understand and manage the impact of fluctuations in market interest rates on net interest income, Nicolet measures its overall interest rate sensitivity through a net interest income analysis, which calculates the change in net interest income in the event of hypothetical changes in interest rates under different scenarios versus a baseline scenario. Such scenarios can involve static balance sheets, balance sheets with projected growth, parallel (or non-parallel) yield curve slope changes, immediate or gradual changes in market interest rates, and one-year or longer time horizons. The simulation modeling uses assumptions involving market spreads, prepayments of rate-sensitive instruments, renewal rates on maturing or new loans, deposit retention rates, and other assumptions.
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Among other scenarios, Nicolet assessed the impact on net interest income in the event of a gradual +/-100 bps and +/-200 bps change in market rates (parallel to the change in prime rate) over a one-year time horizon to a static (flat) balance sheet. The results provided include the liquidity measures mentioned above and reflect the changed interest rate environment. The interest rate scenarios are used for analytical purposes only and do not necessarily represent management’s view of future market interest rate movements. Based on financial data at December 31, 2022 and 2021, the projected changes in net interest income over a one-year time horizon, versus the baseline, are presented in Table 14 below. The results were within Nicolet’s guidelines of not greater than -10% for +/- 100 bps and not greater than -15% for +/- 200 bps.
Table 14: Interest Rate Sensitivity
200 bps decrease in interest rates (0.7) % (0.3) %
100 bps decrease in interest rates (0.4) % (0.3) %
100 bps increase in interest rates — % (0.1) %
200 bps increase in interest rates 0.1 % (0.3) %
Actual results may differ from these simulated results due to timing, magnitude and frequency of interest rate changes, as well as changes in market conditions and their impact on customer behavior and management strategies.
The effect of inflation on a financial institution differs significantly from the effect on an industrial company. While a financial institution’s operating expenses, particularly salary and employee benefits, are affected by general inflation, the asset and liability structure of a financial institution consists largely of monetary items. Monetary items, such as cash, investments, loans, deposits and other borrowings, are those assets and liabilities which are or will be converted into a fixed number of dollars regardless of changes in prices. As a result, changes in interest rates have a more significant impact on a financial institution’s performance than does general inflation. Inflation may also have impacts on the Bank’s customers, on businesses and consumers and their ability or willingness to invest, save or spend, and perhaps on their ability to repay loans. As such, there would likely be impacts on the general appetite of banking products and the credit health of the Bank’s customer base.
Capital
Management regularly reviews the adequacy of its capital to ensure that sufficient capital is available for current and future needs and is in compliance with regulatory guidelines. The capital position and strategies are actively reviewed in light of perceived business risks associated with current and prospective earning levels, liquidity, asset quality, economic conditions in the markets served, and level of returns available to shareholders. Management intends to maintain an optimal capital and leverage mix for growth and for shareholder return.
Capital balances and changes in capital are presented in the Consolidated Statements of Changes in Stockholders’ Equity in Part II, Item 8. Further discussion of capital components is included in Note 12, “Stockholders’ Equity,” and a summary of dividend restrictions, as well as regulatory capital amounts and ratios for Nicolet and the Bank is presented in Note 17, “Regulatory Capital Requirements,” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements under Part II, Item 8.
The Company’s and the Bank’s regulatory capital ratios remain above minimum regulatory ratios, including the capital conservation buffer. At December 31, 2022, the Bank’s regulatory capital ratios qualify the Bank as well-capitalized under the prompt-corrective action framework. This strong base of capital has allowed Nicolet to be opportunistic in the current economic environment and in strategic growth. For a discussion of the regulatory restrictions applicable to the Company and the Bank, see section “Business-Regulation of Nicolet” and “Business-Regulation of the Bank,” included within Part I, Item 1. A summary of Nicolet’s and the Bank’s regulatory capital amounts and ratios, as well as selected capital metrics are presented in Table 15.
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Table 15: Capital
Company Stock Repurchases: *
Common stock repurchased during the year (dollars) $ 61,483 $ 61,464
Common stock repurchased during the year (shares) 671,662 793,064
Company Risk-Based Capital:
Total capital ratio 12.3 % 13.8 %
Tier 1 capital ratio 9.5 % 10.5 %
Common equity tier 1 capital ratio 9.0 % 9.9 %
Tier 1 leverage ratio 8.2 % 9.4 %
Bank Risk-Based Capital:
Total capital ratio 11.3 % 12.2 %
Common equity tier 1 capital ratio 10.6 % 11.6 %
Tier 1 leverage ratio 9.1 % 10.3 %
In managing capital for optimal return, we evaluate capital sources and uses, pricing and availability of our stock in the market, and alternative uses of capital (such as the level of organic growth or acquisition opportunities) in light of strategic plans. Through an ongoing repurchase program, the Board has authorized the repurchase of Nicolet’s common stock as an alternative use of capital. At December 31, 2022, there remained $48 million authorized under this repurchase program, as modified, to be utilized from time to time to repurchase shares in the open market, through block transactions or in private transactions.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements, Lending-Related Commitments and Contractual Obligations
Nicolet is party to financial instruments with off-balance sheet risk in the normal course of business to meet the financing needs of its customers. Commitments to extend credit are agreements to lend to a customer as long as there is no violation of any condition established in the contract. At December 31, 2022, interest rate lock commitments to originate residential mortgage loans held for sale of $9 million (included in the commitments to extend credit) and forward commitments to sell residential mortgage loans held for sale of $9 million are considered derivative instruments. Further information and discussion of these commitments is included in Note 14, “Commitments and Contingencies” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
The table below outlines the principal amounts and timing of Nicolet’s contractual obligations. The amounts presented below exclude amounts due for interest, if applicable, and include any unamortized premiums / discounts or other similar carrying value adjustments. As of December 31, 2022, Nicolet had the following contractual obligations. Further discussion of the nature of each obligation is included in the referenced note of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
Table 16: Contractual Obligations
(in thousands) Note Maturity by Years
Reference Total 1 or less 1-3 3-5 Over 5
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) requires management to make estimates, assumptions or judgments that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. These estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience, current information, and other factors deemed to be relevant; accordingly, as this information changes, actual results could differ from those estimates. Nicolet considers accounting estimates to be critical to reported financial results if the accounting estimate requires management to make assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and different estimates that management reasonably could have used for the accounting estimate in the current period, or changes in the accounting estimate that are reasonably likely to occur from period to period, could
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have a material impact on the financial statements. The accounting estimates we consider to be critical include business combinations and the valuation of loans acquired, the determination of the allowance for credit losses, and income taxes. In addition to the discussion that follows, the accounting policies related to these critical estimates are included in Note 1, “Nature of Business and Significant Accounting Policies,” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, under Part II, Item 8.
Business Combinations and Valuation of Loans Acquired in Business Combinations