lucd20251231_10k.htm
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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
FORM 10-K
(Mark One)
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025
OR
For the transition period from _____ to _____
Commission File Number: 001-40901
LUCID DIAGNOSTICS INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
(State or Other Jurisdiction of (IRS Employer
Incorporation or Organization) Identification No.)
360 Madison Avenue
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)
(917) 813-1828
(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act:
Title of each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each Exchange on which Registered
Common Stock, $0.001 par value per share LUCD The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC
Securities registered under Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act:
None.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes ☐ No ☒
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Exchange Act. Yes ☐ No ☒
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer”, “accelerated filer”, “smaller reporting company” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large Accelerated filer ☐ Accelerated filed ☐
Non-accelerated filer ☒ Smaller reporting company ☒
Emerging growth company ☒
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to section 13(c) of the Exchange Act ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C.7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☐
If securities are registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act, indicate by check mark whether the financial statements of the registrant included in the filing reflect the correction of an error to previously issued financial statements. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether any of those error corrections are restatements that required a recovery analysis of incentive-based compensation received by any of the registrant’s executive officers during the relevant recovery period pursuant to §240.10D-1(b). ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes ☐ No ☒
As of June 30, 2025, the last business day of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter, the aggregate market value of the registrant’s voting stock held by non-affiliates was approximately $82.7 million, based on 71,924,344 shares of common stock held by non-affiliates and a last reported sales price per share of the registrant’s common stock of $1.15 on such date.
As of December 31, 2025 and March 23, 2026 there were 137,683,002 and 176,945,972, respectively, shares of the registrant’s Common Stock, par value $0.001 per share, issued and outstanding (with such number of shares inclusive of shares of common stock underlying unvested restricted stock awards granted under the Lucid Diagnostics Inc. 2018 Long-Term Incentive Equity Plan as of such date).
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrant’s definitive proxy statement for its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Form 10-K where indicated. Such definitive proxy statement will be filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission within 120 days after the year ended December 31, 2025.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART I
Item 1. Business 1
Item 1A. Risk Factors 18
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments 53
Item 1C. Cybersecurity 53
Item 2. Property 54
Item 3. Legal Proceedings 54
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures 54
PART II
Item 6. [Reserved] 56
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk 69
Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data 69
Item 9A. Controls and Procedures 70
Item 9B. Other Information 71
Item 9C. Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections 71
PART III
Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers, and Corporate Governance 72
Item 11. Executive Compensation 72
Item 14. Principal Accountant Fees and Services 72
PART IV
Item 15. Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules 73
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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This Annual Report on Form 10-K (this “Form 10-K”), including the discussion and analysis of our consolidated financial condition and results of operations set forth under Item 7 of this Form 10-K, contains forward-looking statements that involve substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, contained in this Form 10-K, including statements regarding our future results of operations and financial position, business strategy and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. The words “may,” “will,” “should,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “could,” “intends,” “target,” “projects,” “contemplates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential” or “continue” or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and the Company’s actual results may differ significantly from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Item 1A of Part I of the Form 10-K under the heading “Risk Factors.”
Important factors that may affect our actual results include:
● our limited operating history;
● our financial performance, including our ability to generate revenue;
● the ability of our products to achieve market acceptance;
● our potential ability to obtain additional financing when and if needed;
● our ability to protect our intellectual property;
● our ability to complete strategic acquisitions;
● our ability to manage growth and integrate acquired operations;
● the potential liquidity and trading of our securities;
● our regulatory and operational risks;
● cybersecurity risks;
● risks related to health-related emergencies;
● risks related to our relationship with PAVmed; and
In addition, our forward-looking statements do not reflect the potential impact of any future financings, acquisitions, mergers, dispositions, joint ventures or investments we may make.
We may not actually achieve the results, plans and/or objectives disclosed in our forward-looking statements, and the intended or expected developments and/or other events disclosed in our forward-looking statements may not actually occur, and accordingly you should not place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. You should read this Annual Report on Form 10-K and the documents we have filed as exhibits to this Form 10-K completely and with the understanding our actual future results may be materially different from what we expect. We do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
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Part I
Item 1. Business
Unless the context otherwise requires, “we”, “us”, and “our”, the “Company”, “Lucid” and “Lucid Diagnostics” refer to Lucid Diagnostics Inc. and its subsidiaries LucidDx Labs Inc. (“LucidDx Labs”) and CapNostics, LLC (“CapNostics”).
Background and Overview
Lucid Diagnostics is a commercial-stage cancer prevention medical diagnostics technology company. Lucid is focused on the millions of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (“GERD”), also known as chronic heartburn, who are at risk of developing esophageal precancer and cancer, specifically highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma (“EAC”).
We believe that our flagship product, the EsoGuard Esophageal DNA Test, performed on samples collected with the EsoCheck Esophageal Cell Collection Device, constitutes the first and only commercially available diagnostic test capable of serving as a widespread testing tool with the goal of preventing EAC deaths, through early detection of esophageal precancer in at-risk GERD patients.
EsoGuard is a bisulfite-converted targeted next-generation sequencing ("NGS") DNA assay performed on surface esophageal cells collected with the FDA 510(k)-cleared EsoCheck device. It quantifies methylation at 31 sites on two genes, Vimentin ("VIM") and Cyclin A1 ("CCNA1"). Analytical validation tests of EsoGuard demonstrated approximately 97% analytical sensitivity, 95% analytical specificity, 98% analytical accuracy, and 100% inter-assay and intra-assay precision. Performance characteristics of the EsoGuard test have been evaluated in two case-control studies and two prospective, single-arm cohort studies. Both cohort studies were designed as “screening” studies, enrolling patients from the intended-use population. In these screening settings, EsoGuard demonstrated a positive predictive value ("PPV") of 30–33% and a negative predictive value ("NPV") of 99% for the detection of Barrett’s esophagus (“BE”) and EAC.
EsoCheck is an FDA 510(k) cleared and CE Mark certified noninvasive swallowable balloon capsule catheter device designed for in-office targeted sampling of surface esophageal cells in a less than two minute long office procedure. It consists of a vitamin sized semi-rigid plastic capsule tethered to a thin silicone catheter from which a soft inflatable silicone balloon with textured ridges emerges to gently swab surface esophageal cells. When suction is applied, the balloon and sampled cells are pulled into the capsule, protecting them from contamination and dilution by cells outside of the targeted region during device withdrawal. We believe this proprietary Collect+ProtectTM technology makes EsoCheck the only noninvasive esophageal cell collection device capable of such anatomically targeted and protected sampling.
EsoGuard and EsoCheck are based on patented technology licensed by Lucid from Case Western Reserve University (“CWRU”). EsoGuard and EsoCheck have been developed to provide accurate, non-invasive, patient-friendly testing for the early detection of EAC and BE, including dysplastic BE and related pre-cursors to EAC in patients with chronic GERD.
Market Opportunity
In 2025, approximately 22,000 U.S. GERD patients were diagnosed with EAC and approximately 16,250 will have died from the disease. Over 80% of EAC patients will die within five years of diagnosis, making it the second most lethal cancer in the U.S. The U.S. incidence of EAC has increased 500% over the past four decades, while the incidences of other common cancers have declined or remained flat. In nearly all cases, EAC silently progresses until it manifests itself with new symptoms of advanced disease. EAC is nearly always invasive at diagnosis, and, unlike other common cancers, mortality rates are high even in its earlier stages.
Based on current guidelines published by the American Gastroenterology Association (“AGA”), we believe the cohort recommended for screening consists of an estimated 30 million U.S. individuals with at least 3 established risk factors for BE. Accordingly, we believe EsoGuard’s total addressable U.S. market opportunity approximates $60 billion based on an effective Medicare payment of $1,938 and the estimated 30 million U.S. patients recommended for screening by clinical practice guidelines.
Unfortunately, for a variety of reasons, less than 5% of at-risk patients who are recommended for screening undergo traditional invasive upper gastrointestinal endoscopy ("EGD"). We believe that the profound tragedy of an EAC diagnosis is that likely death could have been prevented if the at-risk patient had been screened and then undergone surveillance and curative endoscopic esophageal ablation of dysplastic BE.
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Since mortality rates are high even in early stage EAC, preventing EAC deaths requires detection and intervention at the precancer stage. Most of the necessary elements for such an early detection program are already well established—an at-risk population (at-risk GERD patients), a precancer (BE), and an intervention which can halt progression to EAC (endoscopic esophageal ablation). Until recently, the only missing element for such an early detection program is a widespread screening tool that can detect BE prior to EAC.
We believe EsoGuard, used with EsoCheck, constitutes that missing element—the first and only commercially available diagnostic test capable of serving as a widespread testing tool with the goal of preventing EAC deaths through early detection of esophageal precancer and cancer in patients with 3 or more risk factors.
Clinical Guidelines for At-Risk Population
The subgroup of long-standing or severe GERD patients at-risk for BE and progression to EAC is well defined in clinical practice guidelines, including the American College of Gastroenterology (“ACG”) BE Guidelines. In its Recommendation 5, the ACG suggests a single screening endoscopy in patients with chronic GERD symptoms and 3 or more additional risk factors for BE, including male sex, age greater than 50 years, White race, tobacco smoking, obesity, and family history of BE or EAC in a first-degree relative.
An ACG clinical guideline entitled “Diagnosis and Management of Barrett’s Esophagus: An Updated ACG Guideline,” the first such update since 2016, was published online in April 2022 in the American Journal of Gastroenterology. The clinical guideline reiterates the ACG’s long-standing recommendation for esophageal precancer screening in at-risk patients with GERD. For the first time, however, the clinical guideline also endorses non-endoscopic biomarker screening as an acceptable alternative to costly and invasive endoscopy stating that “a swallowable non-endoscopic capsule device combined with a biomarker is an acceptable alternative to endoscopy for BE.” The clinical guideline specifically mentions EsoCheck as such a swallowable, non-endoscopic esophageal cell collection device, as well as methylated DNA biomarkers such as EsoGuard. The summary of evidence for this recommendation includes a reference to the seminal NIH-funded, multicenter, case-control study published in 2018 in Science Translational Medicine, which demonstrated that EsoGuard is highly accurate at detecting esophageal precancer and cancer, including on samples collected with EsoCheck.
In July 2022, the AGA published in their “Clinical Practice Update on New Technology and Innovation for Surveillance and Screening in Barrett’s Esophagus” updated clinical guidance that mirrors the same furnished by the ACG as described above, endorsing the use of non-endoscopic cell collection tools to screen for BE like our EsoCheck Cell Collection Device, which is cited in the update, as an acceptable alternative to endoscopy to directly address the need for noninvasive screening tools that are easy to administer, patient friendly, and cost-effective for the detection of BE. The clinical practice update by the AGA also significantly expands the target population for esophageal precancer screening, including for EsoGuard and EsoCheck, by recommending, for the first time, screening in at-risk patients without symptoms of GERD. The AGA does so by adding a history of chronic GERD as merely an additional, seventh risk factor to the six risk factors for BE and EAC that have traditionally identified at-risk symptomatic patients recommended for screening.
In March 2025, we announced that a recent update to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network® ("NCCN") Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology ("NCCN Guidelines®") focused on Esophageal and Esophagogastric Junction Cancers (Version 1.2025) has added a new section on BE screening. The NCCN Guidelines® now reference professional society guidelines on BE screening, including the most recent ACG clinical guideline discussed above, which recommends non-endoscopic biomarker testing, such as EsoGuard performed on samples collected with EsoCheck, as an acceptable alternative to invasive upper endoscopy to detect esophageal precancer.
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Commercialization
Our EsoGuard commercialization efforts span multiple channels including targeting primary care and GI physicians, who have generally embraced our message that EsoGuard has the potential to expand the funnel of BE-EAC patients who will need long term EGD surveillance and, potentially, treatment with endoscopic esophageal ablation.
To assure sufficient testing capacity and geographic coverage, we have undertaken multiple ways for patients have access to our test. Initially, we built a limited network of our own physical Lucid Test Centers in key metropolitan areas, staffed by Lucid-employed clinical personnel, where patients can undergo the EsoCheck procedure and have the sample sent for EsoGuard testing at our CLIA-certified laboratory.
In addition to our own test center locations, we have broadened patient access to our test by establishing a satellite test center program, whereby we are making our personnel available to perform cell collection services inside physician offices or in certain geographies, closely nearby physician offices by way of our Lucid Mobile Testing Unit.
We also regularly conduct testing events in addition to our satellite test center programs and Lucid Test Centers. We conduct #CheckYourFoodTube Precancer Testing Events with fire departments throughout the country. These events are ongoing and are an extension of Lucid’s satellite test center program, which brings our precancer testing directly to patients. We also have a direct contracting strategic initiative to engage directly with large Administrative Services Only (“ASO”) self-insured employers, unions and other entities, seeking to replicate the successes of other cancer screening diagnostic companies that have deployed similar strategies. Other commercial channels include our cash-pay program targeting concierge medicine, arrangements with health systems for comprehensive, integrated esophageal precancer testing programs, and an EsoGuard Telemedicine Program, in partnership with UpScript, LLC, an independent third-party telemedicine provider, that accommodates EsoGuard self-referrals from direct-to-consumer marketing.
Reimbursement and Market Access
In December 2019, we secured “gapfill” determination for EsoGuard’s PLA code 0114U through the CMS CLFS process. This allowed us to engage directly with Medicare contractor Palmetto GBA and its MolDx Program on CMS payment and coverage. In October 2020, CMS granted EsoGuard final Medicare payment determination of $1,938.01, effective January 1, 2021.
A final Local Coverage Determination (“LCD”) L39256, entitled “Molecular Testing for Detection of Upper Gastrointestinal Metaplasia, Dysplasia, and Neoplasia” became effective in May 2023 on the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) website by MAC Palmetto GBA. (A substantially identical LCD was published by Noridian Healthcare Solutions, the MAC whose geographic jurisdiction covers our CLIA laboratory in Lake Forest, CA.) The LCD outlines criteria for future coverage that MolDX expects upper gastrointestinal precancer and cancer molecular diagnostic tests to meet. These criteria include active GERD with at least three risk factors, as well as evidence of analytic validity, clinical validity, and clinical utility. Although the LCD indicated that it found that no currently existing test has fulfilled all these criteria, it indicated that it will “monitor the evidence and may revise this determination based on the pertinent literature and society recommendations.” In November 2024, we submitted to MolDx our complete clinical evidence package in support of a request for reconsideration of the non-coverage language in the LCD to secure Medicare coverage for EsoGuard. The package was submitted as part of a request for reconsideration of the non-coverage language in the LCD to secure Medicare coverage for EsoGuard.
As part of the LCD reconsideration process, MolDx-participating Medicare Administrative Contractors convened a Contractor Advisory Committee ("CAC") Meeting regarding the LCD on September 4, 2025. At the meeting, eleven experts, including physicians across multiple specialties (GI, primary care, pathology), major society guideline co-authors (ACG, AGA) and industry leaders (American Foregut Society, American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy), participated in this extensive discussion of the unmet clinical need with respect to early detection of esophageal precancer and the strength of the EsoGuard clinical validity and clinical utility data.
In parallel with our request for reconsideration of the LCD, we are aggressively pursuing EsoGuard commercial insurer coverage and payment. Although the claim adjudication cycle can be prolonged during the early commercialization of a new test, we have received and are continuing to receive out-of-network commercial insurance payments for the EsoGuard test, which accounts for the vast majority of our revenue to date.
Additionally, the legislatures in a number of states have passed laws mandating coverage of comprehensive biomarker testing over the past several years. We are reviewing how to leverage legislation in those states to expand access to and reimbursement of EsoGuard.
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Clinical Utility and Clinical Trials
Demonstrating EsoGuard’s clinical utility, which requires providing evidence that the test has a meaningful impact on clinical practice, is very important for a variety of purposes, including, importantly, for Medicare and private payor payment and coverage. It has been established that one of the most important factors to private payors in deciding whether to grant payment and coverage will be demonstration that the EsoGuard test, when ordered by physicians, provides information that can be used to identify or exclude patients who would benefit from additional management and/or treatment. Clinical utility studies are also important for general EsoGuard commercialization by facilitating physician understanding of test indications and potential benefit to the patients.
We continue to expand the EsoGuard and EsoCheck evidence portfolio with ongoing emphasis on demonstration of clinical utility to support medical policy and payer coverage. These efforts include a large, nearly 12,000 patient real-world experience of EsoCheck and EsoGuard from 18 months of commercial data that is under journal review and expected to be published within the first half of the year. Additionally, data accrual from the PREVENT and PREVENT-FF registries remains ongoing and has been expanded to collect additional longitudinal follow-up data. Both registries capture information on the diagnostic and/or therapeutic journey of subjects following EsoGuard testing, including provider decision impact, patient compliance, and clinical outcomes data for the Lucid evidence portfolio.
Data suggests that up to 40% of patients who develop EAC have no history of chronic reflux and would otherwise have failed to meet the BE screening criteria outlined by the ACG. A pilot study published in August of 2025 by investigators from University Hospitals at Case Western Reserve University evaluated EsoGuard for BE screening in patients with three or more traditional BE/EAC risk factors who lacked a history of GERD or acid-suppressive medication use. Findings suggested a BE prevalence of over 8% in this asymptomatic at-risk population; EsoGuard demonstrated a PPV of 33% and NPV of 100%.
Two investigator-initiated studies are currently enrolling to expand upon these findings. The first is a multi-center trial funded by a National Institutes of Health ("NIH") R01 grant with a target enrollment of 800 participants. The second is a single-center Veterans Affairs ("VA") study funded by the United States Department of Defense (DOD), targeting enrollment of 400 participants. Both studies are designed to further characterize the clinical performance and utility of EsoGuard in this broader at-risk screening population. Positive results from these trials would provide meaningful evidence to support potential expansion of the test’s intended-use population among both healthcare providers and payers.
Manufacturing
EsoCheck is currently manufactured for us by our partners Coastline International (“Coastline”), a high-volume device manufacturer, and Sage Product Development. Our current line at Coastline can produce up to 25,000 units per year. With Coastline’s improvement and expansion, there is capacity to scale exponentially. Diagnostics Support Services manages warehousing, logistics, fulfillment and customer support of our products.
License Agreement
Under the terms of our license agreement with CWRU (as amended to date, the “Amended CWRU License Agreement”), we acquired an exclusive worldwide right to use the intellectual property rights to the EsoGuard and EsoCheck technology for the detection of changes in the esophagus and on sample preservation. We are required to pay CWRU royalties on net sales of licensed products as follows: 5% of net sales of less than $100 million per year; and 8% of net sales greater than $100 million per year. We are also required to pay CWRU minimum annual royalty payments as follows: $50,000 per year, beginning January 1 following the first anniversary of a commercial sale of a licensed product; $150,000 per year, if net sales of a licensed product exceed $25 million in a year; $300,000 per year, if net sales of a licensed product exceed $50 million in a year; and $600,000 per year, if net sales of a licensed product exceed $100 million in a year. Minimum yearly royalty amounts are subject to increase based on the percentage change in the CPI-W Consumer Price Index and are credited against the royalties otherwise due. The license agreement was subject to four regulatory and commercialization milestones, of which one remains unachieved and unpaid. The remaining milestone is the FDA PMA submission of a licensed product, upon the achievement of which we will pay CWRU a milestone payment of $200,000. The license agreement terminates upon the expiration of the last-to-expire licensed patent, or on May 12, 2038, in countries where no such patents exist, or upon expiration of any exclusive marketing rights for a licensed product that have been granted by FDA or other U.S. government agency, whichever comes later.
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Regulatory
In June 2019, we received FDA 510(k) clearance to market EsoCheck in the U.S. as a device indicated for use in the collection and retrieval of surface cells of the esophagus in adults followed by FDA 510(k) clearance in 2022, expanding the use of EsoCheck in adults and pediatric populations in the U.S. In December 2019, our CLIA-certified then-laboratory partner, completed documentation of EsoGuard analytical validity allowing us to commercialize it as a LDT.
In February 2020, we received FDA “Breakthrough Device Designation” for EsoGuard as an in-vitro diagnostic (“IVD”) medical device. The FDA Breakthrough Device Program was created to offer patients more timely access to breakthrough technologies which provide for more effective treatment or diagnosis of life-threatening or irreversibly debilitating human disease or conditions by expediting their development, assessment and review through enhanced communications and more efficient and flexible clinical study design, including more favorable pre/post market data collection balance.
In May 2021, we received CE Mark certification for EsoCheck (under the Medical Devices Directive 93/42/EEC), and in June 2021, we completed CE Mark self-certification for EsoGuard (under the European In-Vitro Diagnostic Devices Directive (IVDD 98/79/EC)), indicating both may be marketed in CE Mark European countries.
In October 2023, FDA proposed a rule to phase out its general enforcement discretion approach for LDTs so that IVDs manufactured by a laboratory would generally fall under the same enforcement approach as other IVDs. On May 6, 2024, the FDA issued a final rule amending the FDA’s regulations to make explicit that IVDs are devices under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act ("FD&C Act") including when the manufacturer of the IVD is a laboratory. Along with this amendment, the FDA finalized a policy under which the FDA will provide greater oversight of IVDs offered as LDTs through a phaseout of its general enforcement discretion approach for LDTs over the course of four years, as well as targeted enforcement discretion policies for certain categories of IVDs manufactured by laboratories. However, On March 31, 2025, the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas vacated the FDA’s May 6, 2024, LDT final rule holding that the agency exceeded its statutory authority in trying to regulate LDTs as medical devices and remanding the matter to HHS for further consideration. Subsequently, on September 19, 2025, the FDA issued a final rule officially rescinding the 2024 LDT regulation and reverted the definition of in vitro diagnostic products to its pre-2024 language after declining to appeal the court’s decision.
EsoGuard continues to be marketed in the U.S. as a LDT performed in CLIA-certified, CAP-accredited laboratories, approved under State of New York’s clinical laboratory regulations .
Our longer-term strategy is to secure a specific indication, based on published guidelines, for BE testing in certain at-risk populations using EsoGuard on samples collected with EsoCheck. This use of EsoGuard together with EsoCheck as a testing system must be cleared or approved by the FDA as an IVD device.
Laboratory Operations
LucidDx Labs operates its own CLIA-certified, CAP-accredited clinical laboratory located in Lake Forest, CA.
In November 2023, LucidDx Labs launched EsoGuard 2.0, which uses multiplexing thereby allowing both genes to be interrogated on a single DNA sample. The next-generation assay underwent rigorous analytical and clinical validation studies, including head-to-head comparisons of multiplexed triplicate consensus versus singleplex techniques, consistent with CLIA standards. Clinical validation analysis demonstrated improved sensitivity and specificity for the detection of esophageal precancer, having demonstrated enhanced assay performance and lower costs in extensive validation studies.
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Competition
The U.S. market for EAC and pre-cancer (i.e., BE, with or without dysplasia) testing is large, consisting of more than 30 million at-risk individuals over the age of 50. Given the large market for pre-cancer testing, we likely will face numerous competitors, some of which possess significantly greater financial and other resources and development capabilities than us. Our EsoGuard test faces competition from procedure-based detection technologies such as upper endoscopy, and other testing technologies such as assays that incorporate biomarket multi-cancer early detection products. Our EsoCheck device faces competition from other manufacturers with devices designed to collect cell samples from targeted regions of the esophagus. For example, EndoSign, commercialized by Cyted, and much like Cytosponge, is a small mesh sponge within a soluble gelatin capsule that needs to reside in the stomach for some time until it fully dissolves and then is pulled thru the targeted region brushing the lining of the esophagus and then later retrieved, although, unlike EsoCheck, it is unprotected from sample contamination as the brush later passes regions of the upper esophagus and mouth. Our competitors may also be developing additional methods of detecting esophageal cancer and pre-cancer that have not yet been announced.
We will also compete in the marketplace to recruit and retain qualified scientific, management and sales personnel, as well as in acquiring technologies and licenses complementary to our products or advantageous to our business. We are aware of several companies that compete or are developing technologies in our current and future products areas. In order to compete effectively, our products will have to achieve market acceptance, receive adequate insurance coverage and reimbursement, be cost effective and be simultaneously safe and effective.
Our Relationship with PAVmed
PAVmed beneficially owns approximately 27.5% as of December 31, 2025 and 27.1% as of March 23, 2026 of our outstanding common stock (with such percentage inclusive of shares of our common stock underlying granted but unvested restricted stock awards and shares over which PAVmed otherwise has been granted voting control by the holder thereof). Moreover, we continue to depend on PAVmed to provide us various management, technical, research and development, legal, accounting, and administrative services.
PAVmed’s percentage of the voting power may decrease when dividends are paid on our convertible securities and to the extent our convertible securities are converted into shares of our common stock. Even though PAVmed’s ownership has fallen below 50%, it remains our largest shareholder based on voting power, and accordingly PAVmed retains substantial influence on the election of all the members of our board of directors and any other matters submitted to a vote of our stockholders. PAVmed’s substantial voting interest may discourage a change of control that other holders of our common stock may favor.
We are party to a management services agreement with PAVmed (the “MSA”), as well as a payroll benefits and expense reimbursement agreement (the “PBERA”). Under the MSA, PAVmed provides management, technical and administrative services to us, including without limitation services related to research and development, regulatory clearance, manufacture, and commercialization of our products, as well as services related to corporate financial, accounting and legal matters. The terms of this agreement are intended to be consistent with the terms that we could have negotiated with unaffiliated third parties; however, they may actually be more or less favorable. Under the PBERA, PAVmed has agreed to pay certain payroll and benefit-related expenses in respect of our personnel on our behalf, and we reimburse PAVmed for the same. PAVmed may elect that our obligations under each of the MSA and the PBERA are settled by the issuance of our stock (instead of cash), subject to applicable restrictions under securities laws (and, in the case of the PBERA, subject also to approval by our board). The MSA does not have a termination date, but may be terminated by our board of directors at any time. The PBERA likewise does not have a termination date, but may be terminated by PAVmed or Lucid at any time.
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Recent Events
Medicare Coverage
In November 2024, we submitted to MolDx our complete clinical evidence package in support of a request for reconsideration of the non-coverage language in the LCD to secure Medicare coverage for EsoGuard. The EsoGuard clinical evidence package included six new peer-reviewed publications: three clinical validation studies (two in the intended use population, one case control), two clinical utility studies, and one analytical validation study. The current LCD provides clear coverage criteria consistent with the ACG guidelines for esophageal precancer testing. The package was submitted as part of a request for reconsideration of the non-coverage language in the LCD to secure Medicare coverage for EsoGuard.
As part of the LCD reconsideration process, MolDx-participating Medicare Administrative Contractors convened a CAC Meeting regarding the LCD on September 4, 2025. At the meeting, eleven experts, including physicians across multiple specialties (GI, primary care, pathology), major society guideline co-authors (ACG, AGA) and industry leaders (American Foregut Society, American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy), participated in this extensive discussion of the unmet clinical need with respect to early detection of esophageal precancer and the strength of the EsoGuard clinical validity and clinical utility data.
Department of Veteran Affairs
In January 2026, the Company announced that it has been awarded a contract by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs for EsoGuard, expanding access to esophageal precancer testing across the nation's largest integrated healthcare system, which serves more than nine million enrolled veterans annually. The contract is issued under the VA Federal Supply Schedule and includes pre-negotiated pricing for EsoGuard that matches the established Medicare payment rate determined by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), enabling VA hospitals and healthcare facilities nationwide to access EsoGuard through a single, national VA procurement framework.
Real-World Experience Data
In December 2025, the Company announced results from an 18-month real-world experience evaluating the EsoGuard and EsoCheck in approximately 12,000 patients. The analysis demonstrated high technical success rates, rapid procedure times, and appropriate physician utilization in routine clinical practice, consistent with previously reported clinical studies. The data are currently under peer review for publication.
Board Appointment
Effective September 22, 2025, the board of directors of the Company appointed John R. Palumbo as a Class B director of the Company. Mr. Palumbo was designated for appointment by certain of the holders of 2024 Convertible Notes.
Clinical Study Publications
In September 2025, a case series published in Gastroenterology & Hepatology highlighted four real-world cases in which EsoGuard facilitated the timely detection of either high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or intramucosal carcinoma (IMC; T1a esophageal adenocarcinoma). In all four cases, the patients had no prior history of EGD, including one individual who had previously declined multiple EGD referrals. Following positive in-office EsoGuard results, each patient proceeded with endoscopic evaluation, which led to successful identification and eradication of disease in all cases. This case series underscores both the clinical utility of EsoGuard in detecting early-stage neoplasia and the ease with which the test can be integrated into standard office workflows to enhance screening uptake and early disease detection.
Russell 2000® and 3000® Indexes
On June 27, 2025, the Company was added to the Russell 2000® Index and the Russell 3000® Index, following the 2025 annual reconstitution by FTSE Russell.
Hoag Comprehensive Esophageal Precancer Testing Program Using EsoGuard
On June 18, 2025, the Company announced that Hoag, a nationally recognized regional healthcare delivery network, launched a comprehensive, integrated esophageal precancer testing program using the Company’s EsoGuard® Esophageal DNA Test. The Company will partner with Hoag to offer EsoGuard testing across its digestive health, primary care, and concierge medicine programs.
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NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines Update
In March 2025, we announced that a recent update to the NCCN Guidelines® focused on Esophageal and Esophagogastric Junction Cancers (Version 1.2025) has added a new section on BE screening. The NCCN Guidelines® now reference professional society guidelines on BE screening, including the most recent ACG clinical guideline discussed above, which recommends non-endoscopic biomarker testing, such as EsoGuard performed on samples collected with EsoCheck, as an acceptable alternative to invasive upper endoscopy to detect esophageal precancer.
Highmark Reimbursement Approval
On March 13, 2025, the Company announced that Highmark Blue Cross Blue Shield, an independent licensee of the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association, has issued a positive coverage policy for non-invasive screening of esophageal precancer and cancer in New York state. The new policy, which became effective as of May 26, 2025, covers EsoGuard in patients who meet established criteria for esophageal precancer testing consistent with professional society guidelines.
Financing
September 2025 Confidentially Marketed Public Offering
On September 11, 2025, the Company closed on the sale of 28,750,000 shares of its common stock at a price of $1.00 per share (the “September 2025 Offering”). The net proceeds of the September 2025 Offering, after deducting the estimated placement agent’s fees and other expenses of $1.8 million, was approximately $27.0 million. The Company intends to use the net proceeds from the September 2025 Offering for working capital and other general corporate purposes.
ATM Facility
On May 30, 2025, the Company entered into an “at-the-market offering” (“ATM”) for up to $25.0 million of its common stock that may be offered and sold under a Controlled Equity Offering Agreement between the Company and Maxim Group LLC. Subsequent to December 31, 2025, as of March 23, 2026, the Company sold 4,161,747 shares through its at-the-market equity facility for net proceeds of approximately $5.3 million, after payment of 3% commissions.
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Intellectual Property
Our business will depend on proprietary medical device and diagnostic technologies, including the EsoCheck and EsoGuard technology licensed by us. We intend to vigorously protect our proprietary technologies’ intellectual property rights in patents, trademarks and copyrights, as available through registration in the United States and internationally. Patent protection and other proprietary rights are thus essential to our business. Each of our technologies is protected by multiple patent families. For select technologies shown below, patents have been granted with protection extending to at least the date shown below (although currently pending patent applications, both foreign and domestic, provide protection beyond such date in each instance).
Technology Year
The EsoCheck and EsoGuard technology is protected by patents in the United States and internationally, and our policy is to continue to aggressively file patent applications, both independently and in collaboration with CWRU, as appropriate, to protect this technology and other of our proprietary technologies relating to our business, including inventions and improvements to inventions. Under the CWRU License Agreement, CWRU has agreed to apply for patent coverage, at our expense, in any country requested by us, to the extent such protection is reasonably attainable. We seek patent protection, as appropriate, on:
● the product itself including all embodiments with future commercial potential;
● the methods of using the product; and
● the methods of manufacturing the product.
In addition to filing and prosecuting patent applications in the United States, we intend to file counterpart patent applications in other countries where there is a value in doing so. Foreign filings can be cumbersome and expensive, and we will pursue such filings when we believe they are warranted as we try to balance our international commercialization plans with our desire to protect the global value of the technology.
The term of individual patents depends upon the legal term of the patents in the countries in which they are obtained. In most countries in which we file, the patent term is 20 years from the earliest date of filing a non-provisional patent application. In the United States, a patent’s term may be shortened if a patent is terminally disclaimed over another patent or as a result of delays in patent prosecution by the patentee, and a patent’s term may be lengthened by patent term adjustment, which compensates a patentee for administrative delays by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (“USPTO”) in granting a patent, or patent term extension, which restores time lost due to regulatory delays.
We intend to continuously reassess and fine-tune our intellectual property strategy in order to fortify the position of our business in the United States and internationally. Prior to acquiring or licensing a technology from a third party, we will evaluate the existing proprietary rights, our ability to adequately obtain and protect these rights and the likelihood or possibility of infringement upon competing rights of others.
We also rely upon trade secrets, know-how, and continuing technological innovation, and may rely upon licensing opportunities, to develop and maintain our competitive position. We protect our proprietary rights through a variety of methods, including confidentiality agreements and/or proprietary information agreements with suppliers, employees, consultants, independent contractors and other entities who may have access to proprietary information. We will generally require employees to assign patents and other intellectual property to us as a condition of employment with us. All of our consulting agreements assign to us all new and improved intellectual property that arise during the term of the agreement.
Lucid also has proprietary rights to a range of trademarks, including, among others, Lucid DiagnosticsTM, LUCIDTM, EsoCheck®, EsoGuard®, Collect + Protect®, and EsoCheck Cell Collection Device®. (Solely as a matter of convenience, trademarks and trade names referred to herein may or may not be accompanied with the requisite marks of “TM” or “®”. However, the absence of such marks is not intended to indicate, in any way, Lucid or its subsidiaries will not assert, to the fullest extent possible under applicable law, their respective rights to such trademarks and trade names.)
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Health Insurance Coverage and Reimbursement
Our ability to successfully commercialize our products will depend in part on the extent to which governmental authorities, private health insurers and other third-party payors provide coverage for and establish adequate reimbursement levels for the procedures during which our products are used.
In the United States, third-party payors continue to implement initiatives that restrict the use of certain technologies to those that meet certain clinical evidentiary requirements. In addition to uncertainties surrounding coverage policies, there are periodic changes to reimbursement. Third-party payors regularly update reimbursement amounts and also from time to time revise the methodologies used to determine reimbursement amounts. This includes annual updates to payments to physicians, hospitals and ambulatory surgery centers for procedures during which our products are used. An example of payment updates is the Medicare program’s updates to hospital and physician payments, which are done on an annual basis using a prescribed statutory formula. In the past, when the application of the formula resulted in lower payment, Congress has passed interim legislation to prevent the reductions.
See “Reimbursement and Market Access” above for a fuller discussion of the reimbursement status for EsoCheck and EsoGuard.
Government Regulation
Key U.S. Regulation
FDA Regulation
For the purposes of FDA regulation a “medical device” is broadly defined in section 201(h) of the FD&C Act as “an instrument, apparatus, implement, machine, contrivance, implant, in-vitro reagent, or other similar or related article, which is intended for use in humans for the diagnosis of disease or other conditions, or in the cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease, or intended to affect the structure or any function of the body, and which does not achieve its primary intended purposes through chemical action and which is not dependent upon being metabolized for the achievement of its primary intended purposes.” Medical devices subject to FDA regulation include “in-vitro diagnostic medical devices” or IVD devices, defined in the same FD&C Act section as “reagents, instruments, and systems intended for use in the diagnosis of disease or other conditions, including a determination of the state of health, in order to cure, mitigate, treat, or prevent disease or its sequelae, which are intended for use in the collection, preparation, and examination of specimens taken from the human body”.
Our marketing of any medical device product we may develop, license, or acquire, including traditional medical devices such as EsoCheck, and IVD products such as EsoGuard, is subject to FDA regulation.
FDA defines an LDT as “an IVD product that is intended for clinical use and designed, manufactured and used within a single laboratory.” FDA has long maintained that it has clear regulatory authority over LDTs and has chosen to fully exercise its authority for certain classes of “single laboratory” IVD products which would satisfy its definition of an LDT, such as direct-to-consumer tests that do not involve a health care provider. FDA, however, has generally not enforced these regulatory requirements for most LDTs not in one of these classes and has generally not required these LDTs to undergo FDA premarket review of analytical validity and clinical validity, as all other IVD products must.
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Since only EsoCheck is FDA cleared, we are not permitted to jointly market it with EsoGuard. This currently is not a significant obstacle to our commercialization efforts, which are almost entirely devoted to marketing EsoGuard. EsoCheck is merely offered, free of charge, as a generic esophageal cell collection device, which is FDA 510(k) cleared to be used to collect samples for any diagnostic test. We believe, however, over the long-term, once our commercialization efforts have gained significant traction, it would be useful to jointly market EsoGuard, used with EsoCheck. We therefore may, when resources permit, pursue FDA PMA approval for EsoGuard, when used on samples collected with EsoCheck, which will allow us to jointly market them.
FDA “Breakthrough Device” is highly-coveted special designation under FDA’s Breakthrough Devices Program, established pursuant to the 21st Century Cures Act and the FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017, which seeks to offer patients and healthcare providers timely access to medical devices which “provide for more effective treatment or diagnosis of life-threatening or irreversibly debilitating human disease or conditions” by speeding up their development, assessment and review through (i) enhanced communications, (ii) more efficient and flexible clinical study design, including more favorable pre/post market data collection balance and (iii) priority review of regulatory submissions. The Company can pursue additional reimbursement and coverage options through Transitional Coverage for Emerging Technologies ("TCET") program, once effective. In February 2020 we were granted Breakthrough Device designation for EsoGuard on esophageal samples collected using EsoCheck. Pursuant to this designation, we will be working with FDA to submit the premarket submission for EsoGuard.
Before and after approval or clearance in the United States, our products are subject to extensive regulation by the FDA under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act and/or the Public Health Service Act, as well as by other regulatory bodies. FDA regulations govern, among other things, the development, testing, manufacturing, labeling, safety, storage, recordkeeping, market clearance or approval, advertising and promotion, import and export, marketing and sales, and distribution of medical devices and products.
In the United States, medical devices are subject to varying degrees of regulatory control and are classified in one of three classes depending on the extent of controls the FDA determines are necessary to reasonably ensure their safety and efficacy:
Class I: general controls, such as labeling and adherence to quality system regulations;
Class II: special controls, pre-market notification (often referred to as a 510(k) application), specific controls such as performance standards, patient registries, post-market surveillance, additional controls such as labeling and adherence to quality system regulations; and
Class III: special controls and approval of a de novo request or PMA application, likely with clinical data requirements.
In general, the higher the classification, the greater the time and cost to obtain approval to market. There are no “standardized” requirements for approval, even within each class. For example, FDA could grant 510(k) status, but require a human clinical trial, a typical requirement of a PMA. They could also initially assign a device Class III status but end up clearing a device as a 510(k) device or under a de novo classification pathway if certain requirements are met. The range of the number and expense of the various requirements is significant. The quickest and least expensive pathway would be 510(k) clearance with a review of existing bench and animal data. A de novo classification pathway would have a similar cost to seeking 510(k) clearance, but with a slightly longer review timeline. The longest and most expensive path would be a PMA with extensive randomized human clinical trials. We cannot predict fully how FDA will classify our products, nor predict what requirements will be placed upon us to obtain market clearance or approval, or even if they will clear or approve our products at all.
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Clinical Trials of Medical Devices and Diagnostic Tests
One or more clinical trials may be necessary to support an FDA submission. Clinical studies of unapproved or uncleared medical devices or diagnostic tests being studied for uses for which they are not approved or cleared (investigational devices) must be conducted in compliance with FDA requirements. If an investigational device could pose a significant risk to patients, the sponsor company must submit an Investigational Device Exemption, or IDE application to FDA prior to initiation of the clinical study. An IDE application must be supported by appropriate data, such as animal and laboratory test results, showing that it is safe to test the device on humans and that the testing protocol is scientifically sound. The IDE is reviewed by FDA within 30 calendar days after receipt by FDA and FDA can issue a disapproval, conditional approval or full approval for the study to begin depending on the remaining FDA questions following review. Clinical studies of investigational devices may not begin until an IRB has approved the study.
During any study, the sponsor must comply with FDA’s IDE requirements. These requirements include investigator selection, trial monitoring, adverse event reporting, and record keeping. The investigators must obtain patient informed consent, rigorously follow the investigational plan and study protocol, control the disposition of investigational devices, and comply with reporting and record keeping requirements. We, FDA, or the IRB at each institution at which a clinical trial is being conducted may suspend a clinical trial at any time for various reasons, including a belief that the subjects are being exposed to an unacceptable risk. During the approval or clearance process, FDA typically inspects the records relating to the conduct of one or more investigational sites participating in the study supporting the application.
Post-Approval Regulation of Medical Devices and Diagnostic Tests
After a device is cleared or approved for marketing, numerous regulatory requirements continue to apply. These include:
We will continue to be subject to inspection by FDA to determine our compliance with regulatory requirements.
Manufacturing cGMP Requirements
Manufacturers of medical devices are required to comply with FDA manufacturing requirements contained in FDA’s current Good Manufacturing Practices (“cGMP”) set forth in the quality system regulations promulgated under section 520 of the Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act. cGMP regulations require, among other things, quality control and quality assurance as well as the corresponding maintenance of records and documentation. Failure to comply with statutory and regulatory requirements subjects a manufacturer to possible legal or regulatory action, including the seizure or recall of products, injunctions, consent decrees placing significant restrictions on or suspending manufacturing operations, and civil and criminal penalties. Adverse experiences with the device must be reported to FDA and could result in the imposition of marketing restrictions through labeling changes or in device withdrawal. Device clearances or approvals may be withdrawn if compliance with regulatory requirements is not maintained or if problems concerning safety or efficacy of the product occur following the approval. We expect to use contract manufacturers to manufacture our products for the foreseeable future we will therefore be dependent on their compliance with these requirements to market our products. We work closely with our contract manufacturers to assure that our products are in strict compliance with these regulations.
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Laboratory Certification, Accreditation and Licensing
Our CLIA-certified laboratory is subject to U.S. federal and state laws and regulations governing the operation of clinical laboratories. CLIA requirements establish certification requirements and standards relating to quality systems, quality control, personnel qualifications, and operational requirements. We are accredited by the College of American Pathologists ("CAP"), a CMS approved accrediting organization under CLIA’s authority. As a CAP accredited laboratory, we are subject to periodic inspections conducted by CAP and, in certain circumstances, by CMS. CAP accreditation is designed to meet or exceed CLIA requirements; however, failure to maintain CAP accreditation could result in loss of our ability to operate under CLIA.
In addition to CLIA, certain states, including California, New York, Maryland, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Rhode Island and Florida, impose separate certification and/or licensure requirements for clinical laboratories operating within or offering testing services to patients in those states. CLIA allows states to adopt laboratory regulations that are equal to or more stringent than federal requirements, and allows states to apply for exemption from CLIA oversight if CMS determines that the state’s requirements are at least as stringent as or more stringent than, CLIA. For example, the State of New York’s clinical laboratory regulations, received such an exemption, and in certain respects, impose requirements more stringent than those under federal CLIA standards. Accordingly, to the extent we offer testing services in New York or for New York patients, we must comply with these applicable New York State Department of Health requirements.
We currently hold the certificates, licenses, and accreditations required to perform our clinical laboratory testing. Clinical laboratories are subject to periodic inspection by federal and state regulators and accrediting bodies, and may be subject to sanctions for noncompliance. Sanctions available under CLIA and applicable state laws include suspending, limiting, or revoking certificates or licenses; prohibiting a laboratory from running tests; requiring a laboratory to implement a corrective action plan; imposing civil monetary penalties; and, in certain cases, exclusion from participation in federal healthcare programs. Failure to comply with applicable CLIA or state laboratory requirements could result in enforcement action, interruption of our laboratory operations, and increased cost. It could also adversely affect the commercialization of our products and service or future regulatory determinations by CMS or other governmental authorities.
Other U.S. Healthcare Regulation
In addition to FDA restrictions on marketing and promotion of drugs and devices, other federal and state laws restrict our business practices. These laws include, without limitation, anti-kickback and false claims laws, data privacy and security laws, as well as transparency laws regarding payments or other items of value provided to healthcare providers.
Because of the breadth of these laws and the narrowness of the statutory exceptions and safe harbors available under such laws, it is possible that some of our business activities, including certain sales and marketing practices and the provision of certain items and services to our customers, could be subject to challenge under one or more of such laws. If our operations are found to be in violation of any of the health regulatory laws described above or any other laws that apply to us, we may be subject to penalties, including potentially significant criminal and civil and administrative penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, imprisonment, exclusion from participation in government healthcare programs, contractual damages, reputational harm, administrative burdens, diminished profits and future earnings, and the curtailment or restructuring of our operations, any of which could adversely affect our ability to operate our business and our results of operations. To the extent that any of our products are sold in a foreign country, we may be subject to similar foreign laws, which may include, for instance, applicable post-marketing requirements, including safety surveillance, anti-fraud and abuse laws and implementation of corporate compliance programs and reporting of payments or transfers of value to healthcare professionals.
In any event, we have established a substantial regulatory and compliance infrastructure for the Lucid Test Centers and other EsoGuard programs and related activities that is designed to ensure compliance with these regulations.
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Physician Payment Sunshine Act
On February 8, 2013, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, released its final rule implementing section 6002 of the Affordable Care Act known as the Physician Payment Sunshine Act that imposes annual reporting requirements on device manufacturers for payments and other transfers of value provided by them, directly or indirectly, to physicians and teaching hospitals, as well as ownership and investment interests held by physicians and their family members. A manufacturer’s failure to submit timely, accurately and completely the required information for all payments, transfers of value or ownership or investment interests may result in civil monetary penalties of up to an aggregate of $150,000 per year, and up to an aggregate of $1 million per year for “knowing failures.” Manufacturers that produce at least one product reimbursed by Medicare, Medicaid, or Children’s Health Insurance Program and (i) if the product is a drug or biological, and it requires a prescription (or physician’s authorization) to administer; or (ii) if the product is a device or medical supply, and it requires premarket approval or premarket notification by the FDA are required to comply with the Open Payments (commonly referred to as the Sunshine Act) filing requirements under CMS. We currently do not have any products covered by Medicare, Medicaid, or Children’s Health Insurance Program as none of our products have premarket approval or clearance notification. We expect once our products receive regulatory clearance, we will be required to comply with the Sunshine Act provisions.
Certain states also mandate implementation of commercial compliance programs, and other states impose restrictions on device manufacturer marketing practices and require tracking and reporting of gifts, compensation and other remuneration to healthcare professionals and entities. The shifting commercial compliance environment and the need to build and maintain robust and expandable systems to comply with different compliance or reporting requirements in multiple jurisdictions increase the possibility a healthcare company may fail to comply fully with one or more of these requirements.
Federal Anti-Kickback Statute
The Federal Anti-Kickback Statute prohibits, among other things, knowingly and willfully offering, paying, soliciting or receiving any remuneration (including any kickback, bribe or rebate), directly or indirectly, overtly or covertly, to induce or in return for purchasing, leasing, ordering or arranging for or recommending the purchase, lease or order of any good, facility, item or service reimbursable, in whole or in part, under Medicare, Medicaid or other federal healthcare programs. The term “remuneration” has been broadly interpreted to include anything of value. Although there are a number of statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting some common activities from prosecution, the exceptions and safe harbors are drawn narrowly. Practices that involve remuneration that may be alleged to be intended to induce prescribing, purchases or recommendations may be subject to scrutiny if they do not qualify for an exception or safe harbor. Failure to meet all of the requirements of a particular applicable statutory exception or regulatory safe harbor does not make the conduct per se illegal under the Anti-Kickback Statute. Instead, the legality of the arrangement will be evaluated on a case-by-case basis based on a cumulative review of all its facts and circumstances. Several courts have interpreted the statute’s intent requirement to mean that if any one purpose of an arrangement involving remuneration is to induce referrals of federal healthcare covered business, the Anti-Kickback Statute has been violated.
Additionally, the intent standard under the Anti-Kickback Statute was amended by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010, collectively the Affordable Care Act, to a stricter standard such that a person or entity no longer needs to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it in order to have committed a violation. In addition, the Affordable Care Act codified case law that a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the federal Anti-Kickback Statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the federal civil False Claims Act. We are subject to comparable state laws, including those pertaining to fee splitting, some of which apply to all payors regardless of source of payment, and do not contain identical safe harbors.
False Claims Act
The False Claims Act prohibits, among other things, any person or entity from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, a false or fraudulent claim for payment or approval to the federal government or knowingly making, using or causing to be made or used a false record or statement material to a false or fraudulent claim to the federal government. A claim includes “any request or demand” for money or property presented to the U.S. government. The False Claims Act also applies to false submissions that cause the government to be paid less than the amount to which it is entitled, such as a rebate. Intent to deceive is not required to establish liability under the False Claims Act. Several pharmaceutical, device and other healthcare companies have been prosecuted under these laws for, among other things, allegedly providing free product to customers with the expectation that the customers would bill federal programs for the product. Other companies have been prosecuted for causing false claims to be submitted because of the companies’ marketing of products for unapproved, and thus noncovered, uses.
The government may further prosecute, as a crime, conduct constituting a false claim under the False Claims Act. The False Claims Act prohibits the making or presenting of a claim to the government knowing such claim to be false, fictitious, or fraudulent and, unlike civil claims under the False Claims Act, requires proof of intent to submit a false claim.
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The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act
The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, or the “FCPA,” prohibits any U.S. individual or business from paying, offering, or authorizing payment or offering of anything of value, directly or indirectly, to any foreign official, political party or candidate for the purpose of influencing any act or decision of the foreign entity in order to assist the individual or business in obtaining or retaining business. The FCPA also obligates companies whose securities are listed in the United States to comply with accounting provisions requiring the company to maintain books and records that accurately and fairly reflect all transactions of the corporation, including international subsidiaries, and to devise and maintain an adequate system of internal accounting controls for international operations. Activities that violate the FCPA, even if they occur wholly outside the United States, can result in criminal and civil fines, imprisonment, disgorgement, oversight, and debarment from government contracts.
Healthcare Reform
Current and future legislative proposals to further reform healthcare or reduce healthcare costs may result in lower reimbursement for our products, or for the procedures associated with the use of our products, or limit coverage of our products. The cost containment measures that payors and providers are instituting and the effect of any healthcare reform initiative implemented in the future could significantly reduce our revenues from the sale of our products. Alternatively, the shift away from fee-for-service agreements to capitated payment models may support the value of our products which can be shown to decrease resource utilization and lead to cost savings for both payors and providers.
HIPAA and Other Privacy Laws
The Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act (“HIPAA”) established comprehensive protection for the privacy and security of health information. The HIPAA standards apply to three types of organizations, or “Covered Entities”: health plans, healthcare clearinghouses, and healthcare providers that conduct certain healthcare transactions electronically. Covered Entities and their business associates must have in place administrative, physical, and technical standards to guard against the misuse of individually identifiable health information. Some of our activities, including at our Lucid Test Centers and within our clinical trials, involve interactions with patients and their health information which implicate HIPAA. Our activities also involve us entering into specific kinds of relationships with Covered Entities and business associates of Covered Entities, which also implicate HIPAA. Penalties for violations of HIPAA include civil money and criminal penalties.
Our activities must also comply with other applicable privacy laws, which impose restrictions on the access, use and disclosure of personal information. More state and international privacy laws are being adopted. Many state laws are not preempted by HIPAA because they are more stringent or are broader in scope than HIPAA. Since 2020 we have also had to comply with the California Consumer Privacy Act of 2018, which protects personal information other than health information covered by HIPAA. In the E.U., the General Data Protection Regulation (“GDPR”) took effect in May 2018 and imposes increasingly stringent data protection and privacy rules. All of these laws may impact our business and may change periodically, which could have an effect on our business operations if compliance becomes substantially costlier than under current requirements. Our failure to comply with these privacy laws or significant changes in the laws restricting our ability to obtain patient samples and associated patient information could significantly impact our business and our future business plans.
Self-Referral Law
The federal “self-referral” law, commonly referred to as the “Stark” law, provides that physicians who, personally or through a family member, have ownership interests in or compensation arrangements with a laboratory are prohibited from making a referral to that laboratory for laboratory tests reimbursable by Medicare, and also prohibits laboratories from submitting a claim for Medicare payments for laboratory tests referred by physicians who, personally or through a family member, have ownership interests in or compensation arrangements with the testing laboratory. The Stark law contains a number of specific exceptions which, if met, permit physicians who have ownership or compensation arrangements with a testing laboratory to make referrals to that laboratory and permit the laboratory to submit claims for Medicare payments for laboratory tests performed pursuant to such referrals. We are subject to comparable state laws, some of which apply to all payors regardless of source of payment, and do not contain identical exceptions to the Stark law.
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International Regulation
In order to market any of our products outside of the United States, we would need to comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of other countries and jurisdictions regarding quality, safety and efficacy and governing, among other things, clinical trials, marketing authorization, commercial sales and distribution of our products. We may be subject to regulations and product registration requirements in the areas of product standards, packaging requirements, labeling requirements, import and export restrictions and tariff regulations, duties and tax requirements. Whether or not we obtain FDA approval for a product, we would need to obtain the necessary approvals by the comparable foreign regulatory authorities before we can commence clinical trials or marketing of the product in foreign countries and jurisdictions. The time required to obtain clearance required by foreign countries may be longer or shorter than that required for FDA clearance, and requirements for licensing a product in a foreign country may differ significantly from FDA requirements.
European Union
We received CE Mark certification for EsoCheck under MDD and completed CE Mark self-certification for EsoGuard, which qualifies as a General IVD, under IVDD, indicating that both may be marketed in CE Mark European countries, namely the European Economic Area (the European Union, Norway, Iceland, and Lichtenstein), Switzerland, and, until July 1, 2023, the United Kingdom.
MDD refers to Medical Device Directive 93/42/EEC, which for nearly three decades provided the essential requirements and conformity assessment procedure that medical devices must undergo to be affixed with a CE Mark and sold in CE Mark European countries. MDD is now obsolete and has been replaced by MDR. MDR refers to Regulation (EU) 2017/745 and incorporates several new concepts and registrations, stricter oversight of manufacturers by notified bodies, universal device identification (UDI) marking, and increased post-market surveillance requirements.
Similarly, IVDD refers to In-Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices Directive (98/79/EC), which for over twenty years has provided the essential requirements and conformity assessment procedure that in-vitro diagnostic medical devices must undergo to be affixed with a CE Mark and sold in CE Mark European countries. On May 26, 2022, IVDD replaced IVDR, which refers to Regulation (EU) 2017/746, and has an expanded scope, risk-based classification, more rigorous clinical evidence and surveillance requirements, and more stringent documentation.
Both MDR and IVDR have sunset provisions for medical device and IVD certifications under MDD and IVD, respectively. Both EsoGuard and EsoCheck will require recertification under their stricter regulations in the coming years. Failure to secure these recertifications under MDR and IVDR will halt our ability to commercialize our products in the CE Mark European countries. As these are entirely new regulations, the cost, time and risk associated with these recertifications is difficult to predict.
In addition, the United Kingdom, which is a potential target market for us, has left the European Union (“Brexit”) and will transition from CE Mark certification to its own UKCA mark certification. We will need to secure UKCA mark certification for EsoGuard and EsoCheck to market these products in Great Britain. Since this is an entirely new process, it is difficult to predict the cost, time and risk associated with transitioning to UKCA certification.
In the European Union, the manufacture of medical devices is subject to good manufacturing practice ("GMP"), as set forth in the relevant laws and guidelines of the European Union and its member states. Compliance with GMP is generally assessed by the competent regulatory authorities. Typically, quality system evaluation is performed by a notified body (as such term is used in the applicable regulations), which also recommends to the relevant competent authority for the European Community CE Marking of a device. The relevant competent authority may conduct inspections of relevant facilities, and review manufacturing procedures, operating systems and personnel qualifications. Each device manufacturing facility must be audited on a periodic basis by the notified body. Further inspections may occur over the life of the product.
Any action against us for violation of these or similar foreign laws, even if we successfully defend against it, could cause us to incur significant legal expenses and divert our management’s attention from the operation of our business.
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Other Laws
Occupational Safety and Health
In addition to its comprehensive regulation of health and safety in the workplace in general, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration has established extensive requirements aimed specifically at laboratories and other healthcare-related facilities. In addition, because our operations may require employees to use certain hazardous chemicals, we also must comply with regulations on hazard communication and hazardous chemicals in laboratories. These regulations require us, among other things, to develop written programs and plans, which must address methods for preventing and mitigating employee exposure, the use of personal protective equipment, and training.
Specimen Transportation
Our commercialization activities for EsoGuard subject us to regulations of the Department of Transportation, the United States Postal Service, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that apply to the surface and air transportation of clinical laboratory specimens.
Environmental
The cost of compliance with federal, state and local provisions related to the protection of the environment has had no material effect on our Diagnostics business. There were no material capital expenditures for environmental control facilities in the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024.
Employees
As of March 23, 2026 we have 82 employees (all of whom are full-time employees), inclusive of our executive officers – our Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”), our President and Chief Operating Officer (“President” or “COO”), our Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”), our General Counsel and Secretary (“General Counsel”) and our Chief Medical Officer ("CMO"). In addition, we are obligated to reimburse PAVmed for certain payroll benefit and expenses related to our employees pursuant to the PBERA, which may be settled in shares of our common stock, at PAVmed’s election. No employees are covered by a collective bargaining agreement. We consider our relationship with our employees to be good.
Corporate Information
We were incorporated in Delaware on May 8, 2018. Our corporate offices are located at 360 Madison Avenue, 25th Floor, New York, NY 10017, and our main telephone number is (917) 813-1828.
Available Information
We file or furnish our current and periodic reports, proxy statements, registration statements and other information filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) pursuant to Sections 13(a) and 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), including Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports. We make these reports available through our website (www.luciddx.com) as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such reports with, or furnish such reports to, the SEC. We also make available, free of charge on our website, the reports filed with the SEC by our named executive officers, directors, and 10% stockholders pursuant to Section 16 under the Exchange Act as soon as reasonably practicable after those filings are provided to us by those persons.
The public also may read and copy any materials we file with the SEC at the SEC’s Public Reference Room at 100 F Street, NE., Washington, DC 20549, on official business days during the hours of 10 a.m. to 3 p.m. The public may obtain information on the operation of the Public Reference Room by calling the Commission at 1-800-SEC-0330. The SEC also maintains an Internet site (http://www.sec.gov) that contains reports, proxy and information statements, and other information regarding us that we file electronically with the SEC.
Our website address is www.luciddx.com. The content of our website is not incorporated by reference into this Annual Report on Form 10-K, nor in any other report or document we file or furnish with and /or submit to the SEC, and any reference to our website are intended to be inactive textual references only.
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
The following risk factors and other information included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K should be carefully considered. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or we presently deem less significant may also impair our business operations. If any of the following risks occur, our business, financial condition, results of operations and future growth prospects could be materially and adversely affected.
Risks Factor Summary
Our business is subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that you should consider before investing in our common stock. These risks are described more fully below and include, but are not limited to, risks relating to the following:
Risks Associated with Our Financial Condition
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Risks Associated with Our Business
● Our products may never achieve market acceptance.
● Our business may suffer if we are unable to manage our growth.
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Risks Associated with Healthcare Regulation, Billing and Reimbursement, and Product Safety and Effectiveness.
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Risks Associated with Our Intellectual Property and Technology Infrastructure
Risks Associated with Our Relationship with PAVmed
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Risks Associated with Ownership of Our Common Stock
● We do not intend to pay any dividends on our common stock at this time.
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Risks Associated with Our Financial Condition
We have incurred operating losses since our inception and may not be able to achieve profitability.
We have incurred net losses since our inception. For the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, we had a net loss of $58.0 million and $45.5 million, respectively. Our ability to generate sufficient revenue from any of our products in development, and to transition to profitability and generate consistent positive cash flows is dependent upon factors that may be outside of our control. We expect that our operating expenses will continue to increase as we continue to develop, pursue regulatory clearance or approval for and commercialize our products, build our manufacturing, sales and other commercial infrastructure, and incur additional operational and reporting costs associated with being a public company. As a result, we expect to continue to incur operating losses for the foreseeable future.
We are subject to all of the risks and uncertainties typically faced by a medical device and diagnostic company devoting substantially all its efforts to the commercialization of its initial products and services and ongoing research and development activities and clinical trials.
We have concluded there is substantial doubt of our ability to continue as a going concern and our independent registered public accounting firm’s report on our financial statements contains an explanatory paragraph describing our ability to continue as a going concern.
In our December 31, 2025 consolidated financial statements, we have concluded and stated our recurring losses from operations, recurring cash flows used in operations and the requirement we raise additional capital in order to fund our ongoing operations beyond March 2027 raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern. Additionally, our independent registered public accounting firm’s report on our consolidated financial statements includes an explanatory paragraph expressing substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern. Our plans to address this going concern risk include pursuing further offerings of debt and/or equity securities. The consolidated financial statements do not include any adjustments that might result from our inability to consummate such offerings or our ability to continue as a going concern. Moreover, there is no assurance if we consummate additional offerings, we will raise sufficient proceeds in such offerings to pay our financial obligations as they become due. These factors raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern.
To raise capital, we have issued a significant amount of convertible securities under which we expect to issue a correspondingly significant amount of shares of our common stock upon conversion thereof. In addition, we may issue shares of our capital stock or debt securities in the future in order to raise capital to fund our operations. All of the foregoing would dilute the equity interest of our stockholders and might cause a change in control of our ownership.
Our certificate of incorporation authorizes the issuance of up to 300,000,000 shares of common stock, par value $.001 per share, and 20,000,000 shares of preferred stock, par value $.001 per share. There are 123,054,028 authorized but unissued shares of our common stock available for issuance as of March 23, 2026 (inclusive of granted but unvested restricted stock awards granted as of each such date under the Lucid Diagnostics 2018 Long-Term Incentive Equity Plan).
In 2024, we issued shares of Series B Preferred Stock and Series B-1 Preferred Stock. In March 2026, the Company issued 29,270,685 shares of common stock to the holders of the Series B Preferred Stock, upon the conversion thereof (inclusive of the annual dividend payable thereon). As a result of the application of the beneficial ownership limitations in the Series B Certificate of Designations, 13,294,267 shares of common stock otherwise issuable upon conversion of the Series B Preferred Stock are held in abeyance until such time that they can be issued without exceeding any such limitations. We also anticipate that on or about May 6, 2026, the Company shall issue 16,823,762 shares of common stock to the holders of the Series B-1 Preferred Stock, upon the conversion thereof (inclusive of the annual dividend payable thereon, but subject to any applicable beneficial ownership limitations).
As of March 23, 2026, 21,975,000 shares of our common stock were issuable under the 2024 Convertible Notes, assuming the noteholders elected to convert the notes in full on such date at the fixed conversion price of $1.00 per share (based on $21.975 million in aggregate principal amount outstanding as of such date and no accrued and unpaid interest thereon). The number of shares of our common stock to be issued under the 2024 Convertible Notes may be substantially greater than this amount because (i) in the event of certain issuances of additional securities by the Company at a price per share less than the then applicable conversion price, such conversion price may be adjusted to such lower price per share, and (ii) the holders may elect that we make interest payments in shares of our common stock, and in such event the number of shares to be issued will be determined based on the then current market price.
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In August 2024, we entered into a ninth amendment to the MSA with PAVmed, pursuant to which PAVmed may elect to receive payment of the monthly fee under the management services agreement in cash or in shares of our common stock valued at a price based on the current market price, subject to a floor price and a maximum number of shares. Under the amendment, the monthly fee due from the Company to PAVmed was increased from $0.83 million to $1.05 million (the parties also entered in a tenth amendment to the MSA in December 2025, to provide for a one-time increase in the monthly fee by an additional $1.2 million, to cover certain one-time employee-related expenses paid by PAVmed on behalf of the Company). To the extent PAVmed elects for us to satisfy our obligations under the MSA and PBERA in shares of our common stock in the future, the interest of other shareholders of the Company would be diluted.
Furthermore, we have issued and expect to continue to issue equity awards, including stock options, under our 2018 Long-Term Incentive Equity Plan (the “Lucid Diagnostics Inc. 2018 Equity Plan”) and our Employee Stock Purchase Plan (the “Lucid Diagnostics Inc. ESPP”). In May 2025, the Company entered into a Controlled Equity Offering Agreement (ATM) between us and Maxim Group LLC for up to $25.0 million of our common stock that may be offered and sold from time to time (replacing a similar facility the Company had previously maintained with Cantor). Also in November 2022, we entered into the PBERA with PAVmed, pursuant to which PAVmed will continue to pay certain payroll and benefit-related expenses on our behalf and we will reimburse PAVmed, in cash or, subject to approval by each of our boards of directors, in shares of our common stock valued at a price based on the current market price, subject to a floor price and a maximum number of shares.
In addition, we may issue a substantial number of additional shares of our common stock or preferred stock or incur indebtedness, or issue or incur a combination of common and preferred stock and indebtedness, to raise additional funds or in connection with any strategic acquisition or as compensation to our officers, directors, employees and consultants or to fund investments in our current operations.
The issuance of additional shares of our common stock or any number of shares of our preferred stock, and the availability for sale of such shares in the public markets:
● may significantly dilute the equity interest of our current investors;
● may adversely affect prevailing market prices for our common stock.
Similarly, if we incur indebtedness, it could result in:
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We expect to need additional capital funding, which may be compounded by our obligations to our parent company, PAVmed, which requires its own additional capital funding.
Our future capital requirements depend on many factors, including our research, development, and sales and marketing activities. We intend to continue to make investments to support our business growth. Because we have not generated significant revenue or cash flow to date, we may require additional funds to:
● fund our operations;
● manufacture and distribute our products; and
● promote market acceptance of our products.
Our need for additional funds may be affected by:
● the effect of competing technological and market developments; and
Under our existing management services agreement and payroll and benefit expense reimbursement agreement with PAVmed, PAVmed may determine the form and timing of our satisfaction of our obligations under such agreements. To the extent PAVmed elects for this obligation to be paid in cash, that would increase our need to raise additional capital. In this regard, because of the challenges PAVmed has faced in terms of raising capital itself, PAVmed has elected for the payment in cash by us of our obligations under our management services agreement with PAVmed as means for funding its operations.
Debt or preferred stock financing, if available, may involve covenants restricting our operations or our ability to incur additional debt or issue additional preferred stock, and may contain other terms that are not favorable to us or our stockholders. Additional equity financing may result in substantial dilution to our existing stockholders. If we do not have, or are not able to obtain, sufficient funds, we may have to delay product development initiatives or license to third parties the rights to commercialize products or technologies that we would otherwise seek to market. We also may have to reduce manufacturing, distribution, marketing, customer support or other resources devoted to our products.
Our quarterly operating results could be subject to significant fluctuation, which could increase the volatility of our stock price and cause losses to our stockholders.
Our results of operations, including our revenue and profits, assuming we are able to successfully commercialize the EsoGuard and EsoCheck products, may fluctuate significantly, depending on a variety of factors, including the following:
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Servicing our indebtedness may require a significant amount of cash, and the restrictive covenants contained in our indebtedness could adversely affect our business plan, liquidity, financial condition, and results of operations.
We may be required to repay or redeem at maturity in 2029 (or sooner, upon the occurrence of certain change of control transactions or an event of default), or to pay interest on, the 2024 Convertible Notes or any future permitted indebtedness incurred by us or our subsidiaries, in cash.
Our ability to make payments of the principal of, to pay interest on, or to redeem our indebtedness in cash, depends on our future performance, which is subject to economic, financial, competitive and other factors beyond our control. We have not generated material revenue from operations to date, and our business may not generate cash flow from operations in the future sufficient to service our indebtedness and make necessary capital expenditures. In addition, the 2024 Convertible Notes contain, and any future indebtedness may contain, restrictive covenants, including financial covenants. These payment obligations and covenants could have important consequences on our business. In particular, they could:
The debt service requirements of any other permitted indebtedness we incur or issue in the future, as well as the restrictive covenants contained in the governing documents for any such indebtedness, could intensify these risks.
If we are unable to make the required cash payments, there could be a default under one or more of the instruments governing our indebtedness. Any such default or acceleration may further result in an event of default and acceleration of our other indebtedness. In such event, or if a default otherwise occurs under our indebtedness, including as a result of our failure to comply with the financial or other covenants contained therein, the holders of our indebtedness could require us to immediately repay the outstanding principal and interest on such indebtedness in cash, in some cases subject to a premium. Furthermore, the holders of our secured indebtedness could foreclose on their security interests in our assets.
If we are required to make payments under our indebtedness in cash and are unable to generate sufficient cash flow from operations, we may be required to sell assets, or we may seek to refinance the remaining balance, by either refinancing with the holder of the indebtedness, by raising sufficient funds through a sale of equity or debt securities or by obtaining a credit facility. No assurances can be given that we will be successful in making the required payments under our indebtedness, or in refinancing our obligations on favorable terms, or at all. Our ability to refinance our indebtedness will depend on the capital markets and our financial condition at such time. A failure to refinance could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial position, and results of operations. Should we refinance, it could be dilutive to shareholders or impose onerous terms on us.
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Risks Associated with Our Business
Since we have a limited operating history, and have not generated any significant revenues to date, you will have little basis upon which to evaluate our ability to achieve our business objective.
Since we have a limited operating history, and have not generated any significant revenues, you will have little basis upon which to evaluate our ability to achieve our business objective. We are subject to all of the problems, expenses, delays and other risks inherent in any new business, as well as problems inherent in establishing name recognition and business reputation.
The markets in which we operate are attractive and other companies or institutions may develop and market novel or improved technologies, which may make the EsoGuard or EsoCheck technologies less competitive or obsolete.
Given the large market opportunity for esophageal precancer testing we may face multiple competitors in the future, some of which possess significantly greater financial and other resources and development capabilities than us. Our EsoGuard test may face competition from new biomarkers also designed to detect esophageal precancer and conditions along the BE-EAC spectrum.
Cyted, a UK-based medical technology firm with a diagnostic platform to detect BE has announced that it is seeking capital to fund expansion into the U.S. market. The Mayo Clinic and Exact Sciences Inc. (Nasdaq: EXAS) have published preliminary data on biomarkers designed to detect esophageal precancer and have publicly expressed a commitment to advancing them to commercialization. Investigators at Johns Hopkins University associated with a privately held firm called Previse have published limited data on methylation biomarkers for BE. Of note, both groups used the EsophaCap “sponge-on-a-string” cell collection device.
Other manufacturers have developed noninvasive esophageal cell collection devices most notably “sponge-on-a-string” devices which may compete with EsoCheck. One such device, Cytosponge, previously marketed by in the U.S. by Medtronic Inc. (NYSE: MDT), which is similar to EsophaCap, the device we acquired in our acquisition of CapNostics LLC and is utilized almost exclusively for clinical research, is a spherical mesh sponge encapsulated in soluble gelatin that dissolves in the stomach. The expanded sponge brushes the lining of the esophagus as it is withdrawn and retrieved. EndoSign, commercialized by Cyted, and much like Cytosponge and our own EsophaCap before it, is a small mesh sponge within a soluble gelatin capsule that needs to reside in the stomach for some time until it fully dissolves and then is pulled thru the targeted region brushing the lining of the esophagus and then later retrieved. Although, unlike EsoCheck, these devices do not provide anatomic targeting nor protect their sample from dilution and contamination during device withdrawal, future biomarkers may have sufficient sensitivity to detect BE-EAC despite such dilution and contamination. Manufacturers may also be developing new tools that have not yet been announced that provide noninvasive esophageal cell sampling with the same or better protection from dilution and contamination as EsoCheck.
Several well-capitalized companies are developing “liquid biopsy” tests for early cancer detection based on circulating tumor DNA. Although none of these tests yet purport to detect early precancer in the bloodstream, technological advances could result in sufficient sensitivity to do so generally and for conditions along the BE-EAC spectrum. Such advances could put EsoGuard and EsoCheck at a significant competitive disadvantage in the esophageal precancer testing market as it would be logistically simpler to send the patient for a routine blood draw instead of a specialized office procedure like EsoCheck, and patients may prefer such a blood draw over even a noninvasive procedure such as EsoCheck.
Although there can be no assurance that we will pursue the development of any products other than EsoGuard and EsoCheck, if we seek to develop other products, we may need to compete with a broad range of organizations in the U.S. and other countries that are engaged in the development, production and commercialization of diagnostic products and services. These competitors include biotechnology, diagnostic and other life science companies; academic and scientific institutions, governmental agencies, and public and private research organizations.
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We may be unable to compete effectively against our competitors either because their products and services are superior or more cost efficient, or because they have access to greater resources than us. Our potential competitors may have substantially greater financial, marketing, sales, distribution, manufacturing, and technological resources. These competitors may also have broader product lines and greater name recognition than we do. Many of these competitors will have obtained FDA or other regulatory clearances or approvals, and patent protection, for their products, or are in the process of seeking such clearances, approvals, and protection. Certain of our potential competitors may commercialize their products in advance of our products. In addition, our competitors may make technical advances that render our products obsolete. We may be unable to respond to such technical advances, especially given our focus on the EsoGuard and EsoCheck technology. Although there can be no assurance that we will pursue the development of any products other than EsoGuard and EsoCheck, even if we do develop new marketable products or services, our current and future competitors may develop products and services that are more commercially attractive than ours, and they may bring those products and services to market earlier or more effectively than us.
We expect to derive substantially all of our revenues from the EsoGuard and EsoCheck products.
Although we may develop additional products based on the technology underlying our EsoGuard and EsoCheck products, or other related technologies we develop, license, or acquire, we presently expect to derive substantially all of our revenues from sales of our EsoGuard and EsoCheck products. As such, any factor adversely affecting sales of our products, including the product development and release cycles, regulatory issues, intellectual property rights issues, market acceptance, product competition, performance and reliability, reputation, price competition and economic and market conditions, and the other factors discussed in this filing, could adversely affect our business prospects, financial condition and results of operations, and could threaten the viability of our business.
We are highly dependent on our license agreement with CWRU, the termination of which would prevent us from commercializing our products, and which imposes significant obligations on us.
We are highly dependent on the intellectual property licensed from CWRU, pursuant to which we license the technology underlying our EsoGuard and EsoCheck products. Other products or services we may develop also may rely on the same technology. In the event that we default in the payment of any amount when due under the License Agreement, and such amount is not paid within 30 days of notice of nonpayment, CWRU may terminate the exclusivity of the license or terminate the License Agreement in full. Furthermore, if we breach the agreement, and we do not cure such breach within the applicable time period, in addition to seeking damages, CWRU could terminate the License Agreement. Any termination of the License Agreement resulting in the loss of the licensed rights would prevent us from marketing and selling the EsoGuard and EsoCheck products and any other products or services we may develop based on the same underlying technology. Any termination of the exclusivity of the license could damage our competitive position within the marketplace. In addition, disputes may also arise between us and CWRU regarding the License Agreement. If any such dispute results in an impairment of our ability to use the intellectual property, we may be unable to commercialize the EsoGuard and EsoCheck products and any other product or service we may develop based on the same underlying technology. Accordingly, any such termination or dispute could threaten the viability of our business.
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Our products may never achieve market acceptance, despite our investment of significant time and resources to drive adoption.
To date, we have not generated any significant revenues. Our ability to generate revenues from product sales and to achieve profitability will depend upon our ability to successfully commercialize the EsoGuard and EsoCheck products and any other products, tests or services we develop. Because we have just begun to offer our products, tests or services for sale, we have no basis to predict whether any of our products will achieve market acceptance. A number of factors may limit the market acceptance of any of our products, including:
● unfavorable publicity concerning our products or similar products; and
Drive adoption of our products requires use to devote significant time and resources, and to make substantial capital investments, with no assurance of a positive outcome. This risk is exacerbated, given the lengthy sales cycle to convince a physician, payor or health system to use our products, which can take up to 12-18 months, or longer. As a result, it may take years to our investment in our commercial activities, if at all.
The sizes of the markets for our current and future products have not been established with precision, and may be smaller than we estimate.
Our estimates of the annual total addressable markets for our current products are based on a number of internal and third-party estimates, including, without limitation, the number of patients with esophageal cancer and precancer, the number of individuals who are at a higher risk for developing cancer, and the assumed prices at which we can sell tests for markets that have not been established. While we believe our assumptions and the data underlying our estimates are reasonable, these assumptions and estimates may not be correct and the conditions supporting our assumptions or estimates may change at any time, thereby reducing the predictive accuracy of these underlying factors. As a result, our estimates of the annual total addressable market for our current or future products may prove to be incorrect. If the actual number of patients who would benefit from our products, the price at which we can sell our products, or the annual total addressable market for our products is smaller than we have estimated, it may impair our sales growth and have an adverse impact on our business.
Recommendations in published clinical practice guidelines issued by various organizations, including professional societies and federal agencies may significantly affect payors’ willingness to cover, and physicians’ willingness to prescribe, our products and services.
Long-term adoption of our products as well as payment and coverage for them may depend on their recommendation in clinical practice guidelines. These include professional society guidelines published by gastroenterology specialty societies, such as the ACG, the AGA, and the American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy ("ASGE"), internal medicine and family practice societies such as the American College of Physicians ("ACP") and American Academy of Family Physicians ("AAFP"), and oncology societies such as the American Cancer Society ("ACS"). These also include federal agencies and federally funded affiliates such as the U.S. Preventative Services Task Force (“USPSTF”) and the Agency for Healthcare Research & Quality (“AHRQ”). The recommendations in these clinical practice guidelines may shape payors’ coverage decisions.
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We or our third-party manufacturers may not have the manufacturing and processing capacity to meet the production requirements of consumer demand or clinical testing in a timely manner.
Our capacity to conduct clinical trials and commercialize our products will depend in part on our ability to manufacture or provide our products on a large scale, at a competitive cost and in accordance with regulatory requirements. We must establish and maintain a commercial scale manufacturing process for all of our products to complete clinical trials. We or our third-party manufacturers may encounter difficulties with these processes at any time that could result in delays in clinical trials, regulatory submissions or the commercialization of products.
For some of our products, we or our third-party manufacturers will need to have sufficient production and processing capacity in order to conduct human clinical trials, to produce products for commercial sale at an acceptable cost. We have limited experience in large-scale product manufacturing, nor do we have the resources or facilities to manufacture most of our products on a commercial scale. We cannot guarantee that we or our third-party manufacturers will be able to increase capacity in a timely or cost-effective manner, or at all.
For the foreseeable future, we will not directly manufacture our products and will rely on third parties to do so for us. If our manufacturing and distribution agreements are not satisfactory, we may not be able to develop or commercialize products as planned. In addition, we may not be able to contract with third parties to manufacture our products in an economical manner. Furthermore, third-party manufacturers may not adequately perform their obligations, may delay clinical development or submission of products for regulatory approval or otherwise may impair our competitive position. We may not be able to enter into or maintain relationships with manufacturers that comply with good manufacturing practices. If a product manufacturer fails to comply with good manufacturing practices, we could experience significant time delays or we may be unable to commercialize or continue to market the products. Changes in our manufacturers could require costly new product testing and facility compliance inspections. In the United States, failure to comply with good manufacturing practices or other applicable legal requirements can lead to federal seizure of violative products, injunctive actions brought by the federal government, and potential criminal and civil liability on the part of a company and its officers and employees. Because of these and other factors, we may not be able to replace our manufacturing capacity quickly or efficiently in the event that our manufacturers are unable to manufacture our products at one or more of their facilities. As a result, the sales and marketing of our products could be delayed or we could be forced to develop our own manufacturing capacity, which could require substantial additional funds and personnel and compliance with extensive regulations.
The manufacturing processes for our products have not yet been tested at large-scale commercial levels, and it may not be possible to manufacture or process these materials in a cost-effective manner.
If demand for our EsoGuard test grows, we may lack adequate facility space and capabilities to meet increased processing requirements. Moreover, if these or any future facilities or their equipment were damaged or destroyed, or if we experience a significant disruption in our commercial clinical laboratory operations for any reason, our ability to continue to operate our business could be materially harmed.
We currently have adequate capacity to process EsoGuard tests, based on current test volumes. If demand for the EsoGuard test outstrips this capacity, and we fail to add additional equipment and staff, or complete, or timely complete, an expansion of our available laboratory facilities, it may significantly delay our EsoGuard processing times and limit the volume of EsoGuard tests we can process, which may adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operation. In addition, our financial condition may be adversely affected if they are unable to complete these expansion projects on budget and otherwise on terms and conditions acceptable to us. Finally, our financial condition will be adversely affected if demand for our products and services does not materialize in line with our current expectations and if, as a result, we end up building excess capacity that does not yield a reasonable return on our investment.
If our present, or any future, laboratory facilities were to be damaged, destroyed or otherwise unable to operate, whether due to fire, floods, storms, tornadoes, other inclement weather events or natural disasters, employee malfeasance, terrorist acts, power outages, or otherwise, our business could be severely disrupted. We may not be able to perform our EsoGuard test or generate test reports as promptly as patients and healthcare providers require or expect, or possibly not at all. If we are unable to perform our EsoGuard test or generate test reports within a timeframe that meets patient and healthcare provider expectations, our business, financial results and reputation could be materially harmed.
We currently maintain insurance against damage to our property and equipment and against business interruption, subject to deductibles and other limitations. If we have underestimated our insurance needs with respect to an interruption, or if an interruption is not subject to coverage under our insurance policies, we may not be able to cover our losses.
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Our results of operations can be adversely affected by labor shortages, turnover, and labor cost increases.
Labor is a significant component of operating our business. A number of factors may adversely affect the labor force available to us or increase labor costs, including high employment levels, federal unemployment subsidies, increased wages offered by other employers, vaccine mandates and other government regulations and our responses thereto. As more employers offer remote work, we may have more difficulty recruiting for jobs that require on-site attendance, such as certain clinical laboratory and sales roles. Although we have not experienced any material labor shortage to date, a sustained labor shortage or increased turnover rates within our employee base could lead to increased costs, such as increased overtime or financial incentives to meet demand and increased wage rates to attract and retain employees, and could negatively affect our ability to efficiently operate our clinical laboratories and overall business. If we are unable to hire and retain employees capable of performing at a high level, or if mitigating measures we may take to respond to a decrease in labor availability have unintended negative effects, our business could be adversely affected.
Additionally, the operations of our vendors and partners could also suffer from labor shortages, turnover, and labor cost increases which could result in supply chain disruptions and increases in the costs of the products and services we purchase, each of which could adversely affect our operations.
We expect to rely on courier delivery services to transport EsoCheck devices and EsoGuard specimen kits to physicians and other medical professionals and samples back to laboratory facilities for analysis. If these delivery services are disrupted or become prohibitively expensive, customer satisfaction and our business could be negatively impacted.
In most cases, we expect to ship EsoCheck devices and EsoGuard specimen kits to physicians and have the physician’s office ship samples by air express courier delivery service to our CLIA-certified laboratory for EsoGuard testing. Disruptions in delivery service, whether due to bad weather, natural disaster, labor disruptions, terrorist acts or threats, or for other reasons, can adversely affect customer satisfaction, specimen quality and our ability to provide our services on a timely basis. If the courier delivery services that transport EsoCheck devices or EsoGuard specimen kits institute significant price increases, our profitability would be negatively affected and we may need to identify alternative delivery methods, if possible, modify our service model, or attempt to raise our pricing, which may not be possible with regard to Medicare claims or commercially practicable with regard to commercial claims.
If we attempt to bring any other products or services to market in addition to the EsoGuard test and EsoCheck device, we likely will be required to make significant investments in research and development, which ultimately may prove unsuccessful. Our future performance may be affected by the success of products we have not yet developed, licensed, acquired.
Although there can be no assurance that we will pursue the development of any products or services other than the EsoGuard test and EsoCheck device, we may develop additional products or services based on the same underlying technologies or other technologies we develop, license, or acquire. If we attempt to bring any other such products or services to market, we likely will incur significant expenses on research and development efforts, which ultimately may prove unsuccessful.
Our ability to be successful will be totally dependent upon the efforts of our key personnel.
Our ability to successfully carry out our business plan is dependent upon the efforts of our key personnel. We cannot assure you that any of our key personnel will remain with us for the immediate or foreseeable future. The unexpected loss of the services of our key personnel could have a detrimental effect on us. We may also be unable to attract and retain additional key personnel in the future. We are limited in shares available for issuance under our long-term incentive plan, even taking into account the shareholder-approved annual increases, which could limit our ability to attract and retain key personnel. An inability to attract and retain key personnel may impact our ability to continue and grow our operations.
Our officers and directors have fiduciary obligations to other companies and, accordingly, may have conflicts of interest in determining to which entity a particular business opportunity should be presented.
Certain of our officers and directors have fiduciary obligations to other companies engaged in medical device business activities. Accordingly, they may participate in transactions and have obligations that may be in conflict or competition with our business. As a result, a potential business opportunity may be presented by certain members of our board or management team to another entity prior to its presentation to us and we may not be afforded the opportunity to engage in such a transaction.
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Our business may suffer if we are unable to manage our growth.
If we fail to effectively manage our growth, our ability to execute our business strategy could be impaired. Any unanticipated rapid growth of our business may place a strain on our management, operations and financial systems. We need to ensure our existing systems and controls are adequate to support our business and its anticipated growth.
Our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected by the political and economic conditions of the U.S. and the other countries in which we conduct business.
Our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected by the political and economic conditions of the U.S. and the other countries in which we conduct business (although our near-term focus is on our U.S. operations). These factors include:
● potentially burdensome taxation and changes in domestic and foreign tariffs;
● challenges associated with cultural differences, languages and distance;
● longer payment cycles in some countries;
● credit risks of many kinds;
● legal and regulatory differences and restrictions;
● currency exchange fluctuations;
● political and economic instability and export restrictions;
● variability in sterilization requirements for multi-usage surgical devices;
● potential adverse tax consequences;
● higher cost associated with doing business internationally;
● import or export licensing requirements imposed by governments;
● differing labor standards;
● differing levels of protection of intellectual property; and
We may engage in acquisitions that are not successful and which could disrupt our business, cause dilution to our stockholders and reduce our financial resources.
We may in the future enter into transactions to acquire other businesses, products, services or technologies. Because we have not made any major acquisitions to date, our ability to do so successfully is unproven. If we do identify suitable candidates, we may not be able to make such acquisitions on favorable terms or at all. Any acquisitions we make in the future may not strengthen our products, technologies or businesses or otherwise improve our competitive position, and these transactions may be viewed negatively by investors, healthcare providers, patients and others. For example, we may be unable to timely and effectively integrate the acquired businesses into our business; we may lose key employees; we may encounter potential unknown liabilities and unforeseen risks, including liabilities associated with contracts containing consent and/or other provisions that may be triggered by the acquisitions; we may be unable to realize the anticipated benefits of the acquisitions or do so within the anticipated timeframe; or we may be unable to effectively manage our expanded operations. In addition to the risks outlined above, we may decide to incur debt in connection with an acquisition or issue our common stock or other securities to the stockholders of the acquired company, which would reduce the percentage ownership of our existing stockholders. We cannot predict the number, timing or size of future acquisitions or the effect that any such transactions might have on our operating results. For the foregoing reasons, the market price of our common stock may decline as a result of any acquisitions.
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Adverse results in material litigation matters could have a material adverse effect upon our business.
We may become subject in the ordinary course of business to material legal actions related to, among other things, intellectual property disputes, contract disputes, data and privacy issues, professional liability and employee-related matters. We may also receive inquiries and requests for information from governmental agencies and bodies, including CMS or private payors, requesting comment and/or information on allegations of billing irregularities, billing and pricing arrangements, or privacy practices that are brought to our attention through audits or third parties. Legal actions could result in substantial monetary damages, as well as damage to our reputation with customers and diversion of the attention of our management, which could have a material adverse effect upon its business.
Risks Associated with Healthcare Regulation, Billing and Reimbursement, and Product Safety and Effectiveness
If private or governmental third-party payors do not maintain reimbursement for our products at adequate reimbursement rates, we may be unable to successfully commercialize our products which would limit or slow our revenue generation and likely have a material adverse effect on our business.
Despite our initiative to establish a robust cash-pay program, long-term successful commercialization of our EsoGuard test and EsoCheck device, and of any other product or service we develop, license or acquire depends, in large part, on the availability of adequate reimbursement from private or governmental third-party payors.
EsoGuard’s PLA code 0114U has been granted “gapfill” determination through the CMS CLFS process, allowing us to engage directly with Medicare Administrative Contractor (“MAC”) Palmetto GBA, whose Molecular Diagnostics Program (“MolDx”) performs technical assessment of molecular diagnostic tests on behalf of itself and other MACs. Although CMS granted EsoGuard final Medicare payment determination of $1,938.01, effective January 1, 2021, we have not received a final Medicare local coverage determination from MolDx. Most recently, in May 2023, a final LCD L39256, entitled “Molecular Testing for Detection of Upper Gastrointestinal Metaplasia, Dysplasia, and Neoplasia” became effective on the CMS website by MAC Palmetto GBA. (A substantially identical LCD was published by Noridian Healthcare Solutions, the MAC whose geographic jurisdiction covers our CLIA laboratory in Lake Forest, CA.) The LCD outlines criteria for future coverage that MolDX expects upper gastrointestinal precancer and cancer molecular diagnostic tests to meet. These criteria include active GERD with at least two risk factors, as well as evidence of analytic validity, clinical validity, and clinical utility. Although the LCD indicated that it found that no currently existing test has fulfilled all these criteria, it indicated that it will “monitor the evidence and may revise this determination based on the pertinent literature and society recommendations.”
In November 2024, we announced that we submitted to MolDx our complete clinical evidence package in support of a request for reconsideration of the non-coverage language in the LCD to secure Medicare coverage for EsoGuard. As part of the LCD reconsideration process, MolDx-participating Medicare Administrative Contractors convened a CAC Meeting regarding the LCD on September 4, 2025. At the meeting, eleven experts, including physicians across multiple specialties (GI, primary care, pathology), major society guideline co-authors (ACG, AGA) and industry leaders (American Foregut Society, American Society for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy), participated in this extensive discussion of the unmet clinical need with respect to early detection of esophageal precancer and the strength of the EsoGuard clinical validity and clinical utility data. However, there can be no assurance that MolDx will determine that we meet the criteria for coverage as specified in the LCD. If we are not granted coverage, or if a determination is substantially delayed, that could have a material adverse effect on our ability to commercialize EsoGuard.
Commercial third-party payors often rely upon Medicare coverage policy and payment limitations in setting their own reimbursement policies. Third-party payors are increasingly attempting to contain healthcare costs by limiting both coverage and the level of reimbursement for new healthcare products. As a result, there is uncertainty surrounding whether EsoGuard or EsoCheck will be eligible for coverage by third-party payors or, if eligible for coverage, what the reimbursement rates will be. Reimbursement of esophageal precancer and cancer screening by a third-party payor may depend on a number of factors, including a payor’s determination that tests using our technologies are sufficiently sensitive and specific for esophageal cancer and precancer; not experimental or investigational; approved or recommended by the major guidelines organizations; reliable, safe and effective; medically necessary; appropriate for the specific patient; and cost-effective.
Coverage determinations and reimbursement rates are also subject to the effects of federal and state coverage mandates and other healthcare regulations and reform initiatives as described below. As noted below, federal and state coverage mandates may be deemed not to apply to EsoGuard and EsoCheck, may be interpreted in a manner unfavorable to us, may be difficult to enforce and are subject to repeal or modification.
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In addition to the risk of adverse reimbursement decisions, we also may experience material delays in obtaining such reimbursement decisions and payment for our EsoGuard test and EsoCheck device that are beyond our control. Further, there can be no assurance that CMS and other third-party payors who initially decide to cover our products will continue to do so. Coverage determinations and reimbursement rates are subject to change, including as a result of reimbursement rate adjustments under the Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014, (“PAMA”) as described below, and we cannot guarantee that even if we initially achieve coverage and adequate reimbursement rates, they will continue to be applicable to our products in the future. Furthermore, it is possible that Medicare or other federal payors that provide reimbursement for our tests may suspend, revoke or discontinue coverage at any time, may require co-payments from patients, or may reduce the reimbursement rates payable to us.
If we are unable to obtain favorable decisions from third-party payors, including CMS and managed care organizations, approving reimbursement at adequate levels for our EsoGuard test and EsoCheck device, and any other product or service we may develop, or if coverage is later revoked or reimbursement levels are reduced, our commercial success will be compromised, our ability to raise capital may be restricted and our revenues would be significantly limited.
Even where a third-party payor agrees to cover EsoGuard and EsoCheck at an adequate reimbursement rate, other factors may have a significant impact on the actual reimbursement we receive for an EsoGuard test or EsoCheck device from that payor. For example, if we do not have a contract with a given payor, we may be deemed an “out-of-network” provider by that payor, which could result in the payor allocating a portion of the cost of the EsoGuard test or EsoCheck device to the patient, notwithstanding any applicable coverage mandate. We may be unsuccessful in our efforts to enter into, or maintain, a network contract with a given payor, and we expect that our network status with a given payor may change from time to time for a variety of reasons, many of which may be outside our control. To the extent EsoGuard or EsoCheck is out of network for a given payor, physicians may be less likely to prescribe EsoGuard and EsoCheck for their patients and their patients may be less likely to comply with those prescriptions that are written. Also, some payors may require that they give prior authorization for an EsoGuard test or EsoCheck device before they are willing to pay for it or review claims post-service to ensure the service was medically appropriate for specific patients. Prior authorization and other medical management practices may require that we, patients or physicians provide the payor with extensive medical records and other information. Prior authorization and other medical management practices impose a significant additional cost on us, may be difficult to comply with given our position as a laboratory that generally does not have direct access to patient medical records, may make physicians less likely to prescribe EsoGuard and EsoCheck for their patients, and may make patients less likely to comply with physician orders for EsoGuard and EsoCheck, all or any of which may have an adverse effect on our revenues. Payment rates also may vary according to the use of the product and the clinical setting in which it is used, may be based on payments allowed for lower cost products that are already reimbursed and may be incorporated into existing payments for other services.
If we fail to maintain CLIA-certification or otherwise meet the applicable requirements of federal or state law regulating commercial clinical laboratories, such failure could limit or prevent our ability to perform our EsoGuard test, or any other tests which we may develop, license or acquire, affect any payor consideration of such tests, prevent their clearance or approval entirely, and/or interrupt the commercial sale and/or marketing of any such tests, cause us to incur significant expense to remedy this failure and otherwise negatively impact our business.
We have currently hold the certificates, licenses, and accreditations required to perform our clinical laboratory testing. Clinical laboratories are subject to periodic inspection by federal and state regulators and accrediting bodies, and may be subject to sanctions for noncompliance. and to sanctions for failing to comply with applicable requirements. Sanctions available under CLIA and applicable certain state laws include suspending, limiting, or revoking certificates or licenses; prohibiting a laboratory from running tests; requiring a laboratory to implement a corrective action plan; and imposing civil monetary penalties; and, in certain cases, exclusion from participation in federal healthcare programs. Failure to comply with any applicable requirements of CLIA or state laboratory requirements could result in enforcement action, interruption of our laboratory operations, and increased cost. It also could adversely affect the commercialization of our products and service or future regulatory determinations by CMS or other governmental authorities, or otherwise negatively impact our business.
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EsoGuard may not be jointly marketed as a combined product with EsoCheck without first securing FDA approval of the combined product as an IVD device. If FDA deems that we are jointly marketing such an IVD product with EsoCheck without FDA approval of the combined product as an IVD device, we would be subject to FDA enforcement action which could limit or halt commercialization of our products, and result in FDA sanctions which could severely impact our business.
EsoCheck has received FDA 510(k) clearance permitting us to market it in the U.S. as a cell collection device indicated for use in the collection and retrieval of surface cells of the esophagus in the general population of adults, 22 years of age and older. EsoGuard, on the other hand, has not received FDA approval to be marketed as an IVD device and is being marketed as an LDT. As such we must market EsoGuard and EsoCheck as separate products. Jointly marketing EsoGuard as a combined product with EsoCheck would require us to secure FDA approval of the combined product as an IVD device. If we were to jointly market such products, even inadvertently, without such FDA approval we would be subject to FDA enforcement actions which could result in fines, unanticipated compliance expenditures, recall or seizures of our products, total or partial suspension of production or distribution, restrictions on labeling and promotion, termination of ongoing research, disqualification of data for submission to regulatory authorities, enforcement actions, injunctions and criminal prosecution. Responding to such actions could cause us to incur significant expense, limit or halt commercialization of our products and severely impact our business.
Securing FDA approval of EsoGuard as an IVD device, separately or as a combined product with EsoCheck, is a complex process requiring substantial time, commitment of resources and expense without any assurance that FDA will grant such approval.
FDA has indicated to us through its pre-submission process that jointly marketing EsoGuard combined with EsoCheck as an IVD device would be subject to PMA premarket approval, the most stringent FDA premarket medical device scientific and regulatory review process, which requires sufficient valid scientific evidence in addition to general and special controls to assure that it is safe and effective for its intended use(s). If we choose, or are required, as a result of changes in LDT regulation, to secure FDA approval of EsoGuard as an IVD device, even if not combined with EsoCheck, we expect we would this require FDA PMA approval.
The process of securing FDA PMA approval is complex and requires substantial time, commitment of resources and expense. The process may take many years to complete, and approval may never be obtained. It requires us to demonstrate with substantial evidence, gathered in preclinical and large, complex well-controlled clinical trials, that the planned product is safe and effective for use for as intended. We may not conduct such a trial or may not successfully enroll or complete any such trial, if required.
There can be no assurance that FDA will ever permit us to market EsoGuard, used with EsoCheck, as a combined product. Also, any regulatory clearance or approval of a product, once obtained, may be withdrawn.
Failure to obtain regulatory approvals in foreign jurisdictions will prevent us from marketing our products internationally.
We intend to seek, as resources permit, distribution and marketing partners for one or more of the products we are developing in foreign countries. The approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional clinical testing, and the time required to obtain approval may differ from that required to obtain FDA approval. Moreover, clinical studies or manufacturing processes conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries. Approval by FDA does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries, and approval by one or more foreign regulatory authorities does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other foreign countries or by FDA. However, a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory process in others. The foreign regulatory approval process may include all of the risks associated with obtaining FDA approval. We may not obtain foreign regulatory approvals on a timely basis, if at all. We may not be able to file for regulatory approvals and even if we file, we may not receive necessary approvals to commercialize our products in any market.
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Modifications to our cleared or approved products may require new clearances or premarket approvals, or may require us to cease marketing or recall the modified products until clearances are obtained.
For any product approved pursuant to a PMA, we are required to seek supplemental approval for many types of changes to the approved product, for which we will need to determine whether a PMA supplement or other regulatory filing is needed or whether the change may be reported via the PMA Annual Report. Similarly, any modification to a 510(k)-cleared device that could significantly affect its safety or effectiveness, or that would constitute a major change in its intended use, design, or manufacture, requires new 510(k) clearance or, possibly, approval of a new PMA. If the FDA requires us to seek approvals or clearances for modifications to our previously approved or cleared products, for which we concluded that new approvals or clearances are unnecessary, we may be required to cease marketing or distribution of our products or to recall the modified product until we obtain the approval or clearance, and we may be subject to significant regulatory fines or penalties. Foreign regulatory regimes may have comparable requirements, which present the same or substantially similar risks.
Clinical trials necessary to support regulatory submission will be expensive and will require the enrollment of large numbers of patients, and suitable patients may be difficult to identify and recruit. Delays or failures in our clinical trials will prevent us from expanding our commercial efforts and will adversely affect our business, operating results and prospects.
Initiating and completing clinical trials necessary to support regulatory submission will be time-consuming and expensive and their outcome uncertain. Moreover, the results of early clinical trials are not necessarily predictive of future results, and any product we advance into clinical trials may not have favorable results in early or later clinical trials. For example, the results of the studies to date on EsoGuard may not be replicated by any clinical trials undertaken to obtain PMA approval of the use of EsoGuard and EsoCheck together as an IVD device.
Conducting successful clinical studies will require the enrollment of large numbers of patients, and suitable patients may be difficult to identify and recruit. Patient enrollment in clinical trials and completion of patient participation and follow-up depend on many factors, including the size of the patient population, the nature of the trial protocol, the attractiveness of, or the discomforts and risks associated with, the treatments received by patients enrolled as subjects, the availability of appropriate clinical trial investigators, support staff, and proximity of patients to clinical sites and ability to comply with the eligibility and exclusion criteria for participation in the clinical trial and patient compliance. For example, patients may be discouraged from enrolling in our clinical trials if the trial protocol requires them to undergo extensive post-treatment procedures or follow-up to assess the safety and effectiveness of our products or if they determine that the treatments received under the trial protocols are not attractive or involve unacceptable risks, discomforts or expenditures. Patients may also not participate in our clinical trials if they choose to participate in contemporaneous clinical trials of competitive products. In addition, patients participating in clinical trials may die before completion of the trial or suffer adverse medical events unrelated to investigational products.
Development of sufficient and appropriate clinical protocols to demonstrate safety and efficacy may be required and we may not adequately develop such protocols to support clearance and approval. Further, FDA may require us to submit data on a greater number of patients than it originally anticipated and/or for a longer follow-up period or change the data collection requirements or data analysis for any clinical trials. Delays in patient enrollment or failure of patients to continue to participate in a clinical trial may cause an increase in costs and delays in the approval and attempted commercialization of our products or result in the failure of the clinical trial. FDA may not consider our data adequate to demonstrate safety and efficacy. Such increased costs and delays or failures could adversely affect our business, operating results and prospects.
We expect to depend on clinical investigators, medical institutions and contract research organizations to perform the clinical trials. If these parties do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations or meet expected deadlines, or if the quality, completeness or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to the failure to adhere to our clinical protocols or for other reasons, our clinical trials may have to be extended, delayed or terminated. Many of these factors would be beyond our control. We may not be able to enter into replacement arrangements without undue delays or considerable expenditures. If there are delays in testing or approvals as a result of the failure to perform by third parties, our research and development costs would increase, and we may not be able to obtain regulatory clearance or approval for EsoGuard and any other products we may develop. In addition, we may not be able to establish or maintain relationships with these parties on favorable terms, if at all. Each of these outcomes would harm our ability to market EsoGuard and any other products we may develop, license or acquire, or to achieve sustained profitability.
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The results of our clinical trials may not support our product candidate claims or may result in the discovery of adverse side effects.
Even if our clinical trials are completed as planned, it cannot be certain that study results will support product candidate claims or that FDA or foreign regulatory authorities will agree with our conclusions regarding them. Success in pre-clinical evaluation and early clinical trials does not ensure that later clinical trials will be successful, and we cannot be sure that the later trials will replicate the results of prior trials and pre-clinical studies. The clinical trial process may fail to demonstrate that our product candidates are safe and effective for the proposed indicated uses or otherwise influence medical decisions in the manner we need to show to evidence the clinical utility of our product candidates, which could cause us to abandon a product candidate and may delay development of others. Any delay or termination of our clinical trials will delay the filing of our product submissions and, ultimately, our ability to commercialize our product candidates and generate revenues (in particular where evidence of clinical utility is a critical factor to payor’s decisions around reimbursement). It is also possible that patients enrolled in clinical trials will experience adverse side effects that are not currently part of the product candidate’s profile.
Our principal ongoing clinical trials are those that relate to EsoGuard. For a summary of the status and certain information concerning the results of those trials, please see above under “Background and Overview—Clinical Utility and Clinical Trials”.
If our clinical studies do not satisfy providers, payors, patients and others as to the reliability and performance of our EsoGuard test and the EsoCheck device, or any other product or service we may develop and seek to commercialize, we may experience reluctance or refusal on the part of physicians to order, and third-party payors to pay for, such test.
Although we have received FDA 510(k) clearance to market EsoCheck, and EsoGuard may be performed in our own CLIA-certified commercial clinical laboratory and marketed as an LDT, if the results of any research and clinical studies conducted by us, including those conducted for the purpose of obtaining FDA approval of the combined EsoGuard and EsoCheck product as an IVD device, and our sales and marketing activities relating to communication of these results, do not convince guidelines organizations, physicians and other healthcare providers, third-party payors and patients that EsoGuard and EsoCheck are safe and effective, we may experience reluctance or refusal on the part of physicians to order, and third-party payors to pay for, EsoGuard or EsoCheck, which could adversely affect our business prospects.
EsoCheck and any other products we develop that receive regulatory clearance or approval will be subject to ongoing regulatory obligations and continued regulatory review, which may result in significant additional expense and subject us to penalties if we fail to comply with applicable regulatory requirements.
Even after regulatory clearance or approval has been obtained for our products, the cleared or approved product and its manufacturer remain subject to continual review by FDA or non-U.S. regulatory authorities. Our cleared or approved products may be subject to limitations on the indicated uses for which the product may be marketed, as in the case of the FDA 510(k) marketing clearance for our EsoCheck cell collection device. Furthermore, future approvals may contain requirements for potentially costly post-marketing follow-up studies to monitor the safety and efficacy of the approved product. There is a risk that FDA may modify or withdraw the approval of a product if the results of a post-approval study are not satisfactory or are inconsistent with previous studies. We may rely on third parties, such as contract research organizations, medical institutions and clinical investigators to conduct any post-approval studies. We will have limited control over the activities of these third parties and any post-approval studies may be delayed or halted prior to its completion for reasons outside our control.