Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Careful consideration should be given to the following material risk factors, in addition to the other information set forth in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and in other documents that we file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) in evaluating us and our business. Investing in our common stock involves a high degree of risk. If any of the following risks and uncertainties actually occurs, our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected. The risks described below are not intended to be exhaustive and are not the only risks we face. New risk factors can emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict the impact that any factor or combination of factors may have on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
References to XPOVIO® (selinexor) also refer to NEXPOVIO® (selinexor) when discussing its approval and commercialization in certain countries or territories outside of the U.S.
Risks Related to Our Financial Position and Capital Requirements
Our financial condition raises substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern.
We will require substantial funds to maintain our research and development programs, including as we continue to develop and seek regulatory approval of selinexor for multiple cancer indications, and to support our continued operations. We have incurred significant operating losses since our inception. As of December 31, 2025, we had approximately $63.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments.
We believe that our existing liquidity, including cash, cash equivalents and investments, as well as cash flow from net product revenue and license and other revenue, will enable us to fund our current operating plans into the second quarter of 2026. We will require additional capital to complete the ongoing clinical development of selinexor, including the Phase 3 SENTRY trial beyond top-line results, the Phase 3 XPORT-EC-042 trial and the Phase 3 XPORT-MM-031/EMN29 trial. We have based this assessment on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could exhaust our capital resources sooner than we expect. We anticipate that we will continue to incur significant operating losses as we continue our research and development programs, including as we continue to develop and seek regulatory approval of selinexor for multiple cancer indications, and to support our continued operations. As a result, our continued operations are dependent on our ability to raise additional funding and/or enter into strategic alternatives, as described in the risk factor entitled “We will need additional funding or to enter into strategic alternatives to achieve our business objectives. If we are unable to raise sufficient capital or to enter into strategic alternatives on acceptable terms to meet our needs, we may be forced to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development programs and/or commercialization efforts,” below. Based on our current business plan and current capital resources, given the uncertainty regarding the availability of additional funding or other strategic alternatives and considering our debt service obligations, including requirements under our Amended Credit Agreement, as defined below, and the indentures governing our 9.00% convertible senior notes due 2028 (the “2028 Notes”) and 9.00% convertible senior notes due 2029 (the “New 2029 Notes”, and together with the 2028 Notes, the “Convertible Notes”) to maintain cash, cash equivalents and investments of at least $10.0 million, subject to increase in the event we issue indebtedness for borrowed money or issue capital stock, through October 10, 2026, after which we will be required to maintain liquidity of at least $25.0 million, we have concluded that there is substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date the accompanying consolidated financial statements are issued.
We plan to address the conditions that raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern by, among other things, obtaining additional funding through equity offerings, debt financings and refinancings, collaborations, strategic alliances and/or licensing arrangements. In addition, we expect to evaluate opportunities to raise additional funds from time to time, including through the issuance and sale of shares of our common stock under our Open Market Sale Agreement with Jefferies LLC and in connection with the reporting of data from our ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials. However, there is no assurance that such additional financing or strategic alternatives will be available on terms acceptable to us, or at all.
Additionally, we have issued or reserved a significant portion of our currently authorized shares of common stock, which limits the number of authorized and unreserved shares available to raise capital for our business plans and strategic initiatives. The amount of unreserved shares of common stock may be insufficient, and could impede our ability to, raise sufficient capital through future equity or equity-linked offerings to meet our cash needs to fund our planned operations and to continue operations. Increasing the authorized number of shares of common stock requires the approval of our stockholders. We have scheduled a Special Meeting of Stockholders to be held on February 18, 2026 to seek stockholder approval for an increase in our authorized shares of capital stock and common stock. There is no guarantee that a sufficient number of stockholders will vote to approve the increase and, if the increase is not approved by the requisite vote of our stockholders, it will limit our ability to raise capital through future equity or equity-linked offerings.
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If we utilize our capital resources more quickly than anticipated or are unable to obtain additional funding or engage in strategic alternatives, we may have to significantly curtail, delay, reduce or eliminate one or more of our research and development programs or any current or future commercialization efforts for one or more of our products or product candidates, which could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. We may determine to take additional actions to reduce our spending in the near term. As we announced in July 2025, we reduced our workforce by approximately 20% as part of our ongoing careful management of operating expenses. If we are unable to continue as a going concern, we may have to liquidate assets and may receive less than the value at which those assets are carried on our financial statements. We may also determine to cease operations or file for bankruptcy protection. In any of these circumstances, it is likely that investors will lose all or part of their investment. If there remains substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern, investors or other financing sources may be unwilling to provide funding to us on commercially reasonable terms, if at all.
We have incurred significant losses since inception, expect to continue to incur significant losses, and may never achieve or maintain profitability.
Since inception, we have incurred significant operating losses. Our loss from operations was $90.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2025. As of December 31, 2025, we had an accumulated deficit of $1.8 billion. As described above in “Our financial condition raises substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern,” our financial condition raises substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern. Although we received our first FDA-approval for XPOVIO in July 2019, we may never attain profitability or positive cash flows from operations. We have historically financed our operations primarily through a combination of proceeds from (i) product revenue sales; (ii) public and private placements of equity securities; (iii) the issuance of convertible debt; (iv) a term loan; (v) our deferred royalty obligation; (vi) at the market offerings; and (vii) business development activities. Substantially all of our operating losses have resulted from costs incurred in connection with our research and development programs, the pursuit of regulatory approvals within and outside of the U.S., and the commercialization of XPOVIO. We expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses as we continue to commercialize XPOVIO in the U.S. and engage in activities to prepare for the potential approval and commercialization of additional indications for selinexor as well as any other product candidates we develop or acquire. The net losses we incur may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter.
While we began to generate revenue from the sales of XPOVIO in July 2019 and have received revenue from our license arrangements, such as the partnership we have with Antengene Therapeutics Limited (“Antengene”) for our programs across most of the Asia-Pacific region, and with Berlin-Chemie AG, an affiliate of the Menarini Group (“Menarini”) for our programs in Europe, Latin America, certain Middle East and Africa regions and other key countries, there can be no assurance as to the amount or timing of future product or license and other revenues, and we may not achieve profitability in the near-term, if at all. Our ability to become and remain profitable depends significantly on our success in many areas, including:
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effectively commercializing XPOVIO or any future products either on our own or with a collaborator, including by maintaining a full commercial organization required to market, sell and distribute our products, and achieving an adequate level of market acceptance;
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the impact of current or future competing products on product sales of XPOVIO or any of our future products;
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obtaining sufficient pricing, coverage and reimbursement, including government pricing and reimbursement policies or a change in the mix of our business affecting discounts and/or rebates related to 340B Programs, Medicare and Medicaid, for XPOVIO and any of our other approved products from private and government payers and the impact of any pricing changes, any of which can impact our gross-to-net provisions related to product sales;
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initiating and successfully completing clinical trials required to file for, obtain and maintain marketing approval for our product candidates, including reporting a positive benefit-risk profile from our ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials in myelofibrosis and endometrial cancer, with top-line data from both trials anticipated in 2026;
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obtaining and maintaining regulatory approvals, either by us or our collaborators, and the timing of such approvals;
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placement of selinexor in the treatment recommendations adopted by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network and similar guidelines;
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manufacturing at commercial scale;
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establishing and managing any collaborations for the development, marketing and/or commercialization of our products and product candidates, including the level of success of our collaborators’ efforts and the timing and amount of any milestone or royalty payments we may receive;
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obtaining, maintaining and protecting our intellectual property rights;
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the willingness of patients to pay out-of-pocket in the absence of third-party coverage or as co-pay amounts under third-party coverage; for example, multiple myeloma foundation closures during 2023 resulted in significantly increased use of our Patient Assistance Program, which adversely impacted our 2023 revenues; and
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navigating the negative impacts to healthcare systems, the ability of our clinical trial sites to conduct current or future trials and the regulatory review process.
We anticipate that our operating expenses will continue to be significant and could increase as we continue to:
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commercialize XPOVIO in the U.S., including maintaining our commercial infrastructure, and engage in activities to prepare for the potential approval and commercialization of additional indications for selinexor;
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obtain and/or maintain regulatory approval for XPOVIO and our product candidates, including completing any required post-marketing requirements to the satisfaction of the FDA or other regulatory agencies;
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invest in our research and development programs, identify additional product candidates and initiate and conduct clinical trials, including clinical trials required by the FDA or other regulatory agencies in addition to those that have been or are currently expected to be conducted;
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maintain, expand and protect our intellectual property portfolio;
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manufacture XPOVIO and our product candidates; and
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evaluate strategic opportunities, such as the acquisition or in-license of other products, product candidates, technologies or companies.
Because of the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with pharmaceutical product development and commercialization, we are unable to accurately predict the timing or amount of our revenue and expenses or when, or if, we will be able to achieve profitability. We cannot be certain that our revenue from sales of XPOVIO alone, in the currently approved indications, will be sufficient for us to become profitable in the near-term, if at all. We may never generate revenues that are significant or large enough to achieve profitability. Even if we do achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability on a quarterly or annual basis. Our failure to become and remain profitable would decrease the value of our company and could impair our ability to raise capital, maintain our research and development and commercialization efforts, expand our business and/or continue our operations. A decline in the value of our company could also cause our stockholders to lose all or part of their investment.
We will need additional funding or to enter into strategic alternatives to achieve our business objectives. If we are unable to raise sufficient capital or to enter into strategic alternatives on acceptable terms to meet our needs, we may be forced to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development programs and/or commercialization efforts.
Discovering, developing and commercializing products involve time-consuming, expensive and uncertain processes that take years to complete. We have used substantial funds to develop XPOVIO and expect our operating expenses to continue to increase as we continue to commercialize XPOVIO or any future approved product, conduct further research and development of our product candidates, seek marketing approval and prepare for commercialization of selinexor in additional indications or for our other product candidates, if approved, to the extent that such functions are not the responsibility of a collaborator. Furthermore, we will continue to incur additional costs associated with operating as a public company, hiring or retaining personnel and expanding our geographical reach. Although currently XPOVIO is commercially available in three indications, we do not anticipate that our revenue from product sales of XPOVIO or any funds we may receive from our collaborators will be sufficient for us to become profitable in the near-term, if at all. Accordingly, we will need to continue to rely on additional financing, or strategic alternatives, to achieve our business objectives.
We believe that our existing liquidity, including cash, cash equivalents and investments, as well as cash flow from net product revenue and license and other revenue, will enable us to fund our current operating plans into the second quarter of 2026. The amount and timing of our future capital requirements will depend on many factors, including, but not limited to:
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the timing and success of our efforts to enter into strategic alternatives, if available;
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our ability to extend our cash runway through additional financing activities;
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the scope, progress, results, timing and costs of our current and planned development efforts and regulatory review of our product candidates;
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the amount and timing of revenues from sales of XPOVIO, or any product candidate that we develop or acquire;
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the cost of, and our ability to expand and maintain, the commercial infrastructure required to support the commercialization of XPOVIO and any other product for which we receive marketing approval, including medical affairs, manufacturing, marketing and distribution functions;
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our ability to establish and maintain collaboration, partnership, licensing, marketing, distribution or other arrangements on favorable terms and the level and timing of success of these arrangements, and our ability to use proceeds of those arrangements in our business as opposed to being required to pay those proceeds to the lenders of our $112.5 million senior secured term loan facility, as amended in October 2025 (the “Amended Term Loan”) and/or holders of the Convertible Notes;
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the extent to which we acquire or in-license other products, product candidates, technologies or other companies, and our ability to enter into such acquisitions and in-licenses pursuant to the restrictions under the Amended Term Loan and the Convertible Notes;
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the costs and timing of preparing, filing and prosecuting patent applications, maintaining and enforcing our intellectual property rights and defending intellectual property-related claims; and
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our ability to continue as a going concern.
In addition, the terms of any financing may adversely affect the holdings or the rights of our stockholders. If we raise additional funds by issuing equity or equity-linked securities, dilution to our existing stockholders will result. In addition, as a condition to providing additional funding to us, future investors may demand, and may be granted, rights superior to those of existing stockholders. Moreover, in addition to the restrictions on our operations under the Amended Term Loan and the Convertible Notes, the restrictions contained in the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement (defined below) and the repayment requirements in respect of obligations from proceeds of the transactions under each of the foregoing agreements, any future debt financing, if available and permitted, may involve further restrictive covenants that could limit our flexibility in conducting future business activities and using transaction proceeds in our business and, in the event of insolvency, the Amended Term Loan, the Convertible Notes, the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement obligations, and any further indebtedness, if available and permitted, would be paid before holders of equity securities received any distribution of corporate assets. Our ability to satisfy and meet our current and any future debt service obligations will depend upon our future performance, which will be subject to financial, business and other factors affecting our operations, many of which are beyond our control.
Even if we believe we have sufficient funds for our current or future operating plans, we may seek additional capital due to favorable market conditions or strategic considerations, and any such efforts could divert management’s attention away from their day-to-day activities. However, adequate additional financing has not been, and may continue to not be, available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. Raising additional capital may be particularly challenging in the current economic environment, as adverse or uncertain financial market conditions, including inflationary pressures, sustained high interest rates, volatility in the capital markets and slower economic growth or recession, could negatively impact investor demand for biotechnology equity or debt offerings. We cannot predict the extent or duration of such conditions or their impact on our ability to access the capital markets on acceptable terms.
In addition, changes in government policies, priorities and administration could create increased uncertainty and volatility that adversely affect our business, our ability to raise capital, and our ability to enter into strategic alternatives. For example, evolving healthcare, pricing and reimbursement policies, including potential drug pricing reforms such as “most-favored-nation” or similar pricing frameworks, as well as shifts in regulatory or enforcement priorities at federal agencies, including the FDA and other governmental bodies, could negatively affect investor sentiment, the perceived commercial viability of our product and our access to financing. Further, instability or disruption in the global or domestic banking system could impair our access to cash deposits or limit the availability of financing from financial institutions. If adequate funds are not available to us on a timely basis or on attractive terms, we may be required to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development programs or any current or future commercialization efforts for one or more of our products or product candidates, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and prospects.
We are continuing to evaluate strategic alternatives, which may include a potential merger or sale of the Company; in or out of court restructurings; repurchases, redemptions, exchanges or other refinancings of the Company’s existing debt; and financing transactions; among other potential alternatives. The potential impact and success of our exploration of any strategic alternatives, if available at all, are uncertain and may not be successful.
In October 2025, we announced that we are continuing to evaluate potential financing transactions along with strategic alternatives to maximize near and long-term stockholder value, which may include, but are not limited to, a merger or sale of the Company, in or out of court restructurings, repurchases, redemptions, exchanges or other refinancings of our existing debt, and financing transactions, among other potential alternatives. Our ability to successfully raise additional funds or execute on a financing
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transaction or a strategic alternative is dependent on a number of factors. If we are not able to successfully consummate a financing transaction or strategic alternative, our Board may explore a sale of assets or the initiation of bankruptcy proceedings under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. Further, our indebtedness, as discussed under the risk factor titled “Our indebtedness could limit cash flow available for our operations, expose us to risks that could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations and impair our ability to satisfy our obligations under the Amended Term Loan, the Convertible Notes or the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement,” may be unattractive to potential sources of funding and strategic partners and may decrease our ability to consummate a financing transaction or enter into a strategic alternative. Additionally, the negotiation and consummation of a financing transaction or strategic alternative may be costly and time-consuming. Even if we are able to consummate a financing transaction or a strategic alternative, it may not maximize or even enhance stockholder value, could result in total costs and expenses that are greater than expected, could make it more difficult to attract and retain qualified personnel and may disrupt our operations, each of which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
The market price of our common stock may reflect a market assumption that a strategic alternative will occur, and a failure to complete a strategic alternative on favorable terms, in an advantageous timeframe, or at all could result in negative investor perceptions and could cause a decline in the market price of our common stock, which could adversely affect our ability to access the equity and financial markets, as well as our ability to explore and enter into future strategic alternatives. In addition, potential strategic alternatives, if available, that require stockholder approval may not be approved by our stockholders.
Our Amended Revenue Interest Agreement with KKR contains various covenants and other provisions, which, if violated, could, subject to the Amended and Restated Intercreditor Agreement, result in the acceleration of payments due under such agreement or the foreclosure on the pledged collateral, including all of our present and future assets relating to selinexor.
In September 2019, we entered into the Revenue Interest Financing Agreement with certain entities managed by HealthCare Royalty Management, LLC (“HCRx”), which was amended on June 23, 2021, August 1, 2023, May 8, 2024, August 14, 2025, August 27, 2025 and October 7, 2025 and which was assigned by HCRx to an affiliate of KKR & Co. Inc. (“KKR”) in July 2025 in connection with its acquisition of a majority ownership stake in HCRx (the “Amended Revenue Interest Agreement”). Pursuant to the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement, we are required to comply with various covenants relating to the conduct of our business and the commercialization of XPOVIO, including obligations to use commercially reasonable efforts to commercialize our products. In addition, the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement limits our ability to incur or prepay indebtedness, create or incur liens, pay dividends on or repurchase outstanding shares of our capital stock or dispose of assets. The Amended Revenue Interest Agreement also includes customary events of default upon the occurrence of enumerated events, including non-payment of revenue interests, failure to perform certain covenants and the occurrence of insolvency proceedings, specified judgments, specified cross-defaults and specified revocations, withdrawals, suspensions or cancellations of regulatory approval for XPOVIO. Upon the occurrence of an event of default and in the event of a change of control, KKR may accelerate payments due under the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement up to $128.3 million, less the aggregate amount of all of the payments paid to HCRx and KKR after the date of the May 2024 amendment. Our obligations to KKR are secured by a second-priority security interest in certain assets of ours related to selinexor, which shares such second priority with the Convertible Notes and which is subordinated to the first-priority security interest securing the Amended Term Loan. Subject to an intercreditor agreement with KKR, the Amended Term Loan lenders and the holders of the New 2029 Notes (the “Amended and Restated Intercreditor Agreement”), in the event that an uncured default by us under the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement results in an acceleration of obligations by KKR which we are unable to pay, KKR will have the right to foreclose on the collateral that was pledged to KKR. Any such foreclosure remedy would significantly and adversely affect us and could result in us losing our interest in such assets, which would have a material adverse impact on our business.
Our Credit Agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes contain various covenants and other provisions, which will limit the manner in which we may operate, and, if violated, could, subject to the Amended and Restated Intercreditor Agreement, result in the acceleration of payments due under such agreements or the foreclosure on the pledged collateral, including all of our present and future assets.
The October 2025 First Amendment and Waiver to Credit and Guaranty Agreement, with the lenders party thereto and Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB, as administrative agent for the lenders and collateral agent (as amended, the “Amended Credit Agreement”) which amended the May 2024 credit and guaranty agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes contain, and any future indebtedness that we incur may contain, various negative covenants that restrict, among other things, our indebtedness, liens, fundamental changes, asset sales, investments and other matters. In addition, the Amended Credit Agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes each have a financial covenant requiring us to maintain liquidity of at least $10.0 million, subject to increase in the event we issue indebtedness for borrowed money or issue capital stock, through October 10, 2026, after which we will be required to maintain liquidity of at least $25.0 million. As a result, we are limited in the manner in which we conduct our business and we may be unable to engage in favorable business activities. The Amended Credit Agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes also contain certain events of default, after which the Amended Term Loan or the Convertible Notes may be due and payable immediately, including, without limitation, withdrawal of approval for selinexor with
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respect to its current approved indication for use with bortezomib and dexamethasone, payment defaults, material inaccuracy of representations and warranties, covenant defaults, bankruptcy and insolvency proceedings, cross-defaults to certain other agreements, judgments against us and our subsidiaries, change in control and lien priority. Our obligations under the Amended Credit Agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes are secured by substantially all of our assets. Subject to the Amended and Restated Intercreditor Agreement, in the event that an uncured default by us under the Amended Credit Agreement or the indentures governing the Convertible Notes results in an acceleration of obligations thereunder, the Amended Term Loan lenders and the holders of the Convertible Notes will have the right to foreclose on the collateral that was pledged to each such party. Any such foreclosure remedy would significantly and adversely affect us and could result in us losing our interest in such assets, which would have a material adverse impact on our business.
Our indebtedness could limit cash flow available for our operations, expose us to risks that could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations and impair our ability to satisfy our obligations under the Amended Term Loan, the Convertible Notes or the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement.
In October 2025, we entered into a series of transactions with our term loan lenders, holders of our outstanding convertible notes and other investors to provide financial flexibility, additional working capital and equitize maturing notes (collectively, the “Financing Transactions”). Following consummation of the Financing Transactions, we had (i) $112.5 million of aggregate principal amount under the Amended Term Loan; (ii) $15.0 million aggregate principal amount of the 2028 Notes; (iii) $103.5 million aggregate principal amount of the New 2029 Notes; and (iv) $116.2 million of maximum remaining payments payable under our revenue interest financings agreement. We may also incur additional indebtedness to meet future financing needs, to the extent such indebtedness is available and permitted under the agreements governing our existing indebtedness. Our indebtedness could have significant negative consequences for our security holders and our business, results of operations and financial condition by, among other things:
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increasing our vulnerability to adverse economic and industry conditions;
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limiting our ability to obtain additional financing;
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requiring the dedication of a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations to service our indebtedness, which would reduce the amount of cash available for other purposes;
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limiting our flexibility to plan for, or react to, changes in our business;
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diluting the interests of our existing stockholders as a result of issuing shares of our common stock upon conversion of the Convertible Notes and/or the exercise of outstanding warrants; and
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placing us at a possible competitive disadvantage with competitors that are less leveraged than we are or have better access to capital.
Our ability to pay the principal of or interest or other obligations on our present and any future indebtedness, including our remaining obligations to KKR and under the Amended Credit Agreement, the Convertible Notes, or to make cash payments in connection with any conversion of the Convertible Notes, depends on our future performance and ability to raise additional funds, which is subject, in part, to economic, financial, competitive and other factors beyond our control. Our business may not generate cash flow from operations in the future sufficient to service the Amended Term Loan, the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement, the Convertible Notes or any other future indebtedness and make necessary capital expenditures.
We may not have the ability to raise the funds necessary to settle any conversions of or other obligations in respect of the Convertible Notes required to be settled in cash, to repay the Convertible Notes at maturity, to repurchase the Convertible Notes for cash upon a fundamental change, to pay the redemption price for any Convertible Notes we redeem or to refinance the Convertible Notes, and any future debt we incur may contain limitations on our ability to pay cash upon conversion or repurchase of the Convertible Notes.
If we do not have enough available cash at the time we are required to repurchase the Convertible Notes, pay cash amounts due upon conversion or redemption of, at maturity or otherwise required to be paid in respect of the Convertible Notes or refinance the Convertible Notes, we may be required to adopt one or more alternatives, such as selling assets, restructuring indebtedness or obtaining additional debt financing or equity capital on terms that may be onerous or highly dilutive. Our ability to refinance the Convertible Notes or other future indebtedness will depend on the capital markets, our financial condition at such time and our obligations under any other existing indebtedness in effect at such time. We may not be able to engage in any of these activities on desirable terms, or at all, which could result in a default on our debt obligations, including the Convertible Notes. In addition, our ability to repurchase the Convertible Notes, to pay cash upon conversion or redemption or at maturity of the Convertible Notes or to refinance the Convertible Notes may be limited by law, regulatory authority or agreements governing any future indebtedness that we may incur. Our failure to repurchase the Convertible Notes at a time when the repurchase is required by the applicable indenture
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governing such notes or to pay cash upon conversion or at maturity of or in respect of other obligations under the Convertible Notes as required by the applicable indenture governing such notes would constitute a default under such indenture.
Note holders may require us to repurchase their Convertible Notes following a fundamental change at a cash repurchase price generally equal to the principal amount of the Convertible Notes to be repurchased, plus accrued and unpaid interest.
The 2028 Notes will be convertible by holders of the 2028 Notes into shares of common stock at an initial conversion rate of 150.6024 shares per $1,000 principal amount of 2028 Notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of $6.64 per share of common stock). The conversion rate will be subject to adjustment upon the occurrence of certain events as provided in the 2028 Notes Indenture. Holders of the 2028 Notes may convert their 2028 Notes at their option at any time prior to the close of business on the scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date of the 2028 Notes.
The 2029 Notes will be convertible by holders of the 2029 Notes into shares of common stock at an initial conversion rate of 44.444 shares per $1,000 principal amount of 2029 Notes (equivalent to an initial conversion price of $22.50 per share of common stock). The conversion rate will be subject to adjustment upon the occurrence of certain events as provided in the 2029 Notes Indenture. Holders of the 2029 Notes may convert their 2029 Notes at their option at any time prior to the close of business on the scheduled trading day immediately preceding the maturity date of the 2029 Notes.
A default under the indentures governing the Convertible Notes or the fundamental change itself could also lead to a default under the Amended Credit Agreement, the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement or agreements governing our future indebtedness, if any. Moreover, the occurrence of a fundamental change under the indentures governing the Convertible Notes could constitute an event of default under any such agreements. If the repayment of the related indebtedness were to be accelerated after any applicable notice or grace periods, we may not have sufficient funds to repay the indebtedness and repurchase the Convertible Notes or to pay cash upon conversion or at maturity of the Convertible Notes.
The accounting method for convertible debt securities such as the Convertible Notes could have a material effect on our reported financial results.
Conversions of the Convertible Notes may only be settled in shares (subject to, and in accordance with, the settlement provisions of the indentures governing the Convertible Notes), plus cash in lieu of any fractional shares. Under the if-converted method, the maximum potential dilutive impact of the conversion of the Convertible Notes is assumed when calculating diluted earnings per share during periods of net income. This could result in a material impact to diluted earnings per share. Diluted earnings per share is not impacted by the Convertible Notes during periods of net loss.
Raising additional capital and other equity issuances by us may cause dilution to our stockholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our product candidates.
Until such time, if ever, as we can generate substantial revenues from the sale of our products, we expect to finance our cash needs through a combination of equity offerings, debt financings and refinancings, collaborations, strategic alliances and/or licensing arrangements or asset sales. We do not have any committed external source of funds. To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, the ownership interests of stockholders will be diluted, and the terms of these securities may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect the rights of common stockholders. In addition, our ability to raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities may be limited by the extent of our then remaining authorized and available shares of common stock. Debt financing, if available and permitted, may involve agreements that include covenants limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions, such as incurring additional debt, making capital expenditures or declaring dividends. For example, during the terms of the Amended Revenue Interest Agreement, the Amended Credit Agreement and the indentures governing the Convertible Notes, we cannot make any voluntary or optional cash payment or prepayment on our existing convertible debt and cannot enter into any new debt without the consent of KKR, the required lenders or the required holders, respectively, subject to the exceptions and other provisions under the applicable governing document. Further, any future renegotiation of these agreements will require extensive, multi-party discussions that will require significant time and resources and could result in additional debt, higher rates of interest, the issuance of additional warrants or equity securities, and dilution to our current stockholders.
If we raise additional funds through further collaborations, strategic alliances or licensing arrangements with third parties, we may have to relinquish valuable rights to our future revenue streams, research programs or product candidates or to grant licenses on terms that may not be favorable to us. If we are unable to raise sufficient additional funds through equity or debt financings, we may be required to delay, limit, reduce or terminate our research and drug development or current or future commercialization efforts or grant rights to develop and market product candidates that we would otherwise prefer to develop and market ourselves.
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We may also issue additional equity securities in other types of transactions that result in additional significant dilution to our stockholders, for example, in connection with other strategic or financing transactions, in exchange transactions similar to the exchange transactions we completed in October 2025 and May 2024 or in other future exchange transactions with our lenders and convertible noteholders, to satisfy obligations to our lenders and our convertible noteholders or other creditors, as equity compensation, or for other reasons.
Unstable market and economic conditions may have serious adverse consequences on our business, financial condition and stock price.
Unstable market and economic conditions may have serious adverse consequences on our business, financial condition and stock price. Global credit and financial markets have experienced periods of extreme disruption in recent years, which have contributed to diminished liquidity and credit availability, declines in consumer and investor confidence and slower economic growth. As a result, financial institutions and markets face a range of risks that could adversely affect our operations and access to capital, including the potential for future banking failures, changes in regulatory frameworks, governing banks and deposit insurance, tightened credit conditions that reduce liquidity availability, volatility in interest rates and evolving cyber threats and disruptions to financial systems and payment networks. If the financial institutions with which we do business were to enter receivership, become insolvent or suffer a significant cyber incident or operational disruption, there is no guarantee that we would have access to our existing cash, cash equivalents and investments, or that we would be able to finance or fund our business on acceptable terms or at all, and any of these outcomes could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition to financial market risks, broader geopolitical and economic volatility could adversely affect our business. Uncertainty associated with governmental policies, shifts in regulatory priorities, and geopolitical tensions, such as conflicts involving multiple regions and nations including Ukraine, Russia, China, the Middle East and other areas of international concern, could negatively influence investor perceptions and economic conditions. While the direct effects of tariffs and trade restrictions to date have been limited, such measures, along with other macroeconomic pressures such as inflation and slower economic growth or recession, may contribute to instability in global markets. There is also a risk that one or more of our service providers, manufacturers or other third parties with which we conduct business may face financial difficulties, geopolitical disruption or operational challenges, which could hinder our ability to meet developmental and commercial objectives on schedule and on budget. If these risks materialize in a manner that disrupts normal economic activity or financial markets, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
Risks Related to Commercialization and Product Development
Our business is substantially dependent on the commercial success of XPOVIO. If we, either alone or with our collaborators, are unable to successfully commercialize current and future indications of XPOVIO or other products or product candidates on a timely basis, including achieving widespread market acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors and others in the medical community, our business, financial condition and future profitability will be materially harmed.
Our business and our ability to generate product revenue from the sales of drugs that treat cancer depend heavily on our and our collaborators’ ability to successfully commercialize our lead drug, XPOVIO® (selinexor), on a global basis in currently approved and future indications, and the level of market adoption for, and the continued use of, our products and product candidates, if approved. XPOVIO is currently approved and marketed in the U.S. in multiple hematologic malignancy indications, including in combination with bortezomib and dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with multiple myeloma who have received at least one prior therapy; in combination with dexamethasone for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma who have received at least four prior therapies and whose disease is refractory to at least two proteasome inhibitors, at least two immunomodulatory agents, and an anti-CD38 monoclonal antibody; and under accelerated approval as a monotherapy for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (“DLBCL”), not otherwise specified, including DLBCL arising from follicular lymphoma, after at least two lines of systemic therapy. Efforts to drive adoption within the medical community and third-party payors based on the benefits of our products and product candidates require significant resources and may not be successful. The success of XPOVIO and any current or future product candidates, whether alone or in collaboration with third parties, including achieving and maintaining an adequate level of market adoption, depends on several factors, including:
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our ability to achieve broad adoption of XPOVIO in earlier lines of therapy or to successfully launch and achieve broad adoption of any future XPOVIO indications or any product candidates for which we obtain marketing approval;
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reporting a positive benefit-risk profile from our ongoing Phase 3 clinical trials in myelofibrosis and endometrial cancer, with top-line data from both trials anticipated in 2026;
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the competitive landscape for our products, including the timing of new competing products entering the market and the level and speed at which these products achieve market acceptance;
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actual or perceived advantages or disadvantages of our products or product candidates as compared to alternative treatments, including their respective safety, tolerability and efficacy profiles, the potential convenience and ease of administration, access or cost effectiveness;
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the effectiveness of our sales, marketing, manufacturing and distribution strategies and operations;
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the consistency of any new data we collect and analyses we conduct with prior results, whether they support a favorable benefit-risk profile of XPOVIO and any potential impact on our U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) approvals and/or FDA package insert for XPOVIO and comparable foreign regulatory approvals and package inserts;
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our ability to comply with the FDA’s and comparable foreign regulatory authorities’ post-marketing requirements and commitments, including through successfully conducting, on a timely basis, additional studies that confirm clinical efficacy, effectiveness and safety of XPOVIO and acceptance of the same by the FDA or similar foreign regulatory bodies;
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acceptance of current indications of XPOVIO and future indications of XPOVIO and other product candidates, if approved, by patients, the medical community and third-party payors;
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obtaining and maintaining coverage, adequate pricing and reimbursement by third-party payors, including government payors, for XPOVIO and our product candidates, if approved;
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the willingness of patients to pay out-of-pocket in the absence of third-party coverage or as co-pay amounts under third-party coverage; for example, multiple myeloma foundation closures during 2023 resulted in significantly increased use of our Patient Assistance Program, which adversely impacted our 2023 revenues;
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our ability to enforce intellectual property rights in and to our products to prohibit a third-party from marketing a competing product and our ability to avoid third-party patent interference or intellectual property infringement claims;
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current and future restrictions or limitations on our approved or future indications and patient populations or other adverse regulatory actions;
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the performance of our manufacturers, license partners, distributors, providers and other business partners, over which we have limited control;
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any significant misestimations of the size of the market and market potential for any of our products or product candidates;
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establishing and maintaining commercial manufacturing capabilities or entering into, maintaining and managing supply and manufacturing agreements with qualified third-party manufacturers;
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the willingness of the target patient population to try new therapies or new treatment paradigms such as bridging therapies and of physicians to prescribe these therapies, based, in part, on their perception of our clinical trial data and/or the actual or perceived safety, tolerability and effectiveness profile;
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the ability for patients to continue on therapies once prescribed, which may be driven by factors such as progression of disease, line of therapy, tolerability and the availability of other competitor therapies;
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maintaining an acceptable safety and tolerability profile of our approved products, including the prevalence and severity of any side effects;
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the ability to offer our products for sale at competitive prices;
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adverse publicity about our products or favorable publicity about competitive products; and
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our ability to maintain compliance with existing and new health care laws and regulations, including government pricing, price reporting and other disclosure requirements related to such laws and regulations, and the potential impact of such laws and regulations on physician prescribing practices and payor coverage.
If we do not achieve one or more of these factors in a timely manner, or at all, either on our own or with our collaborators, we could experience significant delays or an inability to successfully commercialize XPOVIO or our product candidates, if approved, which would materially harm our business.
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We face substantial competition for XPOVIO in multiple myeloma and will face competition for XPOVIO in any additional indications for which it may be approved.
The discovery, development and commercialization of new drugs is highly competitive, particularly in the cancer field. We and our collaborators face competition with respect to XPOVIO and will face competition with respect to any product candidates that we may seek to discover and develop or commercialize in the future, from major pharmaceutical companies, specialty pharmaceutical companies, biotechnology companies, academic institutions and governmental agencies as well as public and private research institutions worldwide, many of which have significantly greater financial resources and expertise in research and development, manufacturing, preclinical studies, conducting clinical trials, obtaining regulatory approvals and marketing approved products than we do.
There are a number of major pharmaceutical, specialty pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies that currently market and sell drugs and/or are pursuing the development of drugs for the treatment of cancer and the other disease indications for which we, and our collaborators, are developing our product candidates. Several new novel therapeutics have recently entered, and are expected to continue to enter, the multiple myeloma treatment landscape. For example, TECVAYLITM (teclistamab-cqyv), the first bispecific T-Cell engager, was approved by the FDA in October 2022, followed by approvals of two more bispecifics, ELREXFIOTM (elranatamab-bcmm) and TALVEYTM (talquetamab-tgvs) in August 2023. Other T-cell engaging therapies, bispecifics with different targets, and immunomodulators are in clinical development and may be introduced into the multiple myeloma market in 2026 and beyond. CARVYKTI® (ciltacabtagene autoleucel; cilta-cel) and Abecma® (idecabtagene vicleucel; ide-cel) were approved in April 2024 for the treatment of multiple myeloma in earlier lines. In October 2025, BLENREP (belantamab mafodotin), a BCMA-targeted bispecific antibody, in combination with bortezomib and dexamethasone was approved. In addition, new competitors and label expansions into earlier lines of existing therapies could also be approved in the future, which could negatively impact our product revenues. The approval of these anti-cancer agents, or any others which may receive regulatory approval, have had a significant impact and may continue to have a significant impact on the therapeutic landscape and our product revenues. See Item 1 under the heading Business - Competition for more information on competition.
We are currently focused on developing and commercializing our products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and there are a variety of available therapies marketed for cancer. In many cases, cancer drugs are administered in combination to enhance efficacy. Some of these drugs are branded and subject to patent protection, and others are available on a generic basis. Many of these approved drugs are well-established therapies and are widely accepted by physicians, patients and third-party payors. Insurers and other third-party payors may also encourage the use of generic drugs. Our products are priced at a significant premium over competitive generic drugs, which may make it difficult for us to achieve our business strategy of using our products in combination with existing therapies or replacing existing therapies with our products.
Further, our commercial opportunity could be reduced or eliminated if our competitors develop and commercialize drugs that are or are perceived to be more effective, safer, more tolerable, more convenient and/or less costly than any of our currently approved products or product candidates or that would render our products obsolete or non-competitive. Our competitors may also obtain marketing approval from the FDA or other regulatory authorities for their products more rapidly than we, or our collaborators, may obtain approval for ours, which could result in our competitors establishing a stronger market position before we, or our collaborators, are able to enter the market or preventing us, or our collaborators, from entering into a particular indication at all.
Mergers and acquisitions in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries may result in even more resources being concentrated among a smaller number of our competitors. Smaller and other early-stage companies may also prove to be significant competitors, particularly through collaborative arrangements with large and established companies. These third parties compete with us in recruiting and retaining qualified scientific and management personnel, establishing clinical trial sites and patient registration for clinical trials, as well as in acquiring technologies complementary to, or that may be necessary for, our programs.
If we are not able to compete effectively against current or potential competitors, our business will not grow and our financial condition and operations will suffer.
Clinical development is a lengthy and expensive process, with uncertain timelines and outcomes. We or our collaborators may be unable to successfully enroll patients in our ongoing and planned clinical trials in a reasonable timeframe, or at all. In addition, if clinical trials of our product candidates fail to demonstrate safety and effectiveness to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities or do not otherwise produce positive results, we or our collaborators may incur additional costs, fail to secure regulatory approvals, or be unable to commercialize such product candidates.
Our long-term success depends in a large part on our ability to continue to successfully develop new indications of selinexor, our product candidates, or any new product candidates we may develop or acquire. Clinical testing is expensive, time consuming, difficult to design, implement and enroll, inherently uncertain as to outcome, and can fail at any stage of testing. Furthermore, the
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failure of any product candidates to demonstrate safety and effectiveness in any clinical trial could negatively impact the perception of selinexor or our other product candidates and/or cause the FDA or other regulatory authorities to require additional testing before any of our product candidates are approved.
Numerous unforeseen events during, or as a result of, clinical trials could delay or prevent our or our collaborators’ ability to complete such clinical trials or receive marketing approval of our product candidates, including, but not limited to, the following:
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delays or failure to reach agreement with regulatory authorities on a trial design or the receipt of feedback requiring us to modify the design of our clinical trials, perform additional or unanticipated clinical trials to obtain approval or alter our regulatory strategy, as is the case in connection with the feedback we received from the FDA in February 2022 on our SIENDO trial and the feedback from the FDA that we announced in December 2024 regarding the appropriateness of our global, Phase 3 trial evaluating selinexor as a maintenance therapy following systemic therapy in patients with TP53 wild-type advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer (the “XPORT-EC-042 Trial”) given the evolving treatment landscape for patients with advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer;
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clinical trials of our product candidates may produce negative or inconclusive results or other patient safety concerns, including undesirable side effects or other unexpected characteristics, and we may decide, or regulatory authorities may require us, to conduct additional clinical trials, suspend ongoing clinical trials or abandon drug development programs, including as a result of a finding that the participants are being exposed to unacceptable health risks;
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enrollment in our clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate, including as a result of competition with other ongoing clinical trials or recently approved agents, which could decrease the overall supply of patients, or decreasing interest from selected clinical trial sites, delays in site activation, higher than expected screen failure rates, newly approved competitive products for the same indications as our product candidates or new or amended regulations; for example, in August 2024, we announced expected delays in our top-line data readout for our XPORT-EC-042 Trial due primarily to higher than expected screen failure rates, which has required us to screen a larger number of patients than originally planned;
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changes in the treatment landscape on which a clinical development plan was based, such as the approval of new therapies during the course of a clinical trial, can change the potential approvability of a drug even if the results of a pivotal, Phase 3 clinical trial are considered clinically meaningful and the primary endpoints achieve statistical significance since global regulatory agencies, including the FDA, often consider approvability in light of the current treatment landscape at the time of approval, and not at the time when a clinical trial is first designed; for example, in recent years three new novel agents (dostarlimab-gxly, pembrolizumab and durvalumab) have been approved for treatment in patients with endometrial cancer, which has evolved the treatment landscape;
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modifications of clinical trial protocols impacting the patient population under study, including any modifications to the eligibility criteria or the total number of patients targeted for enrollment;
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strategic revisions to clinical trial designs, including a change in primary endpoints or the total number of patients targeted for enrollment, which could negatively impact our ability to submit and/or receive regulatory approval for the indication sought; for example, in 2024 we decreased the number of total patients to be enrolled in the ongoing Phase 3 trial evaluating selinexor in combination with pomalidomide and dexamethasone versus elotuzumab, pomalidomide, and dexamethasone in patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma;
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regulators may revise the requirements for approving our product candidates, even after providing a positive opinion on or otherwise reviewing and providing comments to a clinical trial protocol, and/or such requirements may not be as we anticipate;
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delays or failure in obtaining the necessary authorization from regulatory authorities or ethics committees, including institutional review boards, to permit us, our collaborators or our investigators to commence a clinical trial, conduct a clinical trial at a prospective trial site, or the suspension or termination of a clinical trial once commenced;
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delays or failure to reach agreement on acceptable terms with prospective clinical trial sites or contract research organizations (“CROs”);
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the number of patients required for clinical trials of our product candidates may be larger than we anticipate or participants may drop out of these clinical trials at a higher rate than we anticipate, which can increase the cost of our trials, extend clinical trial timelines and provide competitors with additional time to seek regulatory approval for their products prior to the finalization of our trials;
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we, our investigators, or our third-party contractors, including manufacturers or CROs, may fail to comply with regulatory requirements, which include requirements related to the implementation of clinical trials, such as requirements for
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ensuring that each of our clinical trials is conducted in accordance with the general investigational plan and protocols for the trial, perform effectively, or meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all;
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the cost of clinical trials of our product candidates may be greater than we anticipate;
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the supply or quality of our product candidates or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials may be insufficient or inadequate;
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for any biomarker driven clinical trial, the potential regulatory requirement to develop one or more companion diagnostics; for example, the required development of companion diagnostics for our ongoing clinical trial evaluating selinexor in patients with TP53 wild-type advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer;
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any partners or collaborators that help us conduct clinical trials may face any of the above issues, and may conduct clinical trials in ways they view as advantageous to them but that are suboptimal for us; and
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negative impacts resulting from a pandemic or other public health emergency, including impacts to healthcare systems and our trial sites’ ability to conduct trial.
If we, or our collaborators, are required to conduct additional clinical trials or other testing of our product candidates or a companion diagnostic beyond those that we currently contemplate or are unable to successfully complete clinical trials of our product candidates or other testing, on a timely basis or at all, if changes to the external landscape impact our planned patient population or current clinical trial protocols, and/or if the results of these trials or tests are not positive or are only modestly positive or if there are safety concerns, we, or our collaborators, may:
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need to delay, limit or terminate ongoing or planned clinical trials;
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be delayed in obtaining, or not obtain at all, marketing approval for the indication or product candidate;
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obtain marketing approval in some countries and not in others;
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obtain approval for indications or patient populations that are not as broad as intended or desired;
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obtain approval with labeling that includes significant use or distribution restrictions or safety warnings, including boxed warnings;
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be subject to additional post-marketing testing requirements;
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not receive royalty or milestone revenue under our collaboration agreements for several years, or at all; or
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have the product removed from the market after obtaining marketing approval.
Further, we do not know whether clinical trials will begin as planned, will need to be restructured or will be completed on schedule, or at all. In addition, if we are slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies governing clinical trials, our development plans may be impacted. For example, in December 2022, with the passage of Food and Drug Omnibus Reform Act (“FDORA”), Congress required sponsors to develop and submit a Diversity Action Plan (“DAP”) for each Phase 3 clinical trial or any other “pivotal study” of a new drug or biological product. These plans are meant to encourage the enrollment of more diverse patient populations in late-stage clinical trials of FDA-regulated products. In June 2024, as mandated by FDORA, the FDA issued draft guidance outlining the general requirements for DAPs. Unlike most guidance documents issued by the FDA, the DAP guidance when finalized will have the force of law because FDORA specifically dictates that the form and manner for submission of DAPs are specified in FDA guidance. The applicability of statutory obligations to submit DAPs and the FDA’s current thinking on best practices for clinical development remain unclear.
Similarly, the regulatory landscape related to clinical trials in the EU evolved in 2022. The Clinical Trials Regulation (“CTR”), which was adopted in April 2014 and repeals the EU Clinical Trials Directive, became applicable on January 31, 2022. While the Clinical Trials Directive required a separate clinical trial application to be submitted in each member state, to both the competent national health authority and an independent ethics committee, the CTR introduces a centralized process and only requires the submission of a single application to all member states concerned.
Any of these events could prevent us or our collaborators from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the affected product candidate, if approved, or could substantially increase costs and expenses of development or commercialization, which could delay or prevent us from generating sufficient revenue from the sale of our products and harm our business and results of operations. Significant clinical trial delays also could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our products, allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do or impair our ability to successfully commercialize our
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products, which would harm our business and results of operations. In addition, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, clinical trial delays may ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates.
Serious adverse or unacceptable side effects related to XPOVIO, our product candidates or future products may delay or prevent their regulatory approval, cause us or our collaborators to suspend or discontinue clinical trials, limit the commercial value of approved indications or result in significant negative financial consequences following any marketing approval.
We are currently developing selinexor for the treatment of multiple types of cancer. Its risk of failure is high. If our current or future indications of XPOVIO, any of our product candidates or future products are associated with undesirable side effects or have characteristics that are unexpected in clinical trials or following approval and/or commercialization, we may need to abandon or limit their development or limit marketing to certain uses or subpopulations in which the undesirable side effects or other characteristics are less prevalent, less severe or more acceptable from a risk-benefit perspective.
Adverse events (“AEs”) in our clinical trials for selinexor to date have been generally predictable and typically manageable, including through prophylactic care or dose reductions, although some patients have experienced more serious AEs. The most common drug-related AEs in our clinical trials for selinexor include fatigue, nausea, anorexia, diarrhea, peripheral neuropathy, upper respiratory tract infection, vomiting, cytopenias, hyponatremia, weight loss, decreased appetite, cataract, dizziness, syncope, depressed level of consciousness, and mental status changes. These side effects were generally mild or moderate in severity. The most common AEs that are Grade 3 or Grade 4, meaning they are more than mild or moderate in severity, include thrombocytopenia, lymphopenia, hypophosphatemia, anemia, hyponatremia and neutropenia. To date, the most common AEs in the multiple myeloma patient population have been managed with supportive care and dose modifications. However, a number of patients had withdrawn from our clinical trials as a result of AEs and some patients across our clinical trials have experienced serious AEs deemed by us and the clinical investigator to be related to selinexor. Serious AEs generally refer to AEs that result in death, are life threatening, require hospitalization or prolonging of hospitalization, or cause a significant and permanent disruption of normal life functions, congenital anomalies or birth defects, or require intervention to prevent such an outcome.
The occurrence of AEs in either our clinical trials or following regulatory approval could result in a more restrictive label for any product candidates approved for marketing or could result in the delay or denial of approval to market any product candidates by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, which could prevent us from generating sufficient revenue from product sales or ultimately achieving profitability. Treatment-related side effects could also affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the trial, result in potential product liability claims or cause patients and/or healthcare providers to elect alternative courses of treatment. In addition, these side effects may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff. Inadequate training or education of healthcare professionals to recognize or manage the potential side effects of XPOVIO or our product candidates, if approved, could result in increased treatment-related side effects and cause patients to discontinue treatment. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
Results of our trials could reveal an unacceptably high severity and prevalence of side effects. In such an event, our trials could be suspended or terminated by us or the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order us or our collaborators to cease further development of or deny approval of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications. Many compounds that initially showed promise in early-stage trials for treating cancer or other diseases have later been found to cause side effects that prevented further development of the compound. If such an event occurs after any of our or our collaborators’ product candidates are approved and/or commercialized, a number of potentially significant negative consequences may result, including:
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regulatory authorities may withdraw the approval of such drug, require additional warnings on the label or impose distribution or use restrictions and/or require one or more post-marketing studies;
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patients and/or healthcare providers may elect to utilize other treatment options that have or are perceived to have more tolerable side effects;
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we may be required to create a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients;
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we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; and
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our reputation may suffer.
Further, we, our collaborators and our clinical trial investigators, currently determine if serious adverse or unacceptable side effects are drug-related. The FDA or foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with our, our collaborators’ or our clinical trial investigators’ interpretation of data from clinical trials and the conclusion by us, our collaborators or our clinical trial investigators that a serious adverse effect or unacceptable side effect was not drug-related. The FDA or foreign regulatory authorities may require more information related to the safety of our products or product candidates, including additional preclinical or clinical data to support approval, which may cause us to incur additional expenses, delay or prevent the approval of one of our product candidates, and/or
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delay or cause us to change our commercialization plans, or we may decide to abandon the development of the product candidate altogether.
The results of previous clinical trials may not be predictive of future trial results, and interim or top-line data may be subject to change or qualification based on the complete analyses of data and, therefore, may not be predictive of the final results of a trial.
Clinical failure can occur at any stage of the clinical development process and, therefore, the outcome of preclinical studies and early-stage clinical trials may not be predictive of the success of later stage clinical trials. Finalization and cleaning of data from our clinical trials may change the conclusions drawn from uncleaned data provided by our clinical trial investigators. Further, there can be significant variability in safety and/or efficacy results between different trials of the same product candidate due to numerous factors, including changes in trial protocols, differences in size and type of the patient populations, starting dose, adherence to the dosing regimen and other trial protocols and the dropout rate among clinical trial participants. We do not know whether any Phase 2, Phase 3 or other clinical trials we may conduct will demonstrate consistent or adequate efficacy and safety data sufficient to obtain regulatory approval to market our product candidates, if approved. Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies have suffered significant setbacks in late-stage clinical trials after achieving positive results in earlier development, and we could face similar setbacks.
We may publicly disclose preliminary or interim data from our clinical trials. These data may be based on a preliminary analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change as further patient data become available and following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study or trial. For any trial for which we report preliminary, interim or top-line data, we make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of data. We may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data or perform all analyses or our conclusions may differ from those of the FDA or other regulatory authorities. Consequently, the interpretation of preliminary or interim data results that we report may differ from future interpretations of the same studies once additional data have been received and fully evaluated or based on differing views from regulatory agencies. Preliminary or interim data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, these early data points should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. Adverse differences between previous preliminary or interim data and future interim or final data could significantly harm our business.
In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical trial is typically selected from a more extensive amount of available information. Furthermore, we may report interim analyses of only certain endpoints rather than all endpoints. Investors may not agree with what we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure, and any information we determine not to disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding a particular product, product candidate or our business.
If the preliminary or interim data that we report differ from future or more comprehensive data, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for and commercialize our product candidates, our business, operating results, prospects, or financial condition may be harmed.
We may not be successful in our efforts to identify or discover additional potential product candidates, or our decisions to prioritize the development of certain product candidates over others may later prove wrong.
Part of our strategy involves identifying and developing product candidates to build a pipeline of product candidates. Our drug discovery efforts may not be successful in identifying compounds that are useful in treating cancer or other diseases. Our research programs may initially show promise in identifying potential product candidates, yet fail to yield product candidates for clinical development for a number of reasons, including:
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the research methodology used may not be successful in identifying potential product candidates;
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potential product candidates may, on further study, be shown to have harmful side effects or other characteristics that indicate that they are unlikely to be drugs that will receive marketing approval and/or achieve market acceptance; or
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potential product candidates may not be effective in treating their targeted diseases.
We are currently advancing multiple clinical development studies of selinexor, which may create a strain on our limited human and financial resources. As a result, we may not be able to provide sufficient resources to any single product candidate to permit the successful development and commercialization of such product candidate, which could result in material harm to our business. Further, because we have limited financial and managerial resources, we focus on research programs and product candidates that we identify for specific indications. As a result, we may forego or delay pursuit of opportunities with other product candidates or for other indications that later prove to have greater commercial potential. For example, as announced in January 2024, further clinical
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development of our eltanexor program continues to remain on hold in an effort to focus our resources on our prioritized late-stage programs. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to capitalize on viable commercial products or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on current and future research and development programs and product candidates for specific indications may not yield any additional commercially-viable products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular product candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that product candidate through collaboration, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such product candidate.
If we are unable to maintain or expand our sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, we may not be successful in commercializing XPOVIO or any of our products or product candidates, if approved, that we may acquire or develop.
We have built a commercial infrastructure in the U.S. for XPOVIO, our first commercial product, in hematological malignancies and our company did not previously have any prior experience in the sales, marketing or distribution of pharmaceutical drugs. If XPOVIO or any of our product candidates is approved for additional indications beyond hematological malignancies, such as solid tumors, we may need to evolve our sales, marketing and distribution capabilities and we may not be able to do so successfully or on a timely basis. In the future, we may choose to expand our sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure to market or co-promote one or more of our product candidates, if and when they are approved, or enter into additional collaborations with respect to the sale, marketing and distribution of our product candidates. We are working with existing and potential partners to establish the commercial infrastructure to support the sale of selinexor outside of the U.S. For example, we entered into a license agreement with Menarini in December 2021, and as amended in March 2023, to, among other things, develop and commercialize NEXPOVIO® for all human oncology indications in Europe (including the United Kingdom (“UK”)), Latin America, certain Middle East and Africa regions and other key countries. For additional risks associated with commercializing our products outside of the U.S., please see the risk factor entitled “We depend on collaborations with third parties for certain aspects of the development, marketing and/or commercialization of XPOVIO and/or our product candidates. If those collaborations are not successful, or if we are not able to maintain our existing collaborations or establish additional collaborations, we may have to alter our development and commercialization plans and may not be able to capitalize on the market potential of XPOVIO or our product candidates” below.
There are risks involved with establishing and maintaining our own sales, marketing and distribution capabilities. For example, recruiting and training a sales force is expensive and time-consuming and could delay any commercial launch of a product candidate or negatively impact ongoing commercialization efforts for our approved products. Further, we may underestimate the size of the sales force required for a successful product launch and we may need to expand our sales force earlier and at a higher cost than we anticipated. If the commercial launch of any of our product candidates is delayed or does not occur for any reason, including if we do not receive marketing approval in the timeframe we expect, we may have prematurely or unnecessarily incurred commercialization expenses. This may be costly, and our investment would be lost if we cannot retain or reposition our sales and marketing personnel.
Factors that may inhibit our efforts to successfully commercialize XPOVIO or any product candidates, if approved, on our own include:
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existing or new competitors taking share from XPOVIO or any other future product or preventing XPOVIO or any other future product from gaining share in its approved indications;
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our inability to recruit, train and retain adequate numbers of effective sales, market access, market analytics, operations and marketing personnel;
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the inability of sales personnel to obtain access to physicians or persuade adequate numbers of physicians to prescribe current or future products;
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the lack of complementary drugs, which may put us at a competitive disadvantage relative to companies with more extensive drug lines;
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unforeseen costs and expenses associated with creating an independent sales, marketing and distribution organization;
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our inability to obtain sufficient coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors and governmental agencies; and
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our ability to supply sufficient inventory of our products for commercial sale.
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Even if we, or our collaborators, are able to effectively commercialize XPOVIO or any approved products that we may develop or acquire, the products may not receive coverage or may become subject to unfavorable pricing regulations, third-party reimbursement practices or healthcare reform initiatives, all of which would harm our business.
The legislation and regulations that govern marketing approvals, pricing and reimbursement for new drug products vary widely from country to country. As a result, we or our collaborators might obtain marketing approval for a drug in a particular country, but then be subject to price regulations that delay the commercial launch of the product, possibly for lengthy time periods, and negatively impact the revenues we, or our collaborators, are able to generate from product sales in that country. In the U.S., approval and reimbursement decisions are not linked directly, but there is increasing scrutiny from Congress, regulatory authorities, payers, patients and pathway organizations of the pricing of pharmaceutical products. Adverse pricing limitations may also hinder our ability to recoup our investment in one or more product candidates, even if our product candidates obtain marketing approval.
Our, and our collaborators’, ability to successfully commercialize XPOVIO and any other products that we may develop or acquire will depend, in part, on the extent to which reimbursement for these products is available from government health administration authorities, private health insurers and other organizations. Government authorities and third-party payors, such as private health insurers and health maintenance organizations, decide which medications they will pay for and establish reimbursement levels. Obtaining and maintaining adequate reimbursement for XPOVIO and any of our product candidates, if approved, may be difficult. Moreover, the process for determining whether a third-party payor will provide coverage for a product may be separate from the process for setting the price of a product or for establishing the reimbursement rate that such a payor will pay for the product. Further, one payor’s determination to provide coverage for a product does not assure that other payors will also provide coverage and reimbursement for our products. Even with payer coverage, patients may be unwilling or unable to pay the copay required and may choose not to take XPOVIO.
A primary trend in the healthcare industry in the U.S. and elsewhere is cost containment. Government authorities and third-party payors have attempted to control costs by limiting coverage and the amount of reimbursement for particular medications. Increasingly, third-party payors are requiring that drug companies provide them with predetermined discounts from list prices and are challenging the prices charged for medical products. Third-party payors may also seek, with respect to an approved product, additional clinical evidence that goes beyond the data required to obtain marketing approval. They may require such evidence to demonstrate clinical benefits and value in specific patient populations or they may call for costly pharmaceutical studies to justify coverage and reimbursement or the level of reimbursement relative to other therapies before covering our products. Accordingly, we cannot be sure that reimbursement will be or will continue to be available for XPOVIO and any product that we, or our collaborators, commercialize and, if reimbursement is available, we cannot be sure as to the level of reimbursement and whether it will be adequate. Coverage and reimbursement may impact the demand for or the price of XPOVIO or any product candidate for which we, or our collaborators, obtain marketing approval. If reimbursement is not available or is available only at limited levels, we, or our collaborators, may not be able to successfully commercialize XPOVIO or any other approved products.
There may be significant delays in obtaining reimbursement for newly-approved drugs, and coverage may be more limited than the indications for which the drug is approved by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. Moreover, eligibility for reimbursement does not imply that any drug will be paid for in all cases or at a rate that covers our costs, including research, development, manufacture, sale and distribution. Interim reimbursement levels for new drugs, if applicable, may also not be sufficient to cover our costs and may not be made permanent. Reimbursement rates may vary according to the use of the drug and the clinical setting in which it is used, may be based on reimbursement levels already set for lower cost drugs and may be incorporated into existing payments for other services. Net prices for drugs may be reduced by mandatory discounts or rebates required by government healthcare programs or private payors and by any future relaxation of laws that presently restrict imports of drugs from countries where they may be sold at lower prices than in the U.S. Third-party payors often rely upon Medicare coverage policy and payment limitations in setting their own reimbursement policies. Our inability to promptly obtain coverage and profitable payment rates from both government-funded and private payors for any approved drugs that we develop could have a material adverse effect on our operating results, our ability to raise capital needed to commercialize our products and our overall financial condition.
Product liability lawsuits against us could divert our resources, cause us to incur substantial liabilities and limit commercialization of XPOVIO or any other products that we may develop or acquire.
We face an inherent risk of product liability exposure related to our commercialization of XPOVIO and the testing of our product candidates in human clinical trials as the administration of our products to humans may expose us to liability claims, whether or not our products are actually at fault for causing any harm or injury. As XPOVIO is used over longer periods of time by a wider group of patients taking numerous other medicines or by patients with additional underlying conditions, the likelihood of adverse drug reactions or unintended side effects, including death, may increase. For example, we may be sued if any drug we develop allegedly causes injury or is found to be otherwise unsuitable during clinical testing, manufacturing, marketing or sale. Any such product liability claims may include allegations of defects in manufacturing, defects in design, a failure to warn of dangers inherent in the
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product, negligence, strict liability or a breach of warranties. Claims could also be asserted under state consumer protection acts. If we cannot successfully defend ourselves against claims that our products or product candidates caused injuries, we will incur substantial liabilities or be required to limit commercialization of our products. Regardless of merit or eventual outcome, liability claims may result in:
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decreased demand for XPOVIO and any other products that we may develop or acquire;
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injury to our reputation and significant negative media attention;
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withdrawal of clinical trial participants;
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initiation of investigations by regulators;
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product recalls, withdrawals or labeling, marketing or promotional restrictions;
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significant costs to defend the related litigation;
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substantial monetary awards to trial participants or patients;
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loss of revenue;
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reduced resources of our management to pursue our business strategy; and
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the inability to successfully commercialize XPOVIO and any other products that we may develop or acquire.
We currently hold clinical trial and general product liability insurance coverage, but that coverage may not be adequate to cover any and all liabilities that we may incur. Insurance coverage is increasingly expensive. We may not be able to maintain insurance coverage at a reasonable cost or in an amount adequate to satisfy any liability that may arise.
The business that we or our collaborators conduct outside of the U.S. may be adversely affected by international risks and uncertainties.
Although our operations are primarily based in the U.S., we and our collaborators conduct business outside of the U.S. and expect to continue to do so in the future. For instance, many of the sites at which our clinical trials are being conducted are located outside of the U.S. In addition, we and our collaborators are seeking and continue to plan to seek approvals to sell our and their products in foreign countries. Any business that we, or our collaborators, conduct outside of the U.S. is subject to additional risks that may materially adversely affect our or their ability to conduct business in international markets, including:
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potentially reduced protection of our intellectual property rights;
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the potential for so-called parallel importing, which is what happens when a local seller, faced with high or higher local prices, opts to import goods from a foreign market (with low or lower prices) rather than buying them locally;
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unexpected regulatory requirements;
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impacts of changes in tariffs that the U.S. and other countries have announced or implemented, as well as any additional new tariffs, trade restrictions or export regulations that may be implemented or reversed in the future;
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economic weakness, including the uncertainty associated with worldwide economic conditions as a result of tariffs, inflation, sustained high interest rates, natural disasters and military conflicts, including the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, volatility in currency exchange rates, pandemics or other public health emergencies, or political instability in particular foreign economies and markets;
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workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the U.S.;
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production shortages resulting from any events affecting a product candidate and/or finished drug product supply or manufacturing capabilities abroad;
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business interruptions resulting from geo-political actions, including war and terrorism, such as the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, pandemics or other public health emergencies, climate change or natural disasters, including earthquakes, hurricanes, typhoons, floods and fires; and
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failure to comply with Office of Foreign Asset Control rules and regulations and the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (“FCPA”).
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Risks Related to Regulatory Matters
Even if we, or our collaborators, complete the necessary preclinical studies and clinical trials for our product candidates, the regulatory approval process is expensive, time-consuming and uncertain and we or they may not receive approvals for the commercialization of some or all of our or their product candidates in a timely manner, or at all.
Our long-term success and ability to sustain and grow revenue depends on our and our collaborators’ ability to continue to successfully develop our product candidates and obtain regulatory approval to market our or their products both in and outside of the U.S. In order to market and sell our products in the EU and many other jurisdictions, we and our collaborators must obtain separate marketing approvals and comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements. The FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, whose laws and regulations may differ from country to country, impose substantial requirements on the development of product candidates to become eligible for marketing approval and have substantial discretion in the process and may refuse to accept any application or may decide that the data are insufficient for approval and require additional preclinical studies, clinical trials, companion diagnostics or other studies and testing. The time required to obtain approval outside of the U.S. may differ substantially from that required to obtain FDA approval. For example, in many countries outside of the U.S., it is required that the drug be approved for reimbursement before the drug can be approved for sale in that country. Approval by the FDA does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions, and approval by one regulatory authority outside of the U.S. does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions or by the FDA. However, a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory process in other countries. For additional risks related to conducting business outside of the U.S., please see the risk factor above entitled “The business that we or our collaborators conduct outside of the U.S. may be adversely affected by international risks and uncertainties.”
In addition, the FDA and foreign regulatory authorities retain broad discretion in evaluating the results of our clinical trials and in determining whether the results demonstrate that selinexor or any other product candidate is safe and effective. If we are required to conduct additional clinical trials of selinexor or other product candidates prior to approval of additional indications, in earlier lines of therapy or in combination with other drugs, including additional earlier phase clinical trials that may be required prior to commencing any later phase clinical trials, or additional clinical trials following completion of our current and planned later phase clinical trials, we may need substantial additional funds, and there is no assurance that the results of any such additional clinical trials will be sufficient for approval.
The process of obtaining marketing approvals, both in the U.S. and abroad, is lengthy, expensive and uncertain. It may take many years, if approval is obtained at all, and can vary substantially based upon a variety of factors, including the type, complexity and novelty of the product candidates involved. Securing marketing approval requires the submission of extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information, including manufacturing information, to regulatory authorities for each therapeutic indication to establish the product candidate’s safety and effectiveness. Changes in marketing approval policies during the development period, changes in or the enactment of additional statutes or regulations, or changes in regulatory review for each submitted product application, may cause delays in the approval or rejection of an application.
The FDA or other regulatory authorities may determine that (i) our product candidates do not have an overall positive benefit-risk profile; (ii) the dose used in a clinical trial has not been optimized and require us to conduct additional dose optimization studies; or (iii) the comparator arm and/or endpoint in a trial is no longer the appropriate comparator or endpoint due to the evolution of the competitive landscape or subsequent data of the comparator product, even if the FDA or other regulatory authority had previously approved the trial design, and we may be required to amend the trial or we may not receive approval of the indication. For example, in December 2024, we announced that we were engaged in discussions with the FDA regarding the evolving treatment landscape in advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer, particularly the approval of checkpoint inhibitors (e.g., pembrolizumab, dostarlimab-gxly and durvalumab). We have submitted to the FDA and other relevant global regulatory authorities an amendment to the EC-042 Trial protocol incorporating modifications, which we believe are responsive to certain of the FDA’s concerns. However, the FDA may not agree that some or all of our proposed modifications to the XPORT-EC-042 Trial adequately address their concerns, which may ultimately impact approvability. In addition, the FDA’s Oncology Center of Excellence has a number of projects to advance the development and regulation of medical products for patients with cancer, such as Project Optimus to reform the dose optimization and dose selection paradigm in oncology drug development to emphasize selection of an optimal dose. These projects exemplify the emphasis the FDA is placing on various elements in the drug development process and therefore may require sponsors to spend additional time and resources either pre- or post-approval, and our ability to complete existing trials or initiate new trials may be delayed.
Moreover, clinical investigators for our clinical trials may serve as scientific advisors or consultants to us and receive compensation in connection with such services. Under certain circumstances, we may be required to report some of these relationships to the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. The FDA or a comparable foreign regulatory authority may conclude that a financial relationship between us and a clinical investigator has created a conflict of interest or otherwise affected interpretation of the trial. The FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authority may therefore question the integrity of the data generated at the applicable
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clinical trial site and the utility of the clinical trial itself may be jeopardized. This could result in a delay in approval, or rejection, of our marketing applications by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authority, as the case may be, and may ultimately lead to the denial of marketing approval of one or more of our product candidates.
Further, under the Pediatric Research Equity Act (“PREA”), an New Drug Application (“NDA”) or supplement to an NDA for certain drugs must contain data to assess the safety and effectiveness of the drug in all relevant pediatric subpopulations and to support dosing and administration for each pediatric subpopulation for which the product is safe and effective, unless the sponsor receives a deferral or waiver from the FDA. A deferral may be granted for several reasons, including a finding that the product or therapeutic candidate is ready for approval for use in adults before pediatric trials are complete or that additional safety or effectiveness data needs to be collected before the pediatric trials begin. The law requires the FDA to send a PREA Non-Compliance letter to sponsors who have failed to submit their pediatric assessments required under PREA, have failed to seek or obtain a deferral or deferral extension or have failed to request approval for a required pediatric formulation. It further requires the FDA to publicly post the PREA Non-Compliance letter and sponsor’s response. The applicable legislation in the EU also requires sponsors to either conduct clinical trials in a pediatric population in accordance with a Pediatric Investigation Plan approved by the Pediatric Committee of the European Medicines Agency (“EMA”) or to obtain a waiver or deferral from the conduct of these studies by this Committee. For any of our product candidates for which we or our collaborators are seeking regulatory approval in the U.S. or the EU, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to obtain a waiver or alternatively complete any required studies and other requirements in a timely manner, or at all, which could result in an issuance and publication of a PREA Non-Compliance letter and associated reputational harm, our product candidate being considered misbranded and subject to relevant enforcement action, invalidation of the marketing application, and/or financial penalties. Our collaborators are also subject to similar requirements outside of the U.S. and the EU and thus the attendant risks and uncertainties.
The approval of our and our collaborators’ current or future product candidates for commercial sale could be delayed, limited or denied or we or they may be required to conduct additional studies for a number of reasons, including, but not limited to, the following:
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regulatory authorities may determine that our or our collaborators’ product candidates do not demonstrate safety and effectiveness in accordance with regulatory agency standards based on a number of considerations, including AEs that are reported during clinical trials or the FDA determines that the patient population enrolled is either (i) not consistent with the demographics of the patient population in the U.S. or (ii) does not reflect the U.S. standard of care;
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regulatory authorities could analyze and/or interpret data from clinical trials and preclinical testing in different ways than we, or our collaborators, interpret them and determine that our data is insufficient for approval;
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regulatory authorities may require more information, including additional preclinical or clinical data or trials, to support approval, as in the case of our initiation of the EC-042 Trial for patients with TP53 wild-type advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer following discussions with the FDA in early 2022 on our SIENDO trial;
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regulatory authorities could determine that our manufacturing processes are not properly designed, are not conducted in accordance with federal or other laws or otherwise not properly managed, and we may be unable to obtain regulatory approval for a commercially viable manufacturing process for our product candidates in a timely manner, or at all;
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the supply or quality of our or our collaborators’ product candidates for our clinical trials may be insufficient, inadequate or delayed;
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the size of the patient population required to establish the effectiveness of our or our collaborators’ product candidates to the satisfaction of regulatory agencies may be larger than we or they anticipated;
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our failure or the failure of clinical investigational sites and the records kept at the respective locations, including clinical trial data, to be in compliance with the FDA’s current good clinical practices regulations (“GCP”) or comparable regulations outside of the U.S., including the failure to pass inspections of our corporate site or our clinical trial sites;
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regulatory authorities may change their approval policies or adopt new regulations;
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regulatory authorities may not be able to undertake reviews, applicable inspections or approval processes in a timely manner including as the result of the implementation of policies by the current Trump administration that may affect the FDA review process, such as efforts to downsize the U.S. federal workforce, remove job elimination protections for U.S. federal workers, limit certain communications, and potentially interfere with user fee reauthorization;
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the results of our earlier clinical trials may not be representative of our future, larger trials;
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regulatory authorities may not agree with our or our collaborators’ regulatory approval strategies or components of our or their regulatory filings, such as the design or implementation of the relevant clinical trials, including the proportion of patients enrolled in our clinical trials from outside of the U.S. compared to U.S. patients or the demographics of the population; for example, the FDA identified multiple risks related to our decision to decrease the total number of patients to be enrolled in our ongoing Phase 3 multiple myeloma trial, including the ability to adequately assess benefit-risk with a limited number of patients; or
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a product may not be approved for the indications that we, or our collaborators, request or may be limited or subject to restrictions or post-approval commitments that render the approved drug not commercially viable.
As of January 1, 2025, a new International Recognition Procedure (“IRP”) applies, which intends to facilitate approval of pharmaceutical products in the UK. The IRP is open to applicants that have already received an authorization for the same product from one of the MHRA’s specified Reference Regulators (“RRs”). The RRs notably include EMA and regulators in the EU/European Economic Area (“EEA”) member states for approvals in the EU centralized procedure and mutual recognition procedure as well as the FDA (for product approvals granted in the U.S.). However, the concrete functioning of the IRP is currently unclear. Any delay in obtaining, or an inability to obtain, any marketing approvals, may force us or our collaborators to restrict or delay efforts to seek regulatory approval in the UK for our product candidates, which could significantly and materially harm our business.
We, or our collaborators, may not be able to file for marketing approvals and may not receive necessary approvals to commercialize our or their products in any market. Any failure, delay or setback in obtaining regulatory approval for our or our collaborators’ product candidates could materially adversely affect our or our collaborators’ ability to generate revenue from a particular product candidate, which could result in significant harm to our financial position and adversely impact our stock price.
We, or our collaborators, may seek approval from the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities to use accelerated development pathways for our product candidates. If we, or our collaborators, are not able to use such pathways, we, or they, may be required to conduct additional clinical trials beyond those that are contemplated, which would increase the expense of obtaining, and delay the receipt of, necessary marketing approvals, if we, or they, receive them at all. In addition, even if an accelerated approval pathway is available to us, or our collaborators, it may not lead to expedited approval of our product candidates, or approval at all.
Under the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act (“FDCA”) and implementing regulations, the FDA may grant accelerated approval to a product candidate to treat a serious or life-threatening condition that provides meaningful therapeutic benefit over available therapies, upon a determination that the product has an effect on a surrogate endpoint or intermediate clinical endpoint that is reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit. The FDA considers a clinical benefit to be a positive therapeutic effect that is clinically meaningful in the context of a given disease, such as irreversible morbidity or mortality. For the purposes of accelerated approval, a surrogate endpoint is a marker, such as a laboratory measurement, radiographic image, physical sign, or other measure that is thought to predict clinical benefit, but is not itself a measure of clinical benefit. An intermediate clinical endpoint is a clinical endpoint that can be measured earlier than an effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality that is reasonably likely to predict an effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality or other clinical benefit measurement of a therapeutic effect that is considered reasonably likely to predict the clinical benefit of a drug. The accelerated approval pathway may be used in cases in which the advantage of a new drug over available therapy may not be a direct therapeutic advantage, but is a clinically important improvement from a patient and public health perspective. Similar risks to those described above are also applicable to any application that we, or our collaborators, have submitted or may submit in other jurisdictions outside of the U.S. Prior to seeking such accelerated approval, we, or our collaborators, will continue to seek feedback from the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory agencies and otherwise evaluate our, or their, ability to seek and receive such accelerated approval.
There can be no assurance that the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies will agree with our, or our collaborators’, surrogate endpoints or intermediate clinical endpoints in any of our, or their, clinical trials, or that we, or our collaborators, will decide to pursue or submit any additional NDA for accelerated approval or any other form of expedited development, review or approval. Similarly, there can be no assurance that, after feedback from the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory agencies, we, or our collaborators, will continue to pursue or apply for accelerated approval or any other form of expedited development, review or approval. Furthermore, for any submission of an application for accelerated approval or application under another expedited regulatory designation, there can be no assurance that such submission or application will be accepted for filing or that any expedited development, review or approval will be granted on a timely basis, or at all.
Finally, there can be no assurance that we will satisfy all FDA requirements, including new provisions, that govern accelerated approval. For example, with passage of the FDORA in December 2022, Congress modified certain provisions governing accelerated approval of drug and biologic products. Specifically, the new legislation authorized the FDA to require a sponsor to have its confirmatory clinical trial underway before accelerated approval is awarded and to submit progress reports on its post-approval studies
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to FDA every six months until the study is completed. Moreover, FDORA established expedited procedures authorizing FDA to withdraw an accelerated approval if certain conditions are met, including where a required confirmatory study fails to verify and describe the predicted clinical benefit or where evidence demonstrates the product is not shown to be safe or effective under the conditions of use. The FDA may also use such procedures to withdraw an accelerated approval if a sponsor fails to conduct any required post-approval study of the product with due diligence, including with respect to “conditions specified by the Secretary.” The new procedures include the provision of due notice and an explanation for a proposed withdrawal, and opportunities for a meeting with the Commissioner or the Commissioner’s designee and a written appeal, among other things. We will need to fully comply with these and other requirements in connection with the development and approval of any product candidate that qualifies for accelerated approval.
In March 2023, the FDA issued draft guidance that outlines its current thinking and approach to accelerated approval. The FDA indicated that the accelerated approval pathway is commonly used for approval of oncology drugs due to the serious and life-threatening nature of cancer. Although single-arm trials have been commonly used to support accelerated approval, a randomized controlled trial is the preferred approach as it provides a more robust efficacy and safety assessment and allows for direct comparisons to an available therapy. To that end, the FDA outlined considerations for designing, conducting, and analyzing data for trials intended to support accelerated approvals of oncology therapeutics. Subsequently, in December 2024 and January 2025, the FDA issued additional draft guidances relating to accelerated approval. These guidances describe FDA’s latest thinking on what it means to conduct a confirmatory trial with due diligence and how the FDA plans to interpret whether such a study needs to be underway at the time of approval. While these guidances are currently only in draft form and will ultimately not be legally binding even when finalized, sponsors typically observe the FDA’s guidance closely to ensure that their investigational products qualify for accelerated approval.
Accordingly, a failure to obtain and maintain accelerated approval or any other form of expedited development, review or approval for our product candidates, or withdrawal of a product candidate, would result in a longer time period until commercialization of such product candidate, could increase the cost of development of such product candidate and could harm our competitive position in the marketplace.
XPOVIO and any of our product candidates for which we, or our collaborators, obtain marketing approval in the future are subject to post-marketing regulatory requirements, including following accelerated or conditional approvals of our product candidates, and could be subject to post-marketing restrictions or withdrawal from the market, and we, and our collaborators, may be subject to substantial penalties if we, or they, fail to comply with regulatory requirements or if we, or they, experience unanticipated problems with our products following approval.
Once marketing approval has been granted, an approved product and its manufacturer and marketer are subject to ongoing review and extensive regulation. XPOVIO and any of our product candidates for which we, or our collaborators, obtain marketing approval in the future, as well as the manufacturing processes, post-approval studies and measures, labeling, advertising and promotional activities for such drug, among other things, will be subject to continual requirements of and review by the FDA and other U.S. and foreign regulatory authorities. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports, registration and listing requirements, requirements relating to manufacturing, quality control, quality assurance and corresponding maintenance of records and documents, and requirements regarding the distribution of samples to physicians and record keeping. For example, as a condition of the XPOVIO accelerated approvals by the FDA for our DLBCL indication, we are required to complete certain post-marketing commitments. There is no assurance that we will be able to timely complete such obligations. Failure to comply with such requirements may have an adverse impact on the accelerated approval status of selinexor in DLBCL. Even if marketing approval of a product candidate is granted, the approval may be subject to limitations on the indicated uses for which the drug may be marketed or to the conditions of approval, including the requirement to implement a REMS, which could include requirements for a restricted distribution system.
The FDA also imposes requirements for costly post-marketing studies or clinical trials to maintain approval of any products that received accelerated approval. For drugs approved under the FDA’s Accelerated Approval Program, the FDA typically requires post-marketing confirmatory trials to evaluate the anticipated effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality or other clinical benefit. These confirmatory trials must be completed with due diligence. For example, in June 2020, the FDA approved XPOVIO to treat DLBCL under the FDA’s accelerated approval regulations and as a condition of the accelerated approval for this indication we are required to comply with a number of post-approval requirements, including timely completion of a confirmatory clinical trial. Enrollment in the XPORT-DLBCL-030 Trial, which is intended to serve as the confirmatory trial to the accelerated approval of XPOVIO in DLBCL, has been challenging due to changes in the standard of care for the treatment of DLBCL following the accelerated approval of XPOVIO. In January 2026, we received a missed milestone communication from the FDA regarding our timeline for completion of our confirmatory study. Continued delays in completion of this trial may result in withdrawal of the FDA’s accelerated approval of XPOVIO in DLBCL. Although we do not actively promote XPOVIO in DLBCL and generate insignificant revenue from this indication, withdrawal of the accelerated approval may require certain of our ex-U.S. partners to take action to maintain their current
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approvals in DLBCL to the extent such approvals reference the U.S. label. Completion of the Safety Monitoring Committee’s review of the interim analysis for the Phase 2 part of the study, and input from key opinion leaders and external stakeholders will inform next steps. We will continue to evaluate our options for the XPORT-DLBCL-030 Trial and the U.S. accelerated approval of XPOVIO in DLBCL.
We may not be able to successfully and timely complete these post-approval requirements, obtain an extension, if needed, or complete any other post-marketing confirmatory study as required to maintain approval or achieve full approval of our products. If required post-approval studies fail to verify the clinical benefits of our products or confirm that the surrogate marker used for accelerated approval of our products showed an adequate correlation with clinical outcomes, if a sufficient number of participants cannot be enrolled, or if we fail to perform the required post-approval studies with due diligence or on a timely basis, the FDA has the authority to withdraw approval of the drug following a hearing conducted under the FDA’s regulations, which could have a material adverse impact on our business. We cannot be certain of the results of the confirmatory clinical studies for the DLBCL indication or any other future conditional approval we receive or what action the FDA may take if the results of those studies are not as expected based on clinical data that FDA has already reviewed.
Similar risks to those described above are also applicable to any application that we, or our collaborators, have submitted or may submit in other jurisdictions outside of the U.S., including applications submitted to the EMA to support approval of selinexor to treat patients with multiple myeloma or any other cancer indication. For medicinal products where the benefit of immediate availability outweighs the risk of less comprehensive data than normally required, based on the scope and criteria defined in legislation and guidelines, it is possible to obtain a conditional marketing authorization for a new drug in the EU with a 12-month validity period and annual renewal pursuant to Regulation No 507/2006. These are granted only if the EMA’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (“CHMP”) finds that all four of the following requirements are met: (i) the benefit-risk balance of the product is positive; (ii) it is likely that the sponsor will be able to provide comprehensive data; (iii) unmet medical needs will be fulfilled; and (iv) the benefit to public health of the medicinal product’s immediate availability on the market outweighs the risks due to the need for further data.
Once a conditional marketing authorization has been granted, the marketing authorization holder must fulfill specific obligations within defined timelines. These obligations could include completing ongoing or new studies or collecting additional data to confirm the medicine’s benefit-risk balance remains positive. For example, the July 2022 marketing authorization from the European Commission (“EC”) for NEXPOVIO to treat adult patients with multiple myeloma after at least one prior therapy satisfied the conditional approval obligation for NEXPOVIO for patients with multiple myeloma who have received at least four prior therapies and whose disease is refractory to at least two proteasome inhibitors, two immunomodulatory agents, and an anti-CD38 monoclonal antibody, and who have demonstrated disease progression on the last therapy. Conditional marketing authorization is valid for a period of one year and can be renewed/prolonged if the conditions set out in the conditional marketing authorization are met. Further, as discussed above, under FDORA, modifications to regulations governing accelerated approval require a sponsor to have the confirmatory clinical trial underway before accelerated approval is awarded as well as other requirements following accelerated approval. If we, or our collaborators, are not able to fulfill the specific obligations set out in any conditional marketing authorization requirements, the conditional marketing authorization may not be prolonged and we, or our collaborators, will no longer be able to market the product for the indication receiving conditional approval.
The FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities may also impose requirements for costly surveillance to monitor the safety or efficacy of an approved drug. The FDA and other U.S. or foreign agencies, including the U.S. Department of Justice (“DOJ”), closely regulate and monitor the post-approval marketing and promotion of drugs to ensure that they are manufactured, marketed and distributed only for the approved indications and in accordance with the provisions of the approved labeling. The FDA imposes stringent restrictions on manufacturers’ communications regarding off-label use, and if we, or our collaborators communicate about any of our product candidates for which we, or they, receive marketing approval in a way that regulators assert goes beyond their approved indications, we, or they, may be subject to warnings or enforcement action for off-label marketing. Alleged violations of the FDCA or other statutes, including the False Claims Act (the “FCA”), relating to the promotion and advertising of prescription drugs may lead to investigations or allegations of violations of federal and state health care fraud and abuse laws and state consumer protection laws.
We will need to carefully monitor and navigate the FDA’s various regulations, guidance and policies, along with recently enacted legislation, to ensure compliance with restrictions governing promotion of our products. Promotion of prescription products is currently an area of government scrutiny, and the applicable statutes, regulations and guidance and policies are complex, subject to changing interpretation, and subject to amendment. For example, new FDA regulations and guidance have been issued in recent years, current Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) and FDA officials have expressed interest in new restrictions on direct-to-consumer (“DTC”) advertising, and bills have been introduced in Congress related to disclosure of price information in DTC advertisements, restrictions on DTC advertising, promotion by social media influencers and telehealth companies, and tax deductions available for DTC promotion expenses.
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In addition, manufacturers of approved products and those manufacturers’ facilities are required to comply with extensive requirements by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, including ensuring that quality control and manufacturing procedures conform to current Good Manufacturing Practice (“cGMP”), which include requirements relating to quality control and quality assurance as well as the corresponding maintenance of records and documentation and reporting requirements. We, our contract manufacturers, our collaborators and their contract manufacturers could be subject to periodic unannounced inspections by the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities to monitor and ensure compliance with cGMPs or other regulations.
Post-approval discovery of previously unknown problems with our products, including AEs of unanticipated severity or frequency, reduced effectiveness of our products, or relating to our manufacturing processes, data integrity issues with regulatory filings, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may yield various results, including:
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litigation involving patients taking our drug;
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restrictions on our manufacturers or manufacturing processes;
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restrictions on the labeling or marketing of our products;
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restrictions on the distribution or use of our products;
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requirements to conduct post-marketing studies or clinical trials;
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warning letters or untitled letters;
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withdrawal, recall or seizure of our products from the market;
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refusal to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications that we submit;
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fines, restitution or disgorgement of profits or revenues;
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suspension or withdrawal of marketing approvals;
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damage to relationships with our current or potential collaborators;
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unfavorable press coverage and damage to our reputation;
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refusal to permit the import or export of our products; or
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injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
Similar restrictions apply to the approval of our products in the EU. The holder of the marketing authorization is required to comply with a range of requirements applicable to the manufacturing, marketing, promotion and sale of medicinal products. These include:
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compliance with the EU’s stringent pharmacovigilance or safety reporting rules, which can impose post-authorization studies and additional monitoring obligations;
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the manufacturing of authorized medicinal products, for which a separate manufacturer’s license is mandatory, must also be conducted in strict compliance with the applicable EU laws, regulations and guidance, including Directive 2001/83/EC, Directive 2003/94/EC, Regulation (EC) No 726/2004 and the EC Guidelines for Good Manufacturing Practice. These requirements include compliance with EU cGMP standards when manufacturing medicinal products and active pharmaceutical ingredients (“API”), including the manufacture of APIs outside of the EU with the intention to import the APIs into the EU; and
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the marketing and promotion of authorized drugs, including industry-sponsored continuing medical education and advertising directed toward the prescribers of drugs and/or the general public, are strictly regulated in the EU notably under Directive 2001/83/EC, as amended, and are also subject to EU Member State laws. Direct-to-consumer advertising of prescription medicines is prohibited across the EU.
Finally, we or our collaborators are also subject to other regulations in various jurisdictions, including the Drug Supply Chain Security Act (the “DSCSA”) in the U.S., the Falsified Medicines Directive in the EU and similar laws and regulations in other countries that require us or them to develop electronic systems to serialize, track, trace and authenticate units of our products through the supply chain and distribution system. Compliance with these regulations may result in increased expenses for us or our collaborators or impose greater administrative burdens on our or their organizations, and any failure on our or our collaborators’ part to meet these requirements could result in fines or other penalties or reputational harm.
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Accordingly, in connection with our currently approved products and assuming we, or our collaborators, receive marketing approval for one or more of our product candidates, we, and our collaborators, and our and their contract manufacturers will continue to expend time, money and effort in all areas of regulatory compliance, including manufacturing, production, product surveillance and quality control. If we, and our collaborators, are not able to comply with post-approval regulatory requirements, our or our collaborators’ ability to market any future products could be limited, which could adversely affect our ability to achieve or sustain profitability. Further, the cost of compliance with post-approval regulations may have a negative effect on our operating results and financial condition.
If we, or our collaborators, are required by the FDA, EMA or comparable regulatory authority to obtain clearance or approval of one or more companion diagnostic tests in connection with approval of any of our product candidates or a group of therapeutic products, and we or they do not obtain or there are delays in obtaining clearance or approval of a diagnostic test, we may not be able to commercialize the product candidate and our ability to generate revenue may be materially impaired.
In connection with our ongoing development of selinexor in patients whose endometrial cancer is TP53 wild-type, we are utilizing a companion diagnostic to identify patients whose tumors are TP53 wild-type. We may be required to develop a second companion diagnostic pending the ultimate patient population included in the potential label for our endometrial indication. To be successful in developing and commercializing product candidates in combination with companion diagnostics, we or our collaborators will need to address a number of scientific, technical, regulatory and logistical challenges. According to FDA guidance, if the FDA determines that a companion diagnostic device is essential to ensuring the safety and effectiveness of a novel therapeutic product or new indication, the FDA generally will not approve the therapeutic product or new therapeutic product indication if the companion diagnostic is not also approved or cleared. In certain circumstances (for example, when a therapeutic product is intended to treat a serious or life-threatening condition for which no satisfactory available therapy exists or when the labelling of an approved product needs to be revised to address a serious safety issue), however, the FDA may approve a therapeutic product without the prior or contemporaneous marketing authorization of a companion diagnostic. In this case, approval of a companion diagnostic may be a post-marketing requirement or commitment.
If the FDA requires clearance or approval of a companion diagnostic for any of our product candidates, whether before, concurrently with approval, or post-approval of the product candidate, we, and/or our collaborators, may encounter difficulties in developing and obtaining clearance or approval for these companion diagnostics. The process of obtaining or creating such diagnostic is time consuming and costly. The FDA previously has required in vitro companion diagnostics intended to select the patients who will respond to a product candidate to obtain pre-market approval (“PMA”), simultaneously with approval of the therapeutic candidate.
The PMA process, including the gathering of clinical data and the submission and review by the FDA, can take several years or longer. It involves a rigorous pre-market review during which the sponsor must prepare and provide the FDA with reasonable assurance of the device’s safety and effectiveness and information about the device and its components regarding, among other things, device design, manufacturing, and labeling. After a device is placed on the market, it remains subject to significant regulatory requirements, including requirements, such as the Quality Management System Regulation as part of 21 CFR 820, which governs development, testing, manufacturing, distribution, marketing, promotion, labeling, import, export, record-keeping, and AE reporting. Similar risks to those described above are also applicable to any companion diagnostic that we, or our collaborators, utilize in our clinical trials in connection with approval of a product candidate outside of the U.S. For example, in the EU, until May 25, 2022, in vitro diagnostic medical devices were regulated by Directive 98/79/EC (the “IVDD”), which has been repealed and replaced by Regulation (EU) No 2017/746 (the “IVDR”). The regulation of companion diagnostics is now subject to further requirements set forth in the IVDR. Companion diagnostics will have to undergo a conformity assessment by a notified body. Before it can issue an EU certificate, the notified body must seek a scientific opinion from the EMA on the suitability of the companion diagnostic to the medicinal product concerned if the medicinal product falls exclusively within the scope of the centralized procedure for the authorization of medicines, or the medicinal product is already authorized through the centralized procedure, or a marketing authorization application for the medicinal product has been submitted through the centralized procedure. As part of the process to obtain a CE-mark for the FMI FoundationOne®CDx for the purpose of determining TP53 wild-type status for use of selinexor in the maintenance treatment of TP53 wild-type endometrial cancer patients, a performance study is required which leverages our XPORT-EC-042 Trial (e.g., using the unapproved FoundationOne®CDx IVD to screen for TP53 wild-type patients in the XPORT-EC-042 Trial and using the data generated to validate the CDx itself). As the regulations are relatively new, the industry is gaining experience in the compilation of these submissions while the national Competent Authorities and the respective Ethics Committees are also gaining expertise in assessing these applications. As a result, the assessment deadlines of these performance study submissions and amendments are often not met. These new regulations have and could continue to negatively impact the pace of enrollment in our clinical trials. For example, in 2023, site activation for our Phase 3 clinical trial in endometrial cancer was delayed in the EU due to the new IVDR regulations. Consequently, the ability to use the FoundationOne®CDx in vitro diagnostic medical devices to screen patients for TP53 status in the XPORT-EC-042 Trial has been delayed in various countries in the EU.
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We may rely on third parties for the design, development and manufacture of companion diagnostic tests for our product candidates, such as in the case of our ongoing Phase 3 trial evaluating selinexor in patients with TP53 wild-type advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer. If we enter into such collaborative agreements, we will be dependent on the sustained cooperation and effort of our future collaborators in developing and obtaining clearance or approval for these companion diagnostics. It may be necessary to resolve issues such as selectivity/specificity, analytical validation, reproducibility, or clinical validation of companion diagnostics during the development and regulatory clearance or approval processes. Moreover, even if data from preclinical studies and early clinical trials appear to support development of a companion diagnostic for a product candidate, data generated in later clinical trials may fail to support the analytical and clinical validation of the companion diagnostic. We and our future collaborators may encounter difficulties in developing, obtaining regulatory clearance or approval for, manufacturing and commercializing companion diagnostics similar to those we face with respect to our product candidates themselves, including issues with achieving regulatory clearance or approval, production of sufficient quantities at commercial scale and with appropriate quality standards, and in gaining market acceptance.
If we are unable to successfully develop companion diagnostics for our product candidates, or experience delays in doing so, the development of our product candidates may be adversely affected, our product candidates may not obtain marketing approval, and we may not realize the full commercial potential of any of our product candidates that obtain marketing approval. As a result, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be materially harmed. In addition, a diagnostic company with whom we contract may decide to discontinue selling or manufacturing the companion diagnostic test that we anticipate using in connection with development and commercialization of product candidates or our relationship with such diagnostic company may otherwise terminate. We may not be able to enter into arrangements with another diagnostic company to obtain supplies of an alternative diagnostic test for use in connection with the development and commercialization of our product candidates or do so on commercially reasonable terms, which could adversely affect and/or delay the co-development or commercialization of our companion diagnostic and therapeutic product candidates.
We or our collaborators may seek certain designations for our product candidates in or outside of the U.S., including Breakthrough Therapy, Fast Track and Priority Review designations, and PRIME Designation in the EU, but we, or they, might not receive such designations, and even if we, or they, do, such designations may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process.
We may seek certain designations for one or more of our product candidates that could expedite review and approval by the FDA. A Breakthrough Therapy product is defined as a product that is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other products, to treat a serious condition, and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the product may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. For products that have been designated as breakthrough therapies, interaction and communication between the FDA and the sponsor of the trial can help to identify the most efficient path for clinical development while minimizing the number of patients placed in ineffective control regimens.
The FDA may also designate a product for Fast Track review if it is intended, whether alone or in combination with one or more other products, for the treatment of a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and it demonstrates the potential to address unmet medical needs for such a disease or condition. For Fast Track products, sponsors may have greater interactions with the FDA and the FDA may initiate review of sections of a Fast Track product’s application before the application is complete. This rolling review may be available if the FDA determines, after preliminary evaluation of clinical data submitted by the sponsor, that a Fast Track product may be effective.
We may also seek a Priority Review designation for one or more of our product candidates. If the FDA determines that a product candidate would provide a significant improvement in safety or effectiveness, the FDA may designate the product candidate for priority review. A Priority Review designation means that the goal for the FDA to review an application is six months, rather than the standard review period of ten months.
These designations are within the discretion of the FDA. Accordingly, even if we believe that one of our product candidates meets the criteria for these designations, the FDA may disagree and instead determine not to make such designation. Further, even if we receive a designation, such as the receipt of Fast Track designation for selinexor to treat myelofibrosis, the receipt of such designation for a product candidate may not result in a faster development or regulatory review or approval process compared to products considered for approval under conventional FDA procedures and does not assure ultimate approval by the FDA. In addition, even if one or more of our product candidates qualifies for these designations, the FDA may later decide that the product candidates no longer meet the conditions for qualification and rescind the designation or decide that the time period for FDA review or approval will not be shortened.
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In the EU, we or our collaborators may seek PRIME designation for some of our product candidates in the future. PRIME is a voluntary program aimed at enhancing the EMA’s role to reinforce scientific and regulatory support in order to optimize development and enable accelerated assessment of new medicines that are of major public health interest with the potential to address unmet medical needs. The program focuses on medicines that target conditions for which there exists no satisfactory method of treatment in the EU or even if such a method exists, it may offer a major therapeutic advantage over existing treatments. PRIME is limited to medicines under development and not authorized in the EU and the sponsor intends to apply for an initial MAA through the centralized procedure. To be accepted for PRIME, a product candidate must meet the eligibility criteria with respect to its major public health interest and therapeutic innovation based on information that is capable of substantiating the claims. The benefits of a PRIME designation include the appointment of a CHMP rapporteur to provide continued support and help to build knowledge ahead of a MAA, early dialogue and scientific advice at key development milestones, and the potential to qualify products for accelerated review, meaning reduction in the review time for an opinion on approvability to be issued earlier in the application process. PRIME enables a sponsor to request parallel EMA scientific advice and health technology assessment advice to facilitate timely market access. Even if we or our collaborators receive PRIME designation for any of our product candidates, the designation may not result in a materially faster development process, review or approval compared to conventional EMA procedures. Further, obtaining PRIME designation does not assure or increase the likelihood of the EMA’s grant of a marketing authorization.
We, or our collaborators, may not be able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity for any product candidates we, or they, may develop, and even if we do, that exclusivity may not prevent the FDA or the EMA from approving other competing products.
Under theOrphan Drug Act, the FDA may designate a product as an orphan drug if it is a drug or biologic intended to treat a rare disease or condition. A similar regulatory scheme governs approval of orphan products by the EMA in the EU. Generally, if a product candidate with an Orphan Drug Designation subsequently receives the first marketing approval for the indication for which it has such designation, the product is entitled to a period of marketing exclusivity, which precludes the FDA or the EMA, as applicable, from approving another marketing application for the same product for the same therapeutic indication for that time period. The applicable period is seven years in the U.S. and ten years in the EU. The exclusivity period in the EU can be reduced to six years if a product no longer meets the criteria for Orphan Drug Designation, in particular if the product is sufficiently profitable so that market exclusivity is no longer justified.
In order for the FDA to grant orphan drug exclusivity to one of our products, the agency must find that the product is indicated for the treatment of a condition or disease with a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals annually in the U.S. The FDA may conclude that the condition or disease for which we seek orphan drug exclusivity does not meet this standard. Even if we obtain orphan drug exclusivity for a product, such as the recent receipt of orphan drug exclusivity for selinexor for the treatment of myelofibrosis, that exclusivity may not effectively protect the product from competition because different products can be approved for the same condition. In addition, even after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, such as the EMA, can subsequently approve the same product for the same condition if the FDA or such other authorities conclude that the later product is clinically superior in that it is shown to be safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. Orphan drug exclusivity may also be lost if the FDA or EMA determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantity of the product to meet the needs of the patients with the rare disease or condition.
In 2017, Congress passed the FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017 (the “FDARA”). The FDARA, among other things, codified the FDA’s pre-existing regulatory interpretation, to require that a drug sponsor demonstrate the clinical superiority of an orphan drug that is otherwise the same as a previously approved drug for the same rare disease in order to receive orphan drug exclusivity. Under omnibus legislation signed by President Trump in December 2020, the requirement for a product to show clinical superiority applies to drugs and biologics that received Orphan Drug Designation before the enactment of the FDARA in 2017, but have not yet been approved or licensed by the FDA.
It is also possible that current or future litigation or action by Congress could change the scope of available orphan exclusivity. Any changes to the orphan drug provisions could change our opportunities for, or likelihood of success in obtaining, orphan drug exclusivity and could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, cash flows and prospects.
We do not know if, when, or how the FDA may change the orphan drug regulations and policies in the future or whether Congress will take legislative action, and it is uncertain how any changes might affect our business. Depending on what changes the FDA or Congress may make to orphan drug regulations and policies, our business could be adversely impacted.
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Current and future legislation may increase the difficulty and cost for us, or any collaborators, to obtain marketing approval and commercialize our or their product candidates, if approved, and affect the prices we, or they, may obtain.
In the U.S. and some foreign jurisdictions, there have been a number of legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system that could, among other things, prevent or delay marketing approval of our or our collaborators’ product candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities and affect our ability, or the ability of any collaborators, to profitably sell or commercialize XPOVIO or any product candidate for which we, or they, obtain marketing approval. We expect that current laws, as well as other healthcare reform measures that may be adopted in the future, may result in more rigorous coverage criteria and in additional downward pressure on the price that we, or any collaborators, may receive for any approved products. If reimbursement of our products is unavailable or limited in scope, our business could be materially harmed.