ITEM 1A.Risk Factors.
You should carefully consider the risks described below, as well as the other information in this Annual Report, including our audited consolidated financial statements and the related notes and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.” The occurrence of any of the events or developments described below could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects. In such an event, the market price of our Class A common shares could decline. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial also may impair our business operations.
Risks Related to Our Financial Position and Capital Needs
We are a biopharmaceutical company and have not generated any revenue from product sales. We have incurred significant operating losses since our inception and anticipate that we will incur continued losses for the foreseeable future.
Biopharmaceutical product development is a highly speculative undertaking and involves a substantial degree of risk. Typically, it takes many years to develop one new product from the time it is discovered to when it is available for treating patients, and development may cease for a number of reasons. We have incurred operating losses in each year since our inception in 2015 and anticipate incurring losses for the foreseeable future. Our future success is dependent on our ability to develop, obtain regulatory approval for and successfully commercialize one or more of our product candidates. For example, while the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, or the FDA, accepted the supplemental Biologics License Application, or sBLA, for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act, or PDUFA, goal date of March 21, 2021, we have not yet demonstrated our ability to obtain regulatory approvals, manufacture a commercial-scale drug, or conduct sales and marketing activities necessary for commercialization of rilonacept, if approved. We currently generate no revenue from sales of any products, and we may never be able to develop or commercialize a marketable product.
We have incurred significant losses related to expenses for research and development and our ongoing operations. As of December 31, 2020, we had an accumulated deficit of $517.5 million. We expect to continue to incur losses for the foreseeable future, and anticipate these losses will increase substantially as a result of many factors, including:
●establishing and expanding sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, infrastructure and organization to commercialize products for which we may obtain marketing approval, including our lead program, rilonacept for approved indications in the United States;
●our research and preclinical and clinical development of our product candidates, including our global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe coronavirus disease 2019, or COVID-19, pneumonia and hyperinflammation, Phase 2b dose-ranging study of vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis, and our Phase 1 clinical trial in healthy volunteers for KPL-404;
●manufacturing our product candidates for clinical or commercial use, and increasing our manufacturing capabilities or adding additional manufacturers or suppliers;
●seeking regulatory and marketing approvals for our product candidates that successfully complete clinical trials, if any;
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●initiating potential additional preclinical studies and clinical trials for our product candidates;
●making milestone or other payments under any current or future license, acquisition, collaboration or other strategic transaction agreements;
●seeking to identify, assess and study new or expanded indications for our product candidates, new or alternative dosing levels and frequency for our product candidates, or new or alternative administration of our product candidates, including method, mode or delivery device;
●seeking to identify, assess, acquire or develop additional product candidates;
●entering into licensing, acquisition, collaboration or other strategic transaction agreements;
●seeking to maintain, protect and expand our intellectual property portfolio;
●seeking to attract and retain skilled personnel;
●creating additional infrastructure to support our operations as a public company and large accelerated filer, our product development and planned commercialization efforts; and
●experiencing delays or encountering issues with any of the above, including but not limited to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, failed trials, complex results, safety issues, regulatory challenges that require longer follow-up of existing trials, additional major trials, or additional supportive trials in order to pursue marketing approval.
See “Risk Factors — Risks related to product development — The COVID-19 pandemic, and measures taken in response to the pandemic, could have an adverse impact on our current or planned preclinical studies and clinical trials, which could be significant.”
Further, the net losses we incur may fluctuate significantly from quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year, such that a period-to-period comparison of our results of operations may not be a good indication of our future performance. Even if we achieve profitability in the future, we may not be able to sustain profitability in subsequent periods. Our prior losses, combined with expected future losses, have had and will continue to have an adverse effect on our shareholders’ equity (deficit) and working capital.
We will require substantial additional financing, and a failure to obtain this necessary capital when needed on acceptable terms, or at all, will force us to delay, limit, reduce or cease one or more of our product development plans, research and development programs for our product candidates, or other operations or commercialization efforts.
The development and commercialization of biopharmaceutical products is capital intensive. We are advancing our product candidates through research, preclinical and clinical development, including our global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation, our Phase 2b dose-ranging study of vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis, and our Phase 1 clinical trial with KPL-404 in healthy volunteers.
We expect our expenses to increase in connection with our ongoing activities as we continue the research and development of our product candidates, establish and expand our sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, infrastructure and organization, or enter into agreements with third parties to conduct one or more of these commercialization activities. The FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. Upon approval from the FDA, if any, of the sBLA, we will assume the sales and distribution of rilonacept for the approved indications in the United States and would evenly split profits on sales with Regeneron, after deducting certain commercialization expenses subject to specified limits. We expect to incur significant additional commercialization expenses leading up to and after marketing approval for rilonacept or any of our other product candidates related to manufacturing, product sales, marketing and distribution. As our product candidates
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progress through development and towards commercialization, we will need to make milestone payments and, if successful, eventually make profit-split or royalty payments to the licensors and other third parties from whom we have acquired our product candidates. Furthermore, we expect to continue to incur costs associated with operating as a public company, including with respect to increased compliance and disclosure obligations as a result of becoming a large accelerated filer effective as of December 31, 2020 and no longer being an emerging growth company as of that time or a smaller reporting company as of January 1, 2021.
Accordingly, we will need to obtain substantial additional funding in connection with our continuing operations. If we are unable to raise capital when needed on acceptable terms, if at all, we will be forced to delay, limit, reduce or cease one or more of our product development plans, research and development programs for our product candidates, or commercialization efforts. We also may not be able to expand our operations or otherwise capitalize on our business opportunities, or may be required to relinquish rights to our product candidates or products.
The development process for our product candidates is highly uncertain, and we cannot estimate with certainty the actual amounts necessary to successfully complete the development, regulatory approval process and commercialization of our product candidates. Our operating plans may change as a result of many factors currently unknown to us, including delays in or other adverse impacts to our commercialization of rilonacept impacting our ability to generate projected revenue from rilonacept or delays in commercialization of any of our other product candidates, and we may need to seek additional funds sooner than expected, through public or private securities offerings, debt financings or other sources, including government funding or grants. Our future capital requirements will depend on, and could increase significantly as a result of, many factors, including:
●our ability to successfully commercialize any of our product candidates, including the cost and timing of establishing and expanding our sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, infrastructure and organization or entering into agreements with third parties to conduct one or more of these activities for rilonacept, if approved, any of our product candidates, if approved or in anticipation of such approval, including preparations for the potential commercial launch of rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis;
●the amount and timing of sales revenues from rilonacept or any of our other product candidates, if approved, including the sales price and the availability of coverage and adequate third-party reimbursement;
●competitive and potentially competitive products and technologies and patients’ and physicians’ receptivity to our product candidates and the technology underlying them in light of competitive products and technologies;
●the costs and timing of payments for producing product candidates to support clinical trials as well as the potential commercial launch of our product candidates such as rilonacept, reserving manufacturing slots, or transferring manufacturing technology to third-party manufacturers;
●the results from, and the time and cost necessary for development of our product candidates, including for our global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation, our Phase 2b dose-ranging trial of vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis, and our Phase 1 clinical trial in healthy volunteers for KPL-404;
●the costs and timing of establishing and maintaining clinical trial sites for the development of our product candidates, both in the United States and in jurisdictions outside of the United States, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the pandemic;
●the number, size and type of preclinical activities and any additional clinical trials;
●the costs, timing and outcomes of seeking and potentially obtaining approvals from the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities outside of the United States, including the potential for the FDA or such comparable
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regulatory authorities to require that we conduct more studies than we currently plan to conduct and the costs of post-marketing studies or risk evaluation and mitigation strategies, or REMS, that could be required by regulatory authorities;
●the timing and amount of milestone and other payments we must make under our agreements with Regeneron, MedImmune, Limited, or MedImmune, Biogen MA Inc., or Biogen, and the other third parties from whom we have acquired or in-licensed our product candidates or from whom we may in the future acquire or in-license product candidates;
●the cash requirements for seeking to identify, assess and study new or expanded indications for our product candidates, new or alternative dosing levels or frequency for our product candidates, or new or alternative administration of our product candidates, including method, mode or delivery device;
●the cash requirements of any future in-license, acquisition, development or discovery of additional product candidates, including in connection with any licensing, acquisition, collaboration or other strategic transaction agreements;
●the time and cost necessary to respond to technological and market developments;
●the costs of filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing any patent claims and other intellectual property rights;
●any product liability or other lawsuits related to our product candidates or any related activities;
●the costs associated with being a public company, including as a result of becoming a large accelerated filer as of December 31, 2020 and no longer being an emerging growth company at that time or a smaller reporting company as of January 1, 2021;
●our need and ability to hire and retain skilled personnel; and
●the receptivity of the capital markets to financings by biopharmaceutical companies generally and companies with product candidates and technologies such as ours specifically.
Any additional fundraising efforts may divert our management from their day-to-day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates. The COVID-19 pandemic continues to adversely impact the global economy with the potential for the continued economic downturn to be severe and prolonged. A continued severe or prolonged economic downturn could result in a variety of risks to our business, including disruptions in the financial markets, that may make our ability to raise additional capital when needed, including through private or public securities offerings and debt financings more difficult to obtain, if at all, and may have a material adverse effect on our ability to meet our fundraising needs when they arise.
Additional funds may not be available when we need them, on terms that are acceptable to us, or at all. If we are unable to obtain funding when needed, we will be forced to curtail, delay, limit, reduce or cease one or more of our product development plans, research and development programs for our product candidates, or commercialization efforts of any product candidate. We may also be unable to expand our operations or otherwise capitalize on our business opportunities or may be required to relinquish rights to our product candidates or products. Any of these occurrences could materially affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our shareholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our technologies or product candidates.
Until such time as we can generate substantial product revenue, if ever, we expect to finance most of our cash needs through private or public securities offerings, debt financings, government funding or grants, or other sources,
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including licensing, collaboration or other strategic transactions or arrangements with third parties and to a lesser extent through projected revenue from rilonacept if approved in recurrent pericarditis or any of our other product candidates. The terms of any financing may adversely affect the holdings or the rights of our shareholders and our issuance of additional securities, whether equity or debt, or the possibility of such issuance, may cause the market price of our Class A common shares to decline. The sale of additional equity or convertible securities would dilute all of our shareholders. The incurrence of indebtedness would result in increased fixed payment obligations and we may be required to agree to certain restrictive covenants, such as limitations on our ability to incur additional debt, limitations on our ability to acquire, sell or license intellectual property rights and other operating restrictions that could adversely impact our ability to conduct our business. Obtaining funds through licensing, collaboration or other strategic transactions or arrangements with third parties may require us to relinquish rights to some of our technologies, product candidates or future revenue streams, or otherwise agree to terms unfavorable to us, any of which may have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and prospects. If we raise funds through research grants, we may be subject to certain requirements, which may limit our ability to use the funds or require us to share information from our research and development. Raising additional capital through any of these or other means could adversely affect our business and the holdings or rights of our shareholders, and may cause the market price of our Class A common shares to decline.
Risks Related to Product Development
We depend heavily on the success of one or more of our product candidates, which are in various stages of clinical development. If we are unable to advance our product candidates in clinical development, obtain regulatory approval and ultimately commercialize one or more of our product candidates, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business will be significantly harmed.
We do not currently generate any revenue from sales of any products, and we may never be able to develop or commercialize marketable products. We are not permitted to market or promote any of our product candidates before we receive regulatory approval from the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities outside of the United States. Our product candidates in various stages of clinical development. Our assumptions about why our product candidates are worthy of future development and potential approval in the indications for which we are studying them, or any other indications, are based in part on indirect data collected by other companies and in part from data collected from our preclinical and clinical trials. We may not be able to demonstrate that they are safe or effective in the indications for which we are studying them, and they may not be approved.
Although rilonacept is approved and marketed for human use for the treatment of other indications in the United States by Regeneron, we studied rilonacept for the treatment of a different indication called recurrent pericarditis, for which the FDA accepted the sBLA with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. Mavrilimumab was studied in Phase 2 clinical trials conducted by MedImmune outside of the United States for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, or RA. However, we studied mavrilimumab in a global Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of GCA, for which we announced that the trial met both the primary and secondary efficacy endpoints with statistical significance. Further, we are conducting a global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation. We have been studying vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis, for which we released top-line data from our Phase 2a clinical trial, and are enrolling and dosing patients in a Phase 2b dose-ranging study of vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis. In addition, we are conducting a Phase 1 clinical trial of KPL-404 in healthy volunteers. Our future preclinical product candidates would need to progress through toxicology studies and other requirements to enable an Investigational New Drug application, or IND, prior to clinical development.
We cannot be certain that any of our product candidates will be successful in these clinical trials or that rilonacept, or any of our other product candidates, will receive regulatory approval even after completing a successful pivotal clinical trial. We may also determine that the potential product and commercial profile of any of our product candidates may not ultimately be commercially successful or even if they have the potential to ultimately be successful, we may not have sufficient recourses, which in either case could lead us to discontinue its development, or we may determine to not support further development of any of our product candidates at any time for any reason. If we do not receive regulatory approvals for one or more of our product candidates, we may not be able to continue our operations.
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While our global, pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial, RHAPSODY, of rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis met statistical significance on its primary and all major secondary efficacy endpoints, we may be required to conduct additional studies before or after we receive FDA approval of rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis. Each of our other product candidates require additional preclinical or clinical development and all of our product candidates will require regulatory approval in one or more jurisdictions, manufacturing capacity and expertise, successful manufacture of clinical supply, an organization to support commercialization and product launch, and significant marketing efforts before we will be able to generate any revenue from product sales. The success of our product candidates or potential future product candidates depends upon several factors, including the following:
●submission to and acceptance by the FDA of INDs and of clinical trial applications to governmental authorities outside of the United States for our product candidates to commence planned clinical trials or future clinical trials;
●successful completion of preclinical studies, including toxicology studies, biodistribution studies and minimally efficacious dose studies in animals, conducted, where applicable, under the FDA’s Good Laboratory Practice, or GLP, regulations;
●successful site activation for, enrollment in, and completion of clinical trials, the design and implementation of which are agreed to by the applicable regulatory authorities, and the ability of our contract research organizations, or CROs, to successfully conduct such trials within our planned budget and timing parameters and without materially adversely impacting our trials;
●successful data from our clinical programs that support an acceptable risk-benefit profile of our product candidates for the targeted indications in the intended populations to the satisfaction of the applicable regulatory authorities;
●timely receipt, if at all, of regulatory approvals from applicable regulatory authorities and maintenance of any such approvals;
●as applicable, pediatric study plans acceptable to the FDA and comparable regulatory authorities outside of the United States, and follow through of any pediatric study commitments, including development of pediatric formulations where indicated;
●establishment and maintenance of arrangements with third-party manufacturers, as applicable, for continued clinical supply and commercial manufacturing;
●successful development of our manufacturing processes and transfer to third-party facilities to support future development activities and commercialization that are operated by contract manufacturing organizations, or CMOs, in a manner compliant with all regulatory requirements;
●successful manufacture of sufficient supplies of our product candidates within approved specifications for purity and efficacy from our facility and from our CMOs or other sole-source manufacturers in order to meet clinical or commercial demand, as applicable;
●establishment and maintenance of patent and trade secret protection or regulatory exclusivity for our product candidates;
●timely and successful commercial launch of our product candidates, including rilonacept if and when approved;
●acceptance of our products, if and when approved, by patients, patient-advocates, the medical community and third-party payors;
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●effective competition with other therapies;
●establishment and maintenance of adequate healthcare coverage and reimbursement;
●enforcement and defense of intellectual property rights and claims;
●continued compliance with any post-marketing requirements imposed by regulatory authorities, including any required post-marketing clinical trial commitments or REMS; and
●maintenance of a continued acceptable safety profile of our product candidates following approval.
If we do not accomplish one or more of these factors in a timely manner or at all, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the pandemic, we could experience significant delays in, or an inability to, timely or successfully commercialize our product candidates, which would materially harm our business. If we do not receive regulatory approvals for one or more of our product candidates, we may not be able to continue our operations. Even if we successfully obtain regulatory approvals to manufacture and market our product candidates, our revenues will be dependent, in part, upon the size of the markets in the territories for which we gain regulatory approval and have commercial rights, among other things. If the markets for patient subsets that we are targeting are smaller than we estimate, we may not generate projected revenue levels from sales of such products, if approved.
Clinical drug development is a lengthy and expensive process with uncertain timelines and uncertain outcomes. We may encounter substantial delays in our clinical trials, or we may fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory authorities. We may therefore be unable to obtain required regulatory approvals and be unable to commercialize our product candidates on a timely basis, if at all.
Before obtaining marketing approval from regulatory authorities for the sale of our product candidates, we must conduct extensive clinical trials to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of our product candidates in humans. Clinical testing is expensive, time consuming and uncertain as to outcome. We are conducting a global, placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation, a Phase 2b dose-ranging study of vixarelimab in prurigo nodularis, for which we are enrolling and dosing patients, and a Phase 1 clinical trial with KPL-404 in healthy volunteers. Not all of our clinical trials have been conducted as initially planned or completed on our initial projected schedule, and accordingly, we cannot guarantee that any of our current or potential future clinical trials will be conducted as initially planned or completed on our initial projected schedule, if at all, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the pandemic.
Commencing a clinical trial is subject to acceptance by the FDA of an IND or IND amendments, acceptance by European regulatory authorities of a Clinical Trial Application, or CTA, or acceptance by other applicable regulatory authorities, and finalizing the trial design based on discussions with the FDA, European regulatory authorities or other applicable regulatory authorities. We have and may in the future receive feedback or guidance from regulatory authorities on our clinical trial design and protocols and, even after we incorporate such feedback or guidance from these regulatory authorities, such regulatory authorities may impose other requirements for our clinical trials, could disagree that we have satisfied their requirements to commence our clinical trials, disagree with our interpretation of data from the relevant preclinical studies, clinical trials or chemistry, manufacturing and controls, or CMC, data, or disagree or change their position on the acceptability of our trial designs, including the proposed dosing level or schedule, treatment duration, our definitions of the patient populations or the clinical endpoints selected, which may require us to complete additional preclinical studies, clinical trials, CMC development, other studies or impose stricter approval conditions than we currently expect.
For example, the FDA has provided feedback that the risk-benefit assessment for investigation of mavrilimumab in a clinical trial may differ depending on the patient population studied. Specifically, the FDA acknowledged that the risk-benefit assessment for initiation of a clinical trial may be considered favorable in a patient population with high morbidity and limited effective treatment options. In addition, we anticipate that other potential indications for mavrilimumab would need to be in serious or life-threatening diseases where the burden of the disease is sufficient to justify the risk-benefit of mavrilimumab to pursue clinical development in such indications or potentially in
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indications requiring limited doses where the theoretical risk of PAP is low. Further, based on FDA feedback we received in connection with its review and approval of an IND for our global Phase 2 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in GCA, we anticipate that to help inform the risk-benefit profile for the use of mavrilimumab in GCA, we will need to eventually demonstrate safety and effectiveness of mavrilimumab beyond 26 weeks, as well as evaluate its pharmacokinetic profile and the effectiveness of mavrilimumab at different doses in GCA.
Commencing our planned clinical trials is also subject to approval by an IRB at each clinical trial site before a trial may be initiated, which approval could be delayed, rejected or suspended. Further the IRBs of the institutions in which such trials are being conducted, the Data Safety Monitoring Board for such trial or the FDA or other regulatory authorities may impose a suspension or termination of our clinical trials even after approval and initiation of trial sites due to a number of factors, including failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with regulatory requirements or our clinical protocols, inspection of the clinical trial operations or trial site by the FDA or other regulatory authorities, unforeseen safety issues or adverse side effects that arise in the trial, failure to demonstrate a benefit from using a drug, any of which could result in the imposition of a clinical hold, as well as changes in governmental regulations or administrative actions or lack of adequate funding to continue the clinical trial.
Successful completion of our clinical trials is a prerequisite to submitting a Biologics License Application, or BLA, sBLA or New Drug Applications, or NDA, to the FDA and a marketing authorization application, or MAA, to the European Medicines Agency, or EMA, or other applicable regulatory authorities in other countries for each product candidate and, consequently, to obtaining approval and initiating commercial marketing of our current and any future product candidates. A failure of one or more of our current or future clinical trials can occur at any stage of testing, and our clinical trials may not be successful. We have and may continue to experience delays in our ongoing clinical trials, and we do not know whether planned clinical trials will begin on time, be allowed by regulatory authorities, need to be redesigned, or if we can activate sites or enroll patients on time, or if they will be completed on schedule, if at all. Events that have and may continue to delay or prevent commencement or successful completion of clinical development of our product candidates as planned and on schedule, if at all, include but are not limited to:
●inability to generate sufficient preclinical, toxicology or other in vivo or in vitro data to support the initiation of human clinical trials;
●delays or failure in reaching a consensus with regulatory agencies on trial design or implementation;
●delays or failure in establishing the appropriate dosage levels or frequency of dosing or treatment period in clinical trials;
●delays or failure in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective CROs, and clinical trial sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical trial sites;
●difficulties in obtaining required IRB approval at each clinical trial site;
●delays or failure in obtaining regulatory approval to commence a trial, or imposition of a clinical hold by regulatory authorities, after review of an IND or IND amendment, or equivalent application or amendment, or an inspection of our clinical trial operations or study sites;
●challenges in recruiting and enrolling suitable patients or a sufficient number thereof to participate in our clinical trials;
●amendments to clinical trial protocols impacting study criteria, endpoints or design, including amendments that either we initiate or are requested by regulatory authorities;
●difficulty collaborating with patient groups and investigators;
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●failure by our CROs, medical institutions, other third parties we contract with in connection with our clinical trials, or us to adhere to clinical trial requirements or to perform their obligations in a timely or compliant manner;
●failure to perform in accordance with the FDA’s good clinical practices requirements, or GCPs, or applicable comparable regulatory guidelines in other countries;
●patients not completing participation in a clinical trial or returning for post-treatment follow-up, in either case including as a result of trial demands on participants as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the pandemic or otherwise, among other things;
●clinical trial sites or patients withdrawing from a clinical trial, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the pandemic or otherwise, among other things;
●participating patients experiencing serious adverse events or undesirable side effects or being exposed to unacceptable health risks;
●participating patients failing to experience confirmed pre-specified events during the clinical trial within an expected time-frame, if at all;
●safety issues, including occurrence of adverse events associated with the product candidate that are viewed to outweigh its potential benefits;
●difficulty in identifying the patient populations that we are trying to enroll in a particular trial, which may delay enrollment and reduce the power of a clinical trial to detect statistically significant results;
●changes in regulatory requirements, policies and guidance that require amending or submitting new clinical protocols;
●the cost of clinical trials of our product candidates being greater than we anticipate;
●clinical trials of our product candidates producing negative, inconclusive or uncompetitive results, which may result in us deciding, or regulators requiring us, to conduct additional clinical trials or modify or cease development programs for our product candidates;
●suspensions or terminations of our clinical trials by us or the IRBs of the institutions in which our clinical trials are being conducted, the Data Safety Monitoring Board for such trials or the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities;
●failure of manufacturers, or us, to produce phase-appropriate supplies of our product candidates for use in our clinical trials in accordance with current good manufacturing practices, or cGMP, requirements and regulations or applicable comparable regulatory guidelines in other countries;
●delays in manufacturing, testing, releasing, validating or importing/exporting sufficient stable quantities of our product candidates for use in clinical trials or the inability to do any of the foregoing; and
●disruptions to our business operations, including our manufacturing operations, and the business operations of our third-party manufacturers, CROs upon whom we rely to conduct our clinical trials, or other third parties with whom we conduct business or otherwise engage, as well as disruptions in travel into and within the countries in which we conduct our clinical trials, our manufacturers produce our product candidates or we otherwise conduct business or engage with other third parties, now or in the future as a result of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Delays in the commencement or completion of our planned and ongoing clinical trials of our product candidates have and may continue to occur. Consequences of delays have or may increase our costs of developing our product candidates, slow down the development and approval of our product candidates, delay or jeopardize our ability to commence product sales and generate revenue, if any, from our product candidates and harm their commercial prospects. Furthermore, disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic have and may continue to increase the likelihood that we encounter such difficulties or delays in commencing or completing our planned and ongoing clinical trials or other development. In addition, many of the factors that cause, or lead to, a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates or us deciding to modify or cease development of our product candidates.
Clinical trial delays could also shorten any periods during which our products have patent protection or shorten any periods during which we have the exclusive right to commercialize our product candidates and may allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do, which could impair our ability to obtain orphan exclusivity for our products that potentially qualify for this designation and to successfully commercialize our product candidates, and may harm our business and results of operations. Any inability to successfully complete preclinical and clinical development could result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to generate revenue and harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
Furthermore, clinical trials must be conducted in accordance with the laws, rules and regulations, guidelines and other requirements of the FDA, European Union, or EU, and other applicable regulatory authorities outside of those jurisdictions and are subject to oversight by these regulatory authorities and IRBs at the medical institutions where the clinical trials are conducted. Further, conducting global clinical trials, as we do for certain of our product candidates, may require that we coordinate among the legal requirements and guidelines of regulatory authorities across a number of jurisdictions, including the United States, EU and countries outside of those jurisdictions, which could require that we amend clinical trial protocols or determine not to conduct a trial in one or more jurisdictions or to run separate trials in various jurisdictions due to the inability, cost or delay in harmonizing divergent requests from such regulatory authorities, all of which could increase costs. In addition, clinical trials that are conducted in countries outside the United States and the EU may subject us to risks associated with the engagement of non-United States and non-EU CROs who are unknown to the FDA or the EMA, and may have different standards of diagnosis, screening and medical care, as well as risks associated with further delays and expenses as a result of increased shipment costs (including as a result of local quality release or in-country testing of a product candidate supply produced in a different jurisdiction for our clinical trials) and political and economic risks relevant to such countries outside the United States and the EU.
The COVID-19 pandemic, and measures taken in response to the pandemic, could have an adverse impact on our current or planned preclinical studies and clinical trials, which could be significant.
The COVID-19 pandemic, and measures taken in response to the pandemic, have had and could continue to have an impact our current or planned preclinical studies and clinical trials. If the COVID-19 pandemic and measures undertaken in response to the pandemic are prolonged, or the easing of any of such measures has adverse consequences, we may experience significant disruptions that could materially impact our preclinical studies and clinical trials, including by:
●impeding, delaying, limiting or preventing the production, delivery or release of our product candidates to our clinical trial sites or patients, including due to interruptions in the supply of raw materials or global shipping that may affect the transport of our product candidates or clinical trial materials, or the reprioritization by third parties or the U.S. government for any products or potential products related to the treatment or prevention of COVID-19;
●impeding, delaying, limiting or preventing the production, delivery or release of the potential commercial supply of rilonacept, including due to disruptions at Regeneron’s manufacturing facilities that produce rilonacept, staffing shortages or reprioritizations, production slowdowns or stoppages or interruptions in global shipping;
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●impeding, delaying, limiting or preventing clinical trial investigators, other critical staff, or patients from traveling to our clinical trial sites or visiting nurses traveling to patients;
●impeding, delaying, limiting or preventing key clinical trial activities, including clinical trial site monitoring, patient dosing, study procedures (such as biopsies, which may be deemed non-essential), collection of clinical data and samples as well as cleaning and verification of clinical data, which could affect the integrity of clinical trial data;
●diverting healthcare resources away from the conduct of clinical trials or a reprioritizing of the focus of such resources on clinical trials for product candidates with the potential for treatment or prevention of COVID-19 related conditions;
●impeding, delaying, limiting or preventing clinical trial site initiation, including difficulties in recruiting clinical site investigators and clinical site staff, and enrollment or retention of patients in our clinical trials;
●increasing the risk that participants enrolled in our clinical trials will acquire COVID-19 while the clinical trial is ongoing, which could impact the results of the clinical trial, including by increasing the number of observed adverse events;
●interrupting or delaying preclinical studies due to restricted or limited operations at our research and development laboratory facility;
●causing interruptions or delays at the FDA, or other regulatory authorities, which could result in delays in review and approval of our submissions and applications, including INDs, clinical trial protocols and BLAs for our product candidates;
●resulting in the refusal of the FDA to accept data from clinical trials in affected geographies;
●prompting changes in local regulations as part of a response to the COVID-19 pandemic which may require us to change the ways in which our clinical trials are conducted, which may result in unexpected costs, or cause us to pause or discontinue one or more of our current or planned clinical trials altogether;
●delaying necessary interactions with local regulators, ethics committees and other important agencies and contractors due to limitations in employee resources or forced furlough of government employees; and
●limiting employee resources that would otherwise be focused on the conduct of our clinical trials, including because of sickness of employees or their families or the desire or requirement of employees to avoid contact with large groups of people.
Any one of the foregoing could significantly impede, delay, limit or prevent the clinical development of our product candidates and ultimately lead to the delay or denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates. For example, the large number of competitive studies for the treatment of conditions associated with COVID-19 and the evolving standard of care with overall improvement in the quality of care for patients diagnosed with COVID-19 initially had an impact on the number of eligible patients for our global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation. While we continuously look to identify business-critical activities and to develop contingencies and mitigation strategies for those activities to potentially minimize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business and operations, there can be no assurance that we will be able to identify all such activities or that any identified contingencies and mitigation strategies will be effective. If the clinical development of our product candidates is significantly impeded, delayed, limited or is prevented, it could ultimately lead to the delay or denial of regulatory approval of our product candidates which would materially adversely affect our business and operations, including our ability to generate revenue.
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We may find it difficult to enroll patients in our clinical trials in a timely manner given the limited number of patients who have the diseases for which our product candidates are being studied, our particular enrollment criteria or competing clinical studies in the same patient population, including patients with COVID-19, or due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Difficulty in enrolling patients could delay or prevent completion of our clinical trials of our product candidates, and our research and development efforts could be adversely affected.
Identifying and qualifying patients to participate in clinical trials of our product candidates is critical to our success. The timing of our clinical trials depends in part on the speed at which we can recruit a sufficient number of patients to participate in testing our product candidates, including for the treatment of conditions associated with COVID-19, particularly given that many of the conditions for which we are evaluating our current product candidates or may evaluate them in the future are in small disease populations. In addition, the eligibility criteria of our clinical trials will further limit the pool of available trial participants, as we will require patients to have specific characteristics that we can evaluate based on the primary and secondary endpoints of the study. Further, our product candidates modulate the immune system and carry risks associated with immunosuppression, including the risk of serious infections and other potential serious health risks.
Our clinical trials have and may continue to compete with other clinical trials for product candidates that are in the same therapeutic areas as our product candidates, and this competition may further reduce the number and types of patients available to us because some patients who might have opted to enroll in our trials may instead opt to enroll in a trial being conducted by one of our competitors. For example, the large number of competitive studies for the treatment of conditions associated with COVID-19 and the evolving standard of care with overall improvement in the quality of care for patients diagnosed with COVID-19 initially had an impact on the number of eligible patients for our global placebo-controlled Phase 2/3 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in severe COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation. Since the number of qualified clinical investigators is limited, we may conduct some of our clinical trials at the same clinical trial sites that some of our competitors use, which would reduce the number of patients who are available for our clinical trials at such clinical trial site.
In addition, disruptions to our business operations and the business operations of our CROs or other third parties with whom we conduct business, as well as disruptions in travel into and within the countries in which we conduct our clinical trials, now or in the future, as a result of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, may delay or prevent patient enrollment. For example, our CRO for the Phase 1 clinical trial of KPL-404 notified us that, after a temporary pause due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, they resumed certain clinical trial activities, but we also engaged an additional CRO to conduct additional portions of the trial at another clinical trial site.
Accordingly, when we encounter these or other difficulties in enrollment we have and may continue to experience delays or we may be prevented from completing our clinical trials. Patient enrollment depends on many factors, including:
●the size and nature of the patient population;
●the severity of the disease being studied;
●patient referral practices of physicians;
●patient eligibility criteria for the clinical trial and evolving standards of care;
●the proximity of patients to clinical sites;
●the complexity of the design and nature of the clinical protocol and trial;
●the availability and nature of competing clinical trials;
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●the availability of standard of care or new drugs approved for the indication the clinical trial is investigating;
●failure to obtain and maintain or timely amend patient consents;
●our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with applicable competencies and experience;
●the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will withdraw from the trials before completion of their treatment or follow-up period (in either case including as a result of trial demands on participants among other things);
●clinicians’ and patients’ perceptions as to the safety and potential advantages of the product candidate being studied in relation to other available therapies; and
●the occurrence of adverse events, or AEs, or undesirable side effects attributable to our product candidates.
The process of finding and enrolling patients may prove costly, especially since we are looking to identify a subset of the patients eligible for our studies from a relatively small patient population for many of the diseases we are studying, including for the treatment of conditions associated with COVID-19. If patients are unable or unwilling to participate in our clinical trials for any reason, or we experience difficulties in patient enrollment for any other reasons, such as due to the COVID-19 pandemic, our costs may significantly increase and the timeline for recruiting patients, conducting trials and obtaining regulatory approval of our product candidates may be significantly delayed or prevented, the commercial prospects of our product candidates may be harmed, and our ability to commence product sales and generate product revenue from any of these product candidates could be delayed or prevented. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition, and prospects significantly.
Our product candidates may cause undesirable side effects or have other safety risks that could delay or prevent their regulatory approval, limit the commercial profile of an approved label or result in significant negative consequences, including withdrawal of approval, following any potential marketing approval.
Treatment with our product candidates may produce undesirable side effects or adverse reactions or events. Undesirable side effects caused by our product candidates could cause us or regulatory authorities to interrupt, delay or halt clinical trials and could result in more restrictive labels or the delay or denial of regulatory approvals by the FDA or other comparable regulatory authorities outside of the United States.
Our product candidates modulate the immune system and carry risks associated with immunosuppression, including the risk of serious infections and other potential serious health risks. For example, some common side effects of rilonacept include, cold symptoms, nausea, stomach pain, diarrhea, numbness or tingly feeling and injection-site reaction. IL-1 blockade may interfere with immune response to or delay symptomatology and diagnosis of infections. Serious, life-threatening infections have been reported in patients taking rilonacept. In our open-label Phase 2 proof-of-concept clinical trial of rilonacept for recurrent pericarditis, the most common AEs were gastrointestinal disorders and injection site reactions and there was one treatment-related serious AE which resulted in discontinuation: a skin abscess which responded to medical treatment. In our global, pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial, RHAPSODY, the most common AEs were injection site reactions and upper respiratory tract infections and there were four serious AEs on rilonacept, none of which were treatment-related.
For mavrilimumab, there is a theoretical risk for the development of pulmonary alveolar proteinosis, or PAP. PAP is a rare lung disorder in which surfactant-derived lipoproteins accumulate excessively within pulmonary alveoli due to loss of granulocyte macrophage colony stimulating factor, or GM-CSF, function. The disease can range in severity from a sub-clinical reduction in diffusion capacity to significant dyspnea during mild exertion. In preclinical studies conducted by MedImmune, certain effects were observed in the lungs of non-human primates, which led the FDA to issue a clinical hold with respect to MedImmune’s proposed clinical trial in RA. Preclinical data generated to-
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date suggest mavrilimumab does not reach the lungs in sufficient quantities to induce PAP at clinically relevant doses and human trials thus far have not shown a clinical effect on pulmonary function tests attributable to mavrilimumab.
However, if the results of our clinical trials reveal an unacceptable severity and prevalence of these or other side effects, the FDA or applicable regulatory authority outside of the United States may suspend or terminate our clinical trials, or not authorize us to initiate further trials. In addition, if other anti-GM-CSF molecules in development by third parties show these or similar side effects, it could have an impact on the entire class of anti-GM-CSF molecules in development and the applicable regulatory agency may suspend or terminate our clinical trials, or not authorize us to initiate further trials. The FDA or comparable regulatory authorities outside of the United States could order us to cease further development of, or deny or withdraw any approval of, any of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications.
In addition, subsequent to MedImmune’s original IND submission for RA and the availability of additional clinical safety data that MedImmune generated in human clinical trials conducted outside of the United States for RA, the FDA provided feedback that the risk-benefit assessment for investigation of mavrilimumab in a clinical trial may differ depending on the patient population studied. Specifically, the FDA acknowledged that the risk-benefit assessment for initiation of a clinical trial may be considered favorable in a patient population with high morbidity and limited effective treatment options. Further, we anticipate that other potential indications for mavrilimumab would need to be in serious or life-threatening diseases where the burden of the disease is sufficient to justify the risk-benefit of mavrilimumab to be studied in such indications or potentially in indications requiring limited doses where the theoretical risk of PAP is low. In addition, based on FDA feedback we received in connection with its review and authorization of an IND for our global Phase 2 clinical trial of mavrilimumab in GCA, we anticipate that to help inform the risk-benefit profile for the use of mavrilimumab in GCA, we will need to eventually demonstrate the safety and effectiveness of mavrilimumab beyond 26 weeks as well as evaluate its pharmacokinetic profile and the effectiveness of mavrilimumab at different doses in GCA.
In our repeated-single-dose Phase 1b clinical trial of vixarelimab, there were no serious AEs, however, there were more atopic dermatitis flares in the vixarelimab-treated population versus placebo (47.6% versus 4.5%) through the 12-week treatment period; all subjects who experienced a flare were successfully managed with topical corticosteroids.
In addition, the development of any of our product candidates in other potential indications could increase the possibility of identification of adverse safety results that impact our development of such product candidates. For example, the development of mavrilimumab in other potential indications, such as COVID-19 pneumonia and hyperinflammation, could increase the possibility of identification of adverse safety results that impact our development of mavrilimumab for GCA or any other indication.
Further, clinical trials by their nature utilize a sample of the potential patient population. Certain rare and severe side effects associated with our product candidates may only be uncovered with a significantly larger number of patients exposed to the product candidates. If one or more of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and we or others later identify undesirable side effects caused by the product, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including but not limited to:
●regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of such product and require us to take it off the market;
●regulatory authorities may require the addition of labeling statements, specific warnings, contraindications or field alerts to physicians and pharmacies;
●we may be required to create a registry or a REMS plan, which could include a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients, a communication plan for healthcare providers or other elements to assure safe use;
●we may be required to change the way the product is administered, conduct additional clinical trials or change the labeling of the product;
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●we may be subject to limitations on how we promote the product, or sales of the product may decrease significantly;
●we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients;
●the product may become less competitive; and
●our reputation may suffer.
Any of these events could prevent us from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the particular product candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects.
If we cannot replicate positive results from earlier preclinical studies and clinical trials conducted by us or third parties, including the companies from whom we have licensed or acquired or may in the future license or acquire our product candidates, in our later clinical trials, we may be unable to successfully develop, obtain regulatory approval for and commercialize our product candidates.
Positive results from our preclinical studies and any positive results we may obtain from our earlier clinical trials of our product candidates, or from the clinical trials conducted by third parties, including investigator-initiated studies or the companies from whom we in-licensed or acquired or may in the future in-license or acquire our product candidates, may not be predictive of the results from any required later preclinical studies and clinical trials. Similarly, the positive results from the preclinical studies and earlier clinical trials or investigator initiated studies of our product candidates may not be replicated in our subsequent preclinical studies and clinical trial or investigator initiated study results. The mechanisms of action of our product candidates may not prove to be safe or effective to treat the diseases we are studying. Further, the safety and efficacy of our product candidates have not been determined for the indications in which we are developing them, and we cannot provide any assurance that their development will be successful. For example, although rilonacept is FDA approved for the treatment of CAPS and DIRA, and we announced that our global, pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial, RHAPSODY, with rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis met statistical significance on its primary and all major secondary efficacy endpoints, and mavrilimumab has been studied in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of RA by MedImmune, and we announced that our global Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of GCA met achieved statistical significance on both its primary and secondary efficacy endpoints, their safety and efficacy have not been determined in the indications we are pursuing, and each may fail to receive regulatory approval for those indications.
Many companies in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries have suffered significant setbacks in later-stage clinical trials after achieving positive results in early-stage development, and we cannot be certain that we will not face similar setbacks. These setbacks have been caused by, among other things, preclinical findings made while clinical trials were underway or safety or efficacy observations made in preclinical studies and clinical trials, including AEs previously unreported in earlier studies and trials and favorable safety and efficacy observed in earlier studies and trials not replicated in later studies or trials. Further, such setbacks may be caused by manufacturing or formulation changes to product candidates or changes in manufacturers or manufacturing processes to produce products as compared to the process or manufacturing methods used in prior preclinical studies and clinical trials. Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses and many companies that believed their product candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials nonetheless failed to obtain FDA or EMA approval. Furthermore, the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or the applicable regulatory authorities outside of the United States may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval, which may lead to the FDA or such other regulatory authorities delaying, limiting or denying approval of our product candidates.
Interim, preliminary, and “top-line” data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data become available following the interim data; preliminary data are subject to audit and verification procedures, and deeper analysis of the data beyond the topline data may provide more color and context to the data, all of which could result in material or other changes in the final data.
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From time to time, we may disclose interim data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials, which are based on an interim analysis of then-available data from ongoing studies or trials. Interim data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials that we may complete are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical observations may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available from the particular study or trial. As a result, interim data should be viewed with caution until final data are available. Adverse differences between interim data and final data could significantly harm the development of our product candidate and our business prospects with respect thereto.
Further, from time to time we may announce or publish preliminary data from our pre-clinical studies or clinical trials, which are based on a preliminary analysis of final data. Preliminary data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data from the particular preclinical study or trial. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our preliminary analyses of the data, and we may not have received, or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate, all of the data. As a result, preliminary data remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being different from the preliminary data we previously announced or published.
From time to time, we may also announce or publish topline data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials, which are a subset of the total data intended to provide the important results from the study or trial. As a result, deeper analysis of the data beyond the topline data may provide more color and context to the results. Any adverse color and context provided by the broader data to the topline data could significantly harm the development of our product candidate and our business prospects with respect thereto.
Further, third parties, including regulatory agencies, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the value of the particular program, the approvability or commercialization of the particular product candidate and our business prospects. In addition, the information we announce or publish regarding a particular preclinical study or clinical trial may represent only a portion of extensive information generated from that study or trial, and our shareholders or other third parties may not agree with what we determine is material, important or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure.
If the interim, preliminary, or topline data that we report differ materially from final results, or if third parties, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for, and commercialize, our product candidates may be harmed, which could harm our business prospects, operating results or financial condition. Further, announcement of preliminary, interim or top-line data by us or differences between that data and the final data could result in volatility in the price of our Class A common shares.
Risks Related to Marketing Approval and Regulatory Matters
Regulatory approval processes are lengthy, time consuming and inherently unpredictable. If we are not able to obtain, or if there are delays in obtaining, required regulatory approvals for our product candidates or we fail or otherwise cease to advance their development, we will be delayed in commercializing or will not be able to commercialize, our product candidates and our ability to generate revenue will be materially impaired.
Our product candidates and the activities associated with their development and commercialization, including their trial design, testing, manufacture, safety, efficacy, record-keeping, labeling, storage, approval, advertising, promotion, pricing, sale, distribution, import and export are subject to comprehensive regulation by the FDA and other regulatory agencies in the United States and by comparable authorities in other countries. Before we can commercialize any of our product candidates, we must obtain marketing approval. We have not received approval or clearance to market any of our product candidates from regulatory authorities in any jurisdiction and it is possible that none of our product candidates or any product candidates we may seek to develop in the future will ever obtain regulatory approval or clearance. We have limited experience in filing and supporting the applications necessary to gain regulatory approvals and may need to rely on third-party CROs and regulatory consultants to assist us in this process. Securing regulatory approval requires the submission of extensive preclinical and clinical data and supporting information to the various regulatory authorities for each therapeutic indication to establish the product candidate’s safety and efficacy. Securing
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regulatory approval also requires the submission of information about the biologic manufacturing process to, and inspection of manufacturing facilities by, the relevant regulatory authorities. Our product candidates may not be effective, may be only moderately effective or may prove to have undesirable or unintended side effects, toxicities or other characteristics that may preclude our obtaining marketing approval or prevent or limit commercial use. The FDA and other regulatory authorities have substantial discretion in the approval process, and determining when or whether regulatory approval will be obtained for a product candidate. Even if we believe the data collected from clinical trials are promising, such data may not be sufficient to support approval by the FDA or any other regulatory authority. In addition to the United States, we may seek regulatory approval to commercialize our product candidates in other jurisdictions. While the scope of regulatory approval is similar in many countries, to obtain separate regulatory approval in multiple countries will require us to comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of each such country or jurisdiction regarding safety and efficacy and governing, among other things, clinical trials and commercial sales, pricing and distribution, and we cannot predict success in any such jurisdictions.
The process of obtaining regulatory approvals, both in the United States and in other countries, is time consuming, expensive, may take many years, if approval is obtained at all, and can vary substantially based upon a variety of factors, including the type, complexity and novelty of the product candidates involved. Changes in marketing approval policies during the development period, changes in or the enactment of additional statutes or regulations, or changes in regulatory review for each submitted BLA, or equivalent application types, may cause delays in the approval or rejection of an application. The FDA and comparable authorities in other countries have substantial discretion in the approval process and may refuse to accept any application or may decide that our data are insufficient for approval and require additional preclinical, clinical or other trials, including with respect to approval for the commercial marketing of rilonacept in the United States for recurrent pericarditis.
The FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. Upon approval from the FDA, if any, of the sBLA, we will assume the sales and distribution of rilonacept for the approved indications in the United States. However, we must continue to coordinate numerous activities with Regeneron in order for us to take over certain responsibilities and obligations with respect to owning the BLA for CAPS and DIRA. The activities and obligations are complex and resource intensive, and we may not have anticipated all such activities to be coordinated or responsibilities and obligations to be assumed. Further, if Regeneron or we do not perform in accordance with our expectations, or we are not ready to assume the responsibilities and obligations on a timely basis, or either we or Regeneron have critical or major observations during the FDA’s potential inspection with respect to our and Regeneron’s ability to manufacture rilonacept to the requisite level of quality standards and controls could delay FDA approval or our commercialization of rilonacept, and our ability to generate revenue from rilonacept could be materially impaired. Approval by the FDA in the United States, if obtained, does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions. Our product candidates could be delayed in receiving, or fail to receive, regulatory approval or we may fail or cease to advance their development for many reasons, including the following:
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may disagree with the number, design or implementation of our clinical trials to support further development or approval;
●we may be unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions that a product candidate is safe and effective for its proposed indication;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions could require us to collect additional data or conduct additional clinical trials; for example, based on FDA feedback, we anticipate that to help inform the risk-benefit profile for the use of mavrilimumab in GCA, we will need to eventually demonstrate the safety and effectiveness of mavrilimumab beyond 26 weeks, as well as evaluate its pharmacokinetic profile and the effectiveness of mavrilimumab at different doses;
●we may be unable to demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions that we or our CMOs can manufacture clinical trial material that is deemed to be comparable to the material used in previous clinical trials of our product candidates;
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●the results of clinical trials may produce negative, inconclusive or uncompetitive results, which may result in us deciding, or regulators requiring us, to conduct additional clinical trials or to modify or cease development programs for our product candidates;
●the results of clinical trials may not meet the primary or secondary endpoints of the applicable study or the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions;
●we may be unable to demonstrate that a product candidate’s clinical and other benefits outweigh its safety risks;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may disagree with our interpretation of data from preclinical studies or clinical trials;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may disagree that we have provided sufficient safety data or adequately demonstrated clinical benefit in a patient population or subpopulation studied in the clinical trial;
●the data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates may not be sufficient to support the submission of a BLA, sBLA or other submission or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions could require us to conduct additional clinical trials to compare our product candidates to other therapies for the treatment of the same indication;
●the number of patients required for clinical trials of our product candidates may be larger than we anticipate, enrollment in these clinical trials may be slower than we anticipate, participants may drop out of these clinical trials at a higher rate than we anticipate or we may fail to recruit suitable patients to participate in a trial;
●our third-party contractors may fail to comply with regulatory requirements or meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may not believe that we have sufficiently demonstrated our ability to manufacture the products to the requisite level of quality standards, or they may fail to approve our manufacturing processes or facilities, or the manufacturing processes or facilities of third-party manufacturers with which we contract for clinical and commercial supplies;
●the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may not believe that their on-site inspections and data audits have sufficiently demonstrated the quality and integrity of the clinical trial conduct and of data submitted to the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions in support of our new product approvals and marketing applications;
●the supply or quality of our product candidates or other materials necessary to conduct clinical trials of our product candidates may be insufficient or inadequate;
●our product candidates may have undesirable side effects, toxicities or other unexpected characteristics, causing us or our investigators, regulators or IRBs to reject, suspend or terminate the clinical trials; and
●the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data, biologic manufacturing process and other supporting information insufficient for approval.
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In addition, even if we were to obtain approval for one or more of our product candidates, regulatory authorities may approve any of our product candidates for fewer or more limited indications than we request. For example, in connection with our vixarelimab program, regulatory authorities may recognize a narrower patient population as having prurigo nodularis or define the disease differently than we do. Furthermore, regulatory authorities may not approve the price we intend to charge, may grant approval contingent on the performance of costly post-marketing clinical trials, may impose certain post-marketing requirements that impose limits on our marketing and distribution activities, or may approve a product candidate with a label that does not include the labeling claims necessary or desirable for the successful commercialization of that product candidate. Any of the foregoing scenarios could materially harm the commercial prospects for our product candidates.
If we experience delays in obtaining approval or if we fail to obtain approval of or to advance our product candidates, the commercial prospects for our product candidates may be harmed and our ability to generate revenue will be materially impaired.
Our current product candidates and any of our future product candidates regulated as biologics in the United States may face biosimilar competition sooner than anticipated.
In the United States, the Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act of 2009, or BPCIA, created an abbreviated approval pathway for biological products that are biosimilar to or interchangeable with an FDA-licensed reference biological product. Under the BPCIA, an application for a biosimilar product may not be submitted to the FDA until four years following the date that the reference product was first approved under a BLA by the FDA. In addition, the approval of a biosimilar product may not be made effective by the FDA until 12 years from the date on which the reference product was first licensed. During this 12-year period of exclusivity, another company may still market a competing version of the reference product for the same therapeutic indication if the FDA approves a full BLA for the competing product containing the sponsor’s own preclinical data and data from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials to demonstrate the safety, purity and potency of their product. The law is complex and is still being interpreted and implemented by the FDA. As a result, its ultimate impact, implementation and meaning are subject to uncertainty. While it is uncertain when processes intended to implement the BPCIA may be fully adopted by the FDA, any such processes could have a material adverse effect on the future commercial prospects of our product candidates.
For example, although rilonacept was approved as a biological product under a BLA for the treatment of CAPS in February 2008, and we believe it qualified for the 12-year period of exclusivity against any biosimilars, such 12-year period of exclusivity has lapsed. The FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. Upon approval from the FDA, if any, of the sBLA, we will assume the sales and distribution of rilonacept for the approved indications in the United States. However, the 12-year exclusivity period does not attach to the approval of an sBLA, potentially creating the opportunity for biosimilar competition, subject to any orphan drug exclusivity under the U.S. Orphan Drug Act (see “Risks Related to Marketing Approval and Regulatory Matters⸺We received orphan drug designation in the United States for rilonacept for the treatment of pericarditis and for mavrilimumab for the treatment of GCA and may seek orphan drug designation for some of our other product candidates in the United States, as well as for any of our product candidates in the EU, and we may be unsuccessful, or may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with orphan drug designation, including the potential for market exclusivity, for any product candidate for which we obtain orphan drug designation”). If we obtain FDA approval for any of our other biological product candidates, we expect any such product candidates to qualify for the 12-year period of exclusivity under the BPCIA. However, there is a risk that this exclusivity could be shortened due to Congressional action or otherwise, or that the FDA will not consider any such approved product candidates, to be reference products for competing products, potentially creating the opportunity for generic competition sooner than anticipated.
Other aspects of the BPCIA, some of which may impact the BPCIA exclusivity provisions, have also been the subject of recent litigation. Moreover, the extent to which a biosimilar, once approved, will be substituted for a reference product in a way that is similar to traditional generic substitution for non-biological products is not yet clear, and will depend on a number of marketplace and regulatory factors that are still developing.
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Even if we obtain marketing authorization of our product candidates in a major pharmaceutical market such as the United States or the EU, we may not seek or obtain approval or commercialize our product candidates in other markets, which would limit our ability to realize their full market potential.
In order to market any products in a country or territory, we must establish and comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of such country or territory regarding safety and efficacy. Regulatory requirements can vary widely from country to country, and clinical trials conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries, and regulatory approval in one country does not mean that regulatory approval will be obtained in any other country. Approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional product testing and validation, additional administrative review periods, and additional preclinical studies or clinical trials, which would be costly and time consuming and could delay or prevent the introduction of our product candidates in those countries. Satisfying these and other regulatory requirements is costly, time consuming, uncertain and subject to unanticipated delays. In addition, our failure to obtain regulatory approval in any country may delay or have negative effects on the process for regulatory approval in other countries.
We may seek orphan drug designation for our other product candidates in the United States, as well as for any of our product candidates in the EU, and we may be unsuccessful, or may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with orphan drug designation, including the potential for market exclusivity, for any product candidate for which we obtain orphan drug designation.
We received orphan drug designations in the United States for rilonacept for the treatment of pericarditis, which includes recurrent pericarditis and for mavrilimumab for the treatment of GCA, and we may seek orphan drug designation for certain of our other product candidates in the United States as well as for any of our product candidates in the EU. We may be unsuccessful in obtaining such designation for any of our other product candidates or unable to maintain the associated benefits for rilonacept or mavrilimumab or any of our other product candidates that are granted orphan drug designation, if any. Regulatory authorities in some jurisdictions, including the United States and Europe, may designate drugs or biologics intended to treat relatively small patient populations as orphan drug products. Under the U.S. Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may designate a drug or biologic as an orphan drug if it is intended to treat a rare disease or condition, which is generally defined as a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or a patient population greater than 200,000 in the United States where there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing the drug will be recovered from sales in the United States.
In the EU, the European Commission grants orphan drug designation after receiving the opinion of the EMA’s Committee for Orphan Medicinal Products on an Orphan Drug Designation application. In the EU, orphan drug designation is intended to promote the development of drugs that are intended for the diagnosis, prevention or treatment of life-threatening or chronically debilitating conditions affecting not more than five in 10,000 persons in the EU and for which no satisfactory method of diagnosis, prevention, or treatment has been authorized (or the product would be a significant benefit to those affected). Additionally, orphan drug designation is granted for drugs intended for the diagnosis, prevention or treatment of a life-threatening, seriously debilitating or serious and chronic condition when, without incentives, it is unlikely that sales of the drug in the EU would be sufficient to justify the necessary investment in developing the drug. In the EU, orphan drug designation entitles a party to financial incentives such as reduction of fees or fee waivers, as well as potential marketing exclusivity.
In addition, if a drug or biologic with an orphan drug designation subsequently receives the first marketing approval for the indication for which it has such designation, the drug or biologic is entitled to a period of marketing exclusivity, which precludes the FDA from approving another marketing application for the same drug and indication for that time period, except in limited circumstances. If our competitors are able to obtain orphan drug exclusivity prior to us, for products that constitute the “same drug” and treat the same indications as our product candidates, we may not be able to have competing products approved by the applicable regulatory authority for a significant period of time. The applicable period is seven years in the United States and ten years in the EU. The EU exclusivity period can be reduced to six years if a drug no longer meets the criteria for orphan drug designation or if the drug is sufficiently profitable so that market exclusivity is no longer justified.
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Even if we obtain orphan drug exclusivity for any of our product candidates, that exclusivity may not effectively protect those product candidates from competition because different drugs can be approved for the same condition, and orphan drug exclusivity does not prevent the FDA from approving the same or a different drug in another indication. Even after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA can subsequently approve a later application for the same drug for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the later drug is clinically superior in that it is shown to be safer in a substantial portion of the target populations, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. In addition, a designated orphan drug may not receive orphan drug exclusivity if it is approved for a use that is broader than the indication for which it received orphan designation. Moreover, orphan-drug-exclusive marketing rights in the United States may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if we are unable to manufacture sufficient quantities of the product to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition. Orphan drug designation neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a drug nor gives the drug any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process. While we received orphan drug designations in the United States for rilonacept for the treatment of pericarditis and for mavrilimumab for the treatment of GCA, and we may seek orphan drug designation for certain of our product candidates, we may never receive such designation for such other product candidates. Even though we received such designation for rilonacept and mavrilimumab and may receive such designation for any of our other product candidates, there is no guarantee that we will enjoy the benefits of such designations.
We may seek Breakthrough Therapy designation or Fast Track designation by the FDA for one or more of our product candidates, which we may not receive. Such designation may not lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process and does not increase the likelihood that our product candidates will receive marketing approval.
We received Breakthrough Therapy designation for rilonacept for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, and we may seek Breakthrough Therapy or Fast Track designation for some of our other product candidates. A Breakthrough Therapy is defined as a drug that is intended, alone or in combination with one or more other drugs or biologics, to treat a serious or life-threatening disease or condition, and preliminary clinical evidence indicates that the drug may demonstrate substantial improvement over existing therapies on one or more clinically significant endpoints, such as substantial treatment effects observed early in clinical development. In addition, if a product candidate is intended for the treatment of a serious or life-threatening condition and clinical or preclinical data demonstrate the potential to address unmet medical needs for this condition, the sponsor may apply for Fast Track designation.
The FDA has broad discretion whether or not to grant Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy designations, and even if we believe a particular product candidate is eligible for this designation, we cannot be certain that the FDA would decide to grant it. Even if we obtain such designations for one or more of our product candidates, we may not experience a faster development process, review or approval compared to non-expedited FDA review procedures. In addition, the FDA may withdraw Fast Track or Breakthrough Therapy designations if it believes that such designations are no longer supported. Although products receiving Fast Track and Breakthrough Therapy designation are generally eligible for the FDA’s priority review procedures, receiving such designations does not guarantee that the BLA for such products will receive priority review.
Whether to grant Breakthrough Therapy or Fast Track designation is within the discretion of the FDA. Accordingly, even if we believe one of our product candidates meets the criteria for these designations, the FDA may disagree and instead determine not to make such designation. In any event, the receipt of either of these designations for a product candidate may not result in a faster development process, review or approval compared to product candidates considered for approval under non-expedited FDA review procedures and does not assure ultimate approval by the FDA. In addition, even if one or more of our product candidates qualify for either of these designations, the FDA may later decide that the product candidate no longer meets the conditions for qualification.
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We have never obtained marketing approval for any product candidate, and we may be unable to successfully do so for any of our product candidates. Failure to successfully complete a pivotal clinical trial or obtain marketing approval in a timely manner for any of our product candidates could have a material adverse impact on our business and financial performance.
Conducting pivotal clinical trials and preparing, and obtaining marketing approval for, a product candidate is a complicated process. Although members of our management team have participated in our global, pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial, RHAPSODY, for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis and members of our management team have obtained marketing approvals for product candidates in the past while employed at other companies, we as a company have not obtained marketing approvals for any of our product candidates. As a result, such activities may require more time than we anticipate. Failure to successfully complete, or delays in, any of our eventual other pivotal trials or related regulatory submissions would prevent us from, or delay us in, obtaining regulatory approval for, or clearance of, our product candidates. It is possible that the FDA or other government agencies may refuse to accept for substantive review any regulatory submissions that we submit for our product candidates or may conclude after review of our applications for rilonacept or any of our other product candidates that the submissions are insufficient to obtain marketing approval or clearance of rilonacept or any of our other product candidates. While the FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021, if the FDA or other government agencies do not accept our applications for our other product candidates, if any, or the FDA delays or does not issue marketing authorizations for rilonacept or any of our other our product candidates, the FDA or other regulatory authorities may require that we conduct additional clinical, preclinical or manufacturing validation trials and submit that data before they will reconsider our applications. Depending on the extent of these or any other required trials, approval or receipt of any marketing authorization may be delayed by several years or may require us to expend more resources than we have available. It is also possible that additional trials, if performed and completed, may not be considered sufficient by the FDA or other government agencies to approve or grant marketing authorizations. Any delay in obtaining, or an inability to obtain, marketing approvals would delay or prevent us from commercializing rilonacept or any of our other product candidates, generating revenues and achieving and sustaining profitability. If any of these outcomes occur, we may be forced to modify or cease our development efforts for one or more of our product candidates, which could significantly harm our business.
Disruptions at the FDA and other government agencies caused by funding shortages or global health concerns could hinder their ability to hire, retain or deploy key leadership and other personnel, or otherwise prevent new or modified products from being developed, approved or commercialized in a timely manner or at all, which could negatively impact our business.
The ability of the FDA to review and approve new products can be affected by a variety of factors, including government budget and funding levels, statutory, regulatory, and policy changes, the FDA’s ability to hire and retain key personnel and accept the payment of user fees, and other events that may otherwise affect the FDA’s ability to perform routine functions. Average review times at the FDA have fluctuated in recent years as a result. In addition, government funding of other government agencies that fund research and development activities is subject to the political process, which is inherently fluid and unpredictable. Disruptions at the FDA and other agencies may also slow the time necessary for new drugs and biologics or modifications to approved drugs or biologics to be reviewed and/or approved by necessary government agencies, which would adversely affect our business. For example, over the last several years, including for 35 days beginning on December 22, 2018, the U.S. government has shut down several times and certain regulatory agencies, such as the FDA, have had to furlough critical FDA employees and stop critical activities.
Separately, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, on March 10, 2020 the FDA announced its intention to postpone most inspections of foreign manufacturing facilities, and on March 18, 2020, the FDA temporarily postponed routine surveillance inspections of domestic manufacturing facilities. Subsequently, on July 10, 2020 the FDA announced its intention to resume certain on-site inspections of domestic manufacturing facilities subject to a risk-based prioritization system. The FDA intends to use this risk-based assessment system to identify the categories of regulatory activity that can occur within a given geographic area, ranging from mission-critical inspections to resumption of all regulatory activities. Regulatory authorities outside the United States may adopt similar restrictions or other policy measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. If a prolonged government shutdown occurs, or if global health concerns continue to prevent the FDA or other regulatory authorities from conducting their regular inspections, reviews,
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or other regulatory activities, it could significantly impact the ability of the FDA or other regulatory authorities to timely review and process our regulatory submissions, which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Risks Related to Manufacturing and Our Reliance on Third Parties
We contract with third parties for manufacturing our product candidates and for certain research and other preclinical and clinical development and expect to continue to do so for our commercial supply. This reliance on third parties increases the risk that we may not have sufficient quantities of our product candidates or such quantities at an acceptable cost, which could delay, prevent or impair our development or commercialization efforts.
We do not currently own or operate any late-stage manufacturing facilities. Although we have built a development and manufacturing facility to produce drug substance to support certain research, preclinical and other clinical development for our product candidates, we rely, and expect to continue to rely, on third parties for the manufacture of our late-stage product candidates and certain of our early-stage product candidates for the majority of our clinical development efforts, as well as for the potential commercial manufacture of our product candidates, if approved, as well as label and packaging activities. We rely on these third parties to produce our product candidates at sufficient quality and quantity to support our development and commercialization efforts. Our reliance increases the risk that we will have insufficient quantities of our product candidates or that our product candidates are not produced at an acceptable cost or quality, which could delay, prevent or impair our development or commercialization efforts.
For example, Regeneron is the sole manufacturer of rilonacept and we have a contract with Regeneron to produce rilonacept on an exclusive basis for a period of time. Regeneron, in turn, relies upon a third-party CMO to conduct fill/finish operations for rilonacept. Under certain circumstances, we or Regeneron could initiate a technology transfer to either us or another CMO to manufacture rilonacept. Finding new CMOs or third-party suppliers to produce rilonacept would add additional cost and require significant time and focus of our management team. The CMO would need to produce rilonacept at a different manufacturing site and potentially using a different process or at a different scale. We cannot provide any assurance that the technology transfer from Regeneron to us or another CMO will be successful in producing rilonacept in sufficient quantities or of acceptable quality, if at all, or that we or another CMO will produce a comparable product to the satisfaction of the FDA or other comparable regulatory authorities, which could delay, prevent or impair the development or commercialization of rilonacept. In addition, there is typically a transition period when a new CMO commences work. Any significant delay or interruption in the supply of rilonacept by Regeneron or otherwise could considerably impact our ability to meet commercial or clinical demand for the product and our ability to generate revenue from rilonacept could be materially impaired.
We also have CMOs manufacture vixarelimab drug substance and drug product and entered into an agreement with a CMO to produce mavrilimumab beyond our current inventory. While we have built a manufacturing facility to support early development for our product candidates, we and our CMOs may not be able to produce sufficient quantities of our product candidates or produce them at an acceptable quality, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, which could delay, prevent or impair our development or commercialization efforts and increase costs.
As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, existing and any new third-party CMOs or suppliers may be unable to produce or supply our product candidates or the raw materials needed to produce or supply our product candidates or may experience delays, restrictions or limitations in the production, delivery or release of the supply of our product candidates or the raw materials needed to produce our product candidates, including due to disruptions at the respective facilities that produce our product candidates or the raw materials needed to produce our product candidates, staffing shortages or reprioritizations, production slowdowns, stoppages or reprioritizations, including as a result of reprioritization by third parties or the U.S. government for any products or potential products related to the treatment or prevention of COVID-19, or interruptions in global shipping. In addition, there is typically a transition period when a new CMO commences work. Finding new CMOs or third-party suppliers involves additional cost and requires our management’s time and focus. Any significant delay in the supply of our product candidates or the raw materials needed to produce our product candidates, could considerably delay conducting our clinical trials and potential regulatory approval of our product candidates. Our current and anticipated future dependence upon others for the manufacture of our product candidates may adversely affect our future profit margins and our ability to commercialize any products that receive marketing approval on a timely and competitive basis.
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If we make manufacturing or formulation changes to our product candidates or change manufacturers or manufacturing processes, we may be unsuccessful in producing products comparable to those used in prior clinical trials. Therefore, we may need to conduct additional process development or additional clinical trials to bridge our prior clinical results to those resulting from the new manufacturing process, which could impact the timing and subsequent success of our planned clinical trials. In addition, as we plan to produce clinical trial and potential commercial material at a CMO, the CMO may be required to adopt different manufacturing protocols or processes. For example, although Regeneron has produced rilonacept for commercial use for over ten years, the FDA or other applicable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may reevaluate rilonacept’s current manufacturing processes or route of administration in connection with evaluating whether to approve rilonacept for a new indication, such as recurrent pericarditis.
The facilities used by our CMOs to manufacture our product candidates may be inspected by the FDA and other comparable regulatory authorities in connection with the submission of our marketing applications to, and review by, the FDA or other comparable regulatory authorities or based on their work for other clinical trial sponsors. While we provide oversight of manufacturing activities, we do not and will not control the manufacturing process of, and will be completely dependent on, our CMOs for compliance with cGMPs and other regulatory requirements in connection with the manufacture of our product candidates. If our CMOs cannot successfully manufacture material that conforms to our specifications and the strict regulatory requirements of the FDA or other applicable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions, they will not be able to secure or maintain regulatory approval for their manufacturing facilities. While we may review the compliance history and performance of our CMOs, we have no control over the ability of our CMOs to maintain adequate quality control, quality assurance and qualified personnel. If the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions does not approve these facilities for the manufacture of our product candidates or if it withdraws any such approval in the future, we may need to find alternative manufacturing facilities, which would significantly impact our ability to develop, obtain regulatory approval for or market our product candidates, if approved. Further, our failure, or the failure of our third-party manufacturers, to comply with applicable regulations could result in sanctions being imposed on us, including clinical holds, fines, injunctions, civil penalties, delays, suspension or withdrawal of approvals, license revocation, seizures or recalls of product candidates, if approved, operating restrictions and criminal prosecutions, any of which could significantly and adversely affect our business and supplies of our product candidates.
Although we have entered into certain agreements for the manufacture of clinical material for our product candidates, we may be unable to establish new agreements on acceptable terms, if at all, with third-party manufacturers for those product candidates. Even if we are able to establish agreements with third-party manufacturers, reliance on third-party manufacturers entails additional risks, including:
●reliance on the third party for regulatory compliance and quality assurance;
●the possible breach of the manufacturing agreement by the third party;
●the possible misappropriation of our proprietary information, including our trade secrets and know-how; and
●the possible termination or nonrenewal of the agreement by the third party at a time that is costly or inconvenient for us.
Our product candidates may compete with other product candidates and approved products for access to manufacturing facilities. There are a limited number of manufacturers that operate under cGMP regulations and that might be capable of manufacturing for us. Furthermore, given the limited number of available manufacturing slots and the long lead times needed to reserve them, manufacturers require monetary commitments in connection with such reservations as well as fees for changes or cancellations in the reserved manufacturing slots. As a result, we may wait to reserve manufacturing slots until we can be informed by data from the clinical trials of our product candidates, which may be several months from the time we request manufacturing slots. Any significant delay in the supply of clinical materials for our product candidates could considerably delay conducting our clinical trials and potential regulatory approval of our product candidates. Alternatively, we may project when we may need additional clinical material for our product candidates and reserve manufacturing time-slots “at-risk” prior to our product candidates having generated data
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from their then current clinical trials. Such projections involve risks and uncertainties and may result in additional costs or delays in manufacturing clinical materials for our product candidates when and if we actually need them.
Any performance failure on the part of our existing or future manufacturers could delay clinical development or marketing approval. If our current CMOs cannot perform as agreed, we may be required to replace such manufacturers. Although we believe that there are several potential alternative manufacturers who could manufacture our product candidates, we may incur added costs and delays in identifying and qualifying any such replacement. Further, Regeneron has an exclusive right to produce rilonacept for a period of time, which could impact our ability to find a replacement manufacturer for rilonacept in a short-period of time if needed.
Our business involves the use of hazardous materials, and we and our third-party manufacturers and suppliers must comply with environmental laws and regulations, which can be expensive and restrict how we do business.
Our research and development activities and our third-party manufacturers’ and suppliers’ activities involve the controlled storage, use and disposal of hazardous materials owned by us, including the components of our product candidates and other hazardous compounds. We and our manufacturers and suppliers are subject to laws and regulations governing the use, manufacture, storage, handling and disposal of these hazardous materials. In some cases, these hazardous materials and various wastes resulting from their use are stored at our and our manufacturers’ and suppliers’ facilities pending their use and disposal. We cannot eliminate the risk of contamination, which could cause an interruption of our commercialization efforts, research and development efforts and business operations, environmental damage resulting in costly clean-up and liabilities under applicable laws and regulations governing the use, storage, handling and disposal of these materials and specified waste products. Although we believe that the safety procedures utilized by our third-party manufacturers and suppliers for handling and disposing of these materials generally comply with the standards prescribed by these laws and regulations, we cannot guarantee that this is the case or eliminate the risk of accidental contamination or injury from these materials. In such an event, we may be held liable for any resulting damages and such liability could exceed our resources, and state or federal or other applicable authorities may curtail our use of certain materials or interrupt our business operations. Furthermore, environmental laws and regulations are complex, change frequently and have tended to become more stringent. We cannot predict the impact of such changes and cannot be certain of our future compliance. We do not currently carry biological or hazardous waste insurance coverage.
Manufacturing issues at our facility and the facilities of our third-party service providers, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, could cause product shortages, disrupt or delay our clinical trials or regulatory approvals, delay or stop commercialization of our product candidates, and adversely affect our business.
The manufacture of our product candidates is highly regulated, complex and difficult, requiring a multi-step and controlled process, and even minor problems or deviations could result in the product candidates being out-of-spec, failed batches or other failures, such as defective products or manufacturing failures. We have limited experience overseeing the manufacturing processes of mavrilimumab, vixarelimab, and KPL-404 and no experience overseeing the manufacturing process of rilonacept. Due to the highly technical requirements of manufacturing our product candidates and the strict quality and control specifications, we and our third-party providers may be unable to manufacture or supply our product candidates despite our and their efforts. Failure to produce sufficient quantities of our product candidates could delay their development, result in supply shortages for our patients, result in lost revenue, if any, and diminish our potential profitability, which may lead to lawsuits or could delay the introduction of our product candidates to the market.
The manufacture of our product candidates is at high risk of product loss due to contamination, equipment malfunctions, human error or raw material shortages. Deviations from established manufacturing processes could result in reduced production yields, failed batches and other supply disruptions. If microbial, viral or other contaminations are discovered in our product candidates or manufacturing facilities, any related production lot could be lost and the relevant manufacturing facilities may need to close for an extended period of time to investigate and remediate the contaminant.
Many additional factors could cause production interruptions at our facilities or at the facilities of our third-party providers, as well as disruptions in travel, shipping or delivery capabilities into and within the countries in
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which we or our manufacturers produce our product candidates or disruptions to production capabilities, including due to the impact of natural disasters, accidents, boycotts, labor disputes, political and economic instability, including acts of terrorism or war, and an epidemic or pandemic or other outbreak of disease, including the COVID-19 pandemic. The occurrence of any such event could adversely affect our ability to satisfy the required supply for any of our product candidates or successfully complete preclinical and clinical development, which would result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to generate revenue and would harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
We and our third-party providers are required to maintain compliance with cGMP and other stringent requirements and are subject to inspections by the FDA and comparable agencies in other jurisdictions to confirm such compliance. If we or any of our third-party providers are not able to establish and maintain procedures and processes sufficient to satisfy cGMP standards, we could experience a delay, interruption or other issues in our manufacture, fill-finish, packaging, storage or delivery of our product candidates, and any related failure of the facilities or operations of third parties to pass any regulatory agency inspection could significantly impair our ability to supply our products and product candidates. Significant noncompliance could also result in the imposition of monetary penalties or other civil or criminal sanctions and damage our reputation.
Any adverse developments affecting the operations of our third-party providers, such as any impact due to the COVID-19 pandemic including shortages or reprioritizations of raw materials, including reprioritization by third parties or the U.S. government for any products or potential products related to the treatment or prevention of COVID-19, could result in a shortage of clinical products or impose commercial product requirements, cause withdrawal of our product candidates or any approved products, shipment delays, lot failures or recalls. We may also have to write off inventory and incur other charges and expenses for products that fail to meet specifications, undertake costly remediation efforts or seek more costly manufacturing alternatives. Such manufacturing issues could increase our cost of goods, cause us to lose potential revenue, reduce our potential profitability or damage our reputation.
The third parties upon whom we rely for the supply of the drug substance and drug product used in our product candidates are our sole source of supply, and the loss of any of these suppliers could significantly harm our business.
The drug substance and drug product used in rilonacept, mavrilimumab and vixarelimab are supplied to us from single-source suppliers. Regeneron has a contractual right to be our sole source manufacturer of rilonacept unless they have a persistent failure to satisfy our supply needs. Our ability to successfully develop our product candidates, and to ultimately supply our commercial products in quantities sufficient to meet the market demand, depends in part on our ability to obtain the drug substance and drug product for these product candidates in accordance with regulatory requirements and in sufficient quantities for commercialization and clinical testing. We do not currently have arrangements in place for a redundant or second-source supply of any such drug substance and drug product in the event any of our current suppliers of such drug substance and drug product cease their operations or stop offering us sufficient quantities of these materials for any reason.
We are not certain that our single-source suppliers will be able to meet our demand for their products, either because of the nature of our agreements with those suppliers, our limited experience with those suppliers or our relative importance as a customer to those suppliers. It may be difficult for us to assess their ability to timely meet our demand in the future based on past performance. While our suppliers have generally met our demand on a timely basis in the past, they may subordinate our needs in the future to their other customers.
In addition, to manufacturing rilonacept, mavrilimumab and vixarelimab in the quantities that we believe would be required to meet anticipated market demand, our third-party manufacturers may need to increase manufacturing capacity and, in some cases, alternative sources of commercial supply may need to be secured, which could involve significant challenges and may require additional regulatory approvals. In addition, the development of commercial-scale manufacturing capabilities may require us and our third-party manufacturers to invest substantial additional funds and hire and retain the technical personnel who have the necessary manufacturing experience. Neither we nor our third-party manufacturers may successfully complete any required increase to existing manufacturing capacity in a timely manner, or at all.
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Moreover, if there is a disruption to our manufacturing operations or one or more of our third-party manufacturers’ or suppliers’ relevant operations, such as due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including due to staffing shortages or reprioritizations, production slowdowns or stoppages or interruptions in global shipping, the supply of the related product candidate will be delayed until we or such manufacturer or supplier restores the affected facilities or we or they procure alternative manufacturing facilities or sources of supply. Our ability to progress our preclinical and clinical programs could be materially and adversely impacted if any of the third-party suppliers upon which we rely for preclinical and clinical stage product candidate supply were to experience a significant business challenge, disruption or failure due to issues such as financial difficulties or bankruptcy, issues relating to other customers such as regulatory or quality compliance issues, or other financial, legal, regulatory or reputational issues. Additionally, any damage to or destruction of our third-party manufacturers’ or suppliers’ facilities or equipment may significantly impair our ability to manufacture our product candidates on a timely basis.
Establishing additional or replacement suppliers for the drug substance and drug product used in our product candidates, if required, is unlikely to be accomplished quickly and can take several years, if at all. Furthermore, despite our efforts, we may be unable to procure a replacement supplier or do so on commercially reasonable terms, which could have a material adverse impact upon our business. If we are able to find a replacement supplier, such replacement supplier would need to be qualified and may require additional regulatory approval, which could result in further delay. While we seek to maintain adequate inventory of the drug substance and drug product used in our product candidates, any interruption or delay in the supply of components or materials, or our inability to obtain such drug substance and drug product from alternate sources of comparable quality at acceptable prices in a timely manner could impede, delay, limit or prevent our development efforts, which could harm our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects.
Certain of the materials required in the manufacture and the formulation of our product candidates are derived from biological sources. Such materials are difficult to procure and may be subject to contamination or recall. Access to and supply of sufficient quantities of raw materials which meet the technical specifications for the production process is challenging, and often limited to single-source suppliers. Finding an alternative supplier could take a significant amount of time and involve significant expense due to the nature of the products and the need to obtain regulatory approvals. If we or our manufacturers are unable to purchase the materials necessary for the manufacture of our product candidates on acceptable terms, in a timely manner, at sufficient quality levels, or in adequate quantities, if at all, our ability to produce sufficient quantities of our products for clinical or commercial requirements would be negatively impacted. A material shortage, contamination, recall or restriction on the use of certain biologically derived substances or any other material used in the manufacture of our product candidates could adversely impact or disrupt manufacturing, which would impair our ability to generate revenues from the sale of such product candidates, if approved.
We rely, and expect to continue to rely, on third parties, including independent investigators and CROs, to activate sites, conduct and otherwise support our research activities, preclinical studies, clinical trials and other trials for our product candidates. If these third parties do not successfully carry out their contractual duties, comply with regulatory requirements or meet expected deadlines, we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for or commercialize our product candidates, and our business could be substantially harmed.
We rely on medical institutions, clinical investigators, contract laboratories and other third parties, such as CROs, to activate sites, conduct or otherwise support our GLP-compliant preclinical studies and GCP-compliant clinical trials for our product candidates properly and on time. We also rely on third parties to conduct other research related to our product candidates. We expect to rely heavily on these parties for such site activation, execution of and otherwise supporting clinical trials for our product candidates. While we have agreements governing their activities, we control only certain aspects of these parties’ activities and have limited influence over their actual performance. The third parties with whom we contract for execution of our GLP-compliant preclinical studies and our GCP-compliant clinical trials play a significant role in the conduct of these trials and the subsequent collection and analysis of data. These third parties are not our employees and, except for restrictions imposed by our contracts with such third parties, we have limited ability to control the amount or timing of resources that they devote to our programs. Although we rely on these third parties to conduct our GLP-compliant preclinical studies and GCP-compliant clinical trials, we remain responsible for ensuring that each of our clinical trials is conducted in accordance with the applicable protocol, legal and regulatory requirements and scientific standards, and our reliance on these third parties does not and will not relieve us of our
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regulatory responsibilities. For any violations of laws and regulations during the conduct of our preclinical studies or clinical trials, we could be subject to warning letters or enforcement actions that may include civil penalties and criminal prosecution.
We and our CROs are required to comply with regulations, including GCPs, for conducting, monitoring, recording and reporting the results of clinical trials to ensure that the data and results are scientifically credible and accurate, and that the trial patients are adequately informed of the potential risks of participating in clinical trials and their rights are protected. These regulations are enforced by the FDA, the Competent Authorities of the Member States of the European Economic Area, or EEA, and comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions for any products in clinical development. The FDA enforces GCP regulations through periodic inspections of clinical trial sponsors, principal investigators and trial sites. If we or our CROs fail to comply with applicable GCPs, the clinical data generated in our clinical trials may be deemed unreliable, and the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions may require us to perform additional clinical trials before approving our marketing applications. We cannot ensure that, upon inspection, the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions will determine that any of our future clinical trials will comply with GCPs. In addition, our clinical trials must be conducted with product candidates produced under cGMPs regulations. Our failure or the failure of our CROs to comply with these regulations may require us to repeat clinical trials, which would delay the regulatory approval process and could also subject us to enforcement action. We also are required to register certain clinical trials and post the results of completed clinical trials on a government-sponsored database within certain timeframes. Failure to do so when required can result in fines, adverse publicity and civil and criminal sanctions.
Although we have and intend to continue to design the clinical trials for our product candidates, CROs will activate sites and conduct and oversee all of the clinical trials together with the various clinical trial sites that we engage to conduct the studies. As a result, many important aspects of our development programs for our product candidates, including their conduct and timing, will be outside of our direct control. Our reliance on third parties to activate sites and conduct future clinical trials will also result in less direct control over the management of data developed through clinical trials than would be the case if we were relying entirely upon our own staff. Communicating with outside parties can also be challenging, potentially leading to mistakes as well as difficulties in coordinating activities. Outside parties may:
●have staffing difficulties;
●have disruptions to their business and operations, including as a result of the impact from an epidemic or pandemic disease outbreak, including COVID-19 (see “Risk Factors — Risks related to product development — The COVID-19 pandemic, and measures taken in response to the pandemic, could have an adverse impact on our current or planned preclinical studies and clinical trials, which could be significant.”);
●fail to comply with contractual obligations;
●have difficulty with or controlling the performance of their subcontractors;
●experience regulatory compliance issues;
●undergo changes in priorities or become financially distressed; or
●form relationships with other entities, some of which may be our competitors.
These factors may materially adversely affect the willingness or ability of third parties to activate sites and conduct and oversee our clinical trials and may subject us to unexpected cost increases that are beyond our control. If the CROs, their subcontractors or the clinical trial sites do not perform clinical trials in a satisfactory manner, breach their obligations to us or fail to comply with regulatory requirements, the development, regulatory approval and commercialization of our product candidates may be delayed, we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval and
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commercialize our product candidates, or our development program may be materially and irreversibly harmed. If we are unable to rely on clinical data collected by our CROs, their subcontractors or the clinical trial sites, we could be required to repeat, extend the duration of or increase the size of any clinical trials we conduct and this could significantly delay commercialization and require significantly greater expenditures.
These third parties are not our employees, and we are not able to control, other than by contract, the amount of resources, including time, which they devote to our clinical trials. If our CROs, their subcontractors or the clinical trial sites fail to devote sufficient resources to the development of our product candidates, or if their performance is substandard, it may delay or compromise the prospects for approval and commercialization of our product candidates. In addition, the use of third-party service providers requires us to disclose our proprietary information to these parties, which could increase the risk that this information is misappropriated.
If the third parties conducting our preclinical studies or our clinical trials do not perform their contractual duties or obligations, experience significant business challenges, disruptions or failures, such as due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, do not meet expected deadlines, terminate their agreements with us or need to be replaced, or if the quality or accuracy of the data they obtain is compromised due to their failure to adhere to our protocols or to GCPs, or for any other reason, we may need to enter into new arrangements with alternative third parties. This could be difficult, costly or impossible, and our preclinical studies or clinical trials may need to be extended, delayed, terminated or repeated. As a result, we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval in a timely fashion, or at all, for the applicable product candidate, our financial results and the commercial prospects for our product candidates would be harmed, our costs could increase, and our ability to generate revenues could be delayed.
If any of our relationships with these third-party CROs are suspended or terminate, we may not be able to enter into arrangements with alternative third-party service providers at all or on commercially reasonable terms. If CROs, their subcontractors or the clinical trial sites do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations or meet expected deadlines, if they need to be replaced or if the quality or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to their failure to adhere to our clinical protocols, regulatory requirements or for other reasons, any clinical trials such CROs, subcontractors or clinical trial sites are associated with may be extended, delayed or terminated, and we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for or successfully commercialize our product candidates. As a result, our financial results and the commercial prospects for our product candidates in the subject indication would be harmed, our costs could increase and our ability to generate revenue could be delayed.
Our reliance on third parties requires us to share our trade secrets, which increases the possibility that a competitor will discover them or that our trade secrets will be misappropriated or disclosed.
Because we rely on third parties to develop and manufacture our product candidates, we must, at times, share trade secrets with them. We seek to protect our proprietary technology in part by entering into confidentiality agreements and, if applicable, invention assignment agreements, material transfer agreements, collaborative research agreements, consulting agreements or other similar agreements with our collaborators, advisors, employees, independent contractors and consultants prior to beginning research or disclosing proprietary information. These agreements typically limit the rights of the third parties to use or disclose our confidential information, such as trade secrets. Despite the contractual provisions employed when working with third parties, the need to share trade secrets and other confidential information increases the risk that such trade secrets become known by our competitors, are inadvertently incorporated into the technology of others or are disclosed or used in violation of these agreements. Given that our proprietary position is based, in part, on our know-how and trade secrets, a competitor’s discovery of our trade secrets or other unauthorized use or disclosure would impair our competitive position and may harm our business. To the extent that we share trade secrets of third parties that are licensed to us, unauthorized use or disclosure could expose us to liability.
Risks Related to Commercialization
We have no experience as a company commercializing a therapeutic and limited experience establishing sales, marketing, distribution and general infrastructure either directly and/or through agreements with third parties. As a company we have not obtained marketing approvals for any of our product candidates and have never sold, marketed or distributed any therapeutic products. As a result we may not be successful in commercializing rilonacept in
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recurrent pericarditis, if approved, or any future approved product candidates, thus potentially impairing commercial potential for rilonacept and our other product candidates to generate any revenue.
The FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. If approved by the FDA, we will assume the sales and distribution of rilonacept for the approved indications in the United States. While members of our management team have obtained marketing approvals for product candidates in the past while employed at other companies, we as a company have not obtained marketing approvals for any of our product candidates and have never sold, marketed or distributed any therapeutic products. To achieve commercial success for rilonacept, if approved, or any future approved product candidate, we have been establishing and expanding our internal capabilities, including but not limited to, sales, marketing, distribution, access and patient support services as well as making arrangements with third parties to perform certain services. We are recruiting and training a specialty cardiology sales force of approximately 30 representatives who will call on high-volume accounts and specialists. We have hired other customer facing teams, including for our medical affairs, payor and patient support services teams to complement the efforts of the sales force, as well as the development of an efficient digital marketing campaign. Our internal capabilities are augmented through contracts with third parties for distribution services, price reporting and aspects of our patient services programs. We are currently undertaking these efforts in order to commercialize rilonacept in the United States in anticipation of a potential approval. Each aspect of commercialization on its own can be complex, expensive and time consuming, and collectively the required effort for coordination is intensive. For example, recruiting and training a sales force and establishing marketing, payor and patient support service capabilities is expensive and time consuming and if not completed as planned could delay or reduce the effectiveness of the launch of our product candidates.
Factors that may inhibit our efforts to timely and successfully commercialize rilonacept, if approved, or any of our other future product candidates, include:
●our inability to recruit, train and retain adequate numbers of effective sales, marketing, access, and payor and patient support personnel;
●the inability of sales personnel to obtain access, especially within the restrictions of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, to physicians and accounts as well as for an adequate number of physicians or accounts to prescribe rilonacept or any of our future products, including rilonacept, if approved;
●the lack of complementary products to be supported by sales personnel, which may put us at a competitive disadvantage relative to companies with more extensive product lines;
●our inability to develop strong scientific-based relationships to drive disease awareness and education;
●our inability to establish the unmet medical need for the disease, and, with respect to rilonacept, our inability to enable it to be viewed as the product of choice within the indication in which it is approved, if any;
●our inability or delay in gaining reimbursement and broad patient access at a price that reflects the value of rilonacept or any of our other future products;
●our inability to equip customer-facing personnel with effective materials, including medical and sales literature to help them educate physicians and other healthcare providers regarding applicable diseases relevant to our future products;
●our inability to effectively distribute products in a timely manner;
●our inability to provide physicians and patients adequate support and training to build comfort around reconstitution and self-administration process to initiate and continue to use our products;
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●our inability to develop robust patient support programs to optimize the patient and customer experience with rilonacept or any of our other future products as well as with the Company;
●our inability to develop or obtain sufficient operational functions and infrastructure to support our commercial activities; and
●unforeseen costs and expenses associated with creating a sales, marketing, and access organization.
In addition, disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic may increase the likelihood that we encounter such difficulties, delays or unforeseen costs. If we have not established effective commercialization infrastructure and capabilities as planned in advance of our anticipated commercial launch of rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis, if approved, either on our own or through arrangements with third parties, or if we experience any of the factors that may inhibit our efforts to commercialize rilonacept or any of our other product candidates, if approved, we will not be successful in commercializing rilonacept or any such future product candidates. Further, our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects will be materially adversely affected.
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in limitations on certain commercial activities, which, if prolonged, may impede the effective commercialization of our product candidates and result in lower than anticipated future revenue.
As part of our commercial strategy for rilonacept, if approved for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, we expect to have a focused and targeted launch effort, with a specialty cardiology salesforce of approximately 30 representatives calling on high-volume accounts and high-volume specialists to help ensure that decision-makers view recurrent pericarditis as a serious, debilitating disease with a significant unmet need and view rilonacept as the product of choice for the treatment and prevention of recurrent pericarditis.
The COVID-19 pandemic and measures taken in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including business and travel restrictions and social-distancing to halt the spread of the pandemic, has had an impact on businesses, healthcare systems, regulatory authorities and other organizations and conferences. These measures may result in limitations on certain aspects of our commercialization strategy, including our specialty cardiology salesforce not being able, or having limited access, to physician offices and other high-volume accounts in person, which if prolonged, may impede the effective commercialization of rilonacept and result in lower than anticipated future revenue.
Our current or future product candidates may not gain market acceptance by physicians, patients, or third-party payors (e.g., governments and private health insurers), in which case our ability to generate product revenues will be impaired.
Even if the FDA or any other regulatory authority approves the marketing of rilonacept or any of our other product candidates (whether developed on our own or with a collaborator), physicians, healthcare providers, patients, the medical community or third-party payors may not accept or use rilonacept or any of our other product candidates, or may effectively block or limit their use in the case of third-party payors. For example, the FDA accepted the sBLA for rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis with priority review and assigned a PDUFA goal date of March 21, 2021. Upon approval from the FDA, if any, of the sBLA, we will assume the sales and distribution of rilonacept for the approved indications in the United States and would evenly split profits on sales with Regeneron, after deducting certain commercialization expenses subject to specified limits. If rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis or any of our other product candidates do not achieve an adequate level of acceptance, we may not generate the projected level of product revenue or profits from operations, if at all. The degree of market acceptance of rilonacept, if approved, or any of our other product candidates will depend on a variety of factors, including:
●the timing of market introduction;
●disease awareness, including understanding the severity and epidemiology of the disease;
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●the number and clinical profile of competing products, whether regulatory approved or not;
●the potential and perceived advantages or disadvantages of our product candidates relative to alternative treatments;
●our ability to provide acceptable evidence of safety and efficacy;
●the prevalence and severity of any side effects;
●product labeling or product insert requirements of the FDA or other regulatory authorities;
●limitations or warnings contained in the labeling approved by the FDA or other regulatory authorities;
●convenience and ease of administration, including relative to alternative therapies;
●pricing (including patient out-of-pocket costs), budget impact, affordability and cost effectiveness, particularly in relation to alternative treatments;
●the effectiveness of our sales, marketing and distribution activities;
●availability of adequate coverage, reimbursement and payment from health maintenance organizations and other insurers, both public and private, and the timing thereof; and
●other potential advantages over alternative treatment methods.
If rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis or any of our other product candidates fail to gain market acceptance, our ability to generate revenue will be adversely affected. Even if rilonacept or any of our other product candidates achieve market acceptance, the relevant market may prove not to be large enough to allow us to generate significant revenue.
The successful commercialization of our product candidates will depend in part on the extent to which third-party payors, including governmental authorities and private health insurers, provide funding, establish favorable coverage and pricing policies and set adequate reimbursement levels. Failure to obtain or maintain coverage and adequate reimbursement for our product candidates, if approved, could limit our ability to market those products and decrease our ability to generate revenue.
Our ability to commercialize rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis or any of our other product candidates successfully, particularly in orphan or rare disease indications, will depend in part on the availability of favorable coverage and the adequacy of reimbursement for the product candidate and alternative treatments from third-party payors (e.g., governmental authorities, private health insurers and other organizations). Although rilonacept is approved and marketed for human use for the treatment of CAPS and DIRA in the United States by Regeneron, if rilonacept is approved by the FDA for recurrent pericarditis we would need to seek favorable coverage and reimbursement for this indication from third-party payors. Obtaining coverage and adequate reimbursement is contingent on our ability to:
●obtain clinical data that supports payor value/benefit assessments;
●execute formal payor value/benefit assessment processes;
●obtain coverage that enables use in populations reflected in any product candidate’s approved product label; and
●effectively negotiate favorable pricing and reimbursement terms.
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While in some markets, there is a single payor, in other markets there are multiple payors that can have different ways of assessing prescription drugs and therapeutics. To commercialize rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis, if approved, or any of our other product candidates successfully, we will be required to have sufficient expertise, internally or through a third party, and sufficient resources to execute on the respective product candidate’s coverage and reimbursement strategy. We cannot be certain we will be able to effectively execute our coverage and reimbursement strategy in the markets we pursue, which could limit the commercial potential of rilonacept in recurrent pericarditis or any of our other product candidates. As a result, our ability to generate projected revenue from rilonacept or any of our other product candidates could be negatively impacted.
Governmental authorities, private health insurers and other third-party payors have attempted to control costs by delaying the time to reimbursement, and by restricting the breadth of coverage and limiting the amount of reimbursement for particular products in terms of lower pricing and increasing the proportion of the cost for which the patient is responsible. There may be significant delays in obtaining reimbursement for newly approved products or product indications, coverage may be limited to a subset of the patient population for which the treatment is approved by the FDA or similar regulatory authorities outside the United States, and reimbursement rates may vary according to the use of the product and the clinical setting in which it is used. Coverage and reimbursement barriers by payors may materially impact the demand for, or the price of, any product candidate for which we obtain marketing approval. If coverage and reimbursement are not available, or available only at limited levels, or if such coverage will require patient out-of-pocket costs that are unacceptably high, we may not be able to successfully commercialize product candidates for which we obtain marketing approval. Moreover, any coverage or reimbursement that may be obtained may be decreased or eliminated in the future.
Third-party payors continue to introduce new tactics to contain costs, including more rigorous value/benefit assessment processes and criteria. For example, it is possible that third-party payors will select low-cost clinical comparators that serve as benchmarks for determining relative value, including generics, biosimilars and lower costs brands with or without the same approved indication. The result of such a change would be a more challenging value/benefit assessment caused by a more challenging basis for comparison and the potential for a worse relative outcome. Third-party payors may determine that we have failed to generate sufficient evidence to demonstrate the relative benefits of our product candidates and refuse to provide coverage and reimbursement entirely, or many find the evidence not sufficiently compelling to support the desired pricing and reimbursement. Similarly payors may implement coverage criteria that seeks to limit the use of our product candidates to situations where a patient must be proven to not adequately respond to the lower-cost comparator. The potential of third-party payors to introduce more rigorous value/benefit assessment processes and criteria could have a negative impact on our ability to commercialize our product candidates successfully.
Third-party payors are also introducing more challenging price negotiation methodologies, including in re-visiting established coverage and reimbursement parameters when new competitors, including brands, generics and biosimilars enter the market. It is possible that a third-party payor may consider our product candidates as substitutable and only be willing to cover the cost of the alternative product. Even if we show improved efficacy, safety or improved convenience of administration with our product candidates, pricing of competitive products may limit the amount we will be able to charge for our product candidates. Third-party payors may deny or revoke the reimbursement status of a given product or establish prices for new or existing marketed products at levels that are too low to enable us to realize an appropriate return on our investment in our product candidates. In some cases, when new competitor generic and biosimilar products enter the market, there are mandatory price reductions for the innovator compound, in other cases, payors employ “therapeutic category” price referencing and seek to lower the reimbursement levels for all treatment in the respective therapeutic category. In other cases, new competitor brand drugs can trigger therapeutic category reviews in the interest of modifying coverage and or reimbursement levels. The potential of third-party payors to introduce more challenging price negotiation methodologies could have a negative impact on our ability to commercialize our product candidates successfully.
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