ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Summary of Risk Factors
Below is a summary of the principal factors that make an investment in our securities speculative or risky. This summary does not address all of the risks that we face. We urge investors to carefully review and consider the additional discussion of the risks summarized in this risk factor summary, and other risks that we face, which can be found below under the heading “Risk Factors,” together with other information in this report, before making investment decisions regarding our securities.
•We will need to raise substantial additional capital to continue our operations, execute our business strategy and remain a going concern, and we may not be able to raise adequate capital on a timely basis, on favorable terms, or at all. Raising additional capital may cause substantial dilution to our stockholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights in our technologies or product candidates and their future revenue streams. Our ability to obtain additional capital through stock sales or other securities offerings may be more costly or dilutive to our stockholders than in the past, or may not be available to us at all, due to our current inability to use a Form S-3 “shelf” registration statement for primary offerings.
•There is no assurance that we will continue to satisfy the listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market. Until July 24, 2026, we are subject to a Nasdaq discretionary panel monitor. If we fail to maintain compliance with any continued listing requirement in Nasdaq’s Listing Rules through July 24, 2026, Nasdaq will issue a delist determination letter, and we will have an opportunity to request a new hearing with Nasdaq’s hearing panel. Based on information currently available to us, our stockholders' equity is expected to be below the $2.5 million threshold as of March 31, 2026, which, if not remedied prior to the time our quarterly report for the first quarter is filed with the SEC, is expected to result in Nasdaq issuing a delist determination letter, with no guarantee that a subsequent hearing before Nasdaq's hearings panel would result in a favorable outcome. The delisting of our common stock or the commencement of delisting proceedings could materially impair our ability to raise capital and limit financing and business opportunities.
•We have a limited operating history, a history of significant losses from operations, and expect significant losses from operations, net losses and negative cash flows from operations to continue for the foreseeable future, which, together with our limited financial resources, make it difficult to assess our prospects.
•We plan to generate revenue from sales of DARE to PLAY and other potential compounded drugs under Section 503B of the FDCA. We have limited experience in this line of business and may not succeed in our efforts. We rely on, and will rely on, third parties for the compounding and distribution of DARE to PLAY and other potential compounded drugs, and the failure of such third parties to perform as expected could harm our reputation and negatively impact our ability to succeed. In addition, this line of business subjects us to additional regulations and potential liability.
•Our business depends on obtaining the approval of regulatory authorities, and in particular, FDA approval, to market products that we develop. All of our product candidates are investigational, require the conduct and successful completion of clinical studies and nonclinical work, and may never complete development or be submitted for or receive regulatory approval. The FDA's approval of XACIATO is not predictive of favorable development or marketing approval outcomes for our product candidates.
•Clinical development is a lengthy and expensive process with an inherently uncertain outcome. Failure to successfully complete clinical trials and nonclinical activities and obtain regulatory approval to market and sell our product candidates on our anticipated timelines at reasonable costs to us, or at all, particularly Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream, could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition.
•The regulatory approval processes of the FDA and comparable foreign authorities are expensive, lengthy, time-consuming, and inherently unpredictable. If we are not able to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates, our ability to generate product revenue will be materially impaired.
•We rely on in-license agreements with third parties for rights to develop and commercialize XACIATO, our product candidates, and DARE to PLAY and other potential compounded drugs. The loss or impairment of our rights under these agreements could disrupt or require us to discontinue development or commercialization activities, or impair our rights to receive payments from our sublicensees, which could have a material adverse effect on our operations and business prospects and viability.
•Strategic collaborations are a key part of our strategy and our existing strategic collaboration related to XACIATO is important to our business. If we are unable to maintain our existing strategic collaboration or establish new ones, or if they are not successful, we may require substantial additional capital to develop and commercialize XACIATO and our product candidates, and our business and prospects may be materially harmed.
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•Delays and disruptions in the supply and manufacturing of our product candidates could postpone the initiation of or interrupt our clinical studies, extend the timeframe and cost of development of our product candidates, delay potential regulatory approvals and adversely impact the commercialization of any approved products.
•We have no manufacturing, sales, marketing or distribution infrastructure. We depend heavily on, and expect to continue to rely on, the performance of third parties, including our strategic collaborators, contract manufacturers and suppliers, CROs, medical institutions, and scientific, medical, regulatory and other consultants and advisors, to develop our product candidates and commercialize any approved products. Failure of these third parties to perform as expected could result in substantial delays, increased costs or failures of our product development programs, delayed or unsuccessful commercialization of any approved products, and the need for significant additional capital.
•Due in part to our limited financial and human resources, we may fail to effectively execute our product development, regulatory submission and commercialization plans in accordance with communicated timelines, or at all.
•The commercial success of XACIATO is outside of our control and will depend on Organon’s efforts and capabilities, and if commercialization of XACIATO is not successful, our reputation, business and prospects may suffer.
•Our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, will face intense competition and may fail to achieve the degree of market acceptance necessary for commercial success. Our business, operating results and financial condition will suffer if we or Organon fail to compete effectively.
•Failure to successfully obtain and maintain coverage and adequate reimbursement for XACIATO and any future products from government health care programs and other third-party payors would diminish our ability, or that of a commercial collaborator, to generate net product revenue or net sales. If out-of-pocket costs for products we develop are deemed by women to be unaffordable, a commercial market may never develop.
•We have a relatively small number of employees and if we fail to attract and retain key personnel our business may materially suffer.
•We may not be successful in our efforts to identify and acquire or in-license additional product candidates or technologies, which may limit our growth potential.
•If we and our licensors are unable to obtain and maintain sufficient intellectual property protection, competitors could develop, market, commercialize or make available products similar or identical to ours, which could significantly limit the commercial potential of our products and product candidates and materially harm our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
•Most of the products we are developing utilize active pharmaceutical ingredients that are not proprietary to us or our licensors and the patents and patent applications owned by us and our licensors intended to protect our products and product candidates relate to specific formulations, processes, methods of delivery, and/or uses, which may not afford sufficient protection against competitors.
•Volatility in the financial markets, geopolitical conflicts and events, natural disasters, public health emergencies , international trade policies, and other macroeconomic factors may negatively impact our business, financial condition and results and our stock price, including by increasing the cost and timelines for our clinical development programs or making it more difficult or costly to raise additional capital when needed.
•Product liability lawsuits against us could cause us to incur substantial liabilities and divert management attention from our business.
•The price of our common stock has been and may continue to be highly volatile and such volatility may be related or unrelated to our performance and operating results. Volatility in our stock price may subject us to increased risk of securities litigation, including class-action lawsuits, which could be expensive and divert management attention.
•Future dilution to our existing stockholders from sales and issuances of our common stock to raise additional capital, or the market's expectation that such sales may occur, could adversely affect our stock price even if our business is doing well.
•Cyber-attacks, security breaches, loss of data and other disruptions to our information technology systems or those of our strategic collaborators or third-party service providers could compromise sensitive or confidential information related to our business, delay or prevent us from accessing critical information, subject us to significant financial loss, or expose us to liability, any of which could adversely affect our business and our reputation.
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Risk Factors
Investment in our securities involves a high degree of risk and uncertainty. Our business, operating results, growth prospects and financial condition are subject to various risks, many of which are not exclusively within our control, that may cause actual performance to differ materially from historical or projected future performance. We urge investors to consider carefully the risks described below, together with all of the information in this report and our other public filings, before making investment decisions regarding our securities. Each of these risk factors, as well as additional risks not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial, could adversely affect our business, operating results, growth prospects or financial condition, as well as the trading price of our common stock, in which case you may lose all or part of your investment.
Risks Related to Our Financial Position and Capital Needs
We will need to raise substantial additional capital to continue our operations and execute our business strategy, and we may not be able to raise adequate capital on a timely basis, on favorable terms, or at all.
We have a history of losses from operations, we expect significant losses from operations, net losses and negative cash flows from operations for at least the next several years as we develop and seek to bring to market 503B compounded drugs and our product candidates and as we seek to potentially acquire or license and develop additional product candidates. At December 31, 2025, we had an accumulated deficit of approximately $188.7 million, cash and cash equivalents of approximately $24.7 million, and working capital of approximately $3.4 million. Our cash and cash equivalents at December 31, 2025 included funds received under grant agreements that generally may be applied solely toward direct costs for the funded project under those grant agreements other than an approximately 5% to 22% indirect cost allowance, and as of December 31, 2025, our deferred grant funding liability was approximately $19.7 million, substantially all of which consisted of funds intended to support the DARE-LARC1 program, the Ovaprene Phase 3 clinical study, and the DARE-HPV program. We will need additional capital to fund our operating needs through the fourth quarter of 2026 and to meet our current obligations as they become due. These circumstances raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern. The consolidated financial statements included in this report were prepared under the assumption that we will continue as a going concern and do not include any adjustments that might result from the outcome of this uncertainty. Advancing our investigational products through clinical development and pursuing regulatory approval and commercialization will require substantial additional investment. We will need to raise substantial additional capital to continue to fund our operations and execute our current business strategy. The amount and timing of our capital needs have and will continue to depend highly on many factors, as discussed further below.
Our management may devote significant time and we may incur substantial costs in pursuing, evaluating and negotiating potential capital-raising transactions and those efforts may not prove successful on a timely basis, or at all. If we cannot raise adequate additional capital when needed, we may be forced to reduce, or even terminate our operations. We may delay, scale back or eliminate one or more of our 503B compounded drug offerings and/or our product development programs; relinquish rights under our license agreements with third parties relating to our 503B compounded drug offerings and/or our product candidates; forgo opportunities to expand our 503B compounded drug offerings and/or our product portfolio; take other measures to reduce our expenses; reorganize or merge with another entity; or file for bankruptcy or cease operations. For example, in recent years, due to our limited capital resources, we have focused our resources primarily on the advancement of Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream, unless a program has been supported by grant or other non-dilutive funding, and we have delayed R&D activities for other programs. If we become unable to continue as a going concern, we may have to liquidate our assets, and might realize significantly less than the values at which they are carried on our financial statements, and our stockholders may lose all or part of their investment in our common stock.
Our capital needs have depended on, and will continue to depend on, many factors that are highly variable and difficult to predict, including:
•the 503B compounded drug offerings and/or product development programs we choose to pursue;
•the initiation, type, number, scope, progress, expansions, results, costs, and timing of clinical trials and preclinical studies of our product candidates that we are pursuing or may choose to pursue in the future;
•the cost and timing of manufacturing for 503B compounded drugs;
•the cost and timing of manufacturing for clinical supplies of product candidates and, if applicable, commercial product at sufficient scale;
•the cost and timing of regulatory submissions to and the timing and outcome of decisions by the FDA and other regulatory authorities on our applications to commence and advance clinical development of and to market our product candidates;
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•the amount and timing of payments to third parties required under acquisition, in-license and other agreements relating our rights to develop and commercialize our product and product candidates;
•the cost and timing of commercialization activities we undertake or engage third parties to undertake for any product;
•the amount and timing of future royalty, milestone or other payments, if any, we receive under any future out-licensing agreement or the Royalty Purchase Agreements;
•our ability to maintain, and establish new, strategic collaborations relating to the development and/or commercialization of our product and product candidates, and the terms and timing of such arrangements;
•the extent to which we acquire, in-license, or otherwise invest in new product candidates or technologies and the terms of any such transaction; and
•the cost and timing of preparing, filing, and prosecuting patent applications, maintaining and enforcing our intellectual property rights, and defending any intellectual property-related claims, including any claims by third parties that we are infringing upon their intellectual property rights.
Should we add product candidates to our portfolio, should our existing product candidates require testing or other capital-intensive development activities that we do not anticipate, should the duration of our clinical trials be longer than anticipated, should manufacturing and supply be disrupted, or should regulatory approvals be delayed, our cash resources will be further strained. Should our 503B business strategy and/or product development efforts succeed, we will need to develop and implement a commercialization plan for each 503B compounded drug and/or product, which may also require significant resources to create and implement. In addition, the terms of any collaboration agreements for development and/or commercialization of our product and product candidates may significantly impact our need for additional capital. Because of these uncertainties and the other risks and uncertainties discussed in this Risk Factors section, we cannot reasonably estimate the amount funding necessary to successfully complete development of and seek regulatory approval for our product candidates or to commercialize any approved products. In addition, we may seek additional capital due to favorable market conditions or strategic considerations even if we believe we have sufficient funds for our planned operations.
We may seek to raise additional capital through a variety of means, including equity, equity-linked or debt securities offerings, government or other grant funding, strategic collaborations or alliances, debt, royalty monetization or other structured financings, or other similar types of arrangements. Our past success in raising capital through equity offerings, grant funding, collaboration agreements, and royalty monetization transactions should not be viewed as any indication we will be successful in raising capital through those or any other means in the future. We expect that our ability to raise additional capital and the amount of capital available to us will depend not only on progress we and our collaborators make toward successfully developing, obtaining regulatory approval for and commercializing our product and product candidates, but also on factors outside of our control, such as macroeconomic and financial market conditions. To the extent we seek to obtain additional capital before achieving clinical, regulatory and/or sales milestones or when our stock price or trading volume or both are low, or when the general market for biopharmaceutical or women’s health companies is weak, additional capital may not be available to us on favorable terms, or at all.
Unstable and unfavorable market and economic conditions may harm our ability to raise additional capital. The occurrence or continued occurrence of macroeconomic factors or events similar to those experienced in recent years, such as a U.S. economic crisis or recession or recessionary concerns, inflation, rising interest rates, public health emergencies, geopolitical conflict (such as the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East), natural/environmental disasters, supply-chain disruptions, terrorist attacks, strained trade and other relations between the U.S. and a number of other countries, social and political discord and unrest in the U.S. and other countries, and government shutdowns, among others, increase market volatility and have long-term adverse effects on the U.S. and global economies and financial markets. Volatility and deterioration in the financial markets and liquidity constraints or other adverse developments affecting financial institutions may make equity or debt financings more difficult, more costly or more dilutive and may increase competition for, or limit the availability of, funding from other third-party sources, such as from strategic collaborations and government and other grants.
Raising additional capital may cause substantial dilution to our stockholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights in our technologies or product candidates and their future revenue streams.
As discussed above, we may seek to raise additional capital through a variety of means. Raising capital through the issuance of shares of our common stock, or securities convertible into or exercisable for our common stock, may depress our stock price and substantially dilute our existing stockholders. The terms of securities issued may include liquidation or other preferences that may materially adversely affect the rights of our existing
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stockholders. Debt and other structured financings, if available, would increase our fixed payment obligations and may involve covenants requiring us to maintain specified financial ratios or a specified cash balance, or limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions, such as incurring additional debt, acquiring, selling or licensing intellectual property rights, and making capital expenditures, or impose other operating restrictions that could adversely impact our ability to operate our business and pursue our strategic objectives. We could also be required to meet certain milestones in connection with a debt financing and the failure to achieve such milestones by certain dates may force us to relinquish rights to some of our technologies, product candidates or products, or otherwise agree to terms unfavorable to us. In addition, we may forego part or all of potentially valuable streams of future payments (e.g., milestone and/or royalty revenue) to raise immediate capital to fund our operations and advance our development programs, such as in the case of our royalty interest financing agreement and the Royalty Purchase Agreements. Moreover, the lower our cash balance when we seek to raise additional capital, the more difficult, costly or dilutive to our existing stockholders it may be for us to raise additional capital.
We may be required to seek additional capital through arrangements with collaborators at an earlier stage of development or commercialization of our technologies, product candidates or products than otherwise would be desirable, in which case we may grant rights to our technologies, product candidates or products on terms that may not be as favorable to us or grant rights that we would otherwise prefer to retain. If we raise capital through new collaborations, strategic alliances or other similar types of arrangements, we may relinquish valuable rights to future revenue streams. Licensing agreements likely would significantly reduce our control over the development or commercialization of the licensed technology, product candidates or products, and our collaborators may become unable or unwilling to devote adequate resources to realize their full potential value. If we obtain funding through grants from governmental entities or private organizations, such parties may impose restrictions on our rights to technologies, product candidates or products developed with such funding, obtain rights to license such technologies, product candidates or products to third parties (e.g., if we are unable or unwilling to commercialize a product or make it available to certain patient populations in a timely manner or at certain prices), or require future royalty or other payments if such technologies, product candidates or products are commercialized.
We have a limited operating history, a history of significant losses from operations, and expect significant losses from operations, net losses and negative cash flows from operations to continue for the foreseeable future, which, together with our limited financial resources, make it difficult to assess our prospects.
We have a limited operating history upon which to evaluate our business and prospects. The development of drug and drug/device combination products in order to obtain regulatory approval is a highly speculative, lengthy and expensive undertaking and involves substantial risk. We cannot accurately determine the duration and completion costs of our development programs, or if, when and to what extent we will generate revenue from any products we develop. Other than XACIATO, we have not obtained any regulatory approvals for any of our product candidates, commercialized any of our product candidates or generated any product revenue. We have not been profitable since we commenced operations and may never achieve profitability. We devote significant resources to licensing or otherwise acquiring the rights to our product candidates and to research and development, or R&D, activities for them. We have a history of significant operating losses. As discussed above, we must raise additional capital to finance our operations and remain a going concern and adequate additional capital may not be available to us on a timely basis, or at all.
The Revenue Sharing Threshold may never be achieved and, as a result, we may not realize any future income based on sales of XACIATO.
We have sold our right, title and interest in 100% of the royalties and potential milestone payments we would otherwise have the right to receive under our license agreement with Organon based on net sales of XACIATO, net of payments to upstream third-party licensors and UiE. Whether we receive any future income based on net sales of XACIATO will depend on whether the Revenue Sharing Threshold is reached, which may not occur. Whether the Revenue Sharing Threshold is reached will depend, in part, on Organon’s future commercial success with XACIATO, which is outside of our control and which to date has not resulted in a material amount of net sales, and the successful development and commercialization of Ovaprene and/or Sildenafil Cream, which are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, some of which are outside of our control, as discussed elsewhere in this Risk Factors section.
To the extent we enter into licensing agreements for third-party commercialization of products we develop, as is the case with XACIATO, we expect our revenue streams related to those products will be based primarily on net sales, which will be largely outside of our control.
In a typical biopharmaceutical licensing or “partnering” deal, the biopharmaceutical company out-licenses technology and other assets to a third party in exchange for future payments, the bulk of which (e.g., royalties and milestones) are conditional on the licensee successfully developing and/or commercializing the licensed assets and
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determined based on net sales. To the extent we enter into such licensing agreements, the amount of net sales our products may generate, if approved for commercial sale, will be largely outside of our control because marketing and sales activities will be conducted by the licensee and product pricing and costs that impact net sales will be determined by the licensee. Gross sales can be greatly reduced by sales discounts and allowances, which will be determined by our licensee (or mandated by governmental entities). Sales discounts may be particularly substantial for new products compared to established products to incentivize purchases and promote customer loyalty. These factors would serve to reduce the royalties payable to us and delay potential achievement of commercial milestones and the corresponding milestone payments to us. If a licensee has no or limited commercialization success, or net sales are otherwise minimal due to pricing and discount structures, our financial condition and operating results could be negatively impacted and our need for additional capital could significantly increase or be accelerated. Due to our exclusive license agreements with Organon, our royalty interest financing agreement, and the Royalty Purchase Agreements, XACIATO’s value to us will be based primarily on net sales, as determined under those agreements.
In the future, we may rely on revenues received from third-party licensees to fund our operations, and failure to receive such revenues, or receipt of only minimal revenue, may cause us to, among other things:
•pursue raising additional funds through equity, debt or other structured financings that could be dilutive to our stockholders or involve restrictive covenants, operational restrictions, security interests in our assets, and/or relinquishing part or all of our rights to potentially valuable future revenue streams;
•enter into new strategic collaborations that may be less favorable than those we would have obtained under different circumstances;
•delay, reduce or terminate one or more development programs;
•reduce headcount;
•forgo opportunities to expand our product portfolio; or
•take other measures to reduce our expenses, pursue strategic transactions, such as a merger or other business combination or sale of assets, file for bankruptcy, or cease operations.
If our commercial collaborator terminates its exclusive license agreement with us, our need for additional capital may significantly increase.
We have an exclusive license agreement with Organon for the commercialization of XACIATO. That license agreement may be terminated by Organon for convenience upon the completion of a specified notice period, subject to limited restrictions. If Organon determines to terminate the exclusive license agreement with us, we may realize only a small fraction of the potential value of the agreement to us, and we would need to raise significant additional capital to pursue further development and commercialization of XACIATO, or establish another commercial collaboration, which we may not be able to do on a timely basis, on favorable terms, or at all. For example, we had an exclusive license agreement with Bayer for the commercialization of Ovaprene. As discussed elsewhere in this report, we received a notice of termination of the license agreement from Bayer in November 2025, and we agreed with Bayer to terminate the license agreement effective December 2, 2025. If Ovaprene were to receive marketing approval from the FDA, we will need to enter into an agreement with a third party to commercialize Ovaprene, for which no assurances can be given, and if we do not enter into such agreement, the commercialization of Ovaprene would be delayed. See also the risk factor titled, “Our existing product development and commercialization collaboration is important to our business, and future collaborations may also be important to us. If we are unable to maintain our existing collaboration, if it is not successful, or if we are unable to establish additional strategic collaborations, our business and prospects may be materially harmed,” below.
We have relied heavily on sales of our common stock to fund our operations, and our ability to obtain additional capital through stock sales or other securities offerings may be more costly or dilutive to our stockholders than in the past, or may not be available to us at all. Our ability to raise additional capital may be limited by a low trading volume, stock price and market capitalization, as well as by laws, regulations and market conditions.
We have relied heavily on our ability to raise capital by selling shares of our common stock. For example, we raised an aggregate of approximately $21.3 million in in gross proceeds during 2025, and approximately$93.0 million in gross proceeds since January 1, 2021, through the sale of shares of our common stock in offerings made under a Form S-3 “shelf” registration statement. Our ability to raise additional capital through sales of our common stock or other securities offerings will depend on several factors, many of which may not be in our favor, including the trading volume and volatile trading price of our common stock, our relatively low public float and market capitalization, our potential inability to regain and maintain compliance with the listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market, unfavorable financial market conditions, and the other risks and uncertainties described in this Risk Factors section. If
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we are unable to raise additional capital through the offering and sale of shares of our common stock, or securities convertible into or exercisable for our common stock, on a timely basis or acceptable terms, or at all, we may seek additional capital through other third-party sources that require us to relinquish valuable rights in our intellectual property, technologies, product candidates or future revenue streams, or that subject us to restrictive covenants, operational restrictions or security interests in our assets, or we may need to delay, scale back or eliminate some or all of our development programs, reduce other expenses, file for bankruptcy, reorganize, merge with another entity, or cease operations.
Using a shelf registration statement to conduct an equity offering to raise capital generally takes less time and is less expensive than other means, such as conducting an offering under a Form S-1 registration statement. We currently have a shelf registration statement effective, however, our ability to raise capital under a shelf registration statement is, and may continue to be, limited by, among other things, current and future SEC rules and regulations impacting the eligibility of smaller companies to use Form S-3 for primary offerings of securities. For example, we currently are subject to the "baby shelf rule" because the market value of our outstanding shares of common stock held by non-affiliates, or our public float, was less than $75.0 million at the time of filing this annual report on Form 10-K, calculated in accordance with SEC rules. This means that we may use our shelf registration statement to raise additional funds only to the extent that the aggregate market value of securities sold by us or on our behalf pursuant to Instruction I.B.6. of Form S-3 during the 12 calendar months immediately prior to, and including, the intended sale does not exceed one-third of the aggregate market value of our public float, calculated in accordance with the instructions to Form S-3. Based on the aggregate market value of securities sold by us or on our behalf pursuant to Instruction I.B.6. of Form S-3 in 2025, we do not expect to sell any shares pursuant to Instruction I.B.6. of Form S-3, including under our ATM sales agreement, during the approximately 12-month period from July 2025, unless and until our public float exceeds approximately $54.0 million, as determined in accordance with SEC rules. While our ability to offer securities under an effective shelf registration statement is limited, including by the baby shelf rule, we may choose to conduct an offering of our securities under an exemption from registration under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Securities Act, or under a Form S-1 registration statement. We would expect either of these alternatives to take more time and be a more expensive method of raising additional capital relative to using our shelf registration statement.
In addition, under SEC rules and regulations, our common stock must be listed and registered on a national securities exchange in order to use a Form S-3 registration statement (1) for a primary offering, if our public float is not at least $75.0 million as of a date within 60 days prior to the date of filing the Form S-3 or a re-evaluation date, whichever is later, and (2) to register the resale of our securities by persons other than us (i.e., a resale offering). While our common stock is currently listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market, there can be no assurance that we can maintain such listing. See, “Risks Related to Ownership of Our Common Stock—If we fail to regain and maintain compliance with the continued listing requirements of the Nasdaq Capital Market, our common stock could be suspended and delisted, which could, among other things, limit demand for our common stock, substantially impair our ability to raise additional capital and have an adverse effect on the market price of, and the efficiency of the trading market for, our common stock,” below.
Our ability to raise capital on a timely basis through the issuance and sale of equity securities may also be limited by Nasdaq’s stockholder approval requirement for any transaction that is not a public offering (as defined in Nasdaq listing rules). For transactions other than public offerings, Nasdaq requires stockholder approval prior to the issuance or potential issuance of common stock (or securities convertible into or exercisable for common stock) at a price per share that is less than the "Minimum Price" if the issuance (together with sales by our officers, directors and substantial shareholders (as defined in Nasdaq listing rules)) would equal 20% or more of our common stock outstanding before the issuance. Under Nasdaq rules, the "Minimum Price" means a price that is the lower of (i) the Nasdaq official closing price immediately preceding the signing of the binding agreement; or (ii) the average Nasdaq official closing price of the common stock for the five trading days immediately preceding the signing of the binding agreement. In addition, certain prior sales of securities by us may be aggregated with any offering we may propose at a price that is less than the Minimum Price and which is not considered a public offering by Nasdaq, further limiting the amount we could raise in the offering. Under Nasdaq rules, stockholder approval is also required prior to the issuance of securities when the issuance or potential issuance will result in a change of control of our company. Even if a public offering under Nasdaq rules is not subject to the 20% limitation described above, it may involve publicly announcing the proposed transaction, which often has the effect of depressing the market price of a company's stock and could result in a reduced offering price. Accordingly, our existing investors may suffer greater dilution if we seek to raise additional capital through such a public offering of our securities.
Obtaining stockholder approval is a costly and time-consuming process. If we must obtain stockholder approval for a potential transaction, we would expect to spend substantial additional money and resources. In addition, seeking stockholder approval would delay our receipt of otherwise available capital, which may materially and adversely affect our ability to execute our business plan, and there is no guarantee our stockholders ultimately
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would approve a proposed transaction. For example, we will need to obtain stockholder approval to sell more shares of our common stock to Lincoln Park under our equity line arrangement due to the limitations described above related to sales at less than the Minimum Price.
Due in part to our limited financial resources, we may fail to select or capitalize on the most scientifically, clinically or commercially promising or profitable indications or therapeutic areas for our product candidates, we may be unable to pursue and complete the clinical trials we would like to pursue and complete, and we may be unable to commence or complete clinical trials and pursue regulatory approvals in accordance with our current timeline expectations.
Our current financial and other resources are limited and not sufficient to develop all of the product candidates to which we hold licenses or options to license. This may affect our efforts to develop and bring to market the product candidates currently in our portfolio and any candidates we may add to our portfolio in the future. Due to our limited resources, we have curtailed, and may be required to further curtail, certain of our development programs and clinical and nonclinical development activities that might otherwise have led, or lead, to more rapid progress in the development of our product candidates, or product candidates that we may in the future choose to develop. We may make determinations with regard to the indications and clinical trials on which to focus our resources that result in our realization of less than the full potential value of a product candidate. The decisions to allocate our research, management, personnel and financial resources toward particular indications may not lead to positive clinical milestones or to the development of viable commercial products and may divert resources from better opportunities. Similarly, our decisions to delay or terminate development programs may also cause us to miss valuable opportunities, including the potential for some of our product candidates to be first-in-category products.
As a result of financial and other resource constraints, we may be unable to commence or complete our planned clinical trials or prepare and submit applications for marketing approval of our product candidates in accordance with our currently anticipated timelines. See also “Risks Related to Product Research & Development and Regulatory Approval – Delays in the commencement or completion of clinical testing of our product candidates may occur due to any of a number of factors and could result in significantly increased costs and longer timelines and could impact our ability to ever become profitable” below.
Women’s health has historically been an underfunded sector. In recent years, a number of public companies focused in women’s health failed to achieve expected commercial success and struggled to access sufficient capital. We are solely focused in women’s health and may be unfavorably impacted by weak investor sentiment and a lack of interest in the category. Our ability to access capital and to advance our candidates could be adversely impacted.
We are solely focused in women’s health, and primarily in the areas of contraception, sexual health, pelvic pain, fertility, infectious disease and menopause. The sector has historically been underfunded, with only about one percent of healthcare research and innovation in the U.S. invested in female-specific conditions beyond oncology according to market research. Non-oncologic women's health therapeutics product launches in recent years have not been perceived as successful. Those perceived commercial failures and the failure of the women’s health sector to receive consistent and committed investment fuels investor sentiment that market opportunities for new products in women’s health are limited. While women's health recently has received more attention, and investment in the women's health sector has seen progress with new or increased funding programs from the federal government, it remains an underinvested sector. Further, there is a high level of uncertainty regarding whether the federal government under the current U.S. presidential administration will continue programs initiated by the prior presidential administration that led to increased funding for research and development in women’s health. Our stock price and our ability to access additional capital on acceptable terms when needed may be adversely impacted by unfavorable investor perception of market opportunities for women’s health products, and our business, operating results, financial condition and prospects could suffer.
Uncertainty in U.S. federal government funding and contracting policies may adversely affect our business.
Changes in federal funding and contracting policies under the current U.S. presidential administration could materially impact the progress of certain of our development programs, including DARE-HPV, as well as our operating results and financial resources. We have received federal government grants and awards in support of several of our development programs. As discussed elsewhere in this report, our DARE-HPV program is being supported in large part with funding provided by federal agencies. There is no guarantee that such contracts and funding will not be frozen, restricted, or terminated as a result of changes in federal funding and contracting policies. In addition, potential future funding and collaboration opportunities through HHS, NIH or other federal agencies may be delayed, reduced or made unavailable. Further, research and development conducted in collaboration with U.S.-based colleges and universities could be delayed or discontinued due to changes in federal funding and contracting policies relating to
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such institutions. These changes could adversely affect our development programs, financial condition, operating results and business plans.
Our cash could be adversely impacted if a financial institution with which we have deposit or other accounts fails.
Our cash and cash equivalents we use to satisfy our working capital and operating expense needs are held in accounts at various financial institutions. The balance held in deposit accounts often exceeds the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) deposit insurance limit or similar government deposit insurance schemes. Our cash and cash equivalents could be adversely impacted, including the loss of uninsured deposits and other uninsured financial assets, if one or more of the financial institutions in which we hold our cash or cash equivalents fails or is subject to other adverse conditions in the financial or credit markets. For example, in March 2023, Silicon Valley Bank was closed by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation and taken into receivership by the FDIC. At that time, substantially all of our cash and cash equivalents were held in accounts with Silicon Valley Bank and we could not access such accounts for a few days. While we were eventually afforded full access to our accounts, there is no guarantee that in the event of a future closure of a financial institution, we would have access to our funds or that such access would be afforded in a timely fashion. Any loss of our cash or cash equivalents or any delay in our access thereto could, among other risks, adversely impact our ability to pay our operating expenses, result in breaches of our contractual obligations, or result in violations of federal or state wage and hour laws if we are unable to pay our employees on a timely basis.
Risks Related to Product Research & Development and Regulatory Approval
To date, XACIATO is the only FDA-approved product to emerge from our portfolio. The FDA’s approval of XACIATO does not provide any assurance or predict that we will be successful in developing or achieving regulatory approval to market any other product candidate. If we are unable to successfully conduct and complete development of and obtain regulatory approvals for our investigational products, which may never occur, our business may fail and you could lose all or part of your investment.
Historical success in clinical development of and obtaining regulatory approval for a product candidate does not guarantee or predict future successful outcomes for other investigational products. Each of our development programs is unique and subject to substantial uncertainty of success inherent in pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical development.
Our current pipeline consists entirely of investigational products, which we also refer to as product candidates, which means that they must successfully complete one or more clinical studies to be considered for marketing approval and undergo a submission and review process with the FDA to obtain approval to be marketed in the U.S., or a similar process with comparable regulatory authorities in other jurisdictions to be marketed anywhere outside of the U.S. FDA or other regulatory authority approval may never be obtained. See also ITEM 1. “BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Prescription Drugs, FDA Review and Approval of Medical Devices, and FDA Review and Approval Process for Combination Products” and “–Government Regulation Outside the U.S.” above. If we are unable to successfully complete development of and obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates, our business may fail and you could lose all or part of your investment.
Clinical development is a lengthy and expensive process with an inherently uncertain outcome. Failure to successfully develop and obtain regulatory approval to market and sell our product candidates, and in particular, Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream, would likely adversely affect our business.
Our business depends on the successful clinical development and regulatory approval of our product candidates, and in particular, our lead product candidates, which may never occur. The product candidates we develop require substantial clinical testing to demonstrate that they are safe and effective for their proposed uses. Clinical testing is expensive, difficult to design and implement, can take many years to complete and its outcome is inherently uncertain. A failure of one or more clinical trials could occur at any stage of testing. The outcome of preclinical testing and early clinical trials may not be predictive of success of later clinical trials, and interim results of a particular clinical trial do not necessarily predict final results of that trial. Accordingly, while some of our product candidates have undergone clinical trials and demonstrated positive results, including Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream, there is no guarantee of successful outcomes in current or future clinical studies of these product candidates or of obtaining marketing approval for any of them. For example, while PCT clinical trials have been used as a surrogate marker for contraceptive effectiveness and our PCT clinical trial of Ovaprene met its primary endpoint, there is no guarantee Ovaprene will demonstrate contraceptive effectiveness in its ongoing pivotal Phase 3 clinical study or demonstrate a level of contraceptive effectiveness that will enable it to compete effectively in the contraceptive
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market. As another example, while data from our exploratory Phase 2b RESPOND study of Sildenafil Cream allows us to advance Sildenafil Cream into Phase 3 development, the co-primary efficacy endpoints of the Phase 2b study were not met and there is no guarantee that our planned Phase 3 clinical studies, which will have the same co-primary efficacy endpoints used in the Phase 2b study, will be successful. The fact that the active pharmaceutical ingredients in certain of our product candidates, including Sildenafil Cream, received regulatory approval in other formulations and/or for other indications does not guarantee successful development of our product candidates for their proposed intended uses. Clinical trials may never demonstrate sufficient safety and effectiveness to obtain the requisite regulatory approvals for our product candidates.
Outcomes of our clinical trials, particularly later-stage clinical trials, including our ongoing Phase 3 study of Ovaprene, may significantly impact our stock price and our business prospects. If interim, preliminary or final results from our clinical studies are not positive, or are perceived by third parties, including the medical community, current and potential collaborators, and the investment community, as not positive, our stock price could decline significantly, our reputation may suffer, and our ability to raise additional capital to continue to operate as a going concern and execute our business strategy could be adversely impacted. If a product candidate fails to demonstrate adequate safety or effectiveness in a clinical study, we may determine to delay, scale back or terminate the program, and we may not realize any return on our investment in the program.
Even if we conduct and complete clinical trials for our product candidates, we may not obtain regulatory approval to market and sell any of them on the timelines we anticipate, or at all, which would have a material adverse effect on our business and operations.
Delays in the commencement or completion of clinical testing of our product candidates may occur due to any of a number of factors and could result in significantly increased costs and longer timelines and could impact our ability to ever become profitable.
Clinical trials of our product candidates may not commence, progress or be completed as expected. Delays could significantly impact our product development costs and timelines, as well as a product candidate’s market potential, if ultimately approved. The timing of initiation, conduct and completion of clinical trials and other development activities for our product candidates may vary dramatically due to factors within and outside of our control and is difficult to predict accurately. We may make statements regarding anticipated timing of clinical development milestones, such as commencement, completion of enrollment, and/or availability of results from our clinical studies, but those statements are predictions based on significant assumptions and the actual timing of achievement of development milestones may differ materially from our predictions for a variety of reasons.
The commencement of clinical trials of our product candidates can be delayed for many reasons, including:
•lack of adequate capital and the need to obtain additional funding;
•delays in obtaining guidance or authorizations from the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities;
•delays in obtaining approval from the institutional review boards, or IRBs, of prospective clinical study sites;
•delays in finalizing the trial design as a result of discussions with the FDA, foreign regulatory authorities, prospective clinical trial investigators or IRBs;
•delays in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective CROs and clinical trial sites; or
•inability to obtain sufficient quantities of clinical product supplies from our contract manufacturers and suppliers.
Once a clinical trial has begun, it may be delayed, suspended or terminated by us, an IRB, the FDA or other regulatory authorities as a result of the occurrence of any of a number of events or circumstances, including:
•lack of adequate capital and the need to obtain additional funding;
•failure to conduct the clinical trial in accordance with its protocol or regulatory or IRB requirements;
•slower than expected rates of participant recruitment and enrollment;
•higher than anticipated participant drop-out rates;
•failure of participants to use the investigational product as directed or to report data as per trial protocols;
•inspection of the clinical trial operations or clinical trial site by the FDA or other regulatory authorities resulting in the imposition of a clinical hold;
•failure to achieve certain efficacy and/or safety standards;
•participants experiencing severe undesirable side effects or other unexpected adverse events;
•disruptions in or insufficient supply of clinical trial material or inadequate quality of such materials;
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•failure of our CROs or other third-party service providers to meet their contractual obligations to us in a timely manner, or at all; or
•delays in quality control/quality assurance procedures necessary for study database lock and analysis of unblinded data.
Unexpected SAEs or other undesirable side effects could arise during clinical development and interrupt, delay, or cause the termination of clinical trials, and require us to conduct additional clinical and nonclinical studies that were not part of our development plan, which could significantly increase the development costs and timeline for a program and adversely impact its value and our ability to continue product development. These events may also cause our reputation to suffer and subject us to lawsuits.
As discussed elsewhere in this Risk Factors section, macroeconomic factors and events also have the potential to cause or contribute to significant delays in commencement and completion of our clinical trials. Global supply chain disruptions and the subsequent effects thereof may adversely affect the ability of contract manufacturers to manufacture and supply our clinical trial material. Our prospective or contracted clinical trial sites may experience resource constraints, including staffing shortages, stemming from global or regional issues, such as a public health emergency, natural disaster, or worker strike, and become unable to allocate adequate resources to reach agreements necessary to commence our clinical trials at their facilities or, even if agreements are in place, to conduct our clinical trials. For ongoing clinical trials, macroeconomic factors or events, such as a global pandemic, may result in lower than anticipated subject enrollment and completion rates, including because clinical trial sites may temporarily close or reallocate resources away from clinical research, or study participants may withdraw prior to receiving study treatment or discontinue their treatment or follow up visits to avoid medical settings or because they become sick or must care for a sick family member.
Significant clinical trial delays could have a material adverse impact on our financial condition and results of operations by substantially increasing the costs of our development programs. Significant clinical trial delays also could jeopardize our ability to meet obligations under agreements under which we license our rights to our product candidates, allow other companies to bring competitive products to market before we do, shorten any period of market exclusivity we may otherwise have under our patent rights, and weaken our negotiating position in discussions with potential collaborators, any of which could impair our ability to successfully complete development of or commercialize our product candidates, if ultimately approved. Any significant delays in commencement or completion of clinical trials of our product candidates, or the suspension or termination of a clinical trial, could materially harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Delays in the manufacture of our clinical supplies as well as other supply chain disruptions could postpone the initiation of or interrupt clinical studies, extend the timeframe and cost of development of our product candidates, delay potential regulatory approvals and impact the commercialization of any approved products.
The manufacture of our product candidates is subject to compliance with extensive regulatory requirements, in some cases is complex, and in most cases we rely on single source contract manufacturers and suppliers. As a result, we face significant risks of manufacturing and supply delays and disruptions that may be difficult and expensive to resolve and may cause substantial delays in the development and regulatory approval of our product candidates or the commercialization of any approved product. To date, our clinical-stage product candidates have been tested in a relatively small number of clinical study participants. Significant scale-up of manufacturing will be required to provide adequate supplies of our product candidates for larger Phase 2 and Phase 3 clinical trials and may take longer and be more expensive than anticipated. For example, if the ongoing pivotal clinical study of Ovaprene required far more clinical product supplies than were manufactured for prior clinical and nonclinical studies combined. A substantial scale up in production of Ovaprene clinical supplies was necessary to support the ongoing Phase 3 clinical study of Ovaprene, which took longer and was more expensive than anticipated, impacting our development timeline. Under our agreement with ADVA-Tec, we are dependent on ADVA-Tec and its contract manufacturer, Poly-Med, Inc., for all Ovaprene clinical and commercial product supplies, and we do not control these third parties and have limited influence the efforts and resources they expend to meet our supply requirements. Disruptions and delays in scaling up manufacturing of our product candidates for later stage clinical studies may have a significant negative impact on our development costs and timelines. We have, and we expect we will continue to, face multiple challenges as our contract manufacturers scale their processes to provide supplies for larger clinical trials or commercial production including, among others, potential difficulties with process scale-up, process reproducibility, stability and purity issues, compliance with cGMP, lot consistency, and timely availability of acceptable raw materials.
The manufacture of our product candidates is subject to extensive regulation. The finished products (and their APIs) used in clinical trials or approved for commercial sale must be manufactured in accordance with cGMP requirements in the U.S. that are enforced by the FDA and must comply with applicable requirements of foreign
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regulatory authorities for sales outside of the U.S. These regulations govern manufacturing processes and procedures, including record keeping and the implementation and operation of quality systems to control and assure the quality of investigational products and products approved for sale. Poor control of production processes can lead to the introduction of contaminants or to inadvertent changes in the properties or stability of a product that may result in closure of the manufacturing facility for an extended period of time to investigate and remedy the contamination or inadvertent change. In addition, deviations anywhere in the manufacturing process could cause our product candidates to perform differently and affect the results of clinical trials. Further, even minor deviations in the manufacturing process, including filling labeling, packaging, storage and shipping, and quality control and testing, may result in shipment delays, lot failures, recalls or spoilage, and delay or disrupt our clinical studies or commercial supply of any approved product. See also ITEM 1. “BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Prescription Drugs, FDA Review and Approval of Medical Devices, and FDA Review and Approval Process for Combination Products” and “–Government Regulation Outside the U.S.” above. If our contract manufacturers are unable to produce sufficient quantities of our product candidates (or their APIs) for clinical trials or, if approved for commercial sale, for commercialization at acceptable quality levels, our development and commercialization efforts would be impaired, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
As product candidates progress through the development process, it is not uncommon that manufacturing methods are altered along the way in an effort to optimize yield, manufacturing batch size, minimize costs, achieve consistent quality and results, or to comply with regulatory authority requirements. Any such changes carry risk that they will not achieve the intended objectives. If and when changes are made to the manufacturing process of our product candidates (or their APIs), we may be required by the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities to conduct bridging clinical or nonclinical studies or repeat one or more clinical trials to demonstrate comparable identity, strength, quality and purity of the product candidate before and after such changes, which could significantly increase development costs and delay regulatory approval or disrupt commercial supply. These manufacturing and supply risks are similarly applicable to any product or product candidate we license to a commercial collaborator and could adversely impact the timing or amount of potential milestone and royalty payments to us.
In addition, our cost of goods for our product candidates is at an early stage of development. The cost to manufacture our product candidates at commercial scale is difficult to predict currently. We may need to alter the materials, equipment or processes for making our product candidates in order to yield commercially viable products. As discussed above, manufacturing changes could increase development costs and timing, delay regulatory approval or disrupt commercial supply and may not achieve the intended objectives. Manufacturing costs may negatively impact the commercial viability of our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale.
See also “Risks Related to Our Dependence on Third Parties- We do not have, and we do not have plans to establish, our own manufacturing capabilities and instead rely on third-party suppliers and manufacturers for clinical study materials, including multiple single source suppliers and manufacturers. If these third parties do not perform as we expect, do not maintain their regulatory approvals or become subject to negative circumstances, it could delay, prevent or impair our product development or commercialization efforts, or those of our collaborators, and harm our business,” and “- In some cases, we may be contractually required to obtain clinical or commercial product supplies from specific third parties or there may be a limited number of third-party suppliers of raw materials and other components of our product candidates or future products, which may heighten our dependence on those third parties, increase the risk of manufacturing disruptions, and result in higher development costs or costs of goods sold” below.
The factors contributing to female sexual dysfunction disorders, including FSAD, are complex and there is limited clinical trial precedent from which to draw experience, making the design and execution of a clinical trial that demonstrates effectiveness of Sildenafil Cream in treating FSAD more inherently challenging and uncertain compared with investigational products for many other conditions.
There are currently no FDA-approved pharmacologic treatments for FSAD and there is no precedent program to reference in the design of our clinical trials for Sildenafil Cream. Female sexual dysfunction disorders in women vary in nature and may be the result of a variety of physiological and psychological factors. Given the variability of factors contributing to the underlying condition, and the product candidates' attributes, clinical studies to evaluate effectiveness in any subset of the conditions under the umbrella of female sexual dysfunction, such as FSAD, are complex. While we worked with experts to select existing as well as develop novel patient reported outcome (PRO) instruments for our exploratory Phase 2b RESPOND study of Sildenafil Cream, tested the potential PRO instruments in a content validity study, reviewed the results of that study with the FDA and aligned with the FDA on the Phase 2b study design, there is no precedent program that has utilized these same endpoints in a Phase 3 study and there is no assurance they will be adequate to detect a treatment effect. In addition, the Phase 2b RESPOND study proved more difficult to enroll than anticipated given the enrollment criteria for the study, particularly the requirement that the
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partner be enrolled in the study. Moreover, the Phase 2b RESPOND study did not demonstrate statistical significance for the co-primary or secondary efficacy endpoints. While post-hoc analyses of data from the Phase 2b RESPOND study identified a subset of participants that achieved statistically significant improvement in one of the co-primary efficacy endpoints of the study and the planned Phase 3 study will be in that subset of patients, there can be no assurance that Sildenafil Cream will be successful in the planned Phase 3 study.
Sildenafil Cream is designed to work primarily by increasing blood flow to the genital tissue. Therefore, identifying and enrolling patients in our clinical trials of Sildenafil Cream for whom inadequate blood flow to the genital tissue is the primary contributor to their arousal disorder is critical. If we fail to screen study participants properly, the results of our clinical trials are unlikely to demonstrate effectiveness of Sildenafil Cream. Conversely, screening procedures may slow enrollment in a study, delay its completion and increase its costs. In our exploratory Phase 2b RESPOND study, we experienced a slower than anticipated pace of enrollment given the enrollment criteria for the study, which lengthened our original estimated timeline for the study. We may experience delays in future clinical studies of Sildenafil Cream relative to our communicated expectations due to the novel nature of the studies and the complexities of the condition it is intended to treat, which may significantly lengthen clinical study timelines, increase overall costs, and may lead to unfavorable results.
With respect to any clinical study of Sildenafil Cream, even if we can identify and enroll a sufficient number of women for whom inadequate blood flow to the genital tissue is the primary contributing factor to their arousal disorder, there is no guarantee that the use of Sildenafil Cream will meaningfully improve their sensations of arousal or demonstrate statistically significant improvement in the primary or secondary efficacy endpoints of the study. We expect to conduct two Phase 3 studies to support an NDA for Sildenafil Cream. Given the multiple factors contributing to arousal disorders and the novelty of the clinical endpoints that will be utilized to measure effectiveness of Sildenafil Cream in treating FSAD, we may be required to conduct multiple clinical trials in large patient populations, extending the timeline and increasing the cost of development for Sildenafil Cream, without any guarantee of positive results. If we are unable to efficiently and successfully advance Sildenafil Cream through clinical development, our business, operating results and financial conditional, as well as our stock price, could suffer.
Interim, topline and preliminary data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data become available and are subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data, and others, including regulatory authorities, may not agree with our interpretation of study data.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose interim, preliminary or topline data from our clinical studies, which are based on a preliminary analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study or trial. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analysis of data, and we may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data. As a result, the topline results of clinical trials we report may differ from final results reported for those studies, or different conclusions or considerations may qualify such results, once additional data have been received and fully evaluated. Topline data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, topline data should be viewed with caution until the final, complete data are available.
Interim data from clinical trials are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available. Adverse differences between preliminary or interim data and final data could significantly harm our business prospects. There can be no guarantee that a favorable interim analysis will result in a favorable final result at the completion of the clinical trial.
Further, others, including regulatory authorities, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of study data differently than we do, which could impact the value of the particular program, the approvability or commercialization of the particular product candidate or product and our company in general. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical trial is based on what is typically an extensive set of data and analyses, and investors and others may disagree with the information we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our public disclosure. Information we determine not to publicly disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding a particular product candidate, product or our business. If the topline data that we report differ from complete results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for, and commercialize, our product candidates may be harmed, which could harm our business, operating results, prospects or financial condition.
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Our business depends on obtaining regulatory approval to market our product candidates in a timely manner, in particular, FDA approval. The regulatory approval processes of the FDA and comparable foreign authorities are expensive, lengthy, time-consuming, and inherently unpredictable. If we are not able to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates, our ability to generate product revenue will be materially impaired.
Our product candidates and the activities associated with their development and commercialization, including their design, testing, manufacture, release, safety, efficacy, regulatory filings, recordkeeping, labeling, storage, approval, advertising, promotion, sale and distribution, are subject to comprehensive regulation by the FDA, other regulatory authorities in the U.S., and comparable authorities in other countries or jurisdictions where we seek to test or market our product candidates. The process of obtaining marketing approvals in the U.S. and elsewhere is expensive, may take many years and can vary substantially based upon a variety of factors, including the type, complexity and novelty of the product candidates involved. In addition, requirements for approval may change over time and our current development plans may not accurately anticipate all applicable requirements for marketing approval by the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities for jurisdictions outside the U.S. See also ITEM 1. “BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Prescription Drugs, FDA Review and Approval of Medical Devices, and FDA Review and Approval Process for Combination Products” and “–Government Regulation Outside the U.S.” above.
Our success depends on our ability to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates in a timely and cost-efficient manner. Even if we successfully complete nonclinical studies, clinical studies, manufacturing and other required activities, we may still experience delays in our efforts to obtain marketing approvals for any of our product candidates. Marketing approval applications require the submission of extensive clinical and nonclinical data and supporting information to establish the safety and efficacy of our product candidates for the specified indication. The process of responding to the FDA or other regulatory authorities’ information requests in the review process, potentially preparing for and appearing at a public advisory committee or oral hearing, and preparing our third-party manufacturers and clinical investigators to successfully complete inspections by the FDA or other regulatory authorities during the approval process requires significant human and financial resources.
We may change the development plan for a product candidate as a result of changes during the development period in the FDA’s marketing approval policies or the amendment or enactment of additional statutes or regulations, updated interpretations of applicable policies, statutes or regulations, or upon review of outcomes of other similar product candidates under development. This could significantly lengthen our development timelines and cost.
The FDA and comparable regulatory authorities in other countries have substantial discretion in the approval process and may refuse to accept any application or may decide that the data are insufficient for approval and require additional clinical or nonclinical studies or changes in the manufacturing process or facilities, even if we had previously aligned with the relevant regulatory authorities on such data and other requirements. We cannot assure you that we will obtain any additional marketing approvals for our product or product candidates in any jurisdiction.
The announcement of new requirements by the FDA, the failure of a competitive product to receive regulatory approval, or the receipt of a complete response letter from the FDA by another company pursuing the FDA's 505(b)(2) pathway for product candidates identical to or similar to ours, any of which may have implications for our proposed regulatory authorization pathways, could impact how investors and potential strategic collaborators view the development risks associated with our product candidates. Changing testing or manufacturing requirements for our product candidates or for product candidates deemed to be comparable to ours may adversely impact our financial resources, our development timelines and may harm the perception held by others of our business.
A change in the regulatory approval pathway we anticipate for a product candidate could significantly increase development cost and timeline and heighten the risk of failure.
We expect to utilize the FDA’s Section 505(b)(2) pathway for most of our current product candidates, including all of our clinical-stage candidates other than Ovaprene, and if that pathway is not available, the development of our product candidates will likely take significantly longer, cost significantly more and entail significantly greater complexity and risk than currently anticipated, and, in any case, may not be successful.
Section 505(b)(2) of the FDCA permits the filing of an NDA in which the applicant relies, at least in part, on the FDA's prior findings of safety and efficacy data for an existing product, or published literature, in support of its NDA, potentially eliminating or reducing the need to conduct certain nonclinical testing or clinical studies and expediting development timelines relative to the traditional or "full" NDA under Section 505(b)(1) of the FDCA. See ITEM 1. “BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Prescription Drugs– Marketing Application Submission and FDA Review” above for more information. If the FDA changes its 505(b)(2) policies and practices, if Congress were to amend the FDCA, or if the current 505(b)(2) pathway is otherwise not available for a product candidate as anticipated, we likely would need to conduct more clinical trials
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and nonclinical testing than planned to generate additional safety and efficacy data and other information to support an NDA. If this were to occur, the time and financial resources required to obtain FDA approval, as well as the development complexity and risk associated with these programs, would likely substantially increase, which could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. In addition, Section 505(b)(2) NDAs are subject to special requirements designed to protect the patent rights of sponsors of previously approved drugs referenced in a Section 505(b)(2) NDA, and the filing of a patent infringement lawsuit against us following our submission of a 505(b)(2) NDA could significantly delay any potential FDA approval of the NDA. Even if we are able to utilize the Section 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway for one or more of our candidates, there is no guarantee this would ultimately lead to faster product development or earlier approval or commercial launch.
In regard to Ovaprene, a change in the FDA’s prior determination that CDRH would lead the review of a marketing application for Ovaprene would adversely impact Ovaprene’s development timeline and significantly raise our costs to complete clinical development and obtain regulatory approval. Ovaprene is composed of both device and drug components and is considered a combination product by the FDA. The process for obtaining FDA approval of Ovaprene will require compliance with complex procedures because concordance between two centers of the FDA (CDRH and CDER) is necessary. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Combination Products,” above for more information about the FDA review and approval process for combination products. Ovaprene previously underwent a request for designation, or RFD, process with the FDA that determined that CDRH would lead the review of a PMA for potential marketing approval of this product candidate. If the designation were to be changed to CDER, or if either center were to institute additional requirements for the approval of Ovaprene, we could be required to complete clinical studies with more patients and over longer periods of time than is currently anticipated. This would significantly increase the anticipated cost and timeline to completion of Ovaprene’s development and require us to raise additional funds.Based on discussions with the FDA, we believe that if our ongoing pivotal clinical study of Ovaprene is successful, the FDA will not require additional clinical studies to support the PMA for Ovaprene. However, the FDA may determine that the results of the study are not sufficiently robust or convincing and require additional clinical and/or nonclinical studies prior to approval of Ovaprene. Because Ovaprene is one of our lead product candidates, the impact of either a change in the lead FDA review center or the imposition of additional, currently unplanned requirements for approval could be significant to us and have a material adverse effect on the prospects for developing Ovaprene, as well as on our business and our financial condition.
If we are unable to pursue FDA approval via the FDA's 505(b)(2) pathway or, in the case of Ovaprene, through review of a PMA by CDRH, new competitive products may reach the market more quickly than our product candidates, which may have a material adverse impact on our competitive position and prospects. Even if we are allowed to pursue the FDA's 505(b)(2) pathway, and in the case of Ovaprene, review of a PMA by CDRH, we cannot assure you that our product candidates will receive the requisite approvals for commercialization.
Some of our product candidates may be considered combination products by the FDA and other regulatory authorities, which could increase the complexity, cost and timeline for their development and regulatory approval.
To the extent our product candidates meet the FDA’s or any other regulatory authority’s definition of a combination product, the regulatory approval requirements can be more complex and costly because, in addition to the individual regulatory requirements for each component, e.g., a drug and a medical device, additional combination product regulatory requirements may apply. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS–Government Regulation–U.S. Government Regulation–FDA Review and Approval Process for Combination Products,” above. The cost and timeline for development of product candidates determined to be combination products may be substantially greater than product candidates that are not considered combination products.
The FDA’s shift toward “radical transparency,” including plans to release future complete response letters promptly after they are issued to drug product sponsors and increase oversight and enforcement for violations of direct-to-consumer drug advertising, could adversely impact our business and commercial prospects.
There has been recent regulatory activity and enforcement in the United States stemming from an announced shift by FDA toward “radical transparency” resulting in increased scrutiny and transparency in the pharmaceutical drug space that may impact our business.
In July 2025, the FDA announced its intent to increase transparency by publicly releasing CRLs issued to drug and biologic product sponsors and, in September 2025, announced that, going forward, it would publicly release future CRLs promptly after they are issued to product sponsors, describing it as “real-time release” of future CRLs, and, when approving new drug or biologic product applications will release all CRLs associated with that application.
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The FDA also released a number of previously unpublished CRLs issued since 2024 associated with pending or withdrawn applications. CRLs, which are issued when an application for marketing approval of a new drug or biologic product cannot be accepted in its current form, outline the reasons for non-approval and may contain confidential or proprietary information relating to the sponsor’s product, including clinical trial, chemistry, manufacturing and controls, and technical information, and specific observations about study design and clinical endpoints. Although the FDA has stated that all CRLs will be redacted to remove confidential commercial information, trade secrets, and personal private information, it remains unclear how such redactions will be implemented. Any public release of a CRL issued to us or a collaborator could result in the inadvertent disclosure of information that could compromise our confidential and proprietary information, including our trade secrets and know-how, or facilitate third-party efforts to design around or challenge the validity, enforceability, or scope of our patents, accelerating the development of competitive products. Moreover, once a CRL is published, we may have limited ability to correct or contextualize the FDA’s statements. If we were to modify or limit the information shared with the FDA to mitigate such risks, it could increase our costs, slow our regulatory interactions, or delay our product approval timelines.
Further, in September 2025, HHS and the FDA announced a series of measures to address “misleading” direct-to-consumer (DTC) prescription drug advertisements. The measures include (1) initiating rulemaking to close the “adequate provision” requirement, which permits drug manufacturers to include a general statement of risk alongside a webpage or publication and 1-800 number to access the full product labeling, (2) aggressive deployment of its available enforcement tools, including artificial intelligence and other technology-enabled tools to monitor drug ads for DTC violations, and (3) expanded oversight of prescription drug advertising on social media. On September 9, 2025, FDA issued thousands of letters to pharmaceutical companies directing them to remove any noncompliant advertising and bring all promotional communications into compliance. Later in September 2025, the FDA released about 80 warning letters, the majority of which targeted compounding pharmacies and telehealth companies for misleading claims about compounded drugs, including sildenafil, underscoring the FDA’s previously stated and growing concern over consumer confusion and medications that lack FDA approval and marking a clear shift in the FDA’s enforcement strategy for compounded drugs. Although we have not received an enforcement letter from FDA relating to our specific advertising and promotional activities, there is no assurance that we will not receive one in the future. We continue to actively monitor the evolving regulatory landscape and follow the marketing regulations required by the FDA. Nevertheless, these new policies of radical transparency and increased enforcement could result in unforeseen reputational, operational, financial, regulatory and legal consequences for our company and have the potential to impact our business and how we market our products.
Our clinical-stage product candidates have only been tested in a small number of women over short periods of use and no data exists regarding a potential increase in fetal abnormalities in pregnant women.
If our clinical-stage product candidates, including Ovaprene and Sildenafil Cream, are successful in their clinical development, we expect that women of child-bearing age will use them, and potentially for many months or years. To date, human clinical studies of these product candidates have been for relatively short periods of time and these product candidates lack safety data over longer periods of use. For example, while we believe the risk of adverse fetal development from using these product candidates is low, the impact of these product candidates on fetal development has not been studied and there are no adequate or well-controlled studies of these product candidates in pregnant women. Thus, the risk of adverse fetal development from any one or more of these product candidates may be greater than expected. Should any of these product candidates be shown to increase the risk of adverse fetal development, our ability to develop those or other product candidates would be substantially impaired, our business prospects and operations could be materially harmed, and we could also be subject to potential claims and lawsuits.
Pre-clinical product candidates may be undervalued by investors and may be difficult to fund.
Given their early stage of development and the lack of data, many pre-clinical assets are often perceived as having low valuations by investors and potential strategic collaborators, such as pharmaceutical companies. Our investment of time and resources in such assets may not be appreciated or valued. As a result, it may be difficult for us to fund such programs.Additionally, past receipt of grant funding may not be predictive of our ability to secure additional grants to fund further development of a program. Our portfolio includes several pre-clinical stage programs and if they fail to be adequately valued by investors or potential strategic collaborators, our business, financial condition and stock price may be adversely affected.
Several of our product candidates are in pre-clinical stages of development and may never advance to clinical development.
Pre-clinical studies refer to a stage of research that begins before clinical trials (testing in humans) can begin, and during which important feasibility, iterative testing and drug safety data are collected. Because of their early nature, pre-clinical product candidates tend to carry a higher risk of failure as compared with clinical-stage assets.
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Pre-clinical candidates must generate sufficient safety and efficacy data through in vitro studies, animal studies and a variety of tests before they can be considered appropriate for testing in humans. The development risks, timeline and cost of pre-clinical assets can be high because of the unknowns and absence of data. It can be difficult to identify relevant tests and animal models for pre-clinical studies. Even if the results from our pre-clinical studies are favorable, we still may not be able to advance the candidates into clinical trials. If pre-clinical studies of product candidates do not generate strong data, our pre-clinical stage programs may never progress to clinical development and may prove to be worthless.
The grants and other non-dilutive funding awards supporting several of our development programs do not guarantee that the pre-clinical or clinical development work being funded will be successful or that we will be able or will choose to fund the additional development work that will be required in the future to advance the product candidates toward regulatory approval.
The grants and other non-dilutive funding supporting development of several of our programs should not provide any assurance that pre-clinical or clinical development supported by that funding will be successful, or, even if we are successful with all specified development activities, that we will be able or will choose to fund the additional development work that will be required to continue to advance the product candidates toward commercialization. Further, the grant agreements or other non-dilutive funding award agreements supporting these development programs generally feature milestone-based payments or, in the case of NIH grants, payments are received in reimbursement of specified activities, and there is no assurance that we will be able to achieve or otherwise demonstrate satisfaction of the specified development and reporting milestones required to receive future payments under the agreements. Additionally, the counterparties to these agreements may modify, suspend, discontinue payment of funds or terminate the agreements in certain circumstances largely in their discretion. Accordingly, we may never receive future payments under these agreements or realize the full potential amount of the grant or other funding award.
Risks Related to Our Dependence on Third Parties
Our existing product development and commercialization collaboration is important to our business, and future collaborations may also be important to us. If we are unable to maintain our existing collaboration, if it is not successful, or if we are unable to establish additional strategic collaborations, our business and prospects may be materially harmed.
We have limited resources and no internal sales, marketing or distribution capabilities. A key aspect of our strategy is to establish collaborations with third parties, such as large and mid-size pharmaceutical companies and other third parties with the relevant R&D and/or commercial expertise and infrastructure, to help bring our product candidates to market. We currently do not expect to directly market, sell or distribute any of our products that receive regulatory approval, and instead intend to enter into agreements with third parties to market, sell and distribute and provide related support services for those products. For example, we have entered into an out-license agreement with Organon for the commercialization of XACIATO. We intend to seek additional strategic collaborations, including for Ovaprene, if approved for commercial sale, as a result of the termination of our prior strategic collaboration with Bayer. However, such strategic collaboration opportunities may not be available to us for a variety of reasons. For example, certain potential pharmaceutical company collaborators have announced discontinuation or significant reduction in their research and development efforts in women's health therapeutics. To the extent we do enter into strategic collaborations similar to our agreements for the commercialization of XACIATO, the successful development and commercialization of our products and product candidates may become partially or entirely dependent upon the performance of third parties. By entering into strategic collaborations, we may relinquish control over important elements of product development and commercialization, and the collaborator may fail to develop or effectively commercialize the applicable products or product candidates. In addition, in the case of commercial collaborations, our product revenues may be lower than if we were to sell and distribute products that we develop ourselves.
Our existing collaboration, and any future strategic collaborations we establish, involve significant risks to the success of the product, including that:
•collaborators may have significant discretion in determining the efforts and resources that they will apply to these collaborations;
•collaborators may not perform their obligations as expected;
•collaborators may not pursue development or commercialization of a product or product candidate or elect not to continue or renew a collaboration based on clinical or nonclinical study results, changes in the collaborators' strategic focus or available funding, or external factors, such as an acquisition, a public health emergency, or macroeconomic events or conditions, that cause them to divert resources to other initiatives or create competing priorities;
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•collaborators may refuse to perform clinical studies or other development work required for approval in a particular jurisdiction outside the U.S.;
•collaborators may delay or stop clinical studies, provide insufficient funding for or abandon a clinical program, repeat or conduct new clinical studies or require a new formulation of a product or product candidate for clinical testing;
•collaborators could independently, or together with third parties, develop and commercialize products that compete directly or indirectly with our products or product candidates if the collaborators believe that competitive products are more likely to be successfully developed or can be commercialized under terms that are more economically attractive than ours;
•collaborators with marketing and distribution rights to one or more of our products may not commit sufficient resources to the marketing and distribution of such product or products;
•disagreements with collaborators, including disagreements over proprietary rights, contract interpretation, or product development or commercialization strategy, might cause delays or termination of the research, development or commercialization of our products or product candidates, might lead to additional responsibilities for us with respect to products or product candidates, or might result in litigation or arbitration, any of which would be time-consuming and expensive;
•collaborators may not properly maintain or defend our intellectual property rights or may use our proprietary information in such a way as to invite litigation that could jeopardize or invalidate our intellectual property or proprietary information or expose us to potential litigation;
•collaborators may infringe the intellectual property rights of third parties, which may expose us to litigation and potential liability;
•collaborators may violate, or be investigated for potentially violating, health care compliance and related laws and regulations, which may expose us to litigation, enforcement actions or inquiries, or other potential liability; and
•collaborations may be terminated for the convenience of the collaborator and, if terminated, could significantly delay product development and commercial launch and increase the cost to us to pursue further development or commercialization of the applicable product or product candidate. For example, as was the case with our former out-license agreement for Ovaprene, our out-license agreement for XACIATO may be terminated by the counterparty for convenience upon the completion of a specified notice period, subject to limited restrictions.
If a collaborator terminates its agreement with us or if a collaboration does not result in the successful development of any product candidates and/or commercialization of any approved products, we may not receive any future royalty revenue, commercial milestones or other revenues under the collaboration, our development programs may not be funded as we expect, and our ability to establish another collaboration for the applicable product or product candidate may be negatively impacted. We may be unable to replace any commercial collaborator with an alternate third party on a timely or commercially reasonable basis, or at all. See also, “Risks Related to Our Financial Position and Capital Needs- If one of our commercial collaborators terminates its exclusive license agreement with us or fails to perform as expected, our need for additional capital may significantly increase,” above and “We rely on, and intend to continue to rely on, third parties for the execution of significant aspects of our product development programs. Failure of these third parties to successfully carry out their contractual duties, comply with regulatory requirements and applicable law, or meet expected deadlines may cause significant delays in our development timelines and/or failure of our programs,” below. Moreover, the risks relating to product development, regulatory approval and commercialization and compliance with health care related laws and regulations described in this report also apply to the activities of our collaborators.
Organon has global commercial rights to XACIATO under our exclusive license agreement. There is no assurance that commercialization of XACIATO in the U.S. will be successful, or that Organon will pursue development and commercialization of XACIATO outside of the U.S. As discussed elsewhere in this Risk Factors section, as a result of the traditional royalty purchase agreement we entered into with XOMA, whether we receive any future income based on net sales of XACIATO will depend on whether the Revenue Sharing Threshold is reached, which will depend, in part, on Organon's future commercial success with XACIATO, which is outside of our control. Apart from Organon's diligence obligation under our license agreement, we have no control over the efforts and resources Organon devotes to the marketing and sale of XACIATO. The occurrence of any of the risks described above could negatively impact the commercial success of XACIATO and have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
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We face significant competition in seeking strategic collaborations. Collaborations can also be complex and time-consuming arrangements to negotiate and document. If we are unable to reach agreements with suitable collaborators on a timely basis, on acceptable terms, or at all, we may have to curtail the development of a product or product candidate, reduce or delay one or more of our other development programs, delay or reduce the scope of any commercial readiness activities, delay commercialization, or increase our expenditures and undertake development or commercialization activities at our own expense. Our success in entering into a definitive agreement for any collaboration will depend upon, among other things, our assessment of the prospective collaborator’s resources and expertise, the terms of the proposed collaboration and the proposed collaborator’s evaluation of several factors. Those factors may include the design and outcomes of our clinical studies, the likelihood of approval by regulatory authorities, the potential market for the product, the costs and complexities of manufacturing and delivering such product to customers, the potential of competing products, the strength of the intellectual property and other potential sources of market exclusivity for such product, the market performance of other products we developed, and industry and market conditions generally. The prospective collaborator may also have opportunities to collaborate with third parties on products or technologies that would compete with our products or product candidates and will evaluate whether those opportunities are more attractive than a collaboration with us. We face competition in our search for collaborators from other biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies worldwide, many of which are larger and able to offer more attractive deals in terms of financial commitments, contribution of human resources, or development, manufacturing, regulatory or commercial expertise and support. Inadequate capitalization of our company, or the perception thereof, could negatively affect our negotiating leverage in transactions.
We may also be restricted under existing collaboration agreements from entering into other collaborations on certain terms with other potential collaborators. For example, the terms of our exclusive license agreement also provide Organon exclusive worldwide rights of first negotiation for specified potential future products of ours, which may increase the complexity and time required, or otherwise inhibit our ability to transfer, license, sublicense, assign, grant or otherwise dispose of any rights in those potential future products to a third party, and lead to delays in their development and commercialization.
If we are not successful in attracting collaborators, entering into collaborations on acceptable terms and maintaining our collaborations for the products we develop, we may not complete development of or obtain regulatory approval for such products and product candidates, or if we obtain regulatory approval, commercial launch may be delayed and market penetration could be limited. In such event, our ability to generate revenues from such products and achieve or sustain profitability would be significantly hindered which would materially harm our business and financial condition.
We do not have, and we do not have plans to establish, our own manufacturing capabilities and instead rely on third-party suppliers and manufacturers for our clinical study supplies, including multiple single source suppliers and manufacturers. If these third parties do not perform as we expect, fail to maintain their regulatory approvals or become subject to negative circumstances, it could delay, prevent or impair our product development or commercialization efforts, or those of our collaborators, and harm our business.
We do not own or operate, and we currently have no plans to establish, facilities for manufacturing, storage and distribution, or testing of product candidates. We rely and expect to continue to rely on third parties to supply and manufacture our product candidates and other materials necessary to commence and complete pre-clinical testing, clinical trials and other activities required for regulatory approval of our product candidates, including qualification of equipment, developing and validating methods, defining critical process parameters, releasing component materials, and conducting stability testing. In addition, we expect to continue to rely on third parties for commercial production and supplies of any future products. This reliance on third-party manufacturers and suppliers subjects us to inherent uncertainties related to product safety, availability, quality and cost.
Our product candidates (including their component materials) must be manufactured, packaged, tested, and labeled in accordance with our specifications and in conformity with cGMP and other applicable regulatory requirements, which requires dedication of substantial resources to specialized personnel, facilities and equipment and sophisticated quality assurance, quality control, recordkeeping procedures. While our employees and consultants monitor and audit our CMOs’ manufacturing processes and systems, we have limited control over our CMOs and they may fail to perform as expected. The facilities and quality systems of CMOs who produce our product candidates and their APIs must pass a pre-approval inspection for compliance with applicable regulations as a condition of FDA approval. Failure to pass inspections, or to timely remediate any compliance issues identified by the FDA, could substantially delay marketing approval. As long as we are the product candidate sponsor or the holder of the product approval or manufacturer of record with the FDA or other regulatory authority, we are ultimately responsible for compliance with regulatory requirements for manufacturing and distribution of our product candidates and any future approved products, regardless of our lack of control over our third-party manufacturers and suppliers. Failure of those third parties to comply with cGMP and other applicable regulatory requirements may result in fines and civil penalties
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on us, suspension of production, delay or failure to obtain product approval, product seizure or recall, or withdrawal of product approval.
Our CMOs and component suppliers may experience delays in producing and supplying, or may become unable or unwilling to produce and supply, our clinical trial material or commercial supply material due to financial or personnel constraints, their obligations to, or their decision to prioritize the production and supply of products for, other customers, partial or full loss of their facilities, or supply chain disruptions, including as a result of geopolitical conflicts, macroeconomic events or conditions, natural or manmade disasters, or public health emergencies such as the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, our single source CMO for Ovaprene is located in an area of the U.S. that is vulnerable to tropical storms, hurricanes, flooding and tornadoes, which have potential to render its facilities inoperative for protracted periods. One or more of our CMOs may fail or be unable to perform at a time that is costly or inconvenient for us. We may not have adequate or any recourse against a CMO or supplier who does not perform or terminates its agreement with us if such non-performance or termination is excused under the applicable agreement.
We do not have long-term supply agreements with any of our CMOs or raw materials suppliers. We generally enter into manufacturing agreements on a project-by-project basis based on our development needs, which may heighten the risk of timely availability of sufficient quantities of our product candidates at acceptable costs for clinical trials. For example, we do not have any long-term manufacturing or supply agreements with the CMO from which we plan to obtain clinical supplies for our first Phase 3 clinical study of Sildenafil Cream or with the current supplier of the API for Sildenafil Cream. Future supplies of Sildenafil Cream or the raw materials required to produce it may be more difficult and costly to obtain because we do not have long-term supply contracts, which could make us more vulnerable to significant price increases. As we advance development of our product candidates, we will need to negotiate agreements for commercial supply and we may not be able to reach agreement on a timely basis or acceptable terms, or at all. In addition, the FDA or regulatory authorities outside of the U.S. may require that we have an alternate manufacturer of a product before approving it for marketing and sale in the U.S. or other jurisdiction, and securing such alternate manufacturer before approval of a marketing application could result in considerable additional time and cost prior to product approval.
Currently, we do not have alternative CMOs or API suppliers to back up our primary vendors of clinical trial material. Identification of and discussions with other vendors may be protracted and/or unsuccessful, or new vendors may not be successful in producing the same results as our current vendors on a timely basis at the appropriate volumes, at an acceptable cost, or at all. Therefore, if the current vendors become unable or unwilling to perform their required activities, we could experience protracted delays or interruptions in the supply of clinical trial material or any future approved product for commercial sale, which could materially and adversely affect our development programs, commercial activities, operating results, and financial condition.
Any new CMO or API supplier would be required to qualify under applicable regulatory requirements. In some cases, the technical skills or technology required to manufacture our clinical trial material or commercial material may be unique or proprietary to the original CMO or supplier and we may have difficulty, or there may be contractual restrictions prohibiting us from, transferring such skills or technology to another third party and a feasible alternative may not exist. These factors would increase our reliance on such CMOs and suppliers or require us to obtain a license from them in order to have another third party manufacture our product candidates or any future approved product. If we are required to change manufacturers for any reason, we will be required to verify that the new manufacturer maintains facilities and procedures that comply with quality standards and with all applicable regulations and guidelines. In some cases, the FDA or a foreign regulatory authority may require us to conduct additional clinical or nonclinical studies, collect additional stability data, and provide additional information concerning any new CMO or supplier, or change in a validated manufacturing process, including scaling-up production, before we could distribute products from that manufacturer or supplier or revised process. The process of identifying, verifying and transitioning to a new CMO or supplier could significantly delay development or regulatory approval of our product candidates or delay or disrupt commercialization of any approved product and substantially increase costs or result in significant loss of product sales and associated revenue.
If our CMOs encounter difficulties or otherwise fail to comply with their contractual obligations or there are delays entering commercial supply agreements, we may have insufficient quantities of material to support ongoing or planned clinical trials or to meet commercial demand for any approved product in the future. In addition, any delay or interruption in the supply of materials necessary or useful to manufacture our product candidates could delay the completion of our clinical trials, increase the costs associated with our development programs, and depending upon the period of delay, require us to terminate the clinical trials completely and commence new clinical trials at significant additional expense. Delays or interruptions in the supply of commercial product could result in increased cost of goods sold and lost sales. Manufacturing or quality control problems may arise in connection with the manufacture of our
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clinical trial material or future approved product and CMOs may not be able to maintain the necessary governmental licenses and approvals to continue their manufacturing services for us.
In addition, with respect to any finished product or key components manufactured outside the U.S., such as the API for Sildenafil Cream, which is sourced from a supplier located in India, we may experience interruptions in supply due to shipping or customs difficulties or regional instability. Furthermore, future currency fluctuations, increased shipping costs, or new or increased U.S. tariffs and trade disputes with other countries could increase our clinical development costs, and ultimately, our cost of goods sold, which could adversely impact our operating results and financial condition.
Any of the above factors could cause us to delay or suspend anticipated or ongoing clinical trials, regulatory submissions or commercialization of a product candidate, entail higher costs, or result in being unable to effectively commercialize an approved product. Our dependence on third parties for the manufacture of our product candidates or future approved products may adversely affect our future profit margins and our ability to commercialize any products that receive marketing approval on a timely and competitive basis.
Similarly, while Organon assumed manufacturing responsibility for XACIATO from us in December 2023, commercial production and supply of XACIATO remains subject to comparable manufacturing risks as described herein, and any interruption in the commercial supply of XACIATO that directly or indirectly results in significant loss of product sales could have a material adverse effect on future payments we may receive under the traditional royalty purchase agreement we entered into with XOMA.
In some cases, we may be contractually required to obtain clinical or commercial product supplies from specific third parties or there may be a limited number of third-party suppliers of raw materials and other components of our product candidates or future products, which may heighten our dependence on those third parties, increase the risk of manufacturing disruptions, and result in higher development costs or costs of goods sold.
Our agreement with ADVA-Tec restricts our ability to engage a manufacturing source for Ovaprene other than ADVA-Tec during Ovaprene's development period as well as following regulatory approval, subject to limited exceptions. If ADVA-Tec fails to provide sufficient clinical supply of Ovaprene on anticipated timelines, our ability to complete clinical development and seek regulatory approval of Ovaprene could be significantly delayed. A substantial scale up in production of Ovaprene clinical supplies was necessary to support the ongoing Phase 3 clinical study of Ovaprene, which took longer and was more expensive than anticipated, and if Ovaprene receives marketing approval, further substantial manufacturing scale up will be necessary. If Ovaprene receives marketing approval, failure by ADVA-Tec to provide sufficient commercial product quantities at reasonable costs could have a significant adverse effect on our revenue and ability to become profitable. Furthermore, for some key raw materials and components of Ovaprene, there currently is only a single source of supply, and alternate sources of supply may not be readily available.
We rely on, and intend to continue to rely on, third parties to conduct our clinical and nonclinical studies and execute other significant aspects of our product development programs. Failure of these third parties to successfully carry out their contractual duties, comply with our clinical protocols or regulatory requirements and applicable law, or meet expected deadlines may cause significant delays in our development timelines and/or failure of our programs.
Our business model relies on the outsourcing of important product development functions, tests and services to third parties. We rely on CROs, medical institutions, clinical investigators, laboratories, vendors and consultants to conduct all of our clinical trials and perform nonclinical testing. These third parties play a significant role in the conduct and timing of our clinical and nonclinical studies and the collection, management and analysis of study data, which are critical to our business. In addition, we have relied, and expect in the future to rely, on third parties to assist us in preparing, submitting and supporting the applications necessary to gain marketing approvals for our product candidates. We enter into agreements with these third parties governing their work for us, but we do not control them and have limited influence over their actual performance. They may not devote sufficient time and resources to our projects, or their performance may be substandard, resulting in clinical trial delays, suspensions or terminations, delays in submission of our marketing applications, failure of a regulatory authority to accept our applications for filing or receipt of a CRL. The performance of these third parties may also be negatively impacted by macroeconomic factors, geopolitical conflicts or events, natural or manmade disasters, public health emergencies, information system and cybersecurity incidents, and workforce challenges. In addition, these third parties may have relationships with companies developing competitive products and prioritize a competitor’s clinical or nonclinical studies or regulatory affairs activities over their work for us, which could harm our competitive position. Because of our dependence on these third parties, if they fail to meet expected deadlines, adhere to our study protocols, meet regulatory and legal
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requirements, or otherwise perform in a substandard manner, we could suffer significant delays and additional costs in, and potentially failure of, the development of one or more of our product candidates.
Our CROs, study sites and other consultants generally have the right to terminate their agreements with us without cause upon the completion of a specified notice period, subject to limited restrictions. If any of our relationships with these third parties terminate, we may not be able to enter into arrangements with alternative third parties on commercially reasonable terms, in a timely manner, or at all. Switching or adding additional CROs, study sites, and other third party service providers due to substandard or inadequate performance or termination of a relationship involves additional cost and requires our management’s time and focus. In addition, there is a natural transition period when a new CRO commences work. As a result, delays occur, which can materially impact our ability to meet our communicated clinical development timelines. Though we work to carefully manage our relationships with our CROs, study sites, and other third parties, we have encountered challenges and delays in our clinical and nonclinical studies as a result of performance issues in the past, and there can be no assurance that we will not encounter challenges or delays in the future or that these delays or challenges will not have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition, and prospects.
Our ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates depends upon maintaining rights granted to us under license agreements with third parties. The loss or impairment of our rights under our in-license agreements relating to XACIATO or our product candidates could have a material adverse effect on our business prospects, operations and viability.
We have rights to develop and commercialize XACIATO and our product candidates under license agreements between us and third-party licensors. The loss or impairment of these rights, including as a result of our inability or other failure (or that of our licensors, in the case of sublicenses) to meet our obligations under any one of such license agreements, including, without limitation, our payment obligations, could have a substantial negative effect on our business and prospects.
In December 2018, we entered into definitive agreements with Hammock Pharmaceuticals, Inc., TriLogic Pharma LLC and MilanaPharm LLC under which we acquired exclusive global rights to XACIATO for the treatment of bacterial vaginosis, as well as the rights to utilize the underlying proprietary hydrogel drug delivery technology for any vaginal or urological application in humans. Under the license agreement with TriLogic Pharma and MilanaPharm, we must use commercially reasonable efforts and resources consistent with those we undertake in pursuing development and commercialization of other pharmaceutical products, taking into account program-specific factors, (a) to develop and commercialize at least one licensed product or process in the United States and at least one licensed product or process in at least one of Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy or Spain, and (b) following the first commercial sale of a licensed product or process in any jurisdiction, to continue to commercialize that product or process in that jurisdiction. In addition to customary termination rights, MilanaPharm may terminate our license with respect to a licensed product or process in a country if, after having launched such product or process in such country, we, or our affiliates or sublicensees, as applicable, discontinue the sale of, or commercially reasonable marketing efforts to sell, such product or process in such country, and fail to resume such efforts or to reasonably demonstrate a strategic justification for the discontinuation and failure. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development-Hammock/MilanaPharm Assignment and License Agreement,” above.
We entered into a license agreement with ADVA-Tec for the exclusive worldwide rights to develop and commercialize Ovaprene that became effective in July 2017. In addition to standard termination rights, ADVA-Tec may terminate the license agreement if we (1) fail to make significant scheduled investments in product development activities over the course of the agreement, (2) fail to commercialize Ovaprene within six months of obtaining a pre-market approval from the FDA, (3) with respect to the license in any particular country, fail to commercialize Ovaprene in that particular country within three years of the first commercial sale, (4) develop or commercialize a non-hormonal ring-based vaginal contraceptive device other than Ovaprene, (5) fail to conduct certain clinical trials, or (6) fail to make certain milestone, sublicense and/or royalty payments to ADVA-Tec. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development-ADVA-Tec License Agreement," above.
In February 2018, we entered into a world-wide license and collaboration agreement with SST for the exclusive worldwide rights to develop and commercialize Sildenafil Cream for all indications for women related to female sexual dysfunction and/or female reproductive health, including treatment of FSAD. The SST license agreement provides that each party will have customary rights to terminate the agreement in the event of material uncured breach by the other party and under certain other circumstances. The SST license agreement provides SST with the right to terminate it with respect to the applicable SST licensed products in specified countries upon 30 days’ notice if we fail to use commercially reasonable efforts to perform development activities in substantial accordance with the development plan contained in the SST license agreement, or any updated development plan approved by the joint development committee, and do not cure such failure within 60 days of receipt of SST’s notice thereof. See
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ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development-SST License and Collaboration Agreement,” above.
In April 2018, we entered into the Catalent license agreement under which we acquired exclusive global rights to Catalent's IVR technology platform, including the product candidates we now call DARE-HRT1, DARE-FRT1, and DARE-PTB1. Under this agreement, we must use commercially reasonable efforts to develop and make at least one product or process available to the public, which efforts include achieving specific diligence requirements by dates specified in the agreement, and Catalent may terminate the agreement upon 60 days’ notice for any uncured material breach by us of any of our other obligations under the agreement. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development-Catalent JNP License Agreement,” above.
In May 2018, we completed our acquisition of Pear Tree and obtained exclusive global rights to certain patents and know-how to develop and commercialize a proprietary formulation of tamoxifen for vaginal administration, which led to our DARE-VVA1 program. Under the applicable license agreements, as amended, we are required to use commercially reasonable efforts or reasonable best efforts to bring licensed products and processes to market, which include achieving specified milestones. The licensors may terminate the agreements for failure to make certain payments due to the licensors and any uncured material breach or default, including breach of our diligence obligations. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development—Pear Tree Acquisition and License Agreements,” above.
In August 2023, we entered into a license agreement with Douglas for exclusive rights to develop and commercialize a lopinavir and ritonavir combination soft gel vaginal insert for the treatment of CIN and other HPV-related pathologies, and commenced our DARE-HPV program. Under this agreement, we must use commercially reasonable efforts to develop and introduce to market at least one product or process, which efforts include achieving specific diligence requirements by dates specified in the agreement. Douglas may terminate the agreement for any uncured failure to make certain payments, any uncured material failure to fulfill our diligence obligations, or any other uncured material breach of our other obligations under the agreement. See ITEM 1. "BUSINESS-Strategic Agreements for Pipeline Development—Douglas License Agreement / The University of Manchester Stand-by Direct License Arrangement,” above.
If we do not meet our obligations under our license agreements in a timely manner, some of which require the expenditure or payment to the licensor of significant amounts of cash, or if we are unable to obtain an extension of deadlines for satisfying our obligations, we could lose our rights under these agreements. Moreover, because some of our rights to XACIATO and our product candidates are sublicensed to us, our license agreements may be terminated or we may otherwise lose rights to intellectual property underlying our product or product candidates in the event of termination or loss of rights by our licensors, which may be outside of our control. There is no assurance that we would be able to renew or renegotiate license agreements on acceptable terms, or at all, if our existing license agreements (or the underlying agreements in the case of sublicenses) are terminated. Furthermore, we cannot guarantee that any license agreement will be enforceable. The termination of these license agreements or our inability to enforce our rights under these license agreements could result in the loss of our ability, or that of our sublicensees, to develop, manufacture, market or sell XACIATO or the product candidate covered by the agreement, as well as our ability to grant rights to other third parties to collaborate with us in the development and commercialization of our product candidates and our ability to receive milestone and royalty payments from third-party sublicensees, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Disputes may arise regarding intellectual property subject to, and any of our rights and obligations under, any license or other strategic agreement, including:
•the scope of rights granted under the license agreement and other interpretation-related issues;
•the extent to which our technology and processes infringe, misappropriate or violate the intellectual property of the licensor that is not subject to the license agreement;
•our diligence obligations under the license agreement and what activities satisfy those diligence obligations;
•the timing and amount of milestone or royalty payments due to the licensor;
•the sublicensing of patent and other rights to third parties under any such agreement or collaborative relationships;
•the inventorship and ownership of inventions and know-how resulting from the joint creation or use of intellectual property by our licensors and us and our collaborators; and
•the priority of invention of patented technology.
In addition, the agreements under which we license intellectual property or technology to or from third parties are complex, and certain provisions in such agreements may be susceptible to multiple interpretations. The resolution of any contract interpretation disagreement that may arise could narrow what we believe to be the scope of our rights
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to the relevant intellectual property or technology or increase what we believe to be our financial or other obligations under the relevant agreement, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Moreover, if disputes over intellectual property that we have licensed prevent or impair our ability to maintain our current licensing arrangements on commercially acceptable terms, we may be unable to successfully develop and commercialize, or maintain third-party collaborations to commercialize, the affected product or product candidate.
We may seek to license the product and technology rights to additional product candidates in accordance with our business strategy, but there can be no assurance we will be able to do so on favorable terms or at all. There are risks, uncertainties and costs associated with identifying, licensing and advancing product candidates through successful clinical development. Even if we obtained the rights to additional product candidates, there can be no assurance those candidates would ever be advanced successfully through clinical development.
Risks Related to Commercialization of Products We Develop
We have no internal sales, marketing or distribution capabilities, and we may need to invest significant resources to establish those capabilities. If we are unable to timely establish those capabilities on our own or through arrangements with third parties, product launch may be delayed, commercialization may be adversely impacted, and we may not be able to generate product sales revenue.
We currently do not have, and have never had, product marketing, sales or distribution infrastructure. In order to commercialize any of our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, we must either establish a sales and marketing organization with technical expertise and supporting distribution capabilities or collaborate with third-parties that have sales and marketing experience. As we move our product candidates through development toward, and in some cases, through regulatory approval, we evaluate several options for each product candidate's commercialization strategy. These options include building our own sales force and other commercial infrastructure, or collaborating with third parties that have established sales forces and distribution systems, either to augment our own sales force and commercial infrastructure or in lieu of establishing our own sales force and commercial infrastructure. We currently have no commercialization agreements with third parties other than our license agreement with Organon for XACIATO. We may not be able to maintain our existing commercial collaboration or establish and maintain other commercial collaborations on favorable terms, on a timely basis, or at all. In addition, our product revenue and our profitability, if any, may be lower if we rely on third parties to commercialize products we develop than if we were to do it ourselves.
To generate revenue from our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, we may need to establish our own sales forces and commercial infrastructure. There are significant challenges and risks involved with building and managing a sales organization and other commercial infrastructure, even if we collaborate with third parties that have established sales forces and distribution systems to augment our own capabilities, including:
•difficulties in recruiting and retaining adequate numbers of qualified individuals;
•providing adequate training for sales and marketing and support personnel;
•effectively managing a geographically dispersed sales force;
•difficulties generating sales leads;
•potential lack of complementary products our sales personnel may be able to offer compared with sales personnel for competitive products; and
•unforeseen costs and expenses associated with establishing a new corporate function and the rapid growth of our company.
Recruiting, incentivizing and training a sales force is expensive and requires substantial management time and focus. If we recruit and train a sales force and the commercial launch of the product is delayed or does not occur for any reason, we would have prematurely or unnecessarily incurred significant expenses, and our investment would be lost if we could not retain or reposition our sales and marketing personnel. On the other hand, if we do not timely establish a sales force and other commercial infrastructure, a product launch may be significantly delayed, adversely impacting the potential commercial success of the product, as well as our operating results and financial condition. Both the launch and ongoing commercial support of our products would require significant capital, which may not be available to us when needed or on acceptable terms or at all. All of these factors could strain our cash resources and require us to raise additional capital.
Failure or delay in entering into and maintaining arrangements with third parties to market and sell, or assist us in marketing and selling, our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, or in establishing capabilities to independently commercialize our product candidates could significantly delay commercial launch and negatively
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impact their potential commercial success, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, will face intense competition and our business and operating results will suffer if we, or our commercial collaborators, fail to compete effectively.
The pharmaceutical industry is intensely competitive and characterized by rapid technological developments. Moreover, the women’s health sector is very fragmented and highly competitive. We anticipate that our product candidates may compete not only with FDA-approved, prescription and over-the-counter, branded and generic drug products, but also compounded drugs, medical devices, dietary supplements, and cosmetics. We face and will continue to face intense competition from a variety of businesses, including large, fully integrated, well-established pharmaceutical companies and specialty pharmaceutical companies that already possess robust product portfolios and strong franchises in women’s health in areas in which we plan to compete, as well as generics manufacturers, compounding pharmacies and other drug compounding facilities, and dietary supplements manufacturers. In addition, academic and other research institutions are and could be engaged in research and development efforts for products in the therapeutic areas targeted by our product candidates. Many of our competitors or potential competitors, either alone or with strategic collaborators, have:
•much greater financial, research, technical and human resources than we have at every stage of the product development and commercialization life cycle;
•more extensive experience in designing and conducting clinical trials, nonclinical studies, obtaining regulatory approvals, and in manufacturing, marketing and selling prescription medical products; and
•approved products or product candidates in late stages of development for one or more of our target indications.
Competitive products may be equally safe and as effective as our products, but sold at a substantially lower price. Alternatively, competitive products may be safer or more effective, more convenient to use, have better insurance coverage or reimbursement levels or be more effectively marketed and sold than our products.
Many of our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale, will compete with products that have already been accepted by the medical community and patients. If our product candidates fail to generate compelling clinical results or if patients and health care providers fail to adopt our products for their respective indications, their commercial potential could be adversely impacted or severely diminished. It is possible that the potential advantages of our product candidates do not materialize or that the approved prescribing information for our products does not describe expected features or benefits. We also expect to face competition from new products that enter the market over time. We are aware of products currently under development intended for the same indications as our product candidates. These competitive product candidates may prove safer, more tolerable, more effective, and less expensive, and may be introduced to market earlier, or produced, marketed and sold more effectively or on a more cost-effective basis, than our product candidates. The success of competitive products may render our product candidates noncompetitive or obsolete, even prior to completion of their development.
With respect to XACIATO, there are multiple generic and branded prescription drug products currently approved in the U.S. for the treatment of bacterial vaginosis, including oral and vaginal gel formulations of metronidazole and vaginal cream formulations of clindamycin. If health care providers do not view the prescribing information for XACIATO as compelling compared with other products available for the treatment of bacterial vaginosis, or if competitive products have better insurance coverage or reimbursement levels than XACIATO, health care providers may opt to prescribe a competitive product rather than recommend or prescribe XACIATO to their patients. In addition, women may prefer orally delivered options to vaginally administered XACIATO unless they view XACIATO as providing significantly superior efficacy, safety and/or convenience. If our commercial collaborator fails to generate significant net sales of XACIATO which exceed the Revenue Sharing Threshold, we will not have any future revenue stream relating to XACIATO.
The women's health market includes many generic FDA-approved drug products, compounded drugs, as well as dietary supplements and consumer health products, and growth in these categories is expected to continue, which could make the successful introduction of our products difficult and expensive.
The proportion of the U.S. drug market made up of generic products has been increasing. In addition, compounded drugs and dietary supplements in women’s healthare multi-billion dollar markets. As a result, even if our product candidates are approved, it may be more difficult for us or a commercial collaborator to introduce a new product, particularly a branded prescription product, at a price that will allow us to achieve acceptable levels of revenue and net income from product sales. Generic competition is particularly strong in contraception and hormone therapy, which are areas in which we seek to compete. Our product candidates for menopause symptoms will
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additionally have to compete with compounded hormones supplied by compounding pharmacies and other drug compounding facilities, as well as dietary supplements marketed for relief of menopause symptoms. Compounded sildenafil cream medications are also currently being supplied by compounding pharmacies and other drug compounding facilities. In order for our branded products to develop commercial markets and for third-party payors to cover these higher cost products, our products must demonstrate better patient compliance and clinical benefit as compared to what other available products have demonstrated.
Additional marketing and educational efforts may be required to introduce a new branded prescription medical product in order to overcome use of generic products, compounded drugs and dietary supplements and gain access to reimbursement by payors. If we or a commercial collaborator cannot introduce a product at the desired price or gain reimbursement from payors for the product, or if patients opt for a lower cost generic product, compounded drug, or dietary supplement rather than pay out-of-pocket or a higher co-pay for our product, our sales revenues or royalties and other license fees, as applicable, will be limited and we may never become profitable.
Our product candidates may fail to achieve the degree of market acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors or others in the medical community necessary for commercial success, which would negatively impact our business.
The commercial success of any product we develop and bring to market, or is marketed by a licensee, will depend significantly on the broad acceptance of the product by physicians, patients, and others in the medical community, as well as, in many cases, third-party payors. The degree of market acceptance of our products will depend on several factors, including:
•the indication for which the product is approved;
•the timing of market introduction of the product and availability of alternative treatments and products for the same indication;
•the demonstrated clinical efficacy and safety of the product, including as compared to alternative products;
•the terms of regulatory approval, such as any restrictions on the use of the product together with other medications, or required warnings in the product labeling;
•the prevalence and severity of any adverse side effects associated with the product, including as compared to alternative treatments and products;
•the convenience and ease of administration for patients, including as compared to alternative treatments and products;
•the willingness of the target patient population and prescribing physicians to try a new product ;
•the effectiveness of the sales and marketing strategy and efforts for the product, including the success of efforts to educate the medical community and third-party payors regarding the benefits of the product;
•the pricing and cost-effectiveness of the product, including as compared to alternative treatments and products;
•the availability and extent of third-party coverage and reimbursement for the product;
•the willingness of patients to pay all, or a portion of, the out-of-pocket cost for the product in the absence or insufficiency of third-party payor coverage and reimbursement;
•unfavorable publicity relating to the product or products with the same or similar APIs, or favorable publicity about competing therapies or products; and
•the existence and extent of pending or potential product liability claims.
If XACIATO or any future product does not achieve an adequate level of market acceptance, the product may not generate significant revenue or may generate substantially less revenue than anticipated, which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operation and prospects. We may suffer reputational harm and we may never become profitable.
The commercial success of XACIATO is outside of our control and will depend on Organon’s efforts and capabilities, as well as a variety of factors, many of which currently are unknown or uncertain, and if commercialization of XACIATO is not successful, our business and prospects may suffer.
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If commercialization of XACIATO is not successful, or is perceived to be unsuccessful, our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects may suffer, particularly because XACIATO is the first and only product for which we have received regulatory approval. XACIATO’s commercial success will depend on many factors, including those discussed elsewhere in these “Risks Related to Commercialization of Products We Develop” and “Risks Related to Our Intellectual Property” below, as well as the capabilities of Organon and its commitment of sufficient resources to market, distribute and sell the product, preferences by health care providers and women for a vaginally administered therapy, and regulatory approval and market introduction of alternative therapies, including non-antibiotic treatment options. We have limited control over Organon’s efforts with respect to XACIATO and there is no assurance they will be successful or that the Revenue Sharing Threshold will be reached. As discussed elsewhere in this Risk Factors section, we will not receive any payments based on product sales until after the Revenue Sharing Threshold is reached. We may suffer reputational harm if XACIATO is not commercially successful and our ability to raise additional capital or enter into other commercial collaborations could be impaired. See also the risks and uncertainties described under “Risks Related to Our Dependence on Third Parties,” above.
The commercial success of Ovaprene, if approved for commercial sale, will depend on the degree of market acceptance of a hormone-free, monthly intravaginal product, clinical efficacy and safety of the product, including as compared to alternative contraceptive methods, pricing of the product, and the availability and extent of third-party coverage and reimbursement for the product.
Today, there is a wide range of prescription and over-the-counter contraceptive options, including hormone-free options such as condoms, diaphragms, cervical caps, sponges, copper IUDs, spermicides and vaginal gels, as well as hormonal products such as pills, patches, vaginal rings, IUDs, implantable rods and injectables. In addition, multiple new methods of pregnancy prevention are in development, including hormone-free options, and some may be marketed in the U.S. before Ovaprene, potentially adding to the level of market competition Ovaprene will face, if approved. In surveys, women have said that the features they consider most important when selecting a contraceptive method are efficacy, ease-of-use and side effects. To have significant revenue potential as a new contraceptive product option, Ovaprene may need to demonstrate typical use efficacy (or the expected rate of pregnancy protection once the product is used widely under everyday circumstances) that approaches the approximately 93% typical use efficacy at 12 months of current FDA-approved non-implanted, non-injected hormonal contraceptive methods (pills, patches and vaginal rings). Clinical testing will also need to demonstrate that the product can be safely worn for multiple weeks.