avtx-20251231
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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
(Mark One)
☒ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025
OR
☐TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from ______to______
Commission File No. 001-37590
AVALO THERAPEUTICS, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
1500 Liberty Ridge Drive, Suite 321
Wayne, Pennsylvania19087
(Address of principal executive offices)
Telephone: (410) 522-8707
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $0.001 Par Value AVTX Nasdaq Capital Market
Securities registered pursuant to section 12(g) of the Act: None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well‐known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes ☐ No☒
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ☐ No☒
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and
(2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S‐T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☐
If securities are registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act, indicate by check mark whether the financial statements of the registrant included in the filing reflect the correction of an error to previously issued financial statements.☐
Indicate by check mark whether any of those error corrections are restatements that required a recovery analysis of incentive-based compensation received by any of the registrant’s executive officers during the relevant recovery period pursuant to §240.10D-1(b). ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b‐2 of the Act). Yes ☐ No ☒
The aggregate market value of the registrant’s shares of common stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant as of June 30, 2025 (which is the last business day of the registrant's most recently completed second fiscal quarter) based upon the closing market price of such stock on the Nasdaq Capital Market on that date was approximately $53.7 million. Shares of common stock held by each officer and directors and by each person
known to be the registrant who owned 10% or more of the outstanding common stock have been excluded in that such person may be deemed to be affiliates. This determination of affiliate status is not necessarily a conclusive determination for other purposes.
As of March 18, 2026, there were 22,788,452 outstanding shares of the registrant’s common stock, par value $0.001 per share.
Table of Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
PART I ii
Item 1. Business 1
Item 1A. Risk Factors 16
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments 58
Item 1C. Cybersecurity 58
Item 2. Properties 59
Item 3. Legal Proceedings 59
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures 59
Item 6. Reserved 61
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk 70
Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data 70
Item 9A. Controls and Procedures 70
Item 9B. Other Information 71
Item 9C. Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspection 72
PART III 73
Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance 73
Item 11. Executive Compensation 79
Item 14. Principal Accountant Fees and Services 93
Item 15. Exhibits; Financial Statement Schedules 95
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PART I
SPECIAL NOTE REGARDING FORWARD‐LOOKING STATEMENTS
This report and the information incorporated herein by reference contain forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, as well as assumptions that, if they never materialize or if they prove incorrect, could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although our forward-looking statements reflect the good faith judgment of our management, these statements can only be based on facts and factors currently known by us. Consequently, forward-looking statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results and outcomes may differ materially from results and outcomes discussed in the forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “projects,” “may,” “might,” “will,” “could,” “would,” “should,” “continue,” “seeks,” “aims,” “predicts,” “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “intends,” “plans,” “potential,” “pro forma” or other similar words (including their use in the negative), or by discussions of future matters such as: the future financial and operational outlook; the development of product candidates; and other statements that are not historical. These statements include but are not limited to statements under the captions “Business,” “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” as well as other sections in this report. You should be aware that the occurrence of any of the events discussed under the caption “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this report could substantially harm our business, results of operations and financial condition and cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements. If any of these events occurs, the trading price of our common stock and the price or value of our other securities could decline and you could lose all or a part of the value of your investment in our Company.
The cautionary statements made in this report are intended to be applicable to all related forward-looking statements wherever they may appear in this report. We urge you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. Except as required by law, we assume no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any reason, even if new information becomes available in the future.
As used in this report, the terms “Avalo,” “Company,” “we,” “us,” and “our” mean Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. and its subsidiaries unless the context indicates otherwise.
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SUMMARY OF PRINCIPAL RISK FACTORS
This summary briefly states the principal risks and uncertainties facing our business that could affect our securities, which are only a select portion of those risks. A more complete statement of those risks and uncertainties is set forth under Part I, Item 1A “Risk Factors” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This summary is qualified in its entirety by that more complete statement. You should carefully read the entire “Risk Factors” section when considering the risks and uncertainties as part of your evaluation of our business and your investment in our company.
•If clinical trials of our product candidates fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities or do not otherwise produce positive results, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development and commercialization of our product candidates.
•If we experience delays in clinical testing, we will be delayed in obtaining regulatory approvals and commercializing our product candidates, our costs may increase and our business may be harmed.
•Even if we complete the necessary clinical trials, we cannot predict when or if we will obtain marketing approval to commercialize a product candidate or the approval may be for a narrower indication than we expect or may be conditioned on costly post-approval obligations.
•We rely on third parties to conduct and monitor our clinical trials. The failure of these third parties to successfully carry out their contractual duties or meet expected deadlines could hinder our ability to commercialize or obtain marketing approval for our product candidates in a timely manner, or at all.
•Our product candidates that we intend to commercialize are in early to mid-stages of development. If we do not successfully complete nonclinical testing and clinical development of our product candidates or experience significant delays in doing so, our business may be materially harmed. Our focus and reliance on abdakibart (AVTX-009) increases the risk of such exposure.
•We may expend our limited resources to pursue a particular product candidate or indication and fail to capitalize on product candidates or indications that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success. Our focus and reliance on abdakibart (AVTX-009) increases the risk of such exposure.
•The marketing approval processes of the United States Food and Drug Administration (the “FDA”) and other regulatory authorities are lengthy, time‐consuming, costly and inherently unpredictable. Our inability to obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates would substantially harm our business and prospects.
•We use third parties to manufacture all of our product candidates. This may increase the risk that we will not have sufficient clinical or commercial quantities of our product candidates, or such quantities at an acceptable cost, which could result in the delay, prevention, or impairment of clinical development and commercialization of our product candidatesand could harm our business, financial condition and results of operations.
•We expect to require additional capital in the future to continue to fund our operations and to finance the further advancement of our product candidates, which might not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. Failure to obtain any necessary capital could force us to delay, limit or terminate our product development efforts or significantly curtail or cease our operations altogether.
•Even if we receive marketing approval for abdakibart (AVTX-009) or future product candidates, our current or future product candidates may not achieve broad market acceptance, which would limit the revenue that we generate from their sales and could prevent us from achieving or sustaining profitability.
•If we are unable to obtain or maintain intellectual property rights, or if the scope of patent protection is not sufficiently broad, competitors could develop and commercialize products similar or identical to ours, and we might not be able to compete effectively in that market. Furthermore, our US composition-of-matter patent for abdakibart (AVTX-009) expired in February 2026.
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•If we breach the license and development agreements related to our product candidates, we could lose the ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates.
•If we fail to attract and keep management and other key personnel, as well as members of our board of directors, we may be unable to develop our product candidates or otherwise implement our business plan.
•The price of our common stock could be subject to rapid and substantial volatility. Such volatility, including any stock run-ups, may be unrelated to our actual or expected operating performance and financial condition or prospects, making it difficult for prospective investors to assess the rapidly changing value of our common stock. Volatility in our common stock price may subject us to securities litigation or regulatory scrutiny.
•We have incurred significant net losses in most periods since our inception and we expect to continue to incur net losses in the future.
•We or the third parties upon whom we depend may be adversely affected by unforeseen global events, natural disasters, and our business continuity and disaster recovery plans may not adequately protect us from a serious disaster.
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PART I
Item 1. Business.
Overview
We are a clinical stage biotechnology company fully dedicated to developing IL-1β-based treatments for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. Our lead product candidate, abdakibart (AVTX-009), an anti-IL-1β monoclonal antibody (“mAb”) is in a Phase 2 clinical trial for hidradenitis suppurativa (“HS”). We are also exploring additional opportunities to make an impact in prevalent indications that have significant remaining unmet needs.
Our current focus is on completing the Phase 2 (“LOTUS”) trial evaluating abdakibart (AVTX-009) in HS, preparing for the anticipated topline data readout in the second quarter of 2026, and planning for our Phase 3 trial(s).
Our Strategy
Our strategy for increasing stockholder value includes:
•Advancing our pipeline through development to regulatory approval—notably and in the near term, by completing our Phase 2 LOTUS trial in HS, preparing to initiate our pivotal trial(s) pending the readout of the Phase 2 LOTUS trial results and considering further indication expansion for abdakibart (AVTX-009);
•Acquiring or in-licensing rights to and/or developing targeted, complementary differentiated preclinical and clinical stage compounds that treat immune-mediated inflammatory disease; and
•Opportunistically out-licensing rights to compounds, indications or geographies.
Pipeline - Overview, Competition, and Intellectual Property
We are advancing a pipeline that emphasizes a high-value and potentially best-in-class and best-in-disease biologics for immune mediated inflammatory diseases.
The following table summarizes certain key information about our lead product candidate:
Abdakibart (AVTX-009):Anti-IL-1β mAb targeting inflammatory diseases.
Our lead product candidate, abdakibart (AVTX-009), is a high affinity, highly potent humanized IgG mAb designed to specifically inhibit IL-1β and block downstream inflammatory pathways. Abdakibart (AVTX-009) is a humanized monoclonal antibody (IgG4) that binds to interleukin-1β (“IL-1β”) with high affinity and neutralizes its activity. IL-1β is a pro-inflammatory cytokine that plays a central role in the pathogenesis of a wide range of human diseases. It activates immune cells that generate proinflammatory cytokines, including IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-17. Dysregulated IL-1β signaling is a major driver of inflammation, contributing to the progression of autoimmune disorders. IL-1β inhibition has proven effective in multiple immune-mediated inflammatory diseases.Abdakibart (AVTX-009) has previously been referred to as FL-101 and LY2189102, when rights in it were held by Leap Therapeutics (previously Flame Biosciences) and Eli Lilly and Company, respectively. Abdakibart (AVTX-009) is currently being studied in the LOTUS Phase 2 trial in participants with HS. In October 2025, we announced that we completed enrollment in the Phase 2 LOTUS trial and expect to report topline data in the second quarter of 2026.
Phase 2 LOTUS Trial
The LOTUS trial (NCT06603077) is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group Phase 2 trial with two abdakibart (AVTX-009) dosing regimens to evaluate the efficacy, safety and tolerability of abdakibart (AVTX-009) in approximately 250 adults with moderate to severe hidradenitis suppurativa. Subjects were randomized (1:1:1) to receive either one of two dosing regimens of abdakibart (AVTX-009) or placebo during a 16-week treatment phase. The primary efficacy endpoint is the proportion of subjects achieving Hidradenitis Suppurativa Clinical Response 75 (HiSCR75) at Week 16. Secondary objectives include but are not limited to: the proportion of patients achieving HiSCR50 and HiSCR90 as well as
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change from baseline in: International HS Severity Score System (IHS4), draining fistula count, abscess and inflammatory nodule (AN) count, and patients achieving at least a 30% reduction on a numerical rating scale in Patient's Global Assessment of Skin Pain (PGA Skin Pain). We are the study sponsor and current trial site locations include the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Greece, Poland, Australia, Turkey, and Slovakia.
Development Opportunity in HS
IL-1β is a pro-inflammatory cytokine that plays a central role in the pathogenesis of a wide range of human diseases. IL-1β activates immune cells that generate proinflammatory cytokines, including IL-6, TNF-α, and IL-17. Dysregulated IL-1β signaling is a major driver of inflammation, contributing to the progression of autoimmune disorders.
IL-1β inhibition has proven effective in multiple immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. IL-1β also has a well-established class safety and tolerability profile supported by ILARIS® (canakinumab), an IL-1β blocker approved for use in multiple indications.
HS is a chronic, progressive, often debilitating inflammatory skin disease that causes painful nodules, abscesses, and tunnels to form under the skin. Areas commonly affected by HS include the nape of the neck, breasts, chest, armpits, abdomen, buttocks and anus, groin and genitals, and inner thighs. If not adequately or promptly treated, the chronic inflammation characteristic of HS may progress to tissue destruction and permanent scarring. HS typically first presents in late adolescence or early adulthood and is estimated to affect 0.7–1.2% of the U.S. population, though some sources suggest the prevalence may be as high as 2–4%.
There is a substantial unmet need for more effective and durable treatment options in HS. Currently approved biologics for HS (adalimumab (anti-TNF-α), secukinumab (anti-IL-17A), and bimekizumab (dual anti-IL-17A/F)) achieve HiSCR50 (an efficacy measure) only ~50% of the time, with more stringent thresholds (HiSCR75/90) achieved in even fewer individuals. Long-term disease control remains a challenge with established biologics and an area of uncertainty with newer agents (secukinumab and bimekizumab), as data on sustained efficacy are still emerging. In addition, people with HS often have comorbidities that can limit access to current treatment options.
There were an estimated 3.4 million people in the United States with HS in 2024 with such number expected to rise to 3.5 million by 2035. Additionally, it is estimated that HS affects approximately 1-4% of the population worldwide. Of the 3.4 million people who were estimated to have HS in the United States in 2024, only approximately 1.0 million were diagnosed and treated, with this number projected to rise to 1.6 million by 2035. The global HS market is expected to grow to >$10 billion by 2035.
Legacy Programs
We are not currently pursuing the clinical development of the following legacy programs and are exploring strategic alternatives for them.
Quisovalimab (AVTX-002): Quisovalimab is fully human mAb, directed against human LIGHT (Lymphotoxin-like, exhibits Inducible expression, and competes with HSV Glycoprotein D for Herpesvirus Entry Mediator, a receptor expressed by T lymphocytes; also referred to as TNFSF14).
•AVTX-006: AVTX-006 is a dual mTORc1/c2 small molecule inhibitor.
•AVTX-008: AVTX-008 is a fully human B and T Lymphocyte Attenuator agonist fusion protein.
•AVTX-913: AVTX-913 is a nucleotide prodrug for the treatment of a mitochondrial disorder and is a preclinical asset.
Licensing and Partnerships
Eli Lilly License Agreement
Abdakibart (AVTX-009) is subject to a world-wide exclusive license from Eli Lilly and Company (“Lilly”) (the “Lilly License Agreement”), as well as an agreement under which AlmataBio, Inc. (“AlmataBio”) purchased rights to the compound from Leap Therapeutics, Inc. (“Leap” and the “Leap Agreement”). We obtained the rights to abdakibart (AVTX-009), including the Lilly License Agreement and Leap Agreement, pursuant to our acquisition of AlmataBio in the first quarter of 2024 (the “AlmataBio Transaction”). We are responsible for the development and commercialization of the program.
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We are required to pay Lilly up to $70 million based on the achievement of specified development and regulatory milestones. Upon commercialization, we are required to pay sales-based milestones aggregating up to $650 million payable to Lilly and up to $70 million to Leap.
Additionally, we are required to pay royalties to Lilly of between 5% and 15% of Avalo or its sublicensees’ annual net sales, beginning on first commercial sale of a licensed product in a given territory and expiring on a country-by-country basis, on the latest of (a) the tenth (10th) anniversary of the date of the first commercial sale, (b) the expiration of the last-to-expire licensed patent in the given country, or (c) the expiration of any data exclusivity period for the licensed product in the given territory.
We have not paid any milestones, royalties or any other amounts under the Lilly License Agreement or the Leap Agreement as of the date of this report. Additionally, there are no annual or maintenance fees payable under the Lilly License Agreement or the Leap Agreement.
The Lilly License Agreement remains in effect until the expiration of the last-to-expire royalty term of any licensed products. Each party may terminate for cause, and though we may terminate at our sole discretion by giving one-hundred twenty (120) days’ prior written notice to Lilly, all licenses and rights granted pursuant to the agreement shall automatically terminate and revert to Lilly. There are no termination or expiration provisions under the Leap Agreement.
AlmataBio Transaction
Pursuant to the AlmataBio Transaction, we paid $7.5 million to the former AlmataBio stockholders upon the initial closing of the private placement investment, which closed on March 28, 2024. Further, a portion of the consideration for the AlmataBio Transaction includes development milestones to the former AlmataBio stockholders including $5.0 million due upon the first patient dosed in a Phase 2 trial in patients with hidradenitis suppurativa for abdakibart (AVTX-009) and $15.0 million due upon the first patient dosed in a Phase 3 trial for abdakibart (AVTX-009), both of which are payable in cash or our stock at the election of the former AlmataBio stockholders, subject to the terms and conditions of the definitive merger agreement. In October 2024, the first development milestone was met and we paid $5.0 million in cash.
Intellectual Property Overview
Our success depends in part on our ability to obtain and maintain proprietary protection for the technology and know-how upon which our product candidates are based, to operate without infringing the proprietary rights of third parties and to prevent third parties from infringing our proprietary rights.
We own a combination of in-licensed intellectual property rights, including patent applications, know-how and trademarks, and, in certain cases, regulatory exclusivity rights, if we receive marketing approval for abdakibart (AVTX-009) to develop and commercialize our product candidates covered by patents and patent applications. Our intellectual property portfolio includes patent applications with claims directed to compositions of matter, including compounds, pharmaceutical formulations of compounds, and methods of use of such compounds, or a combination of these claims. We also rely on trade secrets and proprietary know-how, including manufacturing and formulation know-how, as well as confidentiality agreements and other contractual protections, to protect aspects of our technology and product candidates that may not be patentable or that we elect not to patent. Depending upon the timing, duration and specifics of FDA approval of the use of a compound for a specific indication, some of our U.S. patents may be eligible for a limited patent term extension, also called marketing exclusivity, under U.S. patent term extension provisions including under the Drug Price Competition and Patent Term Restoration Act of 1984 and related statutory authority, and similar patent term extensions or supplementary protection may be available in other countries for particular patents in our portfolio including, where applicable, Supplementary Protection Certificates (“SPCs”) in Europe (including the EU and the UK).
When possible, we plan to augment our portfolio of product candidates by focusing on the development of new biologics which have not previously received FDA approval. Upon approval by the FDA, new biologics are entitled to marketing exclusivity in the United States with respect to generic drug competition for a maximum period of five years from the date of FDA approval, even if the related patents have expired. Similarly, upon approval by the FDA, biologics are entitled to reference product exclusivity, also called regulatory exclusivity, for a period of twelve years from the date of FDA approval, even if the related patents have expired.
If we receive marketing approval for abdakibart (AVTX-009), we expect to receive biologics reference product exclusivity in the United States, which may provide twelve years of regulatory exclusivity in the United States from the date of FDA approval and a period of regulatory data protection, as well as a minimum of 9 years, and potentially up to 11 years based certain criteria as required, of regulatory exclusivity legislation in Europe , the scope and duration of which is jurisdiction-specific and may be subject to legislative or regulatory change. As the composition of matter patent covering abdakibart (AVTX-009) expired in February 2026, we plan to primarily rely on biologics regulatory exclusivity for abdakibart (AVTX-009); however, the table
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below sets forth details of patent applications related to abdakibart (AVTX-009) that might provide additional protection that we consider material:
Jurisdiction Owned/Licensed Status Expiration Date Protection Type
United States Non-Provisional Owned Pending 2045 Methods of Treating HS
Worldwide (PCT) Owned Pending 2045 Methods of Treating HS
United States Non-Provisional Owned Pending 2045 Formulations
Worldwide (PCT) Owned Pending 2045 Formulations
Manufacturing
We do not have any manufacturing facilities. We currently utilize, and expect to continue to utilize third-party contract development and manufacturing organizations (CDMOs) to, among other things, supply and manufacture raw materials, components, parts and consumables, and to perform quality testing for our preclinical and clinical supply for all of our biologic product candidates. We currently rely on a single CDMO to manufacture clinical supply for abdakibart (AVTX-009). Further, we rely on and expect to continue to rely on such CDMOs to produce our biologic candidates in accordance with applicable regulations, including manufacturing activities performed in accordance with FDA’s current good manufacturing practices (“cGMP”) regulations, and similar regulations and standards in other jurisdictions. The manufacture of biological products is subject to extensive cGMP regulations, which impose various procedural and documentation requirements and also govern record keeping, production processes and controls, personnel and quality control.
Sales and Marketing
Given our stage of development as a company, we have limited resources dedicated to sales, distribution and marketing. To successfully commercialize any products that may result from our development programs, we will need to further develop sales and marketing capabilities, either on our own or with third parties in the respective jurisdictions where marketing approval has been obtained. We may retain or partner with third parties for commercialization rights and to develop sales and marketing capabilities. If we develop our own sales force, we may complement it with co‐promotion agreements with partners in and outside of the United States.
Overall Competitive Climate and Regulatory Risks
Competition
We face, and will continue to face, intense competition from pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, as well as numerous academic and research institutions and governmental agencies, both in the United States and abroad. We compete, or will compete, with existing and new products being developed by our competitors. Some of these competitors are pursuing the development of pharmaceuticals that target the same diseases and conditions that our research and development programs target or might target. Some of these competitors also have greater resources and more experience than we do in research and development and marketing. Competitors may have a variety of drugs in development or awaiting FDA approval that could reach the market and become established before we have an approved product to sell. Our competitors may also develop alternative therapies that could limit the market for any approved drugs that we may develop. Many of our competitors are using technologies or methods different or similar to ours to identify and validate drug targets and to discover novel small compound drugs.
In particular, pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies that develop and/or market products targeting IL-1β or the indications we are pursuing, including HS, are likely to represent substantial competition.
As of the date of this report, and to our knowledge, there are two companies with approved anti-IL-1β antibodies (Novartis AG or “Novartis” and Changchun GeneScience Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. or “GenSci”) and we are one of three additional companies with novel, non-biosimilar antibodies specifically targeting IL-1β in clinical development worldwide (Sunshine Guojian Pharmaceutical Co Ltd, or “Sunshine Guojian”, and TavoTek), inclusive of all approved indications and indications in development. There are additional companies developing and/or marketing known or investigational therapeutic agents that target IL-1β and/or IL-1α through interactions with IL-1 receptors, engineered bispecific antibodies, or through adjacent mechanistic targets (such as IL-1RAP and NLRP3).
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Worldwide, several companies currently market TNF alpha inhibitors (such as AbbVie Inc., or “AbbVie”, and additional companies marketing biosimilars) and IL-17 inhibitors (such as Novartis and UCB) for HS. As of the date of this report, six additional companies have ongoing or completed phase 3 development programs in HS with IL-17 inhibitors (Moonlake Immunotherapies, Inc.), JAK inhibitors (Incyte Corporation, AbbVie), BTK inhibitors (Novartis), and dual IL-1α/β inhibitors (AbbVie). There are multiple additional companies pursuing phase 2, phase 1, and preclinical development programs in HS.
Competition in the inflammatory disease market is intense. We face competition from many large pharmaceutical companies. There are numerous other companies that have commercialized or are developing treatments for HS and inflammatory diseases that we will compete with, including AbbVie, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi, Takeda, UCB and others. Many of our competitors and their collaborators may have significantly greater experience than we do in the following:
•identifying and validating targets;
•screening compounds against targets;
•preclinical and clinical trials of potential pharmaceutical products; and
•obtaining FDA and other regulatory clearances.
In addition, many of our competitors and their collaborators have substantially greater advantages in the following areas:
•capital resources;
•research and development resources;
•manufacturing capabilities; and
•sales and marketing resources.
Smaller companies might also prove to be significant competitors, particularly through proprietary research discoveries and collaborative arrangements with large pharmaceutical and established biotechnology companies.
Regulatory
There is no guarantee that our products will obtain regulatory approval by the United States Food and Drug Administration (the “FDA”) or comparable foreign regulatory authorities. The FDA approval process is complex, time-consuming, and expensive. Prior to submitting a new drug application (“NDA”) or biologics license application (“BLA”), the FDA approval process typically involves the following: preclinical laboratory and animal testing, submission of an Investigational New Drug (“IND”) application, and human clinical trials to establish safety and efficacy. Human clinical trials typically include: Phase 1 studies to evaluate the safety and tolerability of the drug, generally in normal, healthy volunteers (although for biologics and certain serious or inflammatory diseases, first-in-human studies may be conducted in patients); Phase 2 studies to evaluate safety and efficacy, as well as appropriate doses; these studies are typically conducted in patient volunteers who suffer from the particular disease condition that the drug is designed to treat; and Phase 3 studies to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the product at specific doses in one or more larger pivotal trials.
As a biologics-focused company, our product candidates are subject to additional regulatory scrutiny, including requirements related to manufacturing process validation, product consistency, immunogenicity, and ongoing comparability assessments, and the FDA may require extensive chemistry, manufacturing and controls (“CMC”) data both before and after approval. Because biologics are derived from living systems, changes to manufacturing processes, facilities or suppliers may require additional regulatory review or approval.
Upon submission of an NDA or BLA, the FDA reviews the application, which potentially involves an FDA advisory committee review, and typically inspects manufacturing facilities and clinical study sites. The FDA has substantial discretion in the approval process and may require additional clinical studies, new or modified endpoints, expanded safety data, or longer follow-up periods as a condition to approval, even if earlier trials produce favorable results. Even if the FDA approves a product, it may impose post-approval requirements, such as risk evaluation and mitigation strategies, post-marketing studies or enhanced pharmacovigilance obligations, or withdraw approval if safety or efficacy issues arise.
We are currently conducting clinical development programs, including Phase 2 clinical trials, and success in earlier-stage trials does not ensure that later-stage trials will be successful or that regulatory approval will be obtained. The FDA may determine that additional studies are required prior to advancing to later-stage trials or submitting an NDA or BLA.
The processes for obtaining marketing approvals in foreign countries, along with subsequent compliance with applicable statutes and regulations, require the expenditure of substantial time and financial resources. Regulatory approval in foreign jurisdictions is generally independent of FDA approval and may require additional clinical data, different endpoints, or separate manufacturing inspections. Regulatory authorities in the European Union, the United Kingdom and other jurisdictions may apply standards that differ from those of the FDA, and clinical trial data generated in one jurisdiction may not be accepted by
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regulatory authorities in another. Delays or failures in obtaining foreign regulatory approvals could adversely affect the timing and scope of any potential commercialization outside the United States.
Government Regulation and Product Approval
Government authorities in the United States and in other countries extensively regulate, among other things, the research, development, testing, manufacturing, packaging, storage, recordkeeping, labeling, advertising, promotion, distribution, marketing, import and export, pricing, and government contracting related to biological products such as those we are developing.
United States Government Regulation
In the United States, the FDA regulates biologics under the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (“FDCA”), the Public Health Service Act, and its implementing regulations. The process of obtaining marketing approvals and subsequent compliance with appropriate federal, state, local and foreign statutes and regulations requires the expenditure of substantial time and financial resources. Failure to comply with the applicable United States requirements at any time during the product development process, approval process or after approval, may subject an applicant to a variety of administrative or judicial sanctions, such as the FDA’s refusal to approve a pending NDA or BLA, withdrawal of an approval, imposition of a clinical hold or study termination, issuance of Warning Letters or Untitled Letters, mandated modifications to promotional materials or issuance of corrective information, product recalls, consent decrees, corporate integrity agreements, deferred prosecution agreements, product seizures or detentions, refusal to allow product import or export, total or partial suspension, restriction, or imposition of other requirements relating to production or distribution, injunctions, consent decrees, fines, debarment from government contracts and refusal of future orders under existing contracts, exclusion from participation in federal and state healthcare programs, FDA debarment, restitution, disgorgement or civil or criminal penalties, including fines and imprisonment (and, in certain cases, the imposition of compliance obligations pursuant to settlements or similar arrangements).
Clinical Development in the U.S.
Obtaining FDA marketing approval for a new product may take many years and require the expenditure of substantial financial resources. For the FDA to determine that a product is safe and effective for the proposed indication, the product must first undergo testing in animals (nonclinical studies). The data generated from nonclinical studies is used to support the filing of an Investigational New Drug application (“IND”), which must become effective before human clinical studies may begin.
Clinical development involves the administration of the investigational product to healthy volunteers or patients under the supervision of qualified investigators, generally physicians not employed by or under the trial sponsor’s control, in accordance with good clinical practice (“GCP”) requirements, which include the requirement that all patients provide their informed consent for their participation in any clinical trial. Clinical trials are conducted under protocols detailing, among other things, the objectives of the clinical trial, dosing procedures, subject selection and exclusion criteria and the parameters to be used to monitor subject safety and assess efficacy. Each protocol, and any subsequent amendments to the protocol, must be submitted to the FDA as part of the IND. Furthermore, each clinical trial must be reviewed and approved by an IRB for each institution at which the clinical trial will be conducted to ensure that the risks to individuals participating in the clinical trials are minimized and are reasonable in relation to anticipated benefits. The IRB also approves the informed consent form that must be provided to each clinical trial subject or his or her legal representative, and must monitor the clinical trial until completed. There also are requirements governing the reporting of ongoing clinical trials and completed clinical trial results to public registries.
A sponsor that wishes to conduct a clinical trial outside of the U.S. may, but need not, obtain FDA authorization to conduct the clinical trial under an IND. If a foreign clinical trial is not conducted under an IND, the sponsor may submit data from the clinical trial to the FDA in support of a BLA. The FDA will accept a well‐designed and well‐conducted foreign clinical study not conducted under an IND if the study was conducted in accordance with GCP requirements, and the FDA is able to validate the data through an onsite inspection if deemed necessary.
Clinical trials are generally conducted in three sequential phases, which may overlap or be combined:
•Phase 1: Studies in a small number of subjects with the primary purpose of assessing the metabolism, pharmacologic action, side effect tolerability and safety of the product candidate, generally in normal, healthy volunteers but sometimes for certain biologics and serious diseases, in patients;
•Phase 2: Studies generally designed to evaluate proof of concept and determine the dosing regimen(s) for subsequent investigations, and further assess safety and PK/PD in patients who have the particular disease condition that the drug is designed to treat. Multiple Phase 2 clinical trials may be conducted to obtain information prior to beginning larger and more expensive Phase 3 clinical trials; and
•Phase 3: Studies in an expanded patient population to provide statistically significant evidence of clinical efficacy and to further test for safety, generally conducted at multiple geographically dispersed clinical trial sites. These clinical
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trials are intended to establish the overall risk/benefit ratio of an investigational product and to provide an adequate basis for labeling and product approval.
Post‐approval trials, sometimes referred to as Phase 4 clinical trials, may be conducted after initial marketing approval. These trials are used to gain additional experience from the treatment of patients in the intended therapeutic indication. In certain instances, the FDA may mandate the performance of Phase 4 clinical trials as a condition of approval of a BLA.
Progress reports detailing the results of the clinical trials, among other information, must be submitted at least annually to the FDA and written IND safety reports must be submitted to the FDA and the investigators for serious and unexpected suspected adverse events, findings from other studies or animal or in vitro testing that suggest a significant risk for human subjects and any clinically important increase in the rate of a serious suspected adverse reaction over that listed in the protocol or investigator brochure. Additionally, some clinical trials are overseen by an independent group of qualified experts organized by the clinical trial sponsor, known as a data safety monitoring board or committee. This group provides authorization for whether a trial may move forward at designated check points based on access to certain data from the trial.
Concurrent with clinical trials, companies usually complete additional animal studies and also must develop additional information about the chemistry, manufacturing and controls (“CMC”) for the investigational product as well as finalize a process for manufacturing the product in commercial quantities in accordance with cGMP requirements and, as applicable, demonstrate process consistency and comparability as manufacturing scales.
Under the Pediatric Research Equity Act (“PREA”), as amended, a BLA or supplement to a BLA must contain data to assess the safety and efficacy of the biological product for the claimed indications in all relevant pediatric subpopulations and to support dosing and administration for each pediatric subpopulation for which the product is safe and effective. The FDA may grant deferrals for submission of pediatric data or full or partial waivers. Unless otherwise required by regulation, PREA does not apply to any biological product for an indication for which orphan designation has been granted. A sponsor who is planning to submit a marketing application for a drug that includes a new active ingredient, new indication, new dosage form, new dosing regimen or new route of administration must submit an initial Pediatric Study Plan (“PSP”) within 60 days of an end‐of‐Phase 2 meeting or, if there is no such meeting, as early as practicable before the initiation of the Phase 3 or Phase 2/3 study. The initial PSP must include an outline of the pediatric study or studies that the sponsor plans to conduct, including study objectives and design, age groups, relevant endpoints and statistical approach, or a justification for not including such detailed information, and any request for a deferral of pediatric assessments or a full or partial waiver of the requirement to provide data from pediatric studies along with supporting information. The FDA and the sponsor must reach an agreement on the PSP. A sponsor can submit amendments to an agreed‐upon initial PSP at any time if changes to the pediatric plan need to be considered based on data collected from preclinical studies, early phase clinical trials and/or other clinical development programs.
The preparation of an NDA or BLA requires the expenditure of substantial funds and the commitment of substantial resources. Additionally, at the time of an NDA or BLA submission a user fee is required to be paid unless the product has orphan drug designation (“ODD”) or another waiver or reduction applies. The FDA conducts a preliminary administrative review upon receipt of the NDA or BLA submission and decides whether to accept the NDA or BLA submission. If the application is not accepted for review by the FDA through a “refuse-to-file” determination, the Sponsor of the application must resolve the deficiencies and resubmit the application, restarting the review clock.
After evaluating the NDA or BLA and all related information, including if there is an advisory committee recommendation, and inspection reports regarding the manufacturing or laboratory facilities and clinical trial sites, the FDA may issue an approval letter, or, in some cases, a complete response letter (“CRL”). A CRL generally contains a statement of specific conditions that must be met to secure final approval of the NDA or BLA and may require additional clinical or nonclinical studies, or other information. Even with submission of this additional information, the FDA may decide that the NDA or BLA does not satisfy the regulatory criteria for approval. The FDA will not approve an application until issues identified in any complete response letters have been addressed. Even if such data and information are submitted, the FDA may decide that the application does not satisfy the criteria for approval. Failure to respond to a complete response letter may be considered by the FDA as a request to withdraw the application. If and when those conditions have been met to the FDA’s satisfaction, the FDA may issue an approval letter. An approval letter authorizes commercial marketing of the drug with specific prescribing information for specific indications.
Even if the FDA approves a new product, the approval may be limited to specific disease states, patient populations and dosages, and the indications for use may otherwise be limited. The FDA may also require that contraindications, warnings, or precautions be included in the product labeling. The FDA may prevent or limit further marketing of a product based on the results of post-market studies or surveillance programs. After approval, many types of changes to the approved product, such as adding new indications, certain manufacturing changes and additional labeling claims, are subject to further testing requirements and FDA review and approval.
FDA Review Process
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Following completion of clinical trials, the data are analyzed to assess whether the investigational product is safe and effective for the proposed indicated use or uses. The results of preclinical studies and clinical trials are then submitted to the FDA as part of a BLA, along with proposed CMC and manufacturing information to ensure product quality and other relevant data. The BLA is a request for approval to market the biologic for one or more specified indications and must contain preclinical data and data from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials to demonstrate the safety, efficacy,, purity and potency for a biologic candidate. The application may include both negative and ambiguous results of preclinical studies and clinical trials, as well as positive findings. Data may come from company‐sponsored clinical trials intended to test the safety and efficacy of a product’s use or from a number of alternative sources, including studies initiated by investigators. To support marketing approval, the data submitted must be sufficient in quality and quantity to establish the safety and efficacy of the investigational product to the satisfaction of the FDA. FDA approval of a BLA must be obtained before a biologic may be marketed in the U.S.
Under the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (“PDUFA”) as amended, each BLA must be accompanied by a user fee. The FDA adjusts the PDUFA user fees on an annual basis. Fee waivers or reductions are available in certain circumstances, including a waiver of the application fee for the first application filed by a small business. Additionally, no user fees are assessed on BLAs for products designated as orphan drugs, unless the product also includes a non‐orphan indication.
The FDA reviews all submitted BLAs before it accepts them for filing, and may request additional information rather than accepting the BLA for filing. The FDA must make a decision on accepting a BLA for filing within 60 days of receipt, and such decision could include a refusal to file by the FDA. Once the submission is accepted for filing, the FDA begins an in‐depth review of the BLA. Under the goals and policies agreed to by the FDA under PDUFA, the FDA has 10 months from the filing date in which to complete its initial review of an original BLA and respond to the applicant, and six months from the filing date of an original BLA designated for priority review. The FDA does not always meet its PDUFA goal dates for standard and priority BLAs, and the review process is often extended by FDA requests for additional information or clarification.
Before approving a BLA, the FDA generally will conduct a pre‐approval inspection of the manufacturing facilities for the new product to determine whether they comply with cGMP requirements. The FDA will not approve the product unless it determines that the manufacturing processes and facilities are in compliance with cGMP requirements and adequate to assure consistent production of the product within required specifications. The FDA also may audit data from clinical trials to ensure compliance with GCP requirements. In certain circumstances, the FDA may require a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (“REMS”) to assure the safe use of the product. If the FDA concludes a REMS is needed, the sponsor of the BLA must submit a proposed REMS, and the FDA will not approve the BLA without an approved REMS. A REMS could include medication guides, physician communication plans or elements to assure safe use, such as restricted distribution methods, patient registries and other risk minimization tools.
After the FDA evaluates a BLA, it will issue an approval letter or a complete response letter. An approval letter authorizes commercial marketing of the biologic with specific prescribing information for specific indications. A complete response letter indicates that the review cycle of the application is complete and the application will not be approved in its present form. A complete response letter usually describes all of the specific deficiencies in the BLA identified by the FDA. The complete response letter may require additional clinical data, additional pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial(s) and/or other significant and time‐consuming requirements related to clinical trials, preclinical studies or manufacturing. If a complete response letter is issued, the applicant may either resubmit the BLA, addressing all of the deficiencies identified in the letter, or withdraw the application. Even if such data and information are submitted, the FDA may decide that the BLA does not satisfy the criteria for approval.
Data obtained from a development program is not always conclusive and may be susceptible to varying interpretations, which may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approval. The FDA may not grant approval on a timely basis, or at all. We may encounter difficulties or unanticipated costs in our efforts to secure necessary governmental approvals, which could delay or preclude us from marketing any approved product candidates. The FDA may limit the indications for use or place other conditions on any approvals that could restrict the commercial opportunity of the approved product.
FDA Post‐Approval Considerations
Drugs manufactured or distributed pursuant to FDA approval are subject to continuing regulation by the FDA, including, among other things, requirements relating to recordkeeping, manufacturing, periodic reporting, product sampling and distribution, advertising and promotion, and reporting of adverse experiences with the product and drug shortages. During the approval process, the FDA and the sponsor may agree that specific studies or clinical trials should be conducted as post-marketing commitments or post-marketing requirements as a condition of approval of a BLA. The FDA may withdraw approval if compliance with regulatory requirements and standards is not maintained or if problems occur after the product becomes available in the market. Other potential consequences include, among other things:
•restrictions on the marketing or manufacturing of a product or product recalls;
•fines, warning letters or holds on post-approval clinical studies;
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•refusal of the FDA to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications, or suspension or revocation of existing product approvals;
•product seizure or detention, or refusal of the FDA to permit the import or export of products;
•consent decrees, corporate integrity agreements, debarment or exclusion from federal healthcare programs;
•mandated modification of promotional materials and labeling and the issuance of corrective information;
•the issuance of safety alerts, Dear Healthcare Provider letters, press releases and other communications containing warnings or other safety information about the product; or
•injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
After approval, many changes to the approved product, such as manufacturing changes and adding new indications or other labeling claims, are subject to FDA review and approval. There are also annual user fee requirements for marketed products and application fees for supplemental applications with clinical data. Additionally, the FDA strictly regulates the labeling, advertising and promotion of products under an approved BLA. The FDA and other agencies enforce the laws and regulations prohibiting the promotion of off‐label uses, and a company that improperly markets or promotes off‐label uses may be subject to significant liability, including criminal and civil penalties under the FDCA and False Claims Act, exclusion from participation in federal healthcare programs, debarment from government contracts, refusal of future orders under existing contracts and mandatory compliance programs under corporate integrity agreements or deferred prosecution agreements.
Coverage and Reimbursement
The success of our product candidates, if approved, depends on the availability of coverage and adequate reimbursement from third-party payors. We cannot be sure that coverage and reimbursement will be available for our product candidates, nor can we accurately estimate the potential revenue from them. Similarly, we cannot assure that coverage and reimbursement will be available for any product that we may develop.
Patients who are provided medical treatment for their conditions generally rely on third-party payors to reimburse all or part of the costs associated with their treatment. Coverage and adequate reimbursement from governmental healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, and commercial payors is critical to new product acceptance.
Government authorities and other third-party payors, such as private health insurers and health maintenance organizations, decide which drugs and treatments they will cover and the amount of reimbursement. Coverage and reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend upon a number of factors, including the third-party payor’s determination that use of a product is:
•a covered benefit under its health plan;
•safe, effective and medically necessary;
•appropriate for the specific patient;
• cost-effective; and
•neither experimental nor investigational.
In the United States, no uniform policy of coverage and reimbursement for products exists among third-party payors. As a result, obtaining coverage and reimbursement approval of a product from a government or other third-party payor is a time-consuming and costly process that could require us to provide to each payor supporting scientific, clinical and cost-effectiveness data for the use of our products on a payor-by-payor basis, with no assurance that coverage and adequate reimbursement will be obtained. In the United States, the principal decisions about reimbursement for new medicines are typically made by CMS. CMS decides whether and to what extent a new medicine will be covered and reimbursed under Medicare and private payors tend to follow CMS to a substantial degree. Even if we obtain coverage for a given product, the resulting reimbursement payment rates might not be adequate for us to achieve or sustain profitability or may require co-payments that patients find unacceptably high. Additionally, third-party payors may not cover, or provide adequate reimbursement for, long-term follow-up evaluations required following the use of product candidates, once approved. Patients are unlikely to use our product candidates, once approved, unless coverage is provided and reimbursement is adequate to cover a significant portion of their cost. There is significant uncertainty related to insurance coverage and reimbursement of newly approved products. It is difficult to predict at this time what third-party payors will decide with respect to the coverage and reimbursement for our product candidates.
Net prices for drugs may be reduced by mandatory discounts or rebates required by government healthcare programs or private payors and by any future relaxation of laws that presently restrict imports of drugs from countries where they may be sold at lower prices than in the United States. Increasingly, third-party payors are requiring that drug companies provide them with predetermined discounts from list prices and are challenging the prices charged for medical products. We cannot be sure that reimbursement will be available for any product candidate that we commercialize and, if reimbursement is available, the level of reimbursement. In addition, many pharmaceutical manufacturers must calculate and report certain price reporting metrics to the government, such as average sales price and best price. Penalties may apply in some cases when such metrics are not submitted accurately and timely. Further, these prices for drugs may be reduced by mandatory discounts or rebates required by
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government healthcare programs. Payment methodologies may be subject to changes in healthcare legislation and regulatory initiatives.
Moreover, increasing efforts by governmental and other third-party payors in the United States and abroad to cap or reduce healthcare costs may cause such organizations to limit both coverage and the level of reimbursement for newly approved products and, as a result, they may not cover or provide adequate payment for our product candidates. There has been increasing legislative and enforcement interest in the United States with respect to specialty drug pricing practices. Specifically, there have been several recent U.S. Congressional inquiries and proposed and enacted federal and state legislation designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to drug pricing, reduce the cost of prescription drugs under Medicare, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for drugs.
At the state level, legislatures have increasingly passed legislation and implemented regulations designed to control pharmaceutical and biological product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing.
We expect that healthcare reform measures that may be adopted in the future may result in more rigorous coverage criteria and in additional downward pressure on the price that we receive for any approved product. The implementation of cost containment measures or other healthcare reforms may prevent us from being able to generate revenue, attain profitability, or commercialize our products. Legislative and regulatory proposals have been made to expand post-approval requirements and restrict sales and promotional activities for pharmaceutical products. We cannot be sure whether additional legislative changes will be enacted, or whether existing regulations, guidance or interpretations will be changed, or what the impact of such changes on the marketing approvals or clearances of our product candidates, if any, may be.
In addition, in some foreign countries, the proposed pricing for a drug must be approved before it may be lawfully marketed. The requirements governing drug pricing vary widely from country to country. For example, the European Union provides options for its Member States to restrict the range of medicinal products for which their national health insurance systems provide reimbursement and to control the prices of medicinal products for human use. To obtain reimbursement or pricing approval, some of these countries may require the completion of clinical trials that compare the cost effectiveness of a particular product candidate to currently available therapies. A Member State may approve a specific price for the medicinal product or it may instead adopt a system of direct or indirect controls on the profitability of the company placing the medicinal product on the market. There can be no assurance that any country that has price controls or reimbursement limitations for pharmaceutical products will allow favorable reimbursement and pricing arrangements for any of our product candidates. Historically, products launched in the European Union do not follow price structures of the United States and generally prices tend to be significantly lower.
Other Healthcare Laws and Compliance Requirements
Pharmaceutical companies are subject to additional healthcare regulation and enforcement by the federal government and by authorities in the states and foreign jurisdictions in which they conduct their business that may constrain the financial arrangements and relationships through which we research, as well as sell, market and distribute any products for which we obtain marketing authorization. Arrangements with third-party payors and customers can expose pharmaceutical manufactures to broadly applicable fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-Kickback Statute and the federal False Claims Act (FCA) which may constrain the business or financial arrangements and relationships through which companies research, sell, market and distribute pharmaceutical products. In addition, transparency laws and patient privacy laws can apply to the activities of pharmaceutical manufactures. The applicable federal, state and foreign healthcare laws and regulations that can affect a pharmaceutical company’s operations include without limitation:
•The federal Anti-Kickback Statute, which prohibits, among other things, knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying any remuneration (including any kickback, bribe, or rebate), directly or indirectly, overtly or covertly, in cash or in kind, to induce, or in return for, either the referral of an individual, or the purchase, lease, order or recommendation of any good, facility, item or service for which payment may be made, in whole or in part, under the Medicare and Medicaid programs, or other federal healthcare programs. A person or entity can be found guilty of violating the statute without actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it. Violations are subject to civil and criminal fines and penalties for each violation, plus up to three times the remuneration involved, imprisonment, and exclusion from government healthcare programs. In addition, the government may assert that a claim including items or services resulting from a violation of the federal Anti-Kickback Statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the FCA or federal civil monetary penalties. The Anti-Kickback Statute has been interpreted to apply to arrangements between pharmaceutical manufacturers on the one hand and prescribers, purchasers, and formulary managers on the other. There are a number of statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors protecting some common activities from prosecution, but such exceptions and safe harbors are drawn narrowly and require strict compliance in order to offer protection;
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•The federal civil and criminal false claims laws, including the FCA, and civil monetary penalty laws, which prohibit any person or entity from, among other things, knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, a false, fictitious or fraudulent claim for payment to, or approval by, the federal government or knowingly making, using or causing to be made or used a false record or statement, including providing inaccurate billing or coding information to customers or promoting a product off-label, material to a false or fraudulent claim to the federal government. As a result of a modification made by the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009, a claim includes “any request or demand” for money or property presented to the federal government. In addition, manufacturers can be held liable under the FCA even when they do not submit claims directly to government payors if they are deemed to “cause” the submission of false or fraudulent claims. The FCA also permits a private individual acting as a “whistleblower” to bring actions on behalf of the federal government alleging violations of the FCA and to share in any monetary recovery;
•The federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA), which created federal criminal statutes that prohibit, among other things, knowingly and willfully executing, or attempting to execute, a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program or obtain, by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations, or promises, any of the money or property owned by, or under the custody or control of, any healthcare benefit program, regardless of the payor (e.g., public or private) and knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing or covering up by any trick or device a material fact or making any materially false statements in connection with the delivery of, or payment for, healthcare benefits, items or services relating to healthcare matters. Similar to the federal Anti-Kickback Statute, a person or entity can be found guilty of violating HIPAA without actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it;
•HIPAA, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act of 2009 (HITECH), and their respective implementing regulations, which impose, among other things, specified requirements relating to the privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information held by covered entities and their business associates as well as their covered subcontractors. HITECH also created new tiers of civil monetary penalties, amended HIPAA to make civil and criminal penalties directly applicable to business associates, and gave state attorneys general new authority to file civil actions for damages or injunctions in federal courts to enforce the federal HIPAA laws and seek attorneys’ fees and costs associated with pursuing federal civil actions;
•The federal legislation commonly referred to as the Physician Payments Sunshine Act, created under the ACA, and its implementing regulations, which requires certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program (with certain exceptions) to report annually to CMS, information related to payments or other transfers of value made to physicians, other licensed care professionals and teaching hospitals, as well as ownership and investment interests held by physicians and their immediate family members;
•Federal government price reporting laws, which require us to calculate and report complex pricing metrics in an accurate and timely manner to government programs;
•Federal consumer protection and unfair competition laws, which broadly regulate marketplace activities and activities that potentially harm consumers; and
Additionally, we are subject to state and foreign equivalents of each of the healthcare laws and regulations described above, among others, some of which may be broader in scope and may apply regardless of the payor. Many U.S. states have adopted laws similar to the federal Anti-Kickback Statute and False Claims Act, and may apply to our business practices, including, but not limited to, research, distribution, sales or marketing arrangements and claims involving healthcare items or services reimbursed by non-governmental payors, including private insurers. In addition, some states have passed laws that require pharmaceutical companies to comply with the April 2003 Office of Inspector General Compliance Program Guidance for Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and/or the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America’s Code on Interactions with Healthcare Professionals. Several states also impose other marketing restrictions or require pharmaceutical companiesto make marketing or price disclosures to the state and require the registration of pharmaceutical sales representatives. State and foreign laws, including for example the European Union General Data Protection Regulation, which became effective May 2018 also govern the privacy and security of health information in some circumstances, many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not preempted by HIPAA, thus complicating compliance efforts. There are ambiguities as to what is required to comply with these state requirements and if we fail to comply with an applicable state law requirement we could be subject to penalties. Finally, there are state and foreign laws governing the privacy and security of health information, many of which differ from each other in significant ways and often are not preempted by HIPAA, thus complicating compliance efforts.
The scope and enforcement of each of these laws is uncertain and subject to rapid change in the current environment of healthcare reform, especially in light of the lack of applicable precedent and regulations with respect to certain laws. Federal and state enforcement bodies have recently increased their scrutiny of interactions between healthcare companies and healthcare
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providers, which has led to a number of investigations, prosecutions, convictions and settlements in the healthcare industry. Prohibitions or restrictions on sales or withdrawal of future marketed products could materially affect our business in an adverse way. Changes in regulations, statutes or the interpretation of existing regulations could impact our business in the future by requiring, for example: (i) changes to our manufacturing arrangements; (ii) additions or modifications to product labeling; (iii) the recall or discontinuation of our products; or (iv) additional record-keeping requirements. If any such changes were to be imposed, they could adversely affect the operation of our business. Ensuring our business arrangements comply with applicable healthcare laws, as well as responding to possible investigations by government authorities, can be time- and resource-consuming and can divert a company’s attention from the business.
The failure to comply with any of these laws or regulatory requirements subjects companies to possible legal or regulatory action. Depending on the circumstances, failure to meet applicable regulatory requirements can result in significant penalties, including civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, fines, disgorgement, imprisonment, possible exclusion from participation in federal and state funded healthcare programs, contractual damages and the curtailment or restricting of our operations, as well as additional reporting obligations and oversight if we become subject to a corporate integrity agreement or other agreement to resolve allegations of non-compliance with these laws. Any action for violation of these laws, even if successfully defended, could cause a pharmaceutical company to incur significant legal expenses and divert management’s attention from the operation of the business.
Healthcare Reform and Other Regulatory Changes
In the United States and some foreign jurisdictions, there have been, and likely will continue to be, a number of legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system directed at broadening the availability of healthcare, improving the quality of healthcare, and containing or lowering the cost of healthcare.
For example, in 2010, the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act, each as amended, collectively known as the ACA was enacted in the United States. The ACA includes measures that have significantly changed, and are expected to continue to significantly change, the way healthcare is financed by both governmental and private insurers. The ACA contained a number of provisions, including those governing enrollment in federal healthcare programs, reimbursement adjustments and changes to fraud and abuse laws. Among the provisions of the ACA of greatest importance to the pharmaceutical industry are that the ACA:
•subjects biological products to potential competition by biosimilars;
•made several changes to the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program, including increasing pharmaceutical manufacturers’ rebate liability; and
•extended a manufacturer’s Medicaid rebate liability to covered drugs dispensed to individuals who are enrolled in Medicaid managed care organizations.
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Other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted in the United States since the Affordable Care Act was enacted include the following:
•The Budget Control Act of 2011, among other things, created measures for spending reductions by Congress. This includes aggregate reductions of Medicare payments to providers of 2% per fiscal year. Subsequent legislation extended the 2% reduction which remains in effect through 2031.
•On January 2, 2013, the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 was signed into law, which further reduced Medicare payments to several types of providers and increased the statute of limitations period for the government to recover overpayments to providers from three to five years.
•On April 13, 2017, CMS published a final rule that gives states greater flexibility in setting benchmarks for insurers in the individual and small group marketplaces, which may have the effect of relaxing the essential health benefits required under the ACA for plans sold through such marketplaces.
•On May 23, 2019, CMS published a final rule to allow Medicare Advantage Plans the option of using step therapy for Part B drugs beginning January 1, 2020.
•On March 11, 2021, President Biden signed the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 into law, which eliminated the statutory Medicaid drug rebate cap, previously set at 100% of a drug’s average manufacturer price, for single source and innovator multiple source drugs, effective January 1, 2024. These laws and regulations may result in additional reductions in Medicare and other healthcare funding and otherwise affect the prices we may obtain for any of our product candidates for which we may obtain regulatory approval or the frequency with which any such product candidate is prescribed or used.
•Further, on May 30, 2018, the Right to Try Act, was signed into law. The law, among other things, provides a federal framework for certain patients to access certain investigational new drug products that have completed a Phase 1 clinical trial and that are undergoing investigation for FDA approval. Under certain circumstances, eligible patients can seek treatment without enrolling in clinical trials and without obtaining FDA permission under the FDA expanded access program. There is no obligation for a pharmaceutical manufacturer to make its drug products available to eligible patients as a result of the Right to Try Act.
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•The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) includes several provisions that may impact our business to varying degrees, including provisions that reduce the out-of-pocket spending cap for Medicare Part D beneficiaries from $7,050 to $2,000 starting in 2025, thereby effectively eliminating the coverage gap; impose new manufacturer financial liability on certain drugs under Medicare Part D, allow the U.S. government to negotiate Medicare Part B and Part D price caps for certain high-cost drugs and biologics without generic or biosimilar competition; require companies to pay rebates to Medicare for certain drug prices that increase faster than inflation; and delay until January 1, 2032 the implementation of the HHS rebate rule that would have limited the fees that pharmacy benefit managers can charge. Further, under the IRA, orphan drugs are exempted from the Medicare drug price negotiation program, but only if they have one orphan designation and for which the only approved indication is for that disease or condition. Under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025, this restriction was eliminated; and effective for the 2028 initial price applicability year, all orphan drugs, regardless of the number of orphan drug designations or indications, are exempt from the Medicare drug price negotiation program. The implementation of the IRA is currently subject to ongoing litigation challenging the constitutionality of the IRA’s Medicare drug price negotiation program. Although the effects of the IRA on our business and the healthcare industry in general are not yet known, we are taking into consideration the potential impact of the IRA on our development and commercialization activities. The implementation of the IRA is currently subject to ongoing litigation challenging the constitutionality of the IRA’s Medicare drug price negotiation program. The effects of the IRA on our business and the healthcare industry in general is not yet known.
The costs of prescription drugs and biological products have also been the subject of considerable discussion in the United States. At a federal level, President Trump reversed some of President Biden’s executive orders including rescinding Executive Order 14087 entitled “Lowering Prescription Drug Costs for Americans." President Trump may issue new executive orders designed to impact prescription product pricing. A number of these and other proposed measures may require authorization through additional legislation to become effective. Congress and the Trump administration have indicated that they will continue to seek new legislative measures to control prescription product costs.
On April 15, 2025, the Trump Administration published Executive Order 14273, “Lowering Drug Prices by Once Again Putting Americans First,” which generally directs the federal government to take measures to reduce drug prices, including eliminating the so-called “pill penalty” under the Inflation Reduction Act that creates a distinction between small molecule and large molecule products for purposes of determining when a drug may be eligible for drug price negotiation. On May 12, 2025, the Trump Administration published Executive Order 14297, “Delivering Most-Favored-Nation Prescription Drug Pricing to American Patients” which generally, among other things, directs the federal government to establish and communicate most-favored-nation (“MFN”) price targets to pharmaceutical manufacturers to bring prices for American patients in line with comparably developed nations. Further, the Executive Order directs the federal government to support regulatory paths to allow direct-to-patient sales for companies that meet these targets. It also states that the Administration will take additional aggressive action (for example, examining whether marketing approvals should be modified or rescinded or opening the door for individual drug importation waivers) should manufacturers fail to offer American consumers the MFN lowest price or otherwise meet the Administration’s pricing objectives. It also directs the Secretary of Commerce and the U.S. Trade Representative to “take all necessary and appropriate action to ensure foreign countries are not engaged in any act, policy, or practice that may be unreasonable or discriminatory or that may impair United States national security . . . including by suppressing the price of pharmaceutical products below fair market value in foreign countries.” Notably, a similar “Most Favored Nation” pricing rule enacted under the first Trump Administration was subject to an injunction resulting from judicial challenges to the rule, which was formally rescinded by the former Biden Administration in August 2021. We cannot predict whether, when, or in what form the current Executive Orders or related agency actions will be implemented, challenged, modified, delayed or enjoined.
On December 19, 2025, CMS released two proposed rules that would incorporate MFN pricing principles into federal reimbursement for prescription drugs. The first proposal, the Global Benchmark for Efficient Drug Pricing Model (“GLOBE”) for Medicare Part B, would require manufacturers of specified single source drugs and sole source biologics to pay incremental rebates based on international benchmark prices, with participation triggered for products meeting CMS’s spending and eligibility criteria. The second proposal, the Guarding U.S. Medicare Against Rising Drug Costs (“GUARD”) model for Medicare Part D, would similarly mandate manufacturer rebates for qualifying sole source drugs where the Medicare net price exceeds an MFN benchmark derived from international reference pricing methodologies. As proposed, GLOBE would begin a five year performance period on October 1, 2026 and GUARD would begin its performance period in 2027. These proposals will likely be subject to legal challenges that could delay their implementation or modify their impact on manufacturer pricing and revenue. Additionally, in November 2025, CMS introduced the GENErating cost Reductions for U.S. Medicaid (“GENEROUS”) Model, a voluntary MFN framework for manufacturers participating in the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program. Although it is voluntary, the GENEROUS Model could also impact the drug pricing landscape for manufacturers.
In addition, at the state level, legislatures have increasingly passed legislation and implemented regulations similar to those under consideration at the federal level, as well as laws designed to control pharmaceutical and biotherapeutic product pricing, including restrictions on pricing or reimbursement at the state government level, limitations on discounts to patients, marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, restrictions or other limitations on patient assistance, and, in some cases, policies to encourage importation from other countries (subject to federal approval) and bulk purchasing. Certain states are also pursuing
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cost containment efforts through Prescription Drug Affordability Boards (“PDABs”) and similar entities. While many PDABs have been granted authority to promote drug price transparency and reporting, some states have granted PDABs more expansive authority, including to set Upper Payment Limits (UPLs) on select, high price drugs. The adoption and implementation of UPLs may put downward pressure on drug prices and impact our company’s future revenues.
Exclusivity and Approval of Competing Products
Approval of Biosimilars and Biologic Exclusivity
The Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act of 2009 (“BPCIA”) created an abbreviated approval pathway for biological products that are demonstrated to be “biosimilar” or “interchangeable” with an FDA-licensed reference biological product. Biosimilarity is established by demonstrating that there are no clinically meaningful differences between the biological product and its reference product in terms of safety, purity, and potency. This determination is typically based on analytical studies, animal studies, and in some cases, clinical studies. Interchangeability requires that a product is biosimilar to the reference product and must further show that it is expected to produce the same clinical results in any given patient. For products administered multiple times, the reference biologic and the interchangeable biologic must be able to be switched or alternated without increasing safety risks or compromising efficacy compared to exclusive use of the reference biologic.
A product designated as biosimilar or interchangeable to an FDA-approved reference biological product may rely on the FDA’s prior determination of safety and effectiveness for that reference product. This reliance can reduce both the cost and time required to obtain market approval. However, due to the larger and more complex structures of biological products and the intricate manufacturing processes involved, the biosimilar pathway remains challenging to implement.
Under the BPCIA, an application for a biosimilar cannot be submitted to the FDA until four years after the reference product was first licensed. Furthermore, the FDA cannot approve a biosimilar until 12 years after the reference product's initial approval. During this 12-year exclusivity period, a competing product may still be marketed if the FDA approves a full BLA containing the applicant’s own preclinical and clinical trial data demonstrating safety, purity, and potency. Additionally, the BPCIA provides certain exclusivity periods for biosimilars designated as interchangeable products. State pharmacy laws govern whether FDA-approved interchangeable products can be readily substituted for the reference product .
Pediatric Exclusivity
Pediatric exclusivity is another type of non‐patent regulatory and marketing exclusivity in the United States and, if granted, provides for the attachment of an additional six months of marketing protection to the term of any existing regulatory exclusivity, including the non‐patent exclusivity period described above. This six-month exclusivity may be granted based on the voluntary completion of a pediatric study in accordance with an FDA-issued “Written Request” for such a study.
Foreign Regulation
In order to market any product outside of the United States, we would need to comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements of other countries regarding biologic and drug development, approval and commercialization. The approval process varies by country and can involve additional product testing and additional administrative review periods. The time required to obtain approval in other countries might differ from and be longer than that required to obtain FDA approval. Regulatory approval in one country does not ensure regulatory approval in another, but a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may negatively impact the regulatory process in others. The processes for obtaining marketing approvals in foreign countries, along with subsequent compliance with applicable statutes and regulations, require the expenditure of substantial time and financial resources.
European Union Drug Approval Process
To obtain a marketing authorization for a medicinal product, including a biologic,in the European Union, we may submit marketing authorization applications (“MAAs”) either under the so‐called centralized, decentralized, mutual recognition or national authorization procedures.
Centralized procedure
The centralized procedure provides for the grant of a single marketing authorization following a favorable opinion by the European Medicines Agency (“EMA”) that is valid in all European Union member states, as well as Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway. The centralized procedure is compulsory for medicines produced by specified biotechnological processes, products designated as orphan medicinal products, and products with a new active substance indicated for the treatment of specified diseases, such as HIV/AIDS, cancer, diabetes, neurodegenerative disorders or autoimmune diseases and other immune
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dysfunctions and viral diseases. The centralized procedure is optional for products that represent a significant therapeutic, scientific or technical innovation, or whose authorization would be in the interest of public health.
National authorization procedures
There are also three other possible routes to authorize medicinal products in several European Union countries, which are available for investigational medicinal products that fall outside the scope of the centralized procedure.
•National authorization procedure. This procedure involves submitting an MAA to an individual EU country’s competent authority for approval. Each EU Member State has its own national authorization procedures.
•Decentralized procedure. Using the decentralized procedure, an applicant may apply for simultaneous authorization in more than one European Union country of medicinal products that have not yet been authorized in any European Union country and that do not fall within the mandatory scope of the centralized procedure.
•Mutual recognition procedure. In the mutual recognition procedure, a medicine is first authorized in one European Union Member State, in accordance with the national procedures of that country. Following this, further marketing authorizations can be sought from other European Union countries in a procedure whereby the countries agree to recognize the validity of the original, national marketing authorization.
In the European Union, new products authorized for marketing (i.e., reference products) qualify for eight years of data exclusivity and an additional two years of market exclusivity upon marketing authorization. The data exclusivity period prevents generic applicants from relying on the preclinical and clinical trial data contained in the dossier of the reference product when applying for a follow-on marketing authorization in the EU during a period of eight years from the date on which the reference product was first authorized in the EU. The market exclusivity period prevents a successful follow-on applicant from commercializing its product in the EU until ten years have elapsed from the initial authorization of the reference product in the EU. The ten‐year market exclusivity period can be extended to a maximum of eleven years if, during the first eight years of those ten years, the marketing authorization holder obtains an authorization for one or more new therapeutic indications which, during the scientific evaluation prior to their authorization, are held to bring a significant clinical benefit in comparison with existing therapies.
Employees and Human Capital Management
As of December 31, 2025, we had 33 employees, all of whom were full-time. 18 of our employees are primarily engaged in research and development activities. None of our employees are represented by a labor union or covered by a collective bargaining agreement. We consider our relationship with our employees to be good.
We believe that our future success largely depends upon our ability to scale and to attract and retain highly skilled and qualified personnel. We believe that we provide our employees with competitive salaries and bonuses, opportunities for equity ownership, and an employment package that promotes well-being across all aspects of their lives, including health care, retirement planning and paid time off. We believe that much of our success is rooted in the variety of backgrounds represented in our teams and our commitment to inclusion. We focus on extending our inclusion initiatives across our entire workforce.
Corporate Information
We were incorporated in Delaware in 2011 and commenced operations in the second quarter of 2011. We completed our initial public offering in October 2015. Our principal executive offices are located at 1500 Liberty Ridge Drive, Suite 321, Wayne, PA 19087, and our phone number is (410) 522-8707. Our website address is www.avalotx.com. The information on, or that can be accessed through, our website is not part of this report. We have included our website address in this report solely as an inactive textual reference.
Available Information
Our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”), are available free of charge on our website at www.avalotx.com as soon as reasonably practicable after electronically filing or furnishing such material to the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Securities and Exchange Commission maintains a website (www.sec.gov) that includes our reports, proxy statements and other information.
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Item 1A. Risk Factors.
You should consider carefully the following information about the risks described below, together with the other information contained in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and in our other public filings, in evaluating our business. If any of the following risks actually occurs, our business, financial condition, results of operations and future growth prospects would likely be materially and adversely affected. In these circumstances, the market price and value of our securities would likely decline. Additional risks or uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also harm our business. Moreover, some of the factors, events and contingencies discussed below may have occurred in the past, but the disclosures below are not representations as to whether or not the factors, events or contingencies have occurred in the past and instead reflect our beliefs and opinions as to the factors, events, or contingencies that could materially and adversely affect us in the future.
Risks Related to Our Financial Position and Capital Needs
We expect to require additional capital in the future to continue to fund our operations and to finance the further advancement of our product candidates, which might not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. Failure to obtain any necessary capital could force us to delay, limit or terminate our product development efforts or significantly curtail or cease our operations altogether.
As a research and development company, our operations have consumed substantial amounts of cash since inception. Identifying potential product candidates and conducting preclinical testing and clinical trials is a time‐consuming, expensive and uncertain process that takes years to complete, and we expect our research and development expenses to increase substantially in connection with our ongoing activities, particularly as we advance our current product candidates through or into clinical trials and prepare for later-stage development activities, including manufacturing scale-up, regulatory engagement, and commercialization planning. Circumstances may cause us to consume or require capital more rapidly than we currently anticipate. Historically, our capital constraints have required us to prioritize certain development programs over others, including deferring, out-licensing or discontinuing certain candidates, and we may be required to do so again in the future. We will need to raise additional funds or otherwise obtain funding through collaborations to complete the development of abdakibart (AVTX-009) and any other product candidates and to continue our operations.
We plan to finance our operations through a combination of equity offerings, debt financings, collaborations, licensing arrangements and other similar arrangements. We do not have any committed sources of external financing. Our ability to raise additional funds may be adversely impacted by global economic conditions, disruptions to, and volatility in, the credit and financial markets in the United States and worldwide, and diminished liquidity and credit availability, and biotechnology-specific market conditions, including reduced investor appetite for clinical-stage companies. If the equity and credit markets deteriorate, it may make any necessary debt or equity financing more difficult, more costly and more dilutive. If we are unable to raise capital when needed or on attractive terms, we would be forced to:
•Significantly delay, scale back or discontinue the development or commercialization of abdakibart (AVTX-009) or other product candidates or cease operations altogether;
•Seek strategic alliances for research and development programs at an earlier stage than we would otherwise desire or on terms less favorable than might otherwise be available; or
•Relinquish, or license on unfavorable terms, our rights to technologies or any future product candidates that we otherwise would seek to develop or commercialize ourselves.
At December 31, 2025, we had $98.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments and $12.9 million in current liabilities. As of the date of this Report, we believe we have sufficient funds to finance our continuing operations into 2028 to further advance abdakibart (AVTX-009) and other product candidates. This estimate is based on assumptions regarding our operating plan, clinical timelines, and expenditures that may prove to be inaccurate. We could use our capital resources sooner than we currently expect due to unanticipated delays, cost overruns, changes in regulatory strategy, or other factors. We will likely need to raise additional funds prior to any phase 3 development and/or indication expansion. Additionally, if there are significant unexpected delays and/or cost overruns in our current Phase 2 LOTUS trial, or other negative deviations from cash forecast, we might require additional funds prior to the Phase 2 LOTUS trial read-out.
We may never achieve or sustain profitability.
To become and remain profitable, we must succeed in developing, obtaining regulatory approvals for, and eventually commercializing products that generate significant revenue. This will require us to be successful in a range of challenging activities, including completing clinical trials and preclinical studies and obtaining regulatory approval for one or more of our current and future product candidates, and manufacturing, marketing, and selling any products for which we may obtain regulatory approval. We may never succeed in these activities and, even if we do, may never generate revenue that is significant enough to achieve profitability. Because
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of the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with biopharmaceutical product development, we are unable to accurately predict the timing or amount of increased expenses or when, or if, we will be able to achieve profitability. Even if we do achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability on a quarterly or annual basis. Our failure to become and remain profitable may have an adverse effect on the value of our company and could impair our ability to raise capital, expand our business, maintain our research and development efforts, diversify our product candidates, achieve our strategic objectives or even continue our operations.
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our stockholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our technologies or product candidates.
Additional fundraising efforts may divert our management from our day‐to‐day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates. In addition, we do not have any committed external sources of funding and cannot guarantee that future financing will be available in sufficient amounts or on terms acceptable to us, if at all.
We may need to seek additional funds sooner than anticipated through public or private equity offerings, debt financings, collaborations, licensing agreements, or other sources. Such financing could dilute our stockholders, and failure to secure adequate funding may limit our operational activities.
If we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, your ownership interest may be diluted, and the terms of such financing could include liquidation preference, anti-dilution provisions, or other rights that may negatively impact stockholders. Debt financing could impose restrictive covenants, increase fixed payment obligations, or introduce other constraints that could affect our business operations.
If we secure additional funds through upfront or milestone payment as part of future collaborations with third parties, we may be required to relinquish valuable rights to abdakibart (AVTX-009) or grant licenses under terms that are not favorable to us. Our ability to raise additional capital may be negatively affected by macro events, such as worsening global economic conditions, disruptions to financial markets, and volatility in credit markets in the United States and worldwide, as well as biotechnology specific industry events and trends.
We might never progress to the point where we have commercially successful product sales or other revenue sufficient to sustain operations. Accordingly, we may seek to raise needed funds through public or private equity offerings, debt financings, credit facilities, partnering or other corporate collaborations and licensing arrangements. If adequate funds are not available or are not available on acceptable terms, our ability to fund our operations, take advantage of opportunities, develop products and technologies, and otherwise respond to competitive pressures could be significantly delayed or limited, and we might need to downsize or halt our operations.
We have incurred significant net losses in most periods since our inception and we expect to continue to incur net losses for the foreseeable future.
Investment in biopharmaceutical product development is highly speculative because it entails substantial upfront capital expenditures and significant risk that any potential product candidate will fail to demonstrate an adequate effect or acceptable safety profile, gain marketing approval and become commercially viable. We are a clinical-stage biotechnology company with a limited operating history upon which you can evaluate our business and prospects. We commenced operations in 2011, have no products approved for commercial sale and have not generated any revenue from product sales. Since our inception, we have devoted substantially all our resources to building our organization, including an acquisition, raising capital, researching, discovering and developing potential drug candidates, establishing and maintaining our intellectual property portfolio, conducting preclinical studies and clinical trials, organizing and staffing our company, business planning and providing general and administrative support for these operations. We have not yet demonstrated the ability to successfully obtain regulatory approvals, manufacture products at commercial scale, establish reliable third-party manufacturing capabilities, or conduct sales and marketing activities necessary for successful product commercialization. Consequently, any predictions made about our future success or viability may not be as accurate as they could be if we had a history of successfully developing and commercializing biopharmaceutical products.
Historically, we have financed our operations primarily through public and private equity offerings. We incurred a net loss of $78.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2025. As of December 31, 2025, we had an accumulated deficit of $448.5 million. Substantially all of our operating losses have resulted from costs incurred in connection with our research and development program and from general and administrative costs associated with supporting our operations. We expect that our existing cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments will allow us to advance the clinical development of abdakibart (AVTX-009) and other product candidates, and we expect that the remainder will be utilized to fund other research and development activities as well as working capital and other general corporate needs. We have based these estimates on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and we could use our capital resources sooner or differently than we currently expect.
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Our operating plans and other demands on our cash resources may change as a result of many factors currently unknown to us, including but not limited to including clinical trial delays or failures, changes in regulatory requirements, manufacturing challenges, strategic decisions, or competitive developments and we may need to seek additional funds sooner than planned. Our existing cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments may not be sufficient to complete development of any of our current or future product candidates. We will require substantial capital in order to advance any of our current and future product candidates through clinical trials, regulatory approval and commercialization.
Our future funding requirements, both short and long term, will depend on many factors, including:
•The initiation, progress, timing, costs and results of preclinical and clinical studies for abdakibart (AVTX-009) and any future product candidates we may develop;
•The level of research and development investment required to develop product candidates through clinical development and prepare for later stage trials;
•The rate and level of patient recruitment into clinical trials;
•The timing and amount of milestone payments we are required to make under license agreements;
•Changes in product development plans needed to address any difficulties that may arise in manufacturing, preclinical activities, clinical trials, regulatory interactions, or commercialization;
•The outcome, timing and cost of seeking and obtaining regulatory approvals from the FDA and other regulatory authorities, including the potential for such authorities to require that we perform more studies than currently expected;
•The initiation and completion of all required safety and efficacy studies necessary for obtaining regulatory approval in the U.S. including additional clinical trials or studies beyond those currently planned to support abdakibart (AVTX-009)’s approval and commercialization;
•Providing sufficient evidence to the FDA, and other global regulatory bodies demonstrating the safety, efficacy, and an acceptable risk-benefit profile of abdakibart (AVTX-009) or any future other product candidates;
•Our ability to promptly submit and secure clearance of IND applications for our programs to initiate planned or future clinical trials;
•Effectively monitor and manage the occurrence, duration, and severity of any potential side effects or safety concerns associated with our product candidates, if any arise;
•Securing timely marketing approvals from the FDA, and other relevant regulatory authorities;
•The cost to establish, maintain, expand and defend the scope of our intellectual property portfolio and patent claims, including the amount and timing of any payments we may be required to make, or that we may receive, in connection with licensing, preparing, filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing any patents or other intellectual property rights;
•Competitive dynamics, including the timing of competitor data readouts, approvals, and commercial launches;
•The cost and timing of selecting, auditing and potentially validating a manufacturing site for commercial‐scale manufacturing;
•The cost of future commercialization activities including, developing our sales, marketing, manufacturing and distribution capabilities to accommodate any of our product candidates for which we receive marketing approval and that we determine to commercialize ourselves or in collaboration with our partners;
•Market acceptance of any approved product candidates;
•The effect of competing product and market developments;
•The ability and willingness to enter into new agreements with strategic partners, and the terms of these agreements; and
•The costs of acquiring, licensing or investing in additional businesses, products, product candidates and technologies.
We expect to continue to incur losses in the future and we might never achieve profitability on an annual basis. We may also encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications, delays and other unknown factors that may adversely affect our business. Our future profitability will depend, in part, on the rate of future growth of our expenses as we develop our product candidates and the successful completion of clinical development and regulatoryapproval, and our ability to generate revenues from any approved products. Our prior losses and expected future losses have had and will continue to have an adverse effect on our stockholders’ equity and working capital.
Risks associated with short-term liquid investments.
At December 31, 2025, we had $98.3 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments. We historically have invested our cash in money market funds and investment-grade marketable securities such as corporate and government bonds, commercial paper, asset-backed securities, U.S. treasury securities, money market funds, and other cash equivalents, consistent with our investment policy.These investments are intended to preserve principal value and maintain a high degree of liquidity while providing current income. However, these instruments are subject to general credit, liquidity, market and interest rate risks. We may realize losses in the fair value of these investments, which could include a complete loss of these investments, which would have a negative effect on our consolidated financial statements. In extreme market conditions, such losses could be material.
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In addition, should our investments cease paying or reduce the amount of interest paid to us, our interest income would decrease. Interest rate fluctuations can negatively impact the returns on our fixed-income investments, particularly during periods of rising interest rates.
Further, these types of investments are not insured against loss of principal, and cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments held in deposit accounts bear the risk of bank failure to the extent balances exceed applicable government insurance limits. There is no guarantee that investments in these assets will be redeemable at par value. Once invested, if we cannot liquidate our investments, or redeem them at par, we could incur losses and experience liquidity issues. A decline in the value of our investments or a delay or suspension of our right to redeem may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition.
Our ability to use our net operating loss carryforwards and certain other tax attributes may be limited.
We have a significant amount of gross net operating losses (“NOLs”) for federal and state purposes. The Company has accumulated $3.4 million of NOLs through the end of 2017, which will begin to expire in 2031. Unused NOLs for the current tax year and prior tax years will carry forward to offset future taxable income, if any, until such unused losses expire. Unused NOLs generated after December 31, 2017 of $255.0 million, will not expire and may be carried forward indefinitely, but will be only deductible to the extent of 80% of current year taxable income in any given year. In addition, both the deductibility of current and future unused NOL carryovers may be subject to limitation under Sections 382 and 383 of the Internal Revenue Code (“IRC”). Sections 382 and 383 of the IRC subject the future utilization of NOLs and certain other tax attributes, such as research and experimental tax credits, to an annual limitation in the event of certain ownership changes. In general, an “ownership change” is defined as a greater than 50% change (by value) in equity ownership over a three-year period. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had various research tax credits of $7.7 million that will begin to expire in 2038. If we experience an ownership change, or if we do not generate sufficient taxable income before the expiration of these attributes, some or all of our NOLs or tax credits could expire unused. To the extent there is a limitation, there could be a reduction in the $8.4 million deferred tax asset related to Federal loss carryforwards and tax credits that may have expired unutilized with an offsetting reduction in the valuation allowance.
Our operating results fluctuate from quarter to quarter and year to year, making future operating results difficult to predict.
Our quarterly and annual operating results historically have fluctuated and are likely to continue to fluctuate depending on several factors, many of which are beyond our control, including but not limited to the timing and outcome of clinical trials, regulatory interactions, financing activities, changes in operating plans, and macroeconomic or industry conditions. Accordingly, our quarterly and annual results are difficult to predict prior to the end of the quarter or year, and we may be unable to confirm or adjust expectations with respect to our operating results for a particular period until that period has closed. In addition, period-to-period comparisons of our operating results may not be meaningful due to the episodic nature of clinical development activities. In the event we provide cash projections or other guidance, any failure to meet such targets or failure to meet the expectations of analysts could adversely impact the market price of our securities. Therefore, you should not rely upon the results of any quarterly or annual periods as indications of future operating performance.
We have no approved commercial products.
With no commercial products, our operations are not expected to produce revenues for the foreseeable future, or at all, which might harm our ability to obtain additional financing and might require us to reduce or discontinue our operations.
Our ability to generate revenue in the future will depend on developing and commercializing our current and future product candidates. Identifying, developing, obtaining regulatory approval and commercializing product candidates are prone to the risks of failure inherent in clinical development. Developing product candidates is expensive, and we expect to spend substantial amounts as we fund our product development. We cannot provide any assurance that we will be able to successfully advance any product candidate through the development process or successfully commercialize any product candidate, or that any such product candidate will be widely accepted in the marketplace or be more effective than other commercially available alternatives. Any failure to develop or commercialize a product candidate in our current clinical pipeline could require us to raise additional financing.
Risks Related to Development of Our Product Candidates
We are substantially dependent on the success of abdakibart (AVTX-009), and our ongoing and anticipated clinical trials of abdakibart (AVTX-009) may not be successful.
We acquired abdakibart (AVTX-009) in March 2024 and have focused our resources on abdakibart (AVTX-009) thereby increasing our exposure to risks associated with a single lead product candidate. Our future success, including financial condition and results of operations, relies heavily on our ability to successfully develop abdakibart (AVTX-009) for marketing approval and eventual commercialization. We are dedicating the majority of our efforts and financial resources to the research and development of
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abdakibart (AVTX-009). In October 2024 we announced the first patient enrolled in our global Phase 2 LOTUS clinical trial and in October 2025 we announced that we completed enrollment.
Abdakibart (AVTX-009) will require further clinical development, generation and assessment of clinical and preclinical data, manufacturing activities, regulatory approval in multiple jurisdictions, substantial investment, additional scale, and significant marketing efforts before we can generate any revenue from product sales. We are not allowed to market or promote abdakibart (AVTX-009) until we receive marketing approval from the FDA and other comparable foreign regulatory authorities, and we may never obtain such approvals.
The success of abdakibart (AVTX-009) will depend on various factors, many of which are beyond our control. These include aspects of clinical development, the regulatory submission process, potential challenges to our intellectual property rights, and the manufacturing, marketing, distribution, and sales activities of any third parties with whom we may collaborate in the future. It could take years until abdakibart (AVTX-009) may receive marketing approval, and we may never obtain such marketing approval. Moreover, we cannot guarantee that we will ever generate revenue from the sale of abdakibart (AVTX-009), even if it receives regulatory approval. If we are unable to successfully commercialize abdakibart (AVTX-009), or if there are significant delays in doing so, our business will be materially impacted.
Any setback for or failure of abdakibart (AVTX-009) during its clinical development could cause material delays in and costs to its further development and commercialization. Any such delays or costs could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations and could require us to raise more capital, turn to third-party collaborators to continue the development of abdakibart (AVTX-009) or cease operations. In addition, our focus on abdakibart (AVTX-009) may negatively impact the planned development of our other product candidates. Drug development is unpredictable and we could encounter toxicity, safety, adverse reactions or other concerns with abdakibart (AVTX-009) as we continue its development. There can be no assurances that we will successfully develop abdakibart (AVTX-009).
Interim, “topline,” and preliminary data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data become available and are subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data. Such data are inherently preliminary and should not be relied upon as definitive or predictive of final results.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose preliminary or topline data from our preclinical studies and clinical trials, which is based on an initial analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study or trial. There can be no assurance that the final topline data from our trials will be consistent with such results or otherwise viewed as positive. We also may make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of preliminary or topline data, and we may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data. As a result, the topline or preliminary results that we report may differ from future results of the same studies, or different conclusions or considerations may qualify such results, once additional data have been received and fully evaluated.
Topline data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures including data cleaning, source verification, and protocol-specified analyses, that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, topline data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. From time to time, we may also disclose interim data from our clinical trials. Interim data from clinical trials that we may complete, including data from of our clinical trials, are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available or as patients from our clinical trials continue other treatments for their diseases. Early trends observed in interim analyses may not persist through trial completion. Adverse differences between preliminary or interim data and final data could significantly harm our business prospects. Further, disclosure of interim data by us or by our competitors could result in volatility in the price of our common stock.
Further, others, including regulatory agencies, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the value of the particular program, the approvability or commercialization of the particular product candidate or product and our company in general. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical trial, is based on what is typically extensive information, and you or others may not agree with what we determine is material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure.
If the interim, topline, or preliminary data that we report differ from actual results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for, and commercialize, our product candidates may be harmed, which could harm our business, results of operations, prospects or financial condition.
If clinical trials of our product candidates fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities or do not otherwise produce positive results, we may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing, or ultimately be unable to complete, the development and commercialization of our product candidates.
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Before obtaining required approvals from regulatory authorities for the sale of product candidates, we alone, or with a partner, must conduct extensive clinical trials to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of the product candidates in humans. Clinical testing is expensive and difficult to design and implement, can take many years to complete and is uncertain as to outcome. A failure of one or more clinical trials can occur at any stage of testing. The outcome of preclinical studies and early clinical trials may not predict the success of later clinical trials, and interim results of a clinical trial do not necessarily predict final results. A number of companies in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries have suffered significant setbacks in advanced clinical trials due to lack of efficacy or unacceptable safety profiles, notwithstanding promising results in earlier trials. Our product candidates will require additional clinical and preclinical development, management of clinical, preclinical and manufacturing activities, regulatory approval in multiple jurisdictions, obtaining manufacturing supply on our own or from a third party, expansion of our commercial organization, and substantial investment and significant marketing efforts before we could generate any revenues from sales of any of those product candidates approved for marketing.
We cannot be certain whether the clinical trials we or our partners may conduct will demonstrate adequate efficacy and safety data to support regulatory approval that would enable us to market any of our product candidates in any particular country. We also cannot be certain whether the efficacy and safety profile shown in clinical trials of any of our product candidates will be regarded by investors as competitive relative to marketed products and/or product candidates in development by third parties. If later stage clinical trials do not produce favorable results, our ability to achieve regulatory approval for any of our product candidates would be adversely impacted, which could cause a sharp decline in our stock price and materially impair our ability to continue our operations. If clinical trials do not produce sufficiently favorable results, our ability to raise capital to fund our operations and complete the development and commercialization of our product candidates could be adversely impacted.
Our product candidates that we intend to commercialize are in early to mid-stages of development. If we do not successfully complete nonclinical testing and clinical development of our product candidates or experience delays in doing so, our business may be materially harmed. Our focus and reliance on abdakibart (AVTX-009) increases the risk of such exposure.
We have invested significant efforts and financial resources in the identification and preclinical and clinical development of product candidates, including abdakibart (AVTX-009). Our ability to generate significant product revenues will depend on our ability to advance our clinical product candidates toward approval and our preclinical product candidates into clinical development. The outcome of preclinical studies and earlier clinical trials might not predict the success of future clinical trials. Preclinical data and clinical trial data may be susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many product candidates that performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and early clinical trials have nonetheless failed in later clinical development.
If we experience delays in clinical testing, we will be delayed in obtaining regulatory approvals and commercializing our product candidates, our costs may increase and our business may be harmed.
We may experience delays in obtaining or maintaining the FDA’s authorization to initiate clinical trials under future INDs and to complete ongoing clinical studies of our product candidates due to a variety of reasons. Our product development costs will increase if we experience delays in clinical testing. Significant clinical trial delays also could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize our product candidates or allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do, which would impair our ability to successfully commercialize our product candidates and may harm our business, results of operations and prospects.
Factors which may result in a delay or unsuccessful completion of clinical development include:
•Delays in or failure to obtain authorization from the FDA, other regulatory authorities or institutional review boards (“IRBs”) or ethics committees (“ECs”) to commence or amend a clinical trial;
•Delays in reaching alignment with the FDA or other regulatory authorities regarding requisite trial design or endpoints sufficient to establish a clinically meaningful benefit of our product candidates, given there might not be well-established development paths and outcomes in the indications we pursue;
•Imposition of a clinical hold or trial termination by regulatory authorities or us for any reason, including following an inspection of our clinical trial operations or trial sites by the FDA or other regulatory authorities or a decision by the FDA, other regulatory authorities, IRBs, ECs or us, or recommendation by a data safety monitoring board;
•Delays in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with prospective contract research organizations (“CROs”) and clinical trial sites, the terms of which may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical trial sites;
•Deviations from the trial protocol by clinical trial sites and investigators, or failure to conduct the trial in accordance with regulatory requirements;
•Failure of our third parties, such as CROs, to satisfy their contractual duties or meet expected deadlines;
•Delays in the importation and manufacture of clinical supply;
•Delays in the testing, validation and delivery of the clinical supply of the product candidates to the clinical sites;
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•For clinical trials in selected subject populations, delays in identification and auditing of central or other laboratories and the transfer and validation of assays or tests to be used to identify eligible subjects;
•Delays in recruiting eligible subjects to participate in a trial;
•Delays in having subjects complete participation in a trial or return for post‐treatment follow‐up;
•Delays caused by subjects dropping out of a trial due to side effects, disease progression, or other reasons;
•Delays in adding new investigators and clinical trial sites;
•Delays resulting from national or global health or geopolitical situations, including military conflict, trade barriers, or governmental budget dynamics;
•Withdrawal of clinical trial sites from our clinical trials as a result of changing standards of care or the ineligibility of a site to participate in our clinical trials;
•Changes in government regulations or administrative actions; or
•Lack of adequate funding to continue or complete the clinical trials.
Any inability by us or our partners to complete clinical development in a timely manner could result in additional costs to us relating to product development and obtaining marketing approval and impair our ability to generate product revenues and commercialization and sales milestone payments and royalties on product sales.
If we are unable to enroll appropriate subjects in clinical trials or retain patients in the clinical trials we perform, we may not be able to complete these trials on a timely basis, or at all.
Identifying and qualifying a sufficient number of eligible subjects to participate in clinical trials of our product candidates, and retaining the subjects once qualified, is critical to our success. The timing of our clinical trials depends on the speed at which we can recruit appropriate subjects to participate in testing our product candidates as well as completion of required follow‐up periods. If subjects are unwilling to participate in our trials or complete the required follow-up periods, the timeline for recruiting subjects, conducting trials and obtaining marketing approval of potential products may be delayed.
Difficulty or delays in patient recruitment into our trials could result in increased costs, delays in advancing our product development, revisions to trial design or endpoints, or termination of the clinical trials altogether. Many factors affect subject enrollment and retention, including:
•The size and nature of the subject population;
•The number and location of clinical sites we activate;
•The proximity of subjects to clinical sites;
•Perceived risks and benefits of the product candidate under trial;
•Competition with other companies for clinical sites or subjects;
•The eligibility and exclusion criteria for the trial;
•The design of the clinical trial;
•Doctor, patient and public awareness of the clinical trials;
•Ability to obtain and maintain subject consent;
•Ability to monitor subjects adequately during and after the administration of the product candidate and the ability of subjects to comply with the clinical trial requirements;
•Risk that enrolled subjects will drop out or be withdrawn before completion; and
•Clinicians’ and subjects’ perceptions as to the potential advantages of the drug being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new drugs that may be approved for the indications we are investigating.
We rely on CROs and clinical trial sites to ensure the proper and timely conduct of our clinical trials. Although we have agreements governing their committed activities, we have limited control over their performance, resources, or prioritization of our trials. If we are unable to enroll sufficient subjects in our clinical trials, if enrollment is slower than we anticipate, or if our clinical trials require more subjects than we anticipate, our clinical trials may be delayed or might not be completed. If we experience delays in our clinical trials, the commercial prospects of our product candidates will be harmed. In addition, any delays in completing our clinical trials may increase our costs, slow down our product candidate development and approval process and jeopardize our ability to commence product sales and generate revenues. In addition, many of the factors that could cause a delay in the commencement or completion of clinical trials may also ultimately lead to the denial of regulatory approval of any of our product candidates.
We may fail to successfully identify, in‐license, acquire, develop or commercialize potential product candidates.
The success of our business has in the past and is expected to continue depend in part upon our ability to identify and validate new therapeutic targets and identify, develop and commercialize therapeutics, which we may develop ourselves, in‐license or acquire from others. Research programs designed to identify product candidates require substantial technical, financial and human resources, whether or not any product candidates are ultimately identified. Our research efforts may initially show promise in identifying potential therapeutic targets or candidates, yet fail to yield product candidates for clinical development for a number of reasons, including:
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•Our methodology, including our screening technology, might not successfully identify medically relevant potential product candidates;
•Our competitors may develop alternatives that render our product candidates obsolete;
•We may encounter product manufacturing difficulties that limit yield or produce undesirable characteristics that increase the cost of goods, cause delays or make the product candidates unmarketable;
•Our product candidates may cause adverse effects in subjects, even after successful initial toxicology studies, or not be tolerable, which may make the product candidates unmarketable;
•Other drugs in the same drug class as our product candidates could develop unforeseen adverse effects that could negatively impact development, approval and/or future sales of our product candidates;
•Our product candidates might not be capable of being produced in commercial quantities at an acceptable cost, or at all;
•Our product candidates might not demonstrate a meaningful benefit to subjects; and
•Our reliance on third parties for research, preclinical studies, or clinical trials may limit our access to data, delay development, or restrict our ability to independently analyze or control development decisions.
Additionally, we may focus our efforts and resources on potential programs or product candidates that ultimately prove to be unsuccessful. If any of these events occur, we may be forced to abandon our development efforts for a program or programs, which would have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and prospects and could potentially cause us to cease operations.
Our current or future product candidates may cause undesirable side effects or have other properties that could delay or prevent their marketing approval, limit their commercial potential, or result in significant negative consequences following any marketing approval.
Undesirable side effects caused by our product candidates in clinical trials could cause us or regulatory authorities to interrupt, delay, or halt one or more clinical trials, including issuing a clinical hold, and could result in a more restrictive label or the delay or denial of marketing approval by the FDA or other regulatory authorities. Clinical trial results may reveal safety signals that are dose-dependent, population-specific, or cumulative over time, Results of our trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of side effects or unexpected characteristics.
Should our clinical trials of our product candidates reveal undesirable side effects, we could suspend or terminate our trials or the FDA or other regulatory authorities as well as IRBs or ECs could order us to suspend or cease clinical trials. The FDA or other regulatory authorities could also deny approval of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications or only for a limited indication or patient population or could require label warnings and/or precautions, contraindications, including black box warnings, additional wording regarding adverse reactions, post‐market studies, testing and surveillance programs or other conditions including distribution restrictions or other risk management mechanisms under a risk evaluation and mitigation strategy (“REMS”). Drug‐related side effects could affect subject recruitment or the ability of enrolled subjects to complete the trial or result in potential product liability claims. Any such outcomes could materially and adversely affect our development timelines, costs, and prospects.
Further, clinical trials by their nature utilize a sample of the potential patient population. With a limited number of patients and limited duration of exposure, rare and severe side effects of our current or future product candidates may only be uncovered with a significantly larger number of patients exposed to the product candidate. Additionally, if one or more of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and we or others (regulatory agencies, consumers, etc.) later identify undesirable side effects caused by such products, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including:
•We may suspend marketing of, or withdraw or recall, such product;
•Regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of such product;
•Regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label or other label modifications;
•Regulatory authorities may issue safety alerts, Dear Healthcare Provider letters, press releases or other communications containing warnings about such product;
•Regulatory authorities may require the establishment or modification of a REMS or other restrictions on marketing and distribution, or may require the establishment or modification of a similar strategy that may, for instance, require us to issue a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients or restrict distribution of our products and impose burdensome implementation requirements on us;
•Regulatory authorities may require that we conduct post‐marketing studies; and
•We could be sued and held liable for harm caused to subjects or patients.
Any of these events could prevent us from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the particular product candidate or otherwise materially harm the commercial prospects for the product candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Changes in product candidate manufacturing or formulation may result in additional costs or delay.
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As product candidates are developed through preclinical studies to late‐stage clinical trials toward regulatory approval and commercialization, it is common that various aspects of the manufacturing process, such as methods and formulation, are altered in an effort to optimize processes and results. Such changes may introduce comparability risk andcarry the risk that they will not achieve these intended objectives. Any such changes could cause our product candidates to perform differently, affect the results of planned clinical trials or other future clinical trials conducted with the optimized materials, and limit our ability to rely on data from clinical trials conducted with an earlier version of our product candidate Manufacturing or formulation changes may require additional nonclinical testing, clinical bridging studies, regulatory notifications, or regulatory approvals.
Similarly, changes in the location of manufacturing or addition of manufacturing facilities may increase our costs and require additional studies and FDA approval. This may require us to ensure that the new facility meets all applicable regulatory requirements, is adequately validated and qualified, and conduct additional studies of product candidates manufactured at the new location. Any of the above could delay completion of clinical trials, require bridging clinical trials or the repetition of one or more clinical trials, increase clinical trial costs, delay regulatory approval of our product candidates and jeopardize our ability to commence product sales and generate revenue.
Biological products are highly complex and expensive, and if the third-party manufacturers we contract with are unable to provide quality and timely offerings to our clinical trial sites, our clinical trials might be delayed.
Our product candidate, abdakibart (AVTX-009), is a biologic. The process of manufacturing biologics and their components is complex, expensive, highly-regulated and subject to multiple risks.
Manufacturing biologics is susceptible to product loss due to contamination, equipment failure, improper installation or operation of equipment, vendor or operator error, inconsistency in yields, variability in product characteristics and difficulties in scaling the production process. Even minor deviations from normal manufacturing processes could result in reduced production yields, product defects and other supply disruptions. Furthermore, the development of biological products involves a lengthy and expensive process with an uncertain outcome, which might require us to incur additional unforeseen costs to complete our clinical trials. Such issues may require investigation, remediation, or regulatory reporting, further increasing costs and delays.
Although we are working with third parties to develop reproducible and commercially viable manufacturing processes for our biological product candidates, doing so is a difficult and uncertain task, and there are risks associated with scaling to the level required for advanced clinical trials or commercialization, including, among others, cost overruns, potential problems with process scale-up, process reproducibility, stability issues, lot consistency, and timely availability of reagents or raw materials. Any failure by our third-party manufacturers could materially delay our clinical trials, regulatory submissions, or commercialization efforts and materially harm our business.
We face substantial competition and rapid technological change and the possibility that others may discover, develop or commercialize products before or more successfully than us.
Competitive timing risk is heightened by our clinical-stage status and limited commercial infrastructure. The biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries are intensely competitive and subject to rapid and significant technological change. We face competition with respect to our current product candidates and will face competition with respect to any future product candidates from major pharmaceutical companies, specialty pharmaceutical companies, governmental agencies, research institutions and biotechnology companies worldwide. Many of our competitors have significantly greater financial, technical manufacturing, regulatory, commercial, and human resources and may be better positioned to withstand market volatility or invest across multiple programs simultaneously. Smaller and early‐stage companies may also prove to be significant competitors, particularly through collaborative arrangements with large and established companies.
Our competitors may obtain marketing approval of their products more rapidly than we may or secure regulatory exclusivity, pricing advantages, or preferred formulary placement or may obtain patent protection or other intellectual property rights that limit our ability to develop or commercialize our product candidates. Our competitors may also develop drugs that are more effective, more convenient, more widely used and less costly or have a better safety profile and better tolerability than our products and these competitors may also be more successful than us in manufacturing and marketing their products.
Our competitors will also compete with us in recruiting and retaining qualified scientific, management and commercial personnel, establishing clinical trial sites and subject registration for clinical trials, as well as in acquiring technologies complementary to, or necessary for, our programs. Competition for clinical trial sites and patient populations may intensify as additional trials are initiated in overlapping indications.
Additionally, many of our competitors and their collaborators may have significantly greater experience than we do in the following:
•Identifying and validating targets;
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•Screening compounds against targets;
•Manufacturing pharmaceutical and biological products at scale;
•Preclinical and clinical trials of potential pharmaceutical products; and
•Obtaining FDA and other regulatory clearances.
There are now approved therapies to treat the conditions our product candidates seek to address and there could be other approved therapies in the future, consequently, competition in these markets is intense. Many of these approved products are or may become well-established therapies and widely accepted by physicians, patients and third‐party payors. Some of these therapies are protected by patents and regulatory exclusivities, while others are available or may become available as generic or biosimilar products, which could further limit market opportunity.
Our products might not achieve adequate market acceptance among physicians, patients, third‐party payors and others in the medical community necessary for commercial success.
Even if our product candidates have or receive marketing approval, they might not gain adequate market acceptance among physicians, patients and others in the medical community. Our commercial success also depends on coverage and adequate reimbursement of our product candidates by third‐party payors, including government payors, generally, which may be difficult or time‐consuming to obtain, may be limited in scope or might not be obtained in all jurisdictions in which we may seek to market our products. The degree of market acceptance of any of our approved product candidates will depend on a number of factors, including:
•The efficacy and safety profile of our product candidates, including relative to marketed products and product candidates in development by third parties;
•Prevalence and severity of any side effects of our product candidates;
•Relative convenience and ease of administration of our product candidates;
•Cost effectiveness of our product candidates;
•The claims we may make for our product candidates based on the approved label or any restrictions placed upon our marketing and distribution of our product candidates;
•The time it takes for our product candidates to complete clinical development and receive marketing approval;
•How quickly and effectively we alone, or with a partner, can market, launch, and distribute any of our product candidates that receive marketing approval relative to competing products;
•The ability to commercialize any of our product candidates that receive marketing approval;
•The adequacy of our or our partners’ sales, medical affairs, and market-access capabilities;
•The price of our approved product candidates, including in comparison to branded or generic competitors and relative to alternative treatments;
•Potential or perceived advantages or disadvantages of our approved product candidates over alternative treatments;
•The ability to collaborate with others in the development and commercialization of new products;
•Whether coverage and adequate levels of reimbursement are available under private and governmental health insurance plans, including Medicare;
•The ability to establish, maintain and protect intellectual property rights related to our product candidates;
•The entry of generic versions of any of our approved products onto the market;