Item 1A. RiskFactors
Our business, financial condition and operating
results are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those that are known to us and identified below and others
that may arise from time to time. The following is a summary of the principal risk factors described in this section:
● changes in pricing regulations could restrict product pricing;
● we rely on third parties, which requires us to share our trade secrets;
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These risk factors could cause our actual results
to differ materially from those suggested by forward-looking statements in this Report and elsewhere, and may adversely affect
our business, financial condition or operating results. If any of these risk factors should occur, moreover, the trading price
of our securities could decline, and investors in our securities could lose all or part of their investment in our securities.
These risk factors should be carefully considered in evaluating our prospects.
Risks Related to Our Business
The report of the independent registered
public accounting firm on our 2024 and 2023 financial statements contains a going concern qualification.
The report of the independent registered
public accounting firm covering our financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 stated that
certain factors, including that we have suffered recurring losses from operations and have an accumulated deficit at December 31,
2024, raised substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern. Because we are not yet producing sufficient revenue
to sustain our operating costs, we are dependent upon raising capital to continue our business. If we are unable to raise capital,
we may be unable to continue as a going concern.
We have incurred net losses since
inception. We expect to incur losses for the foreseeable future and may never achieve or maintain profitability.
There are numerous risks and uncertainties
associated with pharmaceutical product development, and we are unable to accurately predict the timing or amount of increased expenses
or when, or if, we will be able to achieve profitability.
As of December 31, 2024 we had an accumulated
deficit of approximately $15,340,107, which includes a net loss of approximately $5,016,264 for the year ended December 31, 2024,
as compared to an accumulated deficit of approximately $10,323,843, which includes a net loss of approximately $4,618,965 for the
year ended December 31, 2023. Historically, we have financed our operations through a combination of grant revenue and equity financing,
however our goals for the foreseeable future will likely require significant equity financing. Our ability to achieve significant
profitability depends on our ability to successfully complete the development of, and obtain the regulatory approvals necessary
to commercialize, LP-10 and/or our other product candidates, which may not occur for several years, if ever. The net losses we
incur may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter.
If we are required by the FDA, the European
Medicines Agency (“EMA”) or other regulatory authorities to perform studies in addition to those currently expected,
or if there are any delays in completing our clinical trials or the development of LP-10 and/or our other product candidates, our
expenses could increase and revenue could be further delayed. We anticipate that our expenses will increase substantially if, and
as, we:
● ramp-up our in-house commercial-scale cGMP manufacturing facility;
● manufacture material for clinical trials or potential commercial sales;
● further develop our product candidate portfolio;
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● acquire or in-license other product candidates and technologies.
To become and remain profitable, we must
develop and eventually commercialize one or more product candidates with significant market potential. This will require us to
be successful in a range of challenging activities, including completing the clinical trials, developing and validating commercial
scale manufacturing processes, obtaining marketing approval for this product candidate, manufacturing, marketing and selling any
future product candidates for which we may obtain marketing approval and satisfying any post-marketing requirements. If we were
required to discontinue development of LP-10 or LP-310, if LP-10 or LP-310 do not receive regulatory approval, if we do not obtain
our targeted indication(s) for LP-10 or LP-310, or if LP-10 or LP-310 fails to achieve sufficient market acceptance for any indication,
we could be delayed by many years in our ability to achieve profitability for such assets. Lipella has additional pipeline assets,
including but not limited to LP-410 and LP-50. As with LP-10 and LP-310, if LP-410 or LP-50 do not receive regulatory approval,
if we do not obtain our targeted indication(s) for such assets, or if such assets fail to achieve sufficient market acceptance
for any indication, we could be delayed by many years in our ability to achieve profitability for such assets. Our failure to become
and remain profitable would decrease the value of our company and could impair our ability to raise capital, maintain our research
and development efforts, expand our business or continue our operations. A decline in the value of our company also could cause
you to lose all or part of your investment.
We will need to raise additional
funding in order to receive approval for LP-10 or any other product candidate. Such funding may not be available on acceptable
terms, or at all. Failure to obtain this necessary capital when needed may force us to delay, limit or terminate certain of our
product development efforts or other operations.
To complete the process of obtaining regulatory
approval for LP-10 and our other product candidates and to build the sales, marketing and distribution infrastructure that we believe
will be necessary to commercialize such product candidates, if approved, we will require substantial additional funding. In addition,
if we obtain marketing approval for LP-10 and any of our other product candidates, we expect to incur significant expenses related
to product sales, medical affairs, marketing, manufacturing and distribution. We also anticipate that we will require substantial
additional funding for LP-310, LP-410, LP-50 and product candidates that we decide to develop in the future.
Our future capital requirements will depend on many factors,
including:
● the outcome, timing and costs of seeking regulatory approvals;
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Identifying potential product candidates
and conducting preclinical testing and clinical trials is a time-consuming, expensive and uncertain process that takes years to
complete, and we may never generate the necessary data or results required to obtain marketing approval and achieve product sales.
Our product candidates, if approved, may not achieve commercial success. Our product revenues, if any, will be derived from or
based on sales of product candidates that may not be commercially available for many years, if at all. Accordingly, we will need
to continue to rely on additional financing to achieve our business objectives. Any additional fundraising efforts may divert our
management from their day-to-day activities, which may adversely affect our ability to develop and commercialize our product candidates.
Moreover, the terms of any financing may adversely affect the holdings or the rights of our stockholders and the issuance of additional
securities, whether equity or debt, by us, or the possibility of such issuance, may cause the market price of our shares to decline.
The sale of additional equity or convertible securities would dilute all our stockholders. The incurrence of indebtedness would
result in increased fixed payment obligations and a portion of our operating cash flows, if any, being dedicated to the payment
of principal and interest on such indebtedness, and we may be required to agree to certain restrictive covenants, such as limitations
on our ability to incur additional debt, limitations on our ability to acquire, sell or license intellectual property rights and
other operating restrictions that could adversely impact our ability to conduct our business. Furthermore, existing stockholders
may not agree with our financing plans or the terms of such financings. Adequate additional financing may not be available to us
on acceptable terms, or at all. The terms of additional financing may be impacted by, among other things, general market conditions,
and the market’s perception of our product candidates.
We are currently supported partially
by government grant awards, which may not be available to us in the future, and such grant awards are subject to guidelines regulating
our research.
We have received and intend to continue
to seek funding under grant award programs, including a program funded by the National Institutes of Health (“NIH”).
To continue to fund a portion of our future research and development programs, we may also require grant funding from similar
governmental agencies in the future. However, funding by the NIH or other governmental agencies may be significantly reduced or
eliminated in the future for a number of reasons. For example, some programs are subject to a yearly appropriations process overseen
by the U.S. Congress. In addition, we may not receive full funding under current or future grants because of budgeting constraints
of the agency administering the program or unsatisfactory progress on the study being funded. Therefore, we cannot provide any
assurance that we will receive any future grant funding from any government agencies, or, that if received, we will receive the
full amount of the particular grant award. Any such reductions could delay the development of our product candidates and the introduction
of new products.
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Any research conducted under such federal
grants will subject us to federal regulation regarding how we conduct our research and we will be obligated to abide by the agreement
terms relating to those grants. There are also ethical guidelines promulgated by various governments and research institutions
that we are required to follow in respect of our research. These guidelines are orientated
towards research and experimentation involving humans and animals. Failure to follow the regulations, agreement terms and accepted
scientific practices would jeopardize our grants and our results and the use of the results in further research and approval circumstances,
which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. In addition, any failure to comply
with applicable laws or regulations affecting such grant awards could harm our business and divert our management’s attention.
Our ability
to obtain reimbursement or funding for our programs from the federal government may be impacted by possible reductions in federal
spending.
U.S. federal government
agencies currently face potentially significant spending reductions. The U.S. federal budget remains in flux, however, which could,
among other things, result in a cut to Medicare payments to providers and otherwise affect federal spending on clinical and pre-clinical
research and development. The Medicare program is frequently mentioned as a target for spending cuts. The full impact on our business
of any future cuts in Medicare or other programs is uncertain. In addition, we cannot predict any impact which the actions of the
current Presidential administration and the U.S. Congress may have on the federal budget. If federal spending is reduced, anticipated
budgetary shortfalls may also impact the ability of relevant agencies, such as the FDA or the NIH, to continue to function at current
levels. Amounts allocated to federal grants and contracts may be reduced or eliminated. These reductions may also impact the ability
of relevant agencies to timely review and approve drug research and development, manufacturing, and marketing activities, which
may delay our ability to develop, market and sell any products we may develop.
We are substantially
dependent on the success of our lead product candidates, LP-10 and LP-310. If we are unable to commercialize LP-10 or LP-310, or
experience significant delays in doing so, our business will be materially harmed.
Our ability to
generate product revenues, which may not occur for several years, if ever, currently depends heavily on the successful development
and commercialization of LP-10 and LP-310. The success of LP-10 and LP-310 will depend on a number of factors, including the following:
● successful completion of clinical development;
● receipt of marketing approvals from applicable regulatory authorities;
● protecting our rights in our intellectual property portfolio;
● establishing sales, marketing and distribution capabilities;
● effectively competing with other therapies; and
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If we do not achieve one or more of these
factors in a timely manner or at all, we could experience significant delays or an inability to successfully commercialize LP-10
and LP-310, which would materially harm our business. We have not yet demonstrated our ability to successfully complete development
of any product candidates, obtain marketing approvals, manufacture a commercial scale product, or arrange for a third party to
do so on our behalf, or conduct sales and marketing activities necessary for successful product commercialization.
Assuming we obtain marketing approval for
any of our product candidates, we will need to transition our focus from research and development to supporting commercial activities.
We may encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications and delays and may not be successful in such a transition.
We are early in our efforts to develop
LP-10, LP-310, and our other product candidates. If we are unable to advance LP-10, LP-310, and such other candidates through clinical
trials, obtain regulatory approval and ultimately commercialize such product candidates, or if we experience significant delays
in doing so, our business will be materially harmed.
We are early in our development of LP-10, which
will begin its phase 2b clinical trial, LP-310, which is expected to complete its multi-center Phase 2a clinical trial in the second
quarter of 2025, and LP-410, which recently received FDA clearance for a Phase 2a clinical trial. The development and commercialization
of LP-10, LP-310 and LP-410 (or any other product candidate that we may develop) is subject to many uncertainties, including the following:
● successful enrollment and completion of clinical trials;
● positive results from our current and planned future clinical trials;
● receipt of regulatory approvals from applicable regulatory authorities;
We must conduct extensive clinical trials
to demonstrate the safety and efficacy of each drug candidate for its intended indications. Clinical trials are expensive, time
consuming and uncertain as to outcome. We cannot guarantee that any clinical trials will be conducted as planned or completed on
schedule, if at all. A failure of one or more clinical trials can occur at any stage of testing. Events that may prevent successful
or timely completion of clinical development include:
● delays in reaching a consensus with regulatory authorities on trial design;
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Additionally, if the results of our clinical
trials are inconclusive or if there are safety concerns or serious adverse events associated with our drug candidates, we may:
● be subject to additional post-marketing testing requirements;
● be sued; or
● experience damage to our reputation.
In addition, if we make manufacturing or
formulation changes to any of our other product candidates, we may need to conduct additional studies to bridge our modified product
candidate to earlier versions. If we elect, or are required, to delay, suspend, or terminate any clinical trial of any of our product
candidates at any stage, it could shorten any periods during which we may have the exclusive right to commercialize such product
candidates or allow our competitors to bring products to market before we do, which could limit our potential revenue or impair
our ability to successfully commercialize our current product candidates now, or such other product candidate in the future, and
may harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. Any such significant changes, delays, setbacks
or failures we experience, including our inability to obtain regulatory approval for or successfully commercialize our product
candidates, particularly LP-10 and LP-310, would materially harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
We are heavily
dependent on the success of ourproduct candidates, which are in the early
stages of clinical development. Although we have reported positive results from our phase 2a clinical trials for LP-10 and LP-310,
we cannot give any assurance that our trial results are indicative of success for future trials or commercialization.
We have reported
positive top-line results from our completed phase 2a clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of LP-10 and our recently
completed dosing of the first cohort of our phase 2a clinical trial evaluating the safety and efficacy of LP-310. The top-line
results from such clinical trials does not indicate or guarantee the future success for future clinical trials or for commercialization
for commercialization of LP-10 or any of our other products. There can be no assurance that the data from such trial for LP-10,
LP-310 or any future trial for LP-10, LP-310 or any of our other product candidates in our planned indications will be sufficiently
supportive to rely on Fast Track designation or to obtain regulatory approval for such products. If our data is not supportive
of, or the FDA will not allow us to apply for, Fast Track designation of LP-10, LP-310 or such other products, we cannot predict
when, if ever, we will be able to seek the FDA approval for LP-10, LP-310 or such other products.
In addition, none
of our product candidates have advanced into a pivotal clinical trial for our proposed indications, and it may be years before
any such clinical trial is initiated and completed, if at all. We are not permitted to market or promote any of our product candidates
before we receive regulatory approval from the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, and we may never receive such
regulatory approval for any of our product candidates. If we do not receive regulatory approvals for our product candidates, we
may not be able to continue our operations.
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Even if we complete the necessary
clinical trials for LP-10, LP-310 or for any of our other product candidates in the future, such as LP-410 or LP-50, we cannot
predict when, or if, we will obtain regulatory approval to commercialize such other product candidates, and the approval may be
for a narrower indication than we seek.
We cannot commercialize a product candidate
until the appropriate regulatory authorities have reviewed and approved such product candidate. Even if LP-10 and LP-310 meet the
applicable safety and efficacy standards in clinical trials, the regulatory authorities may not complete their review processes
in a timely manner, or we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for LP-10 and LP-310. Additional delays may result if an
FDA Advisory Committee or other regulatory authority recommends non-approval or restrictions on approval for LP-10 and LP-310.
In addition, we may experience delays or rejections based upon additional government regulation from future legislation or administrative
action, or changes in regulatory authority policy during the period of LP-10’s or LP-310’s product development, clinical
trials and review process. Similar issues could arise with respect to LP-410 and LP-50 in the event such products enter their planned
clinical trial phases, as well as any of our other product candidates we develop in the future.
Regulatory authorities also may approve
a product candidate for more limited indications than requested or they may impose significant limitations in the form of narrow
indications, warnings or a post-approval safety monitoring program. These regulatory authorities may require precautions or contra-indications
with respect to conditions of use or they may grant approval subject to the performance of costly post-marketing clinical trials.
In addition, regulatory authorities may not approve the labeling claims that are necessary or desirable for the successful commercialization
of LP-10, LP-310 or another product candidate. Any of the foregoing scenarios could materially harm the commercial prospects for
LP-10, LP-310 or our other product candidates and materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of
operations and prospects.
LP-10 or LP-310 may cause undesirable
side effects or have other properties that could delay or prevent its regulatory approval, limit its commercial potential, or result
in significant negative consequences following any potential marketing approval.
In addition to side effects caused by LP-10
and LP-310, the administration process or related procedures also can cause adverse side effects. If in the future we are unable
to demonstrate that such adverse events were caused by the administration process or related procedures, the FDA, the EMA or other
regulatory authorities could order us to cease further development of, or deny approval of, LP-10 and LP-310, for any or all targeted
indications. Even if we can demonstrate that any serious adverse events are not product-related, such occurrences could affect
patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete our clinical trials. Any of these occurrences may harm our
ability to develop other product candidates, and may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
Additionally, if LP-10 or LP-310 receives
marketing approval, the FDA could require us to adopt a post-approval safety monitoring program to ensure that the benefits outweigh
its risks, which may include, among other things, a medication guide outlining the risks of the product for distribution to patients
and a communication plan to health care practitioners. Furthermore, if we or others later identify undesirable side effects caused
by LP-10 and LP-310, several potentially significant negative consequences could result, including:
● regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label;
● we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; and
● our reputation may suffer.
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Any of these events could prevent us from
achieving or maintaining market acceptance of LP-10 and LP-310 and could significantly harm our business, financial condition,
results of operations and prospects.
Our pipeline of products, including
LP-10, LP-310, LP-410 and LP-50, are each based on novel technology, which makes it difficult to predict the time and cost of
development and of subsequently obtaining regulatory approval.
The regulatory approval process and clinical
trial requirements of the FDA, EMA and other regulatory authorities for novel product candidates such as ours can be more expensive
and take longer than for other, better known or more extensively studied product candidates. It is difficult to determine how long
it will take or how much it will cost to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates in either the United States or
the European Union or how long it will take to commercialize our product candidates. Approvals by the European Commission may not
be indicative of what the FDA may require for approval.
Regulatory requirements governing drug
and biologic products have changed frequently and may continue to change in the future. In addition, adverse developments in clinical
trials of similar drug and biologic products conducted by others may cause the FDA or other oversight bodies to change the requirements
for approval of our product candidates. Similarly, the EMA may issue new guidelines concerning the development and marketing authorization
for gene therapy medicinal products and require that we comply with these new guidelines.
These regulatory review committees and
advisory groups and the new guidelines they promulgate may lengthen the regulatory review process, require us to perform additional
studies, increase our development costs, lead to changes in regulatory positions and interpretations, delay or prevent approval
and commercialization of any product candidate or lead to significant post-approval limitations or restrictions. As we advance
our product candidates, we will be required to consult with these regulatory and advisory groups and comply with applicable guidelines.
If we fail to do so, we may be required to delay or discontinue development of any product candidate. These additional processes
may result in a review and approval process that is longer than we otherwise would have expected. Delay or failure to obtain, or
unexpected costs in obtaining, the regulatory approval necessary to bring a potential product to market could decrease our ability
to generate sufficient product revenue, and our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects would be materially
and adversely affected.
Even if we obtain regulatory approval
for a product candidate, each approved product candidate will remain subject to regulatory oversight.
Even if we obtain regulatory approval for
a product candidate, each approved product candidate will be subject to ongoing regulatory requirements for manufacturing, labeling,
packaging, storage, advertising, promotion, sampling, record-keeping and submission of safety and other post-market information.
Any regulatory approvals that we receive for any product candidate may also be subject to a post-approval safety monitoring program
or limitations on the approved indicated uses for which the product may be marketed or to the conditions of approval or contain
requirements for potentially costly post-marketing testing, including phase 4 clinical trials, and surveillance to monitor the
quality, safety and efficacy of the product.
In addition, product manufacturers and
their facilities are subject to payment of user fees and continual review and periodic inspections by the FDA and other regulatory
authorities for compliance with cGMP requirements and adherence to commitments made in the NDA or foreign marketing application.
If we, or a regulatory authority, discover previously unknown problems with a product, such as adverse events of unanticipated
severity or frequency, or problems with the facility where the product is manufactured or disagrees with the promotion, marketing
or labeling of that product, a regulatory authority may impose restrictions relative to that product, the manufacturing facility
or us, including requiring recall or withdrawal of the product from the market or suspension of manufacturing.
If we fail to comply with applicable regulatory
requirements following approval of any of our product candidates, a regulatory authority may:
● issue a warning letter asserting that we are in violation of the law;
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● suspend or withdraw regulatory approval;
● suspend any ongoing clinical trials;
● restrict the marketing or manufacturing of the product;
● refuse to permit the import or export of product candidates; or
Any government investigation of alleged
violations of law could require us to expend significant time and resources in response and could generate negative publicity.
The occurrence of any event or penalty described above may inhibit our ability to commercialize any of our product candidates and
adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
The FDA’s policies, and those of
equivalent foreign regulatory agencies, may change and additional government regulations may be enacted that could prevent, limit
or delay regulatory approval of any of our product candidates. We cannot predict the likelihood, nature or extent of government
regulation that may arise from future legislation or administrative action, either in the United States or abroad. If we are slow
or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if we are not able to
maintain regulatory compliance, we may lose any marketing approval that we may have obtained and we may not achieve or sustain
profitability, which would materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
Even if we obtain and maintain approval
for our product candidates from the FDA, we may never obtain approval for them outside of the United States, which could limit
our market opportunities and adversely affect our business.
Approval of a product candidate in the
United States by the FDA does not ensure approval of such product candidate by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions,
and approval by one foreign regulatory authority does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other foreign countries
or by the FDA. Approval, marketing and sales of any of our product candidates outside of the United States will be subject to the
regulatory requirements governing clinical trials and marketing approval in those countries. Approval procedures vary among jurisdictions
and can involve requirements and administrative review periods different from, and more onerous than, those in the United States,
including additional preclinical studies or clinical trials, as clinical trials in one country may not be accepted by regulatory
authorities in other countries. Regulatory approval for any of our product candidates may be withdrawn. In many countries outside
the United States, a product candidate must be approved for reimbursement before it can be approved for sale in that country. In
some cases, the price that we intend to charge for our product candidates, if approved, is also subject to approval.
For example, we intend to submit a marketing
authorization application to the EMA for approval of LP-10 and LP-310 in the European Union, but obtaining such approval from the
European Commission following the opinion of the EMA is a lengthy and expensive process. Even if LP-10 and LP-310 are approved,
the FDA or the European Commission, as the case may be, may limit the indications for which the product may be marketed, require
extensive warnings on the product labeling or require expensive and time-consuming additional clinical trials or reporting as conditions
of approval. Obtaining foreign regulatory approvals and compliance with foreign regulatory requirements could result in significant
delays, difficulties and costs for us and could delay or prevent the introduction of our product candidates in certain countries.
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If we fail to comply with the regulatory
requirements, our target market will be reduced and our ability to realize the full market potential of any of our product candidates
will be harmed and our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects will be adversely affected.
While we have obtained “orphan
drug” designations covering LP-10,and LP-410 from the FDA, such designations may not effectively provide
us with exclusive marketing rights for LP-10 or LP-410, and we may be unable to obtain “orphan drug” designation covering
any of our other product candidates. If our competitors are able to obtain “orphan drug” exclusivity before us covering
products that constitute the same drug and treat the same indications as our product candidates, we may not be able to have competing
products approved by the applicable regulatory authority for a significant period of time.
Under the Orphan Drug Act of 1983, the
FDA may designate a product candidate as an “orphan drug” if it is intended to treat a rare disease or condition, which
is generally defined as having a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or a patient population
greater than 200,000 in the United States where there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing the drug will be
recovered from sales in the United States.
Generally, if a product candidate with
an “orphan drug” designation receives the first marketing approval for the indication for which it has such designation,
the product is entitled to a period of marketing exclusivity, which precludes the FDA from approving another marketing application
for a product that constitutes the same drug treating the same indication for that marketing exclusivity period, except in limited
circumstances. If another sponsor receives such approval before we do (regardless of our “orphan drug” designation),
we will be precluded from receiving marketing approval for our product for the applicable exclusivity period. The applicable period
is seven years in the United States, however even after an orphan drug is approved, the FDA may subsequently approve another drug
for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the latter drug is not the same drug or is clinically superior in that it is shown
to be safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care. In the EU, marketing authorization may be granted to
a similar medicinal product for the same orphan indication if:
On July 6, 2012, the FDA granted “orphan
drug” designation covering LP-10 (or any other formulation of tacrolimus) for the treatment of HC and we may seek “orphan
drug” designation from the FDA covering our future product candidates. On November 11, 2023 the FDA granted “orphan
drug” designation covering LP-410 for treatment of oral GVHD.
Even though we have obtained such “orphan
drug” designations, providing us with exclusivity for LP-10 and LP-410 for certain indications, such exclusivity
may not effectively protect a product candidate from competition because different drugs can be approved for the same condition.
If the FDA does not conclude that
LP-10, LP-310 or any of our other product candidates satisfy the requirements for the 505(b)(2) regulatory approval pathway, or
if the requirements for approval of such product candidates under Section 505(b)(2) are not as we expect, the approval pathway
for such product candidates will likely take significantly longer, cost significantly more and encounter significantly greater
complications and risks than anticipated, and in any case may not be successful.
We intend to seek FDA approval through
the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway for LP-10, LP-310 and certain of our other product candidates, although we have not received
any indication from the FDA that the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway will be available for LP-10, LP-310, or any of our other product
candidates. The Drug Price Competition and Patent Term Restoration Act of 1984, also known as the Hatch-Waxman Act, added Section
505(b)(2) to the FDCA. Section 505(b)(2) permits the filing of an NDA where at least some of the information required for approval
comes from studies that were not conducted by or for the applicant. We anticipate referencing relevant publicly available data,
including the publicly disclosed FDA drug approval package for tacrolimus, in the preparation and submission of our aNDA for LP-10
and LP-310.
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If the FDA does not allow us to pursue
the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway for our product candidates as anticipated, we may need to conduct additional clinical trials,
provide additional data and information and meet additional standards for regulatory approval. If this were to occur, the time
and financial resources required to obtain FDA approval for our product candidates would likely substantially increase. Moreover,
the inability to pursue the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway could result in new competitive products reaching the market faster than
our product candidates, which could materially adversely impact our competitive position and prospects. Even if we are permitted
to pursue the 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway for a product candidate, we cannot assure you that we will receive the requisite or
timely approvals for commercialization of such product candidate.
In addition, notwithstanding the approval
of a number of products by the FDA under Section 505(b)(2) over the last few years, certain competitors and others have objected
to the FDA’s interpretation of Section 505(b)(2). We expect that our competitors could file citizens’ petitions with
the FDA in an attempt to persuade the FDA that our product candidates, or the clinical studies that support their approval, contain
deficiencies. If the FDA’s interpretation of Section 505(b)(2) is successfully challenged, the FDA may be required to change
its Section 505(b)(2) policies and practices, which could delay or even prevent the FDA from approving any NDA that we submit under
Section 505(b)(2).
FDA designations to expedite drug
development and review, including “orphan drug” designation, Breakthrough Therapy designation, and/or Fast Track designation,
even if granted for any of our product candidates, may not lead to a faster development, regulatory review or approval process
and do not increase the likelihood that any of our product candidates will receive marketing approval in the United States.
We have received “orphan drug”
designation covering LP-10 and LP-410 from the FDA, but there is no assurance that any of our other product candidates will receive
a similar designation from the FDA or that we will receive Breakthrough Therapy or Fast Track designations covering any of our
product candidates (including LP-10 and LP-410) from the FDA. Our initial request to obtain Fast Track designation covering LP-10
in July 2021 was denied by the FDA in September 2021; however, we are still seeking to obtain Fast Track designation covering
LP-10. In addition, we anticipate the submission for Breakthrough Designation Request for LP-310 for the treatment of OLP in the
second half of 2025. Further, even if we do receive favorable designations from the FDA, the receipt of any of these designations
covering any of our product candidates may not result in a faster development process, review or approval of such product candidates
compared to products considered for approval under conventional FDA procedures and does not assure ultimate approval by the FDA.
If we are not successful in discovering,
developing and commercializing additional product candidates, our ability to expand our business and achieve our strategic objectives
would be impaired.
Although we focus a substantial amount
of our efforts on the potential approval of LP-10 and LP-310, a key component of our strategy is to discover, develop and
potentially commercialize a portfolio of other product candidates, including LP-410 and LP-50, to treat orphan diseases and ultimately,
non-orphan diseases. Identifying new product candidates requires substantial technical, financial and human resources, whether
any product candidates are ultimately identified. Even if we identify product candidates that initially show promise, we may fail
to successfully develop and commercialize such product candidates for many reasons, including the following:
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As we have limited resources, we may forego
or delay pursuit of opportunities with certain programs or product candidates or for indications that later prove to have greater
commercial potential. Our spending on current and future research and development programs may not yield any commercially viable
products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential for a particular product candidate, we may relinquish valuable
rights to that product candidate through strategic collaboration, licensing or other arrangements in cases in which it would have
been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such product candidate. Alternatively,
we may allocate internal resources to a product candidate in a therapeutic area in which it would have been more advantageous to
enter into a partnering arrangement.
If any of these events occur, we may be
forced to abandon our development efforts with respect to a particular product candidate or fail to develop a potentially successful
product candidate, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
We face significant competition in
an environment of rapid technological change and the possibility that our competitors may achieve regulatory approval before us
or develop therapies that are more advanced or effective than ours, which may adversely affect our financial condition and our
ability to successfully market or commercialize our product candidates.
Many of our potential competitors, alone
or with their strategic partners, have substantially greater financial, technical and other resources, such as larger research
and development, clinical, marketing and manufacturing organizations. Mergers and acquisitions in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical
industries may result in even more resources being concentrated among a smaller number of competitors. Our commercial opportunity
could be reduced or eliminated if competitors develop and commercialize products that are safer, more effective, have fewer or
less severe side effects, are more convenient or are less expensive than any product candidate that we may develop. Also, competitors
may obtain FDA or other regulatory approval for their products more rapidly or earlier than we may obtain approval for ours, which
could result in our competitors establishing a strong market position before we are able to enter the market. Additionally, technologies
developed by our competitors may render our product candidates, including, in particular, LP-10 and LP-310, uneconomical or obsolete,
and we may not be successful in marketing these and our other product candidates against competitors.
In addition, as a result of the expiration
or successful challenge of our patent rights, we could face more competition from our competitors’ products. The availability
of our competitors’ products could limit the demand, and the price we are able to charge, for any product candidate that
we may develop and commercialize.
Risks Related to Manufacturing
Delays in obtaining regulatory approvals
of the process and facilities needed to manufacture any of our product candidates, including LP-10 and LP-310, or disruptions in
our manufacturing process may delay or disrupt our product development and commercialization efforts.
Before we can begin to commercially manufacture
any of our product candidates, including LP-10 or LP-310, in a manufacturing facility, whether in a third-party facility or in
a facility that we maintain and operate, the facility must pass a pre-approval inspection by the FDA, and a manufacturing authorization
must be obtained from the appropriate regulatory authorities. The timeframe required to obtain such approvals is uncertain. In
order to obtain approval, we will need to ensure that all our processes, methods and equipment are compliant with cGMP and perform
extensive audits of vendors, contract laboratories and suppliers. If any of our vendors, contract laboratories or suppliers is
found to be out of compliance with cGMP, we may experience delays or disruptions in manufacturing while we work with these third
parties to remedy the violation or while we work to identify suitable replacement vendors. The cGMP requirements govern quality
control of the manufacturing process and documentation policies and procedures. In complying with cGMP, we will be obligated to
expend time, money and effort in production, record keeping and quality control to assure that the product meets applicable specifications
and other requirements. If we fail to comply with these requirements, we would be subject to possible regulatory action and may
not be permitted to sell any product candidate that we may develop.
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In addition, the manufacturing process
used to produce our product candidates is complex, novel and has not been validated for commercial use. In order to produce enough
quantities of our product candidates for future clinical trials and initial U.S. commercial demand, we will need to increase the
scale of our manufacturing process. The production of our product candidates requires processing steps that are more complex than
those required for most chemical pharmaceuticals. We employ multiple steps to control our manufacturing process to assure that
the process works and that each of our products candidates will be made strictly and consistently in compliance with the process.
Problems with the manufacturing process, even minor deviations from the normal process, could result in product defects or manufacturing
failures that result in lot failures, product recalls, product liability claims or insufficient inventory. We may encounter problems
achieving adequate quantities and quality of clinical-grade materials that meet FDA, EMA or other applicable standards or specifications
with consistent and acceptable production yields and costs.
Although we have established our
Facility, we may need to utilize third parties to conduct our product manufacturing for the near future. Therefore, we are subject
to the risk that these third parties may not perform satisfactorily.
Even if we obtain the validation from the
FDA of our Facility, we intend to maintain third-party manufacturing capabilities in order to provide multiple sources of supply.
In the event that these third-party manufacturers do not successfully carry out their contractual duties, meet expected deadlines
or manufacture LP-10 or LP-310 in accordance with regulatory requirements, or if there are disagreements between us and these third-party
manufacturers, we will not be able to complete, or may be delayed in completing, the preclinical studies required to support future
IND submissions of other product candidates or the clinical trials required for approval of LP-10 or LP-310. In such instances,
we may need to locate an appropriate replacement third-party relationship, which may not be readily available or on the same economic
terms, which would cause additional delay or increased expense prior to the approval of LP-10 or LP-310 and would thereby have
a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
If we or our third-party manufacturer fails
to comply with applicable cGMP regulations, the FDA and foreign regulatory authorities can impose regulatory sanctions including,
among other things, refusal to approve a pending application for a new product candidate or suspension or revocation of a pre-existing
approval. Such an occurrence may cause our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects to be materially
harmed.
Any contamination in our manufacturing
process, shortages of raw materials or failure of any of our key suppliers to deliver necessary components could result in delays
in our clinical development or marketing schedules.
Given the nature of sterile product manufacturing,
there is a risk of contamination. Any contamination could materially adversely affect our ability to produce any of our product
candidates, including LP-10, on schedule and could, therefore, harm our results of operations and cause reputational damage.
Some of the raw materials required in our
manufacturing process are derived from biologic sources. Such raw materials are difficult to procure and may be subject to contamination
or recall. A material shortage, contamination, recall or restriction on the use of biologically derived substances in the manufacture
of any of our product candidates, including LP-10 and LP-310, could adversely impact or disrupt the commercial manufacturing or
the production of clinical material, which could materially and adversely affect our development timelines and our business, financial
condition, results of operations and prospects.
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Risks Related to Commercialization of Our Product Candidates
If we are unable to expand our market
development capabilities or enter into agreements with third parties to market and sell our product candidates, we may be unable
to generate any product revenue.
We currently have a small market development
organization. To successfully commercialize LP-10, LP-310, LP-410 or LP-50, if approved, and any other products that may result
from our development programs, we plan to expand our capabilities to promote market access and build awareness, either on our own
or with one or more third parties. The development of our own market development team will be expensive and time-consuming and
could delay any product launch. Moreover, we cannot be certain that we will be able to successfully develop this capability. We
may enter into collaboration agreements regarding any of our product candidates with third parties to utilize their established
marketing and distribution capabilities, but we may be unable to enter into such agreements on favorable terms, if at all. If any
future collaborators do not commit sufficient resources to commercialize our products, or we are unable to develop the necessary
capabilities on our own, we will be unable to generate sufficient product revenue to sustain our business. We compete with many
companies that currently have extensive, experienced and well-funded medical affairs, marketing and sales operations to recruit,
hire, train and retain marketing and sales personnel. We also face competition in our search for third parties to assist us with
the sales and marketing efforts of our product candidates. Without an internal team or the support of a third party to perform
marketing and sales functions, we may be unable to compete successfully against these more established companies.
Our efforts to educate the medical community
and third-party payors on the benefits of our product candidates may require significant resources and may never be successful.
Such efforts may require more resources than are typically required due to the complexity and uniqueness of our potential products.
If any of our product candidates is approved but fails to achieve market acceptance among physicians, patients or third-party payors,
we will not be able to generate significant revenues from such product, which could have a material adverse effect on our business,
financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
If the market opportunities for LP-10
or LP-310are smaller than we believe they are, our product revenues may be adversely impacted, and our business
may suffer.
We are currently primarily focusing our research
and product development efforts on LP-10 for HC and LP-310 for OLP. Our understanding of both the number of people who have
these diseases, as well as the subset of people with these diseases who have the potential to benefit from treatment with LP-10
or LP-310, are based on estimates in published literature. These estimates may prove to be incorrect, and new studies may reduce
the estimated incidence or prevalence of this disease. The number of patients in the United States, the EU and elsewhere may turn
out to be lower than expected or these patients may not be otherwise amenable to treatment with LP-10 or LP-310, or may become
increasingly difficult to identify and access, all of which would adversely affect our business, financial condition, results
of operations and prospects.
Further, there are several factors that
could contribute to making the actual number of patients who receive LP-10 or LP-310 less than the potentially addressable market.
These include the lack of widespread availability of, and limited reimbursement for, new therapies in many underdeveloped markets.
These risks could similarly apply to LP-410 and LP-50, each of which we are simultaneously developing.
Government price controls or other
changes in pricing regulation could restrict the amount that we are able to charge for any of our product candidates that may be
approved in the future, including LP-10 and LP-310, which would adversely affect our revenue and results of operations.
We expect that coverage and reimbursement
of pharmaceutical costs may be increasingly restricted both in the United States and abroad. The escalating cost of health care
has led to increased pressure on the health care industry to reduce costs. Drug pricing by pharmaceutical companies recently has
come under increased scrutiny and continues to be subject to intense political and public debate in the United States and abroad.
Government and private third-party payors have proposed health care reforms and cost reductions. A number of federal and state
proposals to control the cost of health care, including the cost of drug treatments, have been made in the United States. Specifically,
there have been several recent U.S. Congressional inquiries and proposed bills designed to, among other things, bring more transparency
to drug pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs and reform government program reimbursement
methodologies for drugs. In some international markets, the government controls the pricing, which can affect the profitability
of drugs. Current government regulations and possible future legislation regarding health care may affect coverage and reimbursement
for medical treatment by third-party payors, which may render our product candidates, if approved, not commercially viable or may
adversely affect our anticipated future revenues and gross margins.
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We cannot predict the extent to which our
business may be affected by these or other potential future legislative or regulatory developments. However, future price controls
or other changes in pricing regulation or negative publicity related to the pricing of pharmaceutical drugs generally could restrict
the amount that we are able to charge for our future products, which would adversely affect our anticipated revenue and results
of operations.
The insurance coverage and reimbursement
status of newly approved products is uncertain. Failure to obtain or maintain adequate coverage and reimbursement for our products,
if approved, could limit our ability to market those products and decrease our ability to generate product revenue.
We expect that coverage and reimbursement
by government and private payors will be essential for most patients to be able to afford any of our product candidates that receive
approval. Accordingly, sales of our product candidates will depend substantially, both domestically and abroad, on the extent to
which the costs of our product candidates will be paid by health maintenance, managed care, pharmacy benefit and similar healthcare
management organizations, or will be reimbursed by government authorities, private health coverage insurers and other third-party
payors. Coverage and reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend upon several factors, including the third-party payor’s
determination that use of a product is:
● a covered benefit under its health plan;
● safe, effective and medically necessary;
● appropriate for the specific patient;
● cost-effective; and
● neither experimental nor investigational.
Obtaining coverage and reimbursement for
a product from third-party payors is a time-consuming and costly process that could require us to provide to the payor supporting
scientific, clinical and cost-effectiveness data. We may not be able to provide data sufficient to gain acceptance with respect
to coverage and reimbursement. If coverage and reimbursement are not available, or are available only at limited levels, we may
not be able to successfully commercialize our product candidates. Even if coverage is provided, the approved reimbursement amount
may not be adequate to realize a sufficient return on our investment.
There is significant uncertainty related
to third-party coverage and reimbursement of newly approved products. In the United States, third-party payors, including government
payors such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs, play an important role in determining the extent to which new drugs and biologics
will be covered and reimbursed. The Medicare and Medicaid programs increasingly are used as models for how private payors and government
payors develop their coverage and reimbursement policies.
Outside the United States, international
operations generally are subject to extensive government price controls and other market regulations and increasing emphasis on
cost-containment initiatives in the European Union, Canada and other countries may put pricing pressure on us. In many countries,
the prices of medical products are subject to varying price control mechanisms as part of national health systems. It also can
take a significant amount of time after approval of a product to secure pricing and reimbursement for such product in many counties
outside the United States. In general, the prices of medicines under such systems are substantially lower than in the United States.
Other countries allow companies to fix their own prices for medical products but monitor and control company profits. Additional
foreign price controls or other changes in pricing regulation could restrict the amount that we are able to charge for our product
candidates. Accordingly, in markets outside the United States, the reimbursement for our products may be reduced compared with
the United States and may be insufficient to generate commercially reasonable product revenues.
Moreover, increasing efforts by government
and third-party payors in the United States and abroad to cap or reduce healthcare costs may cause such organizations to limit
both coverage and the level of reimbursement for new products approved and, as a result, they may not cover or provide adequate
payment for our product candidates. Payors increasingly are considering new metrics as the basis for reimbursement rates, such
as average sales price, average manufacturer price, and “actual acquisition cost.” Therefore, it may be difficult to
project the impact of these evolving reimbursement metrics on the willingness of payors to cover candidate products that we or
our partners are able to commercialize. We expect to experience pricing pressures in connection with the sale of any of our product
candidates due to the trend toward managed healthcare, the increasing influence of health maintenance organizations and additional
legislative changes. The downward pressure on healthcare costs in general, particularly prescription drugs and surgical procedures
and other treatments, has become intense. As a result, increasingly high barriers are being erected to the entry of new products
such as ours.
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Healthcare legislative reform measures
may have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
In the United States and some foreign jurisdictions,
there have been, and continue to be, several legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system
that could prevent or delay marketing approval of our product candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities, and affect