10-K
1
form10-k.htm
UNITED
STATES
SECURITIES
AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington,
D.C. 20549
FORM
10-K
☒
ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For
the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020
OR
☐
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For
the transition period from ___________ to __________
Commission
file number 1-37648
OncoCyte
Corporation
(Exact
name of registrant as specified in its charter)
15
Cushing
Irvine,
California 92618
(Address
of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)
Registrant’s
telephone number, including area code (949) 409-7600
Securities
registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, no par value OCX The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Securities
registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:
None
Indicate
by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes ☐ No
☒
Indicate
by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes ☐
No ☒
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange
Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports),
and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant
to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that
the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting
company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,”
“smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer ☐ Accelerated filer ☐
Non-accelerated filer ☒ Smaller reporting company ☒
Emerging growth company ☒
If
an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for
complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☒
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness
of internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered
public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☐
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act): Yes ☐ No ☒
The
approximate aggregate market value of shares of voting common stock held by non-affiliates computed by reference to the price
at which shares of common stock were last sold as of June 30, 2020 was approximately $70.3 million. Shares held by each executive
officer and director and by each person who beneficially owns more than 5% of the outstanding common stock have been excluded
in that such persons may under certain circumstances be deemed to be affiliates. This determination of affiliate status is not
necessarily a conclusive determination for other purposes.
As
of March 9, 2021, there were outstanding 88,914,144 shares of common stock, no par value.
DOCUMENTS
INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions
of the registrant’s Proxy Statement for its 2021 Annual Meeting of Shareholders are incorporated by reference in Part III
OncoCyte
Corporation
Table
of Contents
Page Number
Part I. Financial Information
Item 1. Business 5
Item 1A. Risk Factors 23
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments 40
Item 2. Properties 40
Item 3. Legal Proceedings 40
Item 4. Mine Safety Disclosures 40
Part II. Other Information
Item 6. Selected Financial Data 41
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk 53
Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data 55
Item 9A. Controls and Procedures 93
Item 9B. Other Information 93
Part III.
Item 10. Directors, Executive Officers, and Corporate Governance 94
Item 11. Executive Compensation 94
Item 14. Principal Accounting Fees and Services 94
Part IV.
Item 15. Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules 95
Signatures 99
PART
I
Certain
statements contained herein are forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995, including, but not limited to, statements pertaining to future financial and/or operating results, future growth in research,
technology, clinical development, and potential opportunities for Oncocyte, along with other statements about the future expectations,
beliefs, goals, plans, or prospects expressed by management constitute forward-looking statements. Any statements that are not
historical fact (including, but not limited to statements that contain words such as “anticipate,” “believe,”
“can,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,”
“may,” “plan,” “project,” “seek,” “should,” “strategy,”
“target,” “will,” “would”) should also be considered to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking
statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, risks inherent in the development and/or commercialization
of potential products, uncertainty in the results of clinical trials or regulatory approvals, need and ability to obtain future
capital, and maintenance of intellectual property rights. Actual results may differ materially from the results anticipated in
these forward-looking statements and as such should be evaluated together with the many uncertainties that affect the businesses
of Oncocyte, particularly those mentioned in this Report under “Risk Factors”. Except as required by law, Oncocyte
undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements.
The
forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements about:
● the timing and potential achievement of future milestones;
● our plans to pursue research and development of diagnostic test candidates;
● our assumptions regarding obtaining reimbursement and reimbursement rates;
● our intellectual property position;
● the impact of government laws and regulations;
● our competitive position.
Unless
the context otherwise requires, all references to “OncoCyte,” “we,” “us,” “our,”
“the Company” or similar words refer to OncoCyte Corporation, together with our consolidated subsidiaries.
The
description or discussion, in this Form 10-K, of any contract or agreement is a summary only and is qualified in all respects
by reference to the full text of the applicable contract or agreement.
DetermaRxTM,
DetermaIOTM, DetermaTxTM, DetermaMxTM and DetermaDxTM are trademarks of OncoCyte Corporation regardless of
whether the “TM” symbol accompanies the use of or reference to the applicable trademark in this Report.
INDUSTRY
AND MARKET DATA
This
Annual Report (“Report”) on Form 10-K contains market data and industry forecasts that were obtained from industry
publications, third party market research and publicly available information. These publications generally state that the information
contained therein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we believe that the information from these publications
is reliable, we have not independently verified such information.
This
Report also contains estimates and other statistical data made by independent parties and by us relating to market size and growth
and other data about our industry. We obtained the industry and market data in this Report from our own research as well as from
industry and general publications, surveys and studies conducted by third parties, some of which may not be publicly available.
Such data involves a number of assumptions and limitations and contains projections and estimates of the future performance of
the industries in which we operate that are subject to a high degree of uncertainty. We caution you not to give undue weight to
such projections, assumptions and estimates.
Item
1. Business
Development
of Our Business
Oncocyte
is a molecular diagnostics company focused on developing and commercializing proprietary tests, initially offered as laboratory-developed
tests (“LDTs), to serve unmet medical needs across the cancer care continuum. Our tests aim to provide actionable information
to physicians and patients at critical decision points to optimize treatment decisions, including the selection of immunotherapy,
improve patient outcomes, and reduce overall cost of care. During the early years of our cancer LDT development efforts we explored
the development of non-invasive, liquid biopsies, for a variety of cancers. We subsequently determined to focus our resources
on the development of a non-invasive confirmatory blood test for lung cancer that we called DetermaDxTM intended for use
to clarify whether a potentially cancerous lung nodule is suspicious or likely benign.
To
diversify and grow our business while DetermaDxTM was in development, we completed two strategic asset and business acquisitions
during 2019 and early 2020 that transformed Oncocyte from a single product company to a company with a broader menu of laboratory-developed
tests that physicians may use at different critical decision points in cancer diagnosis and treatment to support their decision-making.
We believe that our effort to provide clinically actionable tests for certain key decision points along the continuum of diagnosis
shown below will mitigate the inherent risk of being a single product company and should lead to greater revenue opportunities
in rapidly emerging markets in lung cancer and beyond.
As
part of the new strategy to become relevant in the broader diagnostic continuum of lung cancer, our first strategic transaction
was an investment in Razor Genomics, Inc. (“Razor”) during September 2019 through which we acquired an equity position
in Razor and a sublicense to complete development and to commercialize Razor’s test for early stage lung cancer management.
This test, which we call DetermaRxTM, is the first and only test to predict a post-surgery patient’s risk of cancer
recurrence and their response to chemotherapy in early stage lung cancer, and is our first test to be commercialized and reimbursed
by Medicare. DetermaRx serves an unmet clinical need given 30-50% mortality rates in these patients in the absence of timely chemotherapy
treatment. During February 2021 we acquired all of the outstanding shares of Razor common stock and it is now a wholly-owned
subsidiary of Oncocyte.
In
January 2020, we acquired Insight Genetics, Inc. (“Insight”) which significantly expanded our product pipeline by
adding DetermaIOTM, a proprietary gene expression assay with promising data supporting its potential to help identify
patients likely to respond to checkpoint inhibitor drugs. This new class of drugs modulate the immune response and show activity
in multiple solid tumor types including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and triple negative breast cancer (TNBC). Insight
also has an existing revenue generating pharma service business that offers pharmaceutical companies comprehensive, multi-analyte
test development and clinical trial services at its CLIA laboratory. The breadth of expertise at our Insight facility includes
DNA and gene expression (RNA) test development, analysis and clinical testing for clinical studies and trials across multiple
platforms including polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and next generation sequencing (NGS) including whole transcriptome analysis
at the RNA level and whole exome analysis at the DNA level for tumor mutational burden (TMB) and genomic profiling for treatment
selection.
On
the pharmaceutical services side, there are approximately 3,000 PD-1/PD-L1 ongoing clinical trials that are expected to recruit
over 500,000 patients over the next 5 years. This represents a potential $1 billion market opportunity for immune-therapy clinical
trial services alone. It is well established that multi-analyte testing is more sensitive than testing a single analyte. Our multi-analyte
testing capabilities combining DNA and RNA should make us an attractive service provider to biopharmaceutical companies for biomarker
discovery and companion diagnostic development compared to DNA based testing alone.
We
discontinued the development of DetermaDxTM during the second quarter of 2020 after findings from a clinical validation study
demonstrated that the performance of DetermaDxTM did not meet the predetermined endpoints for the study. The primary clinical
validation study endpoint for the commercial launch of DetermaDxTM was to achieve a statistically significant improvement
over and above the clinical factors being utilized by physicians today to help with the diagnosis of intermediate risk lung nodules,
particularly those in the 0.8 cm to 2.2 cm size range. Since discontinuing DetermaDxTM we have focused our efforts on maximizing
the opportunities for our two most advanced commercial LDTs, DetermaRxTM and DetermaIOTM.
During
February 2021, we and our newly organized wholly-owned subsidiary CNI Monitor Sub, Inc. entered into an Agreement and Plan of
Merger (the “Chronix Merger Agreement”) pursuant to which we plan to acquire Chronix Biomedical, Inc. (“Chronix”)
through a merger of Chronix with our subsidiary. By acquiring Chronix, we will add Chronix’s TheraSureTM-CNI Monitor
to our diagnostic test pipeline. The CNI Monitor, which we plan to market as DetermaCNI, is a patented, blood-based test for immunotherapy
monitoring utilizing a copy number index or CNI that relies on the property of cancer to modify the normal genome of cells by
accumulating mutations and variation in the number of copies of genes in the genome. The CNI Monitor test quantitatively measures
the amount of that copy number variation present in blood that has been shed by dying tumor cells. Monitoring the change in the
CNI over time for a patient on immunotherapy may allow a physician to monitor their patient’s response to the immunotherapy
treatment or the progression of the disease and to adjust treatment accordingly. Our initial focus will be to offer the CNI Monitor
to the pharma industry for research use and pharma trials in lung cancer and other solid tumor types treated by immunotherapy.
Our ultimate goal will be to develop the CNI Monitor for clinical use as a blood-based immunotherapy monitoring test.
In
addition to the CNI Monitor, Chronix has certain organ transplant technology. Chronix has laboratory operations in Germany that
can support the continued development and commercial launch of the CNI Monitor and other tests, including our DetermaRxTM
and DetermaIOTM, in Germany and other EU member countries after completion of the merger.
We
expect to complete the Chronix merger during April 2021 if the conditions to the merger under the Chronix Merger Agreement are
met.
The
Cancer Care Continuum
The
cancer care continuum that is the focus of our business be divided into three important components of information that physicians
require to manage their patients through the full term of cancer care:
1. Diagnosing cancer, including the type of cancer.
2. Determining the best course of treatment for the patient.
This
three-component continuum represents a large unmet total available market or TAM in the United States and the rest of the world
as reflected in graphic below. Oncocyte’s mission is to address the second and third components of the continuum after cancer
has been diagnosed, with the goal of ensuring that each patient has the best chance for disease free survival.
Since
the advent of genomic scale characterization of cancer, oncologists have strived to apply genomic targeted testing to improvement
in selection of treatment and management of disease progression. We are initially applying a comprehensive targeted approach to
lung cancer where management paradigms are most mature and believe a similar approach will have utility across solid tumors grounded
in their common features in responding to immune therapy. Our first indication for commercialization is lung cancer which remains
the leading cause of cancer death in the United States and the rest of the world, making it one of the largest molecular diagnostic
market opportunities.
While
our sales efforts current focus on physicians managing patients with lung cancer, the pipeline of tests we plan to offer in the
future will expand to all solid tumors and, strategically, our clinical studies and trials with pharma companies will not be limited
to lung cancer given the early success of our test in other solid tumors. Our proprietary diagnostic tests are focused on the
interrogation of RNA signatures, the coding component that converts DNA code into actual protein production within a cell, from
tumor tissue or peripheral blood samples and target key clinical questions that are critical to better management of cancer, from
treatment through monitoring of therapeutic efficacy and recurrence of certain cancers. As we expand the scope of our test offerings
towards the goal of addressing more key clinical decision points in lung and other cancers, we remain technology agnostic, and
aim to continue to identify tests that allow us to reduce to practice the findings from large scale genomic profiling leading
to the best approach that addresses the needs of patients and physicians in a manner consistent with the need for rapid turnaround
time and judicious use of precious tumor tissue or blood samples while delivering good health economic outcomes.
Our
primary growth engines are tests that are novel and proprietary. Through our strategic acquisitions, we have added significant
bioinformatics expertise in algorithm development and validation that we can use to analyze functional gene expression and other
biological data in order to develop tests that address significant clinical challenges that have not been successfully addressed
by currently available technologies. At the same time our tests are run on instruments with a high global installed base enabling
decentralization of testing to labs worldwide.
Business
Strategy
Why
Treatment Selection in Cancer
Approximately
1.8 million people were diagnosed with cancer in 2020 in the United States, and an estimated 17 million worldwide, according to
the American Cancer Society. Despite the advancements in therapeutics, cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the
United States. Biomarkers are playing an increasingly important role in helping pharmaceutical companies and oncologists identify
and select patients for established and new therapies to ensure the right patient gets the right treatment as early as possible
post-diagnosis, in order to best improve patient outcomes.
We
are building Oncocyte to be a “one stop lab” for treatment decisions for every patient diagnosed with a solid tumor,
by delivering to the treating oncologist proprietary biomarker testing that offers incremental information to inform patient treatment
and monitor response to therapy, in combination with the current standard of care testing they order today. Since DetermaRx and
DetermaIO would only be offered by Oncocyte, our goal is to become the preferred lab for physicians for both our proprietary tests
and more traditional tests otherwise offered by many different labs that we can perform in our CLIA laboratories. An example of
this testing would be for a patient diagnosed with lung cancer, for whom standard of care targeting information on EGFR, ALK,
PD-L1 would be offered, plus DetermaIO our proprietary test for informing immune therapy decisions, all using the same patient
tumor or blood sample. This would allow informed selection of targeted immune-therapy and potentially the need for additional
cytotoxic chemotherapy. For the course of treatment, we are developing blood based monitoring tools to detect non-response or
progression on therapy to inform timely treatment changes.
This
“one-stop” approach offers several practical advantages. Today, the testing needs of physicians managing cancer patients
are met by several specialty reference labs, meaning the physician or hospital must split the sample and send portions to several
different labs to complete the various tests needed to accurately diagnose the cancer type and select a therapy. Not only does
this process consume a large amount of sparse patient biopsy sample risking depletion of the sample before completing all testing,
but also the process can take up to three weeks for the compilation of all the results to make it back to the treating physician
to inform therapeutic decision making. All too often in the existing paradigm, patients are committed to a therapeutic approach
before all the information is returned from the different clinical labs. Oncocyte’s consolidation of testing modalities
will allow the judicious use of limited patient biopsy samples and deliver results to the ordering physician within a more expeditious
time frame for optimizing the treatment regimen. Our survey of cancer physicians indicates a significant demand for the attributes
of consuming a minimal portion of patient biopsy sample and faster turnaround of testing results.
Our
Laboratory Tests — Strategically Addressing Unmet Clinical Questions Across the Cancer Care Continuum
We
are developing molecular LDTs that provide physicians information to enable the timely diagnosis and treatment of cancer with
the ultimate goal of transforming this deadly cancer to a curable or chronic disease. We believe that the proprietary tests in
our product pipeline will allow Oncocyte to be relevant in the early stage of decision making giving us unique access to the sample
“tumor block” from the beginning of the diagnostic process, thus allowing us to offer other follow up tests without
physicians needing to send patient samples to another laboratory. Although we may sometimes refer to our tests as “diagnostic
tests,” our laboratory-developed tests are intended to support and help inform physician decision-making, but are not themselves
diagnostic or prescriptive of treatment decisions.
DetermaRxTM
– Treatment selection in early stage lung cancer
Oncocyte’s
first commercially available laboratory-developed test is DetermaRxTM, the only predictive molecular test for early
stage adenocarcinoma of the lung. This gene expression-based test provides information that a physician can use to help identify
early-stage, surgically resected patients with Stage I and IIA non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who are at high-risk
of recurrence and may benefit from chemotherapy.
NSCLC
of the lung is the most common type of lung cancer accounting for 80% to 85% of incidence. Survival rates for patients diagnosed
at an early stage are significantly higher than those for patients whose lung cancer is diagnosed at an advanced stage such as
Stage III or Stage IV. Surgery is the standard of care for patients diagnosed with early stage (Stage I and Stage IIA) lung cancer.
Yet even after complete surgical resection, between 30% to 50% of those early stage patients have a recurrence of the disease.
Trials of chemotherapy treatment in early-stage disease have been inconclusive as to whether the early stage treatment improves
outcomes in un-stratified patients. Current guidelines suggest risk stratification and use of adjuvant (post-surgery) chemotherapy
in “high-risk” patients. However, the recommendations for assessment of risk are subjective and lack clinical studies
that validate their usefulness in informing the use of chemotherapy.
DetermaRxTM
is a 14-gene molecular stratification test performed on surgically resected tissue and is indicated for patients with Stage I
and Stage IIA NSCLC to help determine who may benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Typically, thoracic surgeons or medical oncologists
order the test after surgical resection. These surgical samples are processed as formalin fixed and paraffin embedded (FFPE) tissue
samples. We receive blocks or scrolls of FFPE samples for testing in our CLIA-certified laboratory. A test report is generated
classifying patient risk of recurrence and returned to the ordering physician, generally within 10 business days. This turnaround
time enables the treating physician to have the report in time for discussion of a treatment plan with the patient, usually a
month after surgery.
The
results from the prospective study published in Clinical Lung Cancer 2018 and presented at the North American Lung Conference
(NA IASCLC) in 2020 were compelling. Patients who were identified as “high risk” and treated with double platinum
chemotherapy had a 3% recurrence rate compared to a 30% cancer recurrence rate in high risk patients who declined chemotherapy.
We
believe that there is an annual U.S. market opportunity of approximately 40,000 patients or approximately $140 million for DetermaRxTM
based on our reimbursement levels approved by CMS in 2020. This market is expected to grow as high-risk screening recommendations
are adopted, resulting in more patients being screened through Low Dose CT (LDCT) scans and diagnosed at an early stage. The European
market presents a similar number of patients per year, while China represents the largest patient population with over 250,000
early stage lung cancer cases per year.
DetermaRxTM
has been validated in three independent cohorts with close to 1,400 patients and test data has been published in top-tier
peer reviewed publications including Lancet Oncology, JAMA, and the Journal of Thoracic Oncology. Importantly, the impact of the
use of chemotherapy in high-risk patients was demonstrated in a paper published in Clinical Lung Cancer in 2017. We have also
initiated a prospective definitive clinical trial randomizing molecular high-risk patients to adjuvant chemotherapy or surgical
intervention alone in order to gather the highest level of evidence supporting the predictive information of DetermaRx. If successful,
this study will strongly support access to the entire global market, including countries whose regulatory entities require the
most stringent evidence for test reimbursement or marketing.
DetermaIOTM
– Immunotherapy treatment selection
For
patients diagnosed with cancer, immunotherapies, particularly immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI’s) targeting PD-1 and PD-L1,
have emerged as a novel drug class that helps recruit the body’s immune system to attack the growing tumor. Pharmaceutical
companies are investing heavily in this space, with hundreds of clinical trials ongoing, and a number of drugs approved by the
FDA for all solid tumors, including pembrolizumab (KeytrudaTM), nivolumab (OpdivoTM), and atezolizumab (TecentriqTM).
Through
the acquisition of Insight in January 2020, Oncocyte has expanded its portfolio to include a novel gene expression-based
test called DetermaIOTM, which is being developed to identify patients most likely to respond to immunotherapy drugs. Current
predictive biomarkers, including PD-L1 and Tumor Mutational Burden or TMB, have shown only limited ability to accurately predict
which patients will respond to an immunotherapy. For example, according to published literature, more than half of PD-L1 positive
patients do not respond to immune- checkpoint inhibitors, and 1 in 6 patients who will respond are missed (referred to as a “false
negative”).
While
ICIs represent a significant advancement in treatment options for patients diagnosed with advanced solid cancers, the response
rates have been modest, based on treatment directed by the current standard of care biomarker PD-L1 immunohistochemistry. Depending
on the solid tumor type, only approximately 15% to 40% of PD-L1 positive tumors respond to ICIs, while a significant number of
PDL-1 negative patients do respond. Another issue with ICIs is that although ICI treatments can be highly effective in the right
patients, ICI’s also have significant side effects which include exacerbation of latent autoimmune disorders. There is a
compelling medical and health economic unmet need for a biomarker that can provide three improvements to the use of ICIs: (1)
the identification of additional patients who may respond to the treatment and missed by the existing biomarkers, (2) enable additional
or alterative treatment options for the 60% to 85% of patients who may receive these expensive drugs without benefit but while
still facing the risk of side effects associated with ICIs, and (3) inform the use of ICI’s in combination with traditional
cytotoxic chemotherapy to enhance response rates.
DetermaIOTM
represents an opportunity to enter a very large market to help identify patients who will respond to immune therapy, with
more than 750,000 U.S. patients eligible for ICI therapy annually and growing with expanding indications for this
type of treatment. As depicted in the image below, analyst predict the ICI spend in the US alone will exceed $125 billion by 2025
meaning the healthcare system will deploy well over $60 billion on drug therapies that will offer no benefit to many of the patients
who would receive ICI therapy.
DetermaIOTM
is a proprietary molecular test that has proven in clinical studies to date to provide incremental utility beyond the current
tests being used to identify patients who will have a response to ICIs, and represents a solid opportunity to provide better information
for patient management leading to better patient outcomes as well as saving the healthcare systems in the US significant cost.
We completed the CLIA validation of DetermaIOTM in April of 2020 and launched the test for research use through our Pharma
Services operations to enable pharmaceutical and biopharmaceutical companies to utilize it in clinical studies of ICIs that they
are developing. There are approximately 3,000 PD-1/PD-L1 targeted therapy clinical trials ongoing that are expected to recruit
over 500,000 patients. This represents a potential $1 billion market opportunity for immune-therapy clinical trial services to
pharma companies developing ICIs which could be addressed by our Pharma Services operations. The test currently is only available
as a research product for pharma studies, but there are currently several studies that have been submitted for publication that
include clinical data to support use of DetermaIO as in clinical practice to predict which cancer patients are likely to respond
to immunotherapies. Assuming successful publication or presentation of these studies, including the clinical data, at the upcoming
American Association of Cancer Research (AACR) in April, the American Association of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) in early June and
European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) in September, we expect to be able to launch DetermaIO in the clinical market in the
late third or early fourth quarter of 2021.
We
also believe, based on our projected reimbursable pricing model, that the clinical use of DetermaIO will address a potential $3
billion TAM opportunity. The actual TAM for DetermaIOTM in medical practice will depend upon a variety of factors including
our ability to demonstrate the efficacy and clinical utility of the test, the extent of physician acceptance of the test, whether
the test will be approved for Medicare reimbursement, and, if reimbursement is approved, the actual approved reimbursement price.
How
DetermaIO May Inform the Choice of Therapies
Despite
the potential benefit of immunotherapy, those therapies are associated with high cost and toxicity, making it very important to
accurately identify both responders and non-responders to reduce overall morbidity and mortality. DetermaIOTM was developed
for that purpose. The test measures the expression levels of 27 genes and algorithmically computes a quantitative score that incorporates
information from the immune inflammatory infiltrates within and around the tumor combined with information from the wound response
surrounding the tumor. An established threshold is used to classify patients as likely responder or likely non-responder which
has now been validated in several independent clinical studies in multiple cancers. Initial data using DetermaIOTM as an
immune therapy response predictor in NSCLC was presented at the 2019 Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) conference that
suggested the test may offer incremental utility beyond PD-L1 and TMB alone in identifying responders to checkpoint inhibitors.
Similarly, data presented at the 2020 American Society of Clinical Oncology annual meeting (ASCO) demonstrated superiority to
PDL-1 IHC in predicting pathologic complete response in neoadjuvant treated triple negative breast cancer.
The
diagram below reflects the importance of the biology of the tissue immune micro-environment and explains why we believe DetermaIO
is an important breakthrough complimenting the current therapy decision process for physicians considering immune checkpoint inhibitors.
The figure depicts that every individual forms tumor cells during their lifetime, but our immune system recognizes these abnormal
cells and attacks and removes them keeping them from growing into a clinically relevant cancer. When the immune system is over-active
and reacts to normal cells, it results in autoimmune disorders. The balance between killing these near normal tumor cells and
normal cells is called immune homeostasis and is largely governed by biologic systems called immune checkpoints. When tumors cells
disrupt these checkpoints and overwhelm the immune system, a cancer develops. One mechanism by which tumor and the immune system
regulate the intensity of immune surveillance is through modulating expression of PD-1 and PD-L1 that together regulate the activity
immune effector cells. ICI therapeutics have been developed that block these receptor sites and allow the immune system to once
again “see” the tumor and attack and restore the immune system’s ability to kill cancer cells. Because these
drugs work on immune cells regardless of their targets, the side effects of these drugs can be enhanced autoimmunity. Unfortunately,
response rates to ICI’s are only approximately 15% to 40% depending upon tumor type. However, responses are often durable
although resistance does evolve during treatment in some patients. The early success of these drugs has stimulated deeper investigation
into the mechanism by which tumors evade the immune system which has revealed a complex interplay between tumor evasion strategies,
the activity of immune effector cells and the tissue repair mechanisms that modulate anti-tumor activity. The balance between
signal from the tumor, signals from the inflammatory cells invading the tumor, and signals from the wound response are now understood
to account for resistance to ICI’s and are the target of second-generation therapeutic strategies to overcome resistance.
DetermaIOTM
was developed to measure the status of the immune system in immune and wound response tissue surrounding tumors. It incorporates
measurement of the complete microenvironment including activity of genes expressed in immune effector cells, genes expressed in
activated wound response cells, and in some cases, genes expressed by the tumor itself. It is the combination of measurement of
these three signals that we believe distinguishes DetermaIOTM from most other approaches. Current biomarkers being
used to assess the likelihood of immune response have shown only modest ability to predict responses to ICI’s. PDL-1 immunohistochemistry
looks at the presence of PDL-1 receptors and tumor mutation burden (TMB) at the number of mutations (neoantigens) in the tumor
genome. We believe DetermaIO is a direct measure the status of the immune microenvironment and as such identifies those tumors
poised to respond to the addition of ICI’s. We believe and now have data to support that the integration of the signal from
the “Hot” component of the tumor with the “Cold” immune repressive features, and in some cases the exclusion
of immune cells altogether, the immune desert, is superior to measuring any of these physiologies alone.
The
ability to accurately determine response to immunotherapies has important implications for both the patients themselves and the
healthcare economy as a whole. For the patients that are likely to respond to immunotherapies, these drugs can be a much more
effective and less toxic treatment option than standard chemotherapy. For the patients who are unlikely to respond, opting for
a different course of treatment would eliminate exposure to potentially serious side effects such as autoimmune diseases, and
could save payers in the healthcare industry use of extremely costly therapy regimens. The market continues to seek a test that
is predictive, uses very little tissue, and can be performed rapidly. We believe DetermaIOTM meets all the important criteria
for a precision medicine test that can be routinely use.
The
origin of the gene expression classifier used in DetermaIOTM was work done to better classify triple negative breast cancer
(TNBC) into four tumor cell subtypes that could be modified by the immune classifier. It started with a greater than 2200 gene
unsupervised classifier that recognized both the physiological differences between tumor types within TNBC, and the activated
immune and stromal signatures characteristic of advanced cancers. The original development team from Insight had success reducing
the large gene signature to a 101-gene panel for classification of TNBC, and then recognized that the only twenty-seven RNAs from
the tumor could provide the appropriate classification of the immune environment that has now matured into DetermaIOTM, our
CLIA certified PCR test for immune response classification. Since this immune classifier relies upon gene expression signatures
derived primarily from inflammatory cells and activated stromal cells, there is no reason to assume that DetermaIO’s immune
classification function would be limited to only these tissue types. This prompted our work in lung cancer where the unmodified
classifier performed very similarly to breast cancer. We are working to validate the classification function and classifier threshold
using publicly available gene expression datasets and testing the classifier as a predictor of response to ICI therapy in other
solid tumor types. DetermaIOTM is now offered as part of our Pharma Services business as a CLIA validated PCR test,
and can be assessed for clinical studies in whole transcriptome RNAseq data. In addition, the original 101-gene TNBC tumor classifier
is advancing in studies elucidating its association with different targeted or cytotoxic chemotherapy treatment regimens in TNBC.
We plan on investing in further studies to elucidate and validate the role of DetermaIO and the TNBC classifier in managing immune
therapy in other tumor types and TNBC respectively.
Blood
Based Monitoring Opportunity
The
next emerging opportunity in cancer diagnostics is in the area of therapy response monitoring and recurrence monitoring. Analysts
have estimated a worldwide TAM ranging from $5 billion to $10 billion for monitoring for therapeutic efficacy and disease recurrence.
There are an estimated 15 million people “living with cancer” and over one million people diagnosed with a solid tumor
each year in the US alone. Monitoring is a “repeat” testing opportunity and given the limitations of current standard
of care, CT/MRI imaging, there is an emerging and potentially large market for a blood based test that can inform a treating physician
that a tumor is becoming resistant to a patient’s current treatment protocol before an imaging technique can detect whether
there is shrinkage in a tumor. Our mission is to provide relevant, high value information from our menu of tests to treating physicians
throughout the “patient journey” for people with lung cancer and other solid tumors. DetermaRx and DetermaIO were
developed to help physicians choose the right therapy, and our entry into blood based monitoring is a natural addition to our
test menu to help physicians understand whether their therapeutic choice is working for their patient and to help them make appropriate
changes to a patient’s protocol if the tumor is non-responsive. Once the patient’s tumor resolves and they become
“Disease Free”, monitoring for recurrence 3 to 4 times a year using a simple blood test could become a way to help
turn cancer into a chronic disorder versus a deadly disease, an important part of our corporate mission.
Most
approaches to blood based detection and quantitation of tumor load involve genome scale sequencing of a patient’s tumor
to identify “personal” mutations in the tumor and then develop a custom NGS panel assay to monitor for those mutations
in each patient’s blood. This process requires significant investment in time and money upfront and complicated infrastructure
to manage these “tumor informed” personalized custom panels. We believe there is an opportunity to develop tests that
do not require this personalization and therefore eliminate the burdensome tissue requirement and shorten the time to initiate
therapeutic monitoring. If we complete our planned acquisition of Chronix, we will add to our test pipeline their Therapy Monitoring
solution, TheraSure CNI, which we expect to market as DetermaCNI. This new monitoring test does not require tumor sequencing prior
to blood testing therefore is intended to be an alternative to the tumor informed approach that requires a tissue biopsy. Chronix
will also bring to Oncocyte a world class assay development team with deep experience and a portfolio of intellectual property
in the field of digital-PCR based detection of DNA in blood that will be the foundation for development of our next generation
tumor monitoring products.)
Pharma
Services
Our
acquisition of Insight expanded our laboratory offerings to include a CLIA-certified laboratory that has been accredited by the
College of American Pathologists (CAP). The lab is ISO 9001 201 and 21 CFR Part 820 compliant which allows it to support the key
delivery of services to the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry for biomarker discovery, clinical trials, and product development.
Our pharma service business offers pharmaceutical companies comprehensive, multi-analyte test development and clinical trial services
at our Nashville, Tennessee CLIA laboratory. The breadth of our expertise includes DNA and gene expression (RNA) test development,
analysis and clinical testing for clinical studies and trials across multiple platforms including polymerase chain reaction (PCR)
and next generation sequencing (NGS) including whole transcriptome analysis at the RNA level and whole exome analysis at the DNA
level for tumor mutational burden (TMB) and genomic profiling for treatment selection. We currently provide the following services:
● Custom drug target discovery services
● Assay design, development and validation services
● Clinical trial and other testing services
Pharmaceutical
companies investing millions of dollars in clinical trials may benefit from developing predictive biomarkers that can help identify
the subset of patients most likely to respond to their drugs. This patient stratification approach may enhance the success rates
of their clinical trials by allowing the pharmaceutical company to identify which patients to include in the trials. We believe
that it is now well understood that a multi-analyte approach combining DNA, RNA, and protein expression and epigenomic markers
will deliver the highest level of treatment response prediction compared to DNA based testing alone.
The
quality credentialing and the multi-analyte capabilities described above enable our laboratory to provide end-to-end services
to biopharmaceutical companies from discovery of a predictive biomarker, to its validation in clinical trials, and finally to
the United States Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) stage for approval of the biomarker as a “companion diagnostic”
to be utilized in conjunction with the therapy to identify patients eligible for the drug.
Commercialization
of our Molecular Diagnostic Tests
Our
first commercial diagnostic test is DetermaRxTM which we began to commercialize in 2020. We are presently performing the
DetermaRx tests at our CLIA certified laboratory in Brisbane, California. We are in the process to completing construction of
a new laboratory at our facility in Irvine California which will be the home of our west coast CLIA operations and certain administrative
functions. We expect to complete construction and certify the Irvine laboratory by June of 2021, after which we plan to decommission
the Brisbane laboratory. We will then have a west coast CLIA lab in Irvine and an Eastern US CLIA lab and Pharma Services lab
in Nashville, Tennessee that will serve as our Immune Diagnostic Center of Excellence, and at the close of the Chronix merger,
we will acquire and operate our Blood Based Monitoring Center of Excellence from Gottingen, Germany.
In
January 2020, we hired our first six sales representatives and trained them for the market launch of DetermaRxTM all
of whom have extensive experience selling high value oncology molecular tests, and a medical educator who is a board-certified
genetic counselor. The product was launched to seven Early Adopter Sites in February to establish and test our CLIA lab
protocols and workflows, gain customer feedback on the final patient report and validate our logistical plan for sample transport.
The decision was made to enter a full market launch in late February after successful validation of our processes, and full engagement
started in early March. To expand our customer base for DetermaRxTM, we have hired a limited sales force in focused regions
of the country to identify and target hospitals and physicians that perform a high volume of surgical resections, which include
large group practices (LGPs), as well as National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) and NCI cancer centers. Our primary call
point is thoracic surgeons because they manage most early-stage lung cancer patients, and refer patients to medical oncologists
for further treatment post-surgery as needed. Our sales representatives also call on medical oncologists who make the chemotherapy
treatment decision for patients identified high-risk by the test. These are complimentary call points as often decisions to adopt
a test are made by a multi-disciplinary team. Unfortunately, the world was facing the emergence of a pandemic of a Novel Coronavirus,
called SARS- CoV2, which ultimately led to the COVID pandemic that severely impacted our sales forces’ ability to engage
new accounts and surgeons in person at the critical early phase of full market launch. In late March 2020, our medical education
team pivoted to a virtual training program and began to offer Medical Education events over virtual calls and video meetings which
allowed our sales representatives to set up virtual presentations to educate physicians about DetermaRxTM. We believe
the program was successful because through the end of 2020, the virtual programs had reached over 3,000 healthcare professionals.
As of the filing of this Annual Report, we continue to rely on the virtual programs since our sales professionals have limited
in person access to hospitals and surgical or oncologist’s offices.
Since
our broad commercial launch in March 2020, DetermaRx has now been made available at more than 80 hospitals in the United States
including multiple prestigious National Cancer Institute (NCI) and NCCN cancer centers and large community practices where most
cancer is treated. The strategy we are pursuing to market DetermaRxTM is likely to be replicated in large measure for the
market launch of our other cancer tests as we complete test development.
We
are investing in physician education to drive demand for DetermaRxTM. A central pillar of our physician education efforts
is our Key Opinion Leader-led speaker program that is focused on peer-to-peer engagement. Several community and academic speakers
have already been enrolled as speakers. Our marketing and physician education efforts also include participation in lung cancer
focused national and regional medical meetings and symposia, and grant support of accredited continuing medical education (CME)
events.
Market
Access – Reimbursement
Billing,
Coverage, and Reimbursement for our Diagnostic Tests
Currently
DetermaRxTM is Oncocyte’s only commercialized clinical test. We expect that revenues from our clinical laboratory
for this test will be derived from several different sources:
In
August 2020, CMS delivered a final coverage and pricing decision, which is important for commercialization because approximately
70% of patients for whom the test is indicated are eligible for Medicare coverage. However, in the absence of reimbursement by
a health insurance plan or Medicare, patients who would be candidates for the use of our tests may decline to use our tests, and
physicians may be reluctant to prescribe our tests, due to the cost of the test to the patients. Because of this patient cost
factor, revenues from any new cancer test that we market may experience slow growth until the test is approved for reimbursement
by larger payer plans which cover many patients.
Medicare
For
cancer diagnostics, Medicare or CMS reimbursement approval is critical. CMS relies on a network of Medicare Administrative Contractors
(“MACs”) to make Local Coverage Decisions approving a test for reimbursement. The Molecular Diagnostics Services (“MolDx”)
Program was developed by Palmetto GBA (the previous MAC for California) to identify and establish coverage and reimbursement for
molecular diagnostics tests. The program has developed guidelines for the level of evidence of efficacy required to be obtained
through clinical trials. Palmetto, which contracted with CMS to administer the MolDx, issues Local Coverage Determinations that
affect coverage, coding, and billing of many molecular tests and the current MAC for California, Noridian Healthcare Solutions,
LLC, has adopted the coverage policies from Palmetto. MACs also serve as the primary operational contact between the Medicare
Fee-For-Service program, for paying Medicare claims, and approximately 1.5 million health care providers enrolled in the program.
Private
Third-Party Payers
In
addition to seeking Medicare reimbursement approval, we will seek reimbursement approval from private payers such as health insurance
companies and HMOs. Private payers generally will determine whether to approve a diagnostic test for reimbursement based on the
published results of clinical validity and clinical utility studies, and may base their decision on whether to cover a test, and
at what level to reimburse, on the MAC’s local coverage determination. Obtaining private payer medical coverage generally
takes twelve to twenty-four months from the time that sufficient evidence is demonstrated. In the interim we will bill commercial
payers and appeal any denials using the published clinical evidence supporting the utility of the test.
Reimbursement
rates paid by private third-party payers can vary based on whether the provider is considered to be an “in-network”
provider, a participating provider, a covered provider, an “out-of-network” provider or a non-participating provider.
Currently, we are out-of-network with all commercial payers. These definitions can vary among payers. An in-network provider usually
has a contract with the payer or benefits provider. This contract governs, among other things, service-level agreements and reimbursement
rates. In certain instances, an insurance company may negotiate an in-network rate for our testing. An in-network provider may
have rates that are lower per test than those that are out-of-network, and that rate can vary widely. Rates vary based on the
payer, the testing type and often the specifics of the patient’s insurance plan. If a laboratory agrees to contract as an
in-network provider, it generally expects to receive quicker payment and access to additional covered patients. However, it is