ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Page
Introduction 38
Financial Performance 39
Net Interest Income 40
Noninterest Income 42
Noninterest Expense 42
Provision for Credit Losses 43
Income Tax Expense 43
Business Operating Segments 43
Analysis of Financial Condition 45
Securities 45
Loans and Leases 46
Credit Quality 48
Deposits 53
Borrowed Funds 53
Capital and Regulatory Matters 54
Liquidity 58
Critical Accounting Estimates 61
Accounting and Reporting Developments 63
Risk Governance 64
Market Risk 66
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Reconciliations 75
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INTRODUCTION
Citizens Financial Group, Inc. is one of the nation’s oldest and largest financial institutions, with $222.0 billion in assets as of December 31, 2023. Headquartered in Providence, Rhode Island, we offer a broad range of retail and commercial banking products and services to individuals, small businesses, middle-market companies, large corporations and institutions. We help our customers reach their potential by listening to them and by understanding their needs in order to offer tailored advice, ideas and solutions. In Consumer Banking, we provide an integrated experience that includes mobile and online banking, a full-service customer contact center and the convenience of approximately 3,200 ATMs and more than 1,100 branches in 14 states and the District of Columbia. Consumer Banking products and services include a full range of banking, lending, savings, wealth management and small business offerings. In Commercial Banking, we offer a broad complement of financial products and solutions, including lending and leasing, deposit and treasury management services, foreign exchange, interest rate and commodity risk management solutions, as well as loan syndication, corporate finance, merger and acquisition, and debt and equity capital markets capabilities. More information is available at www.citizensbank.com.
The following MD&A is intended to assist readers in their analysis of the accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements and supplemental financial information. It should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in Item 8, as well as other information contained in this document.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This document contains non-GAAP financial measures denoted as “Underlying” results and “including AOCI impact.” Underlying results for any given reporting period exclude certain items that may occur in that period which management does not consider indicative of our on-going financial performance. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information to investors because they are used by management to evaluate our operating performance and make day-to-day operating decisions. In addition, we believe our Underlying results in any given reporting period reflect our on-going financial performance in that period and, accordingly, are useful to consider in addition to our GAAP financial results. We further believe the presentation of Underlying results increases comparability of period-to-period results.
Other companies may use similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures that may be calculated differently from the way we calculate such measures. Accordingly, our non-GAAP financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by such companies. We caution investors not to place undue reliance on such non-GAAP financial measures, but to consider them with the most directly comparable GAAP measures. Non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our results reported under GAAP.
Non-GAAP measures are denoted throughout our MD&A by the use of the term “Underlying.” Where there is a reference to these metrics in that paragraph, all measures that follow are on the same basis when applicable. For more information on the computation of non-GAAP financial measures, see “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Reconciliations.”
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FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
Key Highlights
Net income decreased $465 million, with earnings per diluted common share down $0.97 to $3.13 compared to 2022.
Results reflect notable items of $357 million or $0.75 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, compared to $352 million or $0.74 per diluted common share, net of tax benefit, in 2022.
Table 1: Notable Items
Less: notable items
Less: notable items
Provision for credit losses $474 $— $— $— $169 $305
(1) Includes integration related costs associated with acquisitions for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, and mark-to-market losses on loans acquired from Investors classified as LHFS for the year ended December 31, 2022.
(2) Includes our TOP transformational and revenue and efficiency initiatives for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, a one-time deferred tax benefit for the year ended December 31, 2023 and income tax impacts related to legacy tax matters for the year ended December 31, 2022.
(3) Represents an industry-wide FDIC special assessment. For more information, see “Regulation and Supervision - Deposit Insurance” in Item 1.
(4) Includes the initial provision for credit losses tied to the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. As required by purchase accounting, a fair value mark for performing loans including both credit and interest rate components is recorded in addition to the provision for credit losses expense, thus the credit exposure has been “double counted.”
•Net income available to common stockholders decreased $469 million to $1.5 billion compared to 2022.
◦On an Underlying basis, which excludes notable items, net income available to common stockholders of $1.8 billion compared to $2.3 billion in 2022.
◦On an Underlying basis, earnings per diluted common share of $3.88 compared to $4.84 in 2022.
•Total revenue increased $203 million to $8.2 billion compared to 2022, driven by an increase of 4% in net interest income, including the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.
•The efficiency ratio of 67.0% compared to 61.0% in 2022.
◦On an Underlying basis, the efficiency ratio of 60.8% compared to 57.5% in 2022.
•ROTCE of 10.9% compared to 13.9% in 2022.
◦On an Underlying basis, ROTCE of 13.5%compared to16.4%.
•Tangible book value per common share of $30.91 increased 11% from 2022.
For additional information regarding our financial performance, see “Results of Operations — 2023 compared with 2022” included in this report.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS — 2023 compared with 2022
Net Interest Income
Net interest income is our largest source of revenue and is the difference between the interest earned on interest-earning assets (generally loans, leases and investment securities) and the interest expense incurred in connection with interest-bearing liabilities (generally deposits and borrowed funds). The level of net interest income is primarily a function of the difference between the effective yield on our average interest-earning assets and the effective cost of our interest-bearing liabilities. These factors are influenced by the pricing and mix of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities which, in turn, are impacted by external factors such as economic conditions, competition for loans and deposits, the monetary policy of the FRB and market interest rates. For further discussion, refer to “Market Risk — Non-Trading Risk” and “Risk Governance.”
Table 2: Major Components of Net Interest Income
Year Ended December 31,
Assets
Non-taxable investment securities 2 — 2.68 3 — 2.33 (1) 35
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
(1) Net interest income and net interest margin is presented on a FTE basis using the federal statutory tax rate of 21%. The FTE impact is predominantly attributable to commercial and industrial loans for the periods presented.
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Net interest income increased $229 million, or 4%, compared to 2022, reflecting stable net interest margin and growth of 4% in average interest-earning assets, including the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.
Net interest margin on a FTE basis was neutral compared to 2022, reflecting higher interest-earning asset growth and associated yields, offset by increased funding costs.
Average interest-earning assets increased $7.6 billion, or 4%, compared to 2022, primarily attributable to growth in loans and leases reflecting the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition, and growth in investments.
Average deposits increased $3.2 billion, or 2%, compared to 2022, primarily attributable to the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition.
Average total borrowed funds increased $2.9 billion compared to 2022, driven by an increase in FHLB advances and secured borrowings collateralized by auto loans.
Table 3: Changes in Net Interest Income Due to Average Volume and Average Rate
Year Ended December 31,
(dollars in millions) Average Volume(1) Average Rate(1) Net Change
Interest Income
Interest-bearing cash and due from banks and deposits in banks $47 $276 $323
Non-taxable investment securities — — —
Leases (7) 7 —
Loans held for sale, at fair value (23) 29 6
Other loans held for sale (41) 13 (28)
Interest Expense
Checking with interest ($9) $313 $304
Short-term borrowed funds (12) 32 20
(1) Volume and rate changes are allocated on a consistent basis using the respective percentage changes in average balances and average rates.
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Noninterest Income
Table 4: Noninterest Income
Year Ended December 31,
(dollars in millions) 2023 2022 Change Percent
Service charges and fees $410 $420 ($10) (2 %)
Trust and investment services fees 259 249 10 4
Foreign exchange and derivative products 183 188 (5) (3)
Letter of credit and loan fees 168 159 9 6
(1) Includes bank-owned life insurance income and other income for all periods presented.
The primary drivers for the change in noninterest income for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to 2022, are highlighted below.
•The decline in capital markets fees reflects lower loan syndication, underwriting and M&A advisory fees.
•Mortgage banking fees declined driven by lower production and servicing fees and a decline in MSR valuation, net of hedge impact.
•The decline in service charges and fees reflects the elimination of the non-sufficient funds fee in Consumer Banking.
•Card fees increased given higher transaction volumes.
•Trust and investment services fees reflect increased sales activity and asset management fees.
Noninterest Expense
Table 5: Noninterest Expense
Year Ended December 31,
(dollars in millions) 2023 2022 Change Percent
The increase in noninterest expense for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared to 2022, was driven by salaries and employee benefits reflecting the Private Bank start-up investment, equipment and software driven by software maintenance and amortization costs, and other operating expense associated with FDIC deposit insurance, fraud losses, advertising, and pension costs. The increase in FDIC deposit insurance reflects CBNA’s special assessment of $225 million and an increase in the deposit insurance assessment rate of two basis points that commenced with the first quarterly assessment period in 2023. For more information regarding CBNA’s special assessment, see “Regulation and Supervision - Deposit Insurance” in Item 1.
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Provision for Credit Losses
The provision for credit losses is the result of a detailed analysis performed to estimate our ACL. The total provision for credit losses includes the provision for loan and lease losses and the provision for unfunded commitments. Refer to “Analysis of Financial Condition — Credit Quality” for more information.
Provision expense of $687 million for 2023 compares to $474 million for 2022. The provision expense for 2023 reflects higher reserves against the Commercial Real Estate Office portfolio primarily driven by rising interest rates and return to office dynamics.
Income Tax Expense
Income tax expense of $422 million decreased $160 million and our effective income tax rate of 20.8% decreased from 21.9% compared to 2022. These decreases were driven by lower pre-tax income, the favorable impact of certain tax matters and additional benefits from tax-advantaged investments, partially offset by the adoption of the proportional amortization method for qualified investments in tax credit structures in 2023 and increased non-deductible FDIC premium expense.
Business Operating Segments
We have three business operating segments: Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, and Non-Core. During the third quarter of 2023, our indirect auto and certain purchased consumer loan portfolios were transferred from the Consumer Banking segment into a new Non-Core segment to reflect the manner in which management is currently assessing performance and allocating resources. This new segment structure aligns with our recently announced balance sheet optimization strategy to discontinue the origination of certain non-strategic lending portfolios. Prior period results have been revised to conform to the new segment presentation.
For more information regarding our business operating segments see Note 26.
The following table presents certain financial data of our business operating segments. Total business operating segment financial results differ from total consolidated financial results. These differences are reflected in Other non-segment operations. See Note 26 for additional information.
Table 6: Selected Financial Data for Business Operating Segments
Consumer Banking Commercial Banking Non-Core
Year Ended December 31, Year Ended December 31, Year Ended December 31,
Average Balances:
(1) Includes LHFS.
Consumer Banking
Net interest income increased $538 million compared to 2022, driven by higher net interest margin reflecting higher interest-earning asset yields given higher market interest rates and growth in average interest-earning assets, including the impacts of the HSBC transaction and Investors acquisition. This increase was partially offset by higher funding costs.
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Noninterest income increased $4 million compared to 2022, driven by card fees given higher transaction volumes and trust and investment services fees reflecting increased sales activity and asset management fees. This increase was partially offset by mortgage banking fees reflecting lower servicing and production fees and a decline in MSR valuation, net of hedge impact, and service charges and fees given the elimination of the non-sufficient funds fees.
Noninterest expense increased $287 million compared to 2022, driven by salaries and benefits reflecting the Private Bank start-up investment, equipment and software driven by software maintenance and amortization costs, and other operating expense associated with advertising and fraud losses.
Net charge-offs increased $106 million compared to 2022, driven by other retail and education as credit losses continue to gradually normalize from pandemic-era lows.
Commercial Banking
Net interest income increased $189 million compared to 2022, driven by higher net interest margin reflecting higher interest-earning asset yields given higher market interest rates and growth in average interest-earning assets, including the impact of the Investors acquisition. This increase was partially offset by higher funding costs.
Noninterest income decreased $61 million compared to 2022, driven by capital markets fees reflecting lower loan syndication, underwriting and M&A advisory fees, and foreign exchange and derivative products revenue reflecting lower client hedging activity. This decline was partially offset by service charges and fees reflecting the benefit of acquisitions and improvement in Treasury Solutions fees and card fees given higher transaction volumes.
Noninterest expense increased$72 million compared to 2022, driven primarily by salaries and employee benefits, and equipment and software driven by software maintenance and amortization costs.
Net charge-offs increased $204 million compared to 2022, reflecting an increased net charge-off level in the Commercial Real Estate Office portfolio primarily driven by rising interest rates and return to office dynamics, and the normalization of credit losses from pandemic-era lows.
Non-Core
Net interest income decreased $507 million compared to 2022, driven by the highest-cost implied marginal funding sources during 2023, including secured borrowings collateralized by auto loans, FHLB advances and, to the extent necessary to fully fund the Non-Core segment, brokered certificates of deposit.
Net charge-offs increased $26 million compared to 2022, driven by auto as credit losses continue to gradually normalize from pandemic-era lows.
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS — 2022 compared with 2021
For a description of our results of operations for 2022, see the “Results of Operations — 2022 compared with 2021” section of Item 7 in our 2022 Form 10-K.
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ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
Securities
Table 7: Amortized Cost and Fair Value of Securities
(dollars in millions) Amortized Cost(1) Fair Value Amortized Cost Fair Value
State and political subdivisions 1 1 2 2
Mortgage-backed securities:
Mortgage-backed securities:
(1) Excludes portfolio level basis adjustments of $60 million for securities designated in active fair value hedge relationships. The basis adjustments represent a reduction to the amortized cost of the securities being hedged.
(2) Included in other assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
The primary objective of the securities portfolio is to provide a ready source of liquidity. The portfolio primarily includes high quality, highly liquid investments reflecting our ongoing commitment to maintain strong contingent liquidity levels and pledging capacity.
As of December 31, 2023, U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities issued by GNMA and GSEs represent 96% of the fair value of our debt securities portfolio, with approximately $31.4 billion of unencumbered high-quality liquid securities serving as potential collateral for borrowings from the FHLB, FRB discount window, the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation bilateral repurchase agreement market, and the Bank Term Funding Program. The Bank Term Funding Program expires in March 2024 and we have not participated in this program through December 31, 2023. Securities are pledged at par value instead of fair value under this program.
For further discussion of the use of our securities as liquidity collateral see the “Regulation and Supervision — Liquidity Requirements” and “Liquidity Risk Management and Governance” sections in this document.
We manage our securities portfolio duration and convexity risk through asset selection and securities structure, and maintain duration levels within our risk appetite in the context of the broader interest rate risk framework and limits. As of December 31, 2023, the portfolio’s average effective duration, including recent hedging actions to reduce duration, was 3.9 years compared to 5.8 years as of December 31, 2022.
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Table 8: Amortized Cost of AFS and HTM Securities by Contractual Maturity
Distribution of Maturities(1)
Amortized cost:
State and political subdivisions — — — — — — 1 2.60 1 2.60
Mortgage-backed securities:
Mortgage-backed securities:
(1) Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without incurring penalties.
(2) The weighted-average yield is computed based on a constant effective interest rate over the contractual life of each security and considers the contractual
coupon, amortization of premiums and accretion of discounts. Yields exclude the impact of related hedging derivatives.
Loans and Leases
Table 9: Composition of Loans and Leases, Excluding LHFS
December 31,
(dollars in millions) 2023 2022 Change Percent
The decrease in total loans and leases as of December 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022 reflects a $7.7 billion decrease in commercial due to loans sold as part of balance sheet optimization actions and market conditions driving lower client demand. Retail declined $3.0 billion, driven by planned Non-Core portfolio runoff in auto, education and other retail, partially offset by growth in mortgage and home equity.
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Table 10: Fixed and Variable Rate Loans and Leases by Maturity
Fixed rate:
Variable rate:
Fixed rate:
Variable rate:
Automobile — — — — —
(1) Maturity is based on scheduled principal repayment date.
(2) Includes floating-rate commercial loans hedged to fixed rate to manage our exposure to the variability in interest cash flows. See “Market Risk” for additional information regarding our use of interest rate derivatives to hedge our loan portfolio.
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Credit Quality
The ACL is a reserve to absorb estimated future credit losses in accordance with GAAP. For additional information regarding the ACL, see “Critical Accounting Estimates — Allowance for Credit Losses” and Note 6.
The ACL as of December 31, 2023 compared to December 31, 2022 reflects a reserve increase of $78 million. For further information see Note 6.
Table 11: Allocation of the ALLL
December 31,
Table 12: ACL and Related Coverage Ratios by Portfolio
December 31,
Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses
Allowance for Unfunded Lending Commitments
Total allowance for unfunded lending commitments 220 257
(1) Coverage ratio includes total commercial allowance for unfunded lending commitments and total commercial allowance for loan and lease losses in the numerator and total commercial loans and leases in the denominator.
(2) Coverage ratio includes total retail allowance for unfunded lending commitments and total retail allowance for loan losses in the numerator and total retail loans in the denominator.
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Table 13: Nonaccrual Loans and Leases
December 31,
(dollars in millions) 2023 2022 Change Percent
Nonaccrual loans and leases to total loans and leases 0.93 % 0.60 % 33 bps
Allowance for credit losses to nonaccrual loans and leases 170 237 (67 %)
Table 14: Ratio of Net Charge-Offs to Average Loans and Leases
Year Ended December 31,
For the year ended December 31, 2023, net charge-offs increased $339 million and the net charge-off ratio increased 22 basis points compared to 2022.
For the year ended December 31, 2023, the increase in net charge-offs reflects a $124 million increase in retail, primarily other retail and education, and a $215 million increase in commercial, with increases in commercial real estate and commercial and industrial. The increase in commercial real estate was driven by Commercial Real Estate Office while the commercial and industrial increase reflects company-specific idiosyncratic charge-offs. Retail is increasing from pandemic lows as expected.
Commercial Loan Asset Quality
Our commercial portfolio consists of traditional commercial and industrial loans, commercial leases, and commercial real estate loans. We utilize internal risk ratings to monitor credit quality for commercial loans and leases. For more information on internal risk ratings see Note 6.
Total commercial criticized balances of $8.4 billion at December 31, 2023 increased $2.9 billion compared to December 31, 2022, and declined $524 million compared to September 30, 2023.
Commercial and industrial criticized balances of $3.4 billion at December 31, 2023 increased from $3.1 billion at December 31, 2022, primarily driven by the impact of rising interest rates and certain sector-specific labor challenges in the Arts, entertainment and recreation sector, as well as the trade sectors.
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Commercial real estate criticized balances of $5.0 billion at December 31, 2023 increased from $2.4 billion at December 31, 2022, primarily driven by the combined impacts of interest rates and return-to-office dynamics on the Office sector and the impacts of interest rates on the Multi-family sector. Approximately 98% of commercial real estate loans remain current on payments as of December 31, 2023.
For more information on the distribution of commercial loans by vintage date and internal risk rating, see Note 6.
Table 15: Commercial and Industrial Loans by Industry Sector
Finance and insurance
Health, pharma, and social assistance 2,562 6 3,056 6
Professional, scientific, and technical services 2,313 4 3,067 6
Administrative and waste management 1,549 4 1,710 3
Arts, entertainment, and recreation 1,602 4 1,587 3
(1) Excludes PPP loans of $121 million as of December 31, 2022.
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Table 16: Commercial Real Estate by Property Type and State
(dollars in millions) Balance % of Total CRE Balance % of Total CRE
Property type
Office
Credit tenant lease and life sciences(1) 2,268 8 2,205 8
State
(1) Credit tenant lease includes loans to nationally recognized tenants with high credit ratings and life sciences includes loans to provide lab and office space for tenants involved in the study and development of scientific discoveries.
(2) Includes Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia.
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Table 17: Commercial Real Estate by Geography
Office
New York City
(1) Credit tenant lease includes loans to nationally recognized tenants with high credit ratings and life sciences includes loans to provide lab and office space for tenants involved in the study and development of scientific discoveries.
(2) Includes Georgia, Maryland, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia.
Retail Loan Asset Quality
We utilize credit scores provided by FICO, which are generally refreshed on a quarterly basis, and payment and delinquency status, among other data points, to monitor credit quality for retail loans. FICO credit scores represent current and historical national industry-wide consumer level credit performance data, which management believes are the strongest indicator of potential credit losses over the contractual life of the loan and a good predictor of a borrower’s future payment performance.
Table 18: Retail Loan Portfolio Analysis
Days Past Due and Accruing Days Past Due and Accruing
Table 19: Retail Asset Quality Metrics
Average refreshed FICO for total portfolio 772 770
CLTV ratio for secured real estate(1) 50 % 50 %
(1) The real estate secured portfolio CLTV is calculated as the mortgage and second lien loan balance divided by the most recently available value of the property.
For more information on the aging of accruing and nonaccrual retail loans, and the distribution of retail loans by vintage date and FICO score, see Note 6.
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Deposits
Table 20: Composition of Deposits
Total deposits as of December 31, 2023 decreased compared to December 31, 2022, driven by our balance sheet optimization efforts. In addition, as rates rose 100 basis points during 2023, we saw continued migration of lower cost deposits to higher-yielding products, with non-interest bearing deposits now representing approximately 21% of our total deposits.
Table 21: Uninsured and Insured/Secured Deposits
Less: Uninsured affiliate deposits eliminated in consolidation 14,650 6,479
Insured/secured deposits to total deposits 71 % 60 %
(1) As reported on CBNA’s Call Report.
(2) Represents uninsured deposits of states and political subdivisions that are secured or collateralized as required under state law.
(dollars in millions) December 31, 2023
Three months or less $1,591
After three months through six months 550
After six months through twelve months 515
After twelve months 83
Total term deposits(1) $2,739
(1) Includes term deposits per account in excess of $250,000.
Borrowed Funds
Total borrowed funds of $14.0 billion as of December 31, 2023 decreased $1.9 billion compared to December 31, 2022, driven by a decline in FHLB advances, partially offset by the issuance of secured borrowings collateralized by auto loans. For more information regarding our borrowed funds see “Liquidity” and Note 13.
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CAPITAL AND REGULATORY MATTERS
As a BHC and FHC, we are subject to regulation and supervision by the FRB. Our banking subsidiary, CBNA, is a national banking association primarily regulated by the OCC. Our regulation and supervision continues to evolve as the legal and regulatory frameworks governing our operations continue to change. For more information, see the “Regulation and Supervision” section in Item 1.
Capital Adequacy Process
Our assessment of capital adequacy begins with our Board-approved risk appetite and risk management framework. This framework provides for the identification, measurement and management of material risks. Capital requirements are determined for actual and forecasted risk portfolios using applicable regulatory capital methodologies. The assessment also considers the possible impacts of approved and proposed changes to regulatory capital requirements. Key analytical frameworks, including scenario analysis and stress testing, supplement our base line forecast to help inform a range of potential outcomes. A governance framework supports our capital planning process, including capital management policies and procedures that document capital adequacy metrics and limits, as well as our Capital Contingency Plan and the active engagement of both the Board and senior management in oversight and decision-making.
Forward-looking assessments of capital adequacy provide for the development of a single capital plan, which is periodically submitted to the FRB, that covers both us and our banking subsidiary. We prepare this plan in accordance with the Capital Plan Rule and we participate annually in the FRB’s horizontal capital review as part of their normal supervisory process, which includes an assessment of specific capital planning areas.
The FRB regularly supervises and evaluates our capital adequacy and capital planning processes, including the submission of an annual capital plan approved by our Board of Directors or one of its committees. Under the FRB’s capital requirements we must maintain capital ratios above the sum of the regulatory minimum and SCB requirement to avoid restrictions on capital distributions and discretionary bonus payments. The FRB utilizes the supervisory stress test to determine our SCB, which is re-calibrated with each biennial supervisory stress test and updated annually to reflect our planned common stock dividends. As an institution subject to Category IV standards, we are subject to biennial supervisory stress testing in even-numbered years; however, the FRB required us to participate in the 2023 CCAR supervisory stress test to incorporate the effects of the Investors acquisition. Our SCB associated with the 2023 supervisory stress test was 4.0%, effective October 1, 2023 through September 30, 2024.
Regulations relating to capital planning, regulatory reporting, stress testing and capital buffer requirements applicable to firms like us are presently subject to rule-making and potential further guidance and interpretation by the applicable federal regulators. We will continue to evaluate the impact of these and any other prudential regulatory changes, including their potential resultant changes in our regulatory and compliance costs and expenses.
Regulatory Capital Ratios and Capital Composition
Under the current U.S. Basel III capital framework, we and our banking subsidiary, CBNA, must meet the following specific minimum requirements: CET1 capital ratio of 4.5%, tier 1 capital ratio of 6.0%, total capital ratio of 8.0% and tier 1 leverage ratio of 4.0%. As a BHC, our SCB of 4.0% is imposed on top of the three minimum risk-based capital ratios listed above and a CCB of 2.5% is imposed on top of the three minimum risk-based capital ratios listed above for CBNA.
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For additional discussion of the U.S. Basel III capital framework and its related application, see the “Regulation and Supervision” section in Item 1. The table below presents the regulatory capital ratios for CFG and CBNA under the U.S. Basel III Standardized rules:
Table 23: Regulatory Capital Ratios Under the U.S. Basel III Standardized Rules
CET1 capital
Tier 1 capital
Total capital
Tier 1 leverage
Risk-weighted assets
Quarterly adjusted average assets(2)
(1) Represents minimum requirement under the current capital framework plus the SCB of 4.0% and CCB of 2.5% for CFG and CBNA, respectively. The SCB and CCB are not applicable to the Tier 1 leverage ratio.
(2) Represents total average assets less certain amounts deducted from Tier 1 capital.
At December 31, 2023, CFG’s CET1 and tier 1 capital ratios increased compared to December 31, 2022, primarily driven by net income and a $12.6 billion decrease in RWA, partially offset by dividends, common share repurchases, and a decrease in the modified CECL transition amount as we entered the second year of the CECL three-year transition period. Lower commercial and auto loans were the key drivers for the decline in RWA.
At December 31, 2023, CBNA’s CET1 and tier 1 capital ratios increased slightly compared to December 31, 2022. Net income and a $12.7 billion decrease in RWA, primarily driven by lower commercial and auto loans, was partially offset by dividend payments to the Parent Company and a decrease in the modified CECL transition amount as we entered the second year of the CECL three-year transition period.
At December 31, 2023, CFG’s and CBNA’s total capital ratios increased driven by their respective changes in CET1 and tier 1 capital described above and a reduction in the modified AACL transition amount.
At December 31, 2023, CFG’s tier 1 leverage ratio was stable compared to December 31, 2022, whereas CBNA’s tier 1 leverage ratio decreased. CBNA’s tier 1 leverage ratio reflects a decline in quarterly adjusted average assets and changes in tier 1 capital described above.
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Table 24: Capital Composition Under the U.S. Basel III Capital Framework
Exclusions:
Modified CECL transitional amount 192 288
Unamortized net periodic benefit costs 333 373
Deductions:
Goodwill, net of deferred tax liability (7,779) (7,780)
Other intangible assets, net of deferred tax liability (134) (170)
Deferred tax assets that arise from tax loss and credit carryforwards (7) —
Exclusions from tier 2 capital:
Modified AACL transitional amount (249) (374)
Allowance on PCD assets (152) (126)
Adjusted allowance for credit losses 1,917 1,740
(1) As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, the amount of non-qualifying subordinated debt excluded from regulatory capital was $482 million and $367 million, respectively. See Note 13 for more details on our outstanding subordinated debt.
Capital Transactions
We completed the following capital transactions during 2023:
•Repurchased $906 million of our outstanding common stock;
•Declared quarterly common stock dividends of $0.42 per share, aggregating to $808 million; and
•Declared preferred stock dividends aggregating to $117 million.
For additional detail regarding our common and preferred stock dividends see Note 17.
In February 2023, our Board of Directors increased our common share repurchase authorization to $2.0 billion, which was an increase of $1.15 billion above the $850 million of capacity remaining as of December 31, 2022 under the prior June 2022 authorization. See “Issuer Purchase of Equity Securities” in Item 5 above for information regarding our available capacity to repurchase shares at December 31, 2023. All future capital distributions are subject to consideration and approval by our Board of Directors prior to execution. The timing and amount of future dividends and share repurchases will depend on various factors, including our capital position, financial performance, capital impacts of strategic initiatives, market conditions, and regulatory considerations.
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Recent Regulatory Developments
Bank Failures
On April 28, 2023, the FRB issued a report relative to its review of the supervision and regulation of Silicon Valley Bank (“SVB”). The report details the FRB’s assessment of the primary causes for SVB’s failure and emphasizes the FRB’s view that supervision and regulation need to be strengthened based on its findings. As a result, the FRB stated it intends to evaluate its supervisory and regulatory framework, with a focus on the following areas:
•Regulatory tailoring framework, including a reassessment of a range of rules for banks with $100 billion or more in assets;
•Management of interest rate risk;
•Liquidity risk, commencing with the risks of uninsured deposits; and
•Capital requirements.
Proposals addressing the regulatory tailoring framework and capital requirements were issued by the regulatory agencies during the third quarter of 2023. See the “Regulation and Supervision” section in Item 1 for more information.
We will continue to monitor and address changes to the FRB’s supervisory and regulatory framework that may result from this targeted review by the FRB and their associated impact on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
AOCI Impact on Regulatory Capital
Under the current applicable regulatory capital rules we have made the AOCI opt-out election, which enables us to exclude components of AOCI from regulatory capital. As noted in the “Capital and Stress Testing Requirements” section of “Regulation and Supervision” in Item 1, the regulatory agencies are considering the inclusion of AOCI components in regulatory capital for Category IV firms like us, notably the AOCI relative to securities and pension.
The following table presents our regulatory capital ratios including the AOCI impact from securities and pension, which we believe provides useful information in light of recent events and the potential for change in the regulatory capital framework.
Table 25: AOCI Impact on Regulatory Capital
CFG CBNA
(dollars in millions) CET1 Tier 1 Total CET1 Tier 1 Total
Regulatory capital, including AOCI impact:
Deferred tax assets - securities and pension AOCI (15) (15) (15) (16) (16) (16)
Risk-weighted assets, including AOCI impact:
Ratio:
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LIQUIDITY
We consider the effective and prudent management of liquidity fundamental to our safety and soundness. We define liquidity as our ability to meet our obligations when they come due. As a financial institution, we must maintain operating liquidity to meet expected daily and forecasted cash-flow requirements, as well as contingent liquidity to meet unexpected (stress scenario) funding requirements. Reflecting the importance of meeting all unexpected and stress-scenario funding requirements, we identify and manage contingent liquidity, consisting of cash balances at the FRB, unencumbered high-quality liquid securities and unused FHLB borrowing capacity. Separately, we also identify and manage asset liquidity as a subset of contingent liquidity, consisting of cash balances at the FRB and unencumbered high-quality liquid securities. We maintain additional secured borrowing capacity at the FRB discount window, but do not view this as a primary means of funding, but rather a potential source in a stressed environment or during a market disruption. We manage liquidity at the consolidated enterprise level and at each material legal entity.
Parent Company Liquidity
Our Parent Company’s primary sources of cash are dividends and interest received from CBNA resulting from investing in bank equity and subordinated debt as well as externally issued preferred stock, senior debt and subordinated debt. Uses of cash include the routine cash flow requirements as a bank holding company, including periodic share repurchases and payments of dividends, interest and expenses; the needs of subsidiaries, including CBNA for additional equity and, as required, its need for debt financing; and the support for extraordinary funding requirements when necessary. To the extent the Parent Company has relied on wholesale borrowings, uses also include payments of related principal and interest.
Our Parent Company’s cash and cash equivalents represent a source of liquidity that can be used to meet various needs and totaled $2.9 billion and $1.6 billion as of December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively.
During the years ended December 31, 2023and 2022, the Parent Company declared dividends on common stock of $808 million and $779 million, respectively, and declared dividends on preferred stock of $117 million and $113 million, respectively.
During the years ended December 31, 2023and 2022, the Parent Company repurchased $906 million and $153 million, respectively, of its outstanding common stock.
On January 23, 2024, CFG issued $1.25 billion in six-year 5.841% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes.
CBNA Liquidity
As CBNA’s primary business involves taking deposits and making loans, a key role of liquidity management is to ensure that customers have timely access to funds. Liquidity management also involves maintaining sufficient liquidity to repay wholesale borrowings, pay operating expenses and support extraordinary funding requirements when necessary. In the ordinary course of business the liquidity of CBNA is managed by matching sources and uses of cash. The primary sources of bank liquidity include deposits from our consumer and commercial customers; payments of principal and interest on loans and debt securities; and wholesale borrowings, as needed, and as described under “Liquidity Risk Management and Governance.” The primary uses of bank liquidity include withdrawals and maturities of deposits; payment of interest on deposits; funding of loans and related commitments; and funding of securities purchases. To the extent that CBNA has relied on wholesale borrowings, uses also include payments of related principal and interest. For further information on CBNA’s outstanding debt see Note 13.
During the year ended December 31, 2023, CBNA completed the following transactions:
•Issued $450 million of 5.284% fixed-to-floating rate senior notes;
•Redeemed $750 million of senior notes due March 2023; and
•Issued $3.5 billion of secured borrowings collateralized by auto loans.
On January 23, 2024, CBNA issued approximately $1.5 billion of secured borrowings collateralized by auto loans.
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Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk is the risk arising from the inability to meet our obligations when they come due. We must maintain adequate funding to meet current and future obligations, including customer loan requests, customer deposit maturities and withdrawals, debt service, equipment and premises leases, and other cash commitments, under both normal operating conditions and under periods of company-specific and/or market stress.
We primarily rely on customer deposits to be a relatively stable and low-cost source of funding. In addition to customer deposits, our funding sources also include our ability to securitize loans in secondary markets, raise funds in the debt and equity capital markets, pledge loans and/or securities for borrowing from the FHLB, pledge securities as collateral for borrowing under repurchase agreements, and sell AFS securities.
Credit ratings assigned by agencies such as Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s, and Fitch impact our access to unsecured wholesale market funds and to large uninsured customer deposits and are presented in the table below.
Table 26: Credit Ratings
Moody’s Standard andPoor’s Fitch
Citizens Financial Group, Inc.:
Long-term issuer Baa1 BBB+ BBB+
Short-term issuer NR A-2 F1
Subordinated debt Baa1 BBB BBB
Preferred Stock Baa3 BB+ BB
Citizens Bank, National Association:
Long-term issuer Baa1 A- BBB+
Short-term issuer NR A-2 F1
Long-term deposits A1 NR A-
Short-term deposits P-1 NR F1
NR = Not Rated
We currently have a “stable” outlook at Standard & Poor’s, a “negative” outlook at Moody’s and a “stable” outlook at Fitch. Changes in our public credit ratings could affect both the cost and availability of our wholesale funding.
Existing and evolving regulatory liquidity requirements represent another key driver of systemic liquidity conditions and liquidity management practices. The FRB and OCC regularly evaluate our liquidity as part of the overall supervisory process. In addition, we are subject to existing and evolving regulatory liquidity requirements, some of which are subject to further rulemaking, guidance and interpretation by the applicable federal regulators. For further discussion, see the “Liquidity Requirements” section under “Regulation and Supervision” in Item 1.
Liquidity Risk Management and Governance
Liquidity risk is measured and managed by the Funding and Liquidity unit within our Treasury group in accordance with policy guidelines promulgated by our Board and the Asset Liability Committee. The Funding and Liquidity unit is responsible for maintaining a liquidity management framework that effectively manages liquidity risk. Processes within this framework include, but are not limited to, regular and comprehensive reporting, including current levels versus threshold limits for a broad set of liquidity metrics and early warning indicators, explanatory commentary relating to emerging risk trends and, as appropriate, recommended remedial strategies, liquidity stress testing, contingency funding plans, and collateral management.
Our Funding and Liquidity unit’s primary goals are to deliver and maintain prudent levels of operating liquidity to support expected and projected funding requirements, contingent liquidity to support unexpected funding requirements resulting from idiosyncratic, systemic, and combination stress events, and regulatory liquidity requirements in a timely manner from stable and cost-efficient funding sources. We seek to accomplish these goals by funding loans with stable deposits, by prudently controlling dependence on wholesale funding, particularly short-term unsecured funding, and by maintaining ample available liquidity, including a contingent liquidity buffer of unencumbered high-quality loans and securities.
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We maintain a contingency funding plan designed to ensure that liquidity sources are sufficient to meet ongoing obligations and commitments, particularly in a stressed environment or during a market disruption. The plan identifies members of the liquidity contingency team and provides a framework for management to follow, including notification and escalation of potential liquidity stress events.
In response to the recent U.S. bank failures, the FRB established the Bank Term Funding Program to make additional funding available to eligible depository institutions to ensure the ability to meet the needs of all depositors. This program was designed to provide another source of liquidity against the par value of high-quality securities, eliminating the need to sell these securities during times of stress. The Company is eligible to borrow under this program, which expires in March 2024, based on its existing eligibility for primary credit under the FRB discount window. The Company has taken steps to support readiness but has not participated in the program through December 31, 2023.
As of December 31, 2023:
•Organically generated deposits continue to be our primary source of funding, resulting in a consolidated period-end loans-to-deposits ratio, excluding LHFS, of 82.3%;
◦Estimated insured/secured deposits comprise 71% of our consolidated deposit base of $177.3 billion.
•Our total available liquidity, comprised of contingent liquidity and available discount window capacity, was approximately $78.8 billion;
◦Contingent liquidity was $57.1 billion, consisting of unencumbered high-quality liquid securities of $31.4 billion, unused FHLB capacity of $15.9 billion, and our cash balances at the FRB of $9.8 billion; and
◦Available discount window capacity was $21.7 billion, defined as available total borrowing capacity from the FRB based on identified collateral, which is primarily secured by non-mortgage commercial and retail loans.
For a summary of our sources and uses of cash by type of activity for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, see the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows in Item 8.
The Funding and Liquidity unit monitors a variety of liquidity and funding metrics and early warning indicators and metrics, including specific risk thresholds limits. These monitoring tools are broadly classified as follows:
•Current liquidity sources and capacities, including cash balances at the FRB, free and liquid securities, and secured borrowing capacity at the FHLB and FRB discount window;
•Liquidity stress sources, including idiosyncratic, systemic and combined stresses, in addition to evolving regulatory requirements; and
•Current and prospective exposures, including secured and unsecured wholesale funding, and spot and cumulative cash-flow gaps across a variety of horizons.
Further, certain of these metrics are monitored individually for CBNA and for our consolidated enterprise on a daily basis, including cash position, unencumbered securities, asset liquidity and available FHLB borrowing capacity. In order to identify emerging trends and risks and inform funding decisions, specific metrics are also forecasted over a one-year horizon.
Contractual Obligations
In the ordinary course of business, we enter into contractual obligations that may require future cash payments, including customer deposit maturities and withdrawals, debt service, lease obligations and other cash commitments. For more information regarding these obligations, see Notes 9, 12 and 13.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We engage in a variety of activities that are not reflected in our Consolidated Balance Sheets that are generally referred to as “off-balance sheet arrangements.” For more information on these types of activities, see Note 19.
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CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
Our audited Consolidated Financial Statements included in this Report are prepared in accordance with GAAP. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to establish accounting policies and make estimates that affect amounts reported in our audited Consolidated Financial Statements.
An accounting estimate requires assumptions and judgments about uncertain matters that could have a material effect on our audited Consolidated Financial Statements. Estimates are made using facts and circumstances known at a point in time. Changes in those facts and circumstances could produce results substantially different from those estimates. Our most significant accounting policies and estimates and their related application are discussed below. See Note 1 for further discussion of our significant accounting policies.
Allowance for Credit Losses
The ACL increased from $2.2 billion at December 31, 2022 to $2.3 billion at December 31, 2023.
Our ACL as of December 31, 2023 accounts for an economic forecast over our two-year reasonable and supportable period with peak unemployment of approximately 5% and peak-to-trough GDP decline of approximately 0.4%. This forecast reflects a mild recession over the two-year reasonable and supportable period. This compares to our December 31, 2022 forecast which reflected peak unemployment of approximately 6% with a more adverse peak-to-trough GDP decline of approximately 1.4%.
Our determination of the ACL is sensitive to changes in forecasted macroeconomic conditions during the reasonable and supportable forecast period. To illustrate the sensitivity, we applied a more pessimistic scenario than that described above which reflects deeper real GDP contraction across our two-year reasonable and supportable forecast period, resulting in a 1.7% peak-to-trough decline in real GDP. Excluding consideration of qualitative adjustments, this scenario would result in a quantitative lifetime loss estimate of approximately 1.10x our modeled period-end ACL, or an increase of approximately $233 million. This analysis relates only to the modeled credit loss estimate and not to the overall period-end ACL, which includes qualitative adjustments.
Because several quantitative and qualitative factors are considered in determining the ACL, this sensitivity analysis does not necessarily reflect the nature and extent of future changes in the ACL or even what the ACL would be under these economic circumstances. The sensitivity is intended to provide insights into the impact of adverse changes in the macroeconomic environment and the corresponding impact to modeled loss estimates. The hypothetical determination does not incorporate the impact of management judgment or other qualitative factors that could be applied in the actual estimation of the ACL and does not imply any expectation of future deterioration in our loss rates.
It remains difficult to estimate how changes in economic forecasts might affect our ACL because such forecasts consider a wide variety of variables and inputs, and changes in the variables and inputs may not occur at the same time or in the same direction, and such changes may have differing impacts by product type. The variables and inputs may be idiosyncratically affected by risks to the economy, including changing monetary and fiscal policies, impacts from the recent stress on the banking industry, and their impact on inflationary trends. Changes in one or multiple of the key macroeconomic variables may have a material impact to our estimation of expected credit losses.
For additional information regarding the ACL, see Note 6.
Goodwill
The acquisition method of accounting requires that assets acquired and liabilities assumed in business combinations are recorded at their fair values. Business combinations typically result in goodwill, which is subject to ongoing periodic impairment tests based on the fair values of the reporting units to which the goodwill has been attributed. We review the goodwill of each reporting unit for impairment on an annual basis as of October 31st or more frequently if events or circumstances change that indicate an impairment may exist. When assessing goodwill for impairment, a qualitative assessment may be made to determine whether it is more-likely-than-not that the fair value of a reporting unit is below its carrying value. Alternatively, a quantitative assessment may be performed without performing a qualitative assessment. At December 31, 2023, goodwill totaled $8.2 billion, including $6.9 billion from pre-IPO acquisitions, and is assigned to our reporting units as follows: $5.5 billion to Commercial Banking, including $4.7 billion from pre-IPO acquisitions, and $2.7 billion to Consumer Banking, including $2.2 billion from pre-IPO acquisitions.
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The process of evaluating the fair value of a reporting unit is subjective, involving management assumptions and estimates and the use of external or internal valuations. Valuation techniques include discounted cash flow and market approach analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2023, the quantitative impairment test estimated the fair value of the reporting units using an equal weighting of an income approach (i.e., discounted cash flows method) and market-based approach (i.e., the guideline public company method). The guideline public company method utilizes comparable public company information and key valuation multiples, and considers a market control premium associated with cost synergies and other cash flow benefits that arise from obtaining control over a reporting unit, and guideline transactions, when applicable.
Under the income approach, cash flow projections are based on multi-year financial forecasts developed for each reporting unit that consider key business drivers such as new business initiatives, customer retention standards, market share changes, anticipated loan and deposit growth, fees and expenses, forward interest rates, historical performance, credit performance, and industry and economic trends, among other considerations. The projection of net interest income and noninterest expense are the most significant inputs to the financial projections of the Commercial Banking and Consumer Banking reporting units. The long-term earnings growth rate used in determining the terminal value of each reporting unit was 3% as of October 31, 2023, based on management’s assessment of the minimum expected terminal growth rate of each reporting unit. Discount rates are estimated based on the Capital Asset Pricing Model, which considers the risk-free interest rate, market risk premium, beta, and unsystematic risk adjustments specific to a particular reporting unit. The discount rates are also calibrated based on risks related to the projected cash flows of each reporting unit. A discount rate of 13% was utilized for the Commercial Banking and Consumer Banking reporting units as of October 31, 2023.
We performed a quantitative goodwill impairment assessment in the fourth quarter of 2023 as part of our annual impairment assessment. Based on this quantitative assessment, we concluded that the estimated fair value of the Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking reporting units exceeded their carrying value. The Commercial Banking reporting unit’s fair value exceeded its carrying value by approximately 10%. Circumstances that could negatively impact the future fair value of the Commercial Banking reporting unit include a sustained decrease in our stock price, decline in industry peer multiples, deterioration in the reporting unit’s forecasts, and an increase in the discount rate driven by an increase in the risk-free rate or the risk we may not achieve our forecasted cash flows.
We monitored events and circumstances during the period from October 31, 2023 through December 31, 2023, including macroeconomic and market factors, industry and banking sector events, Company-specific performance indicators, a comparison of management’s forecast and assumptions to those used in its October 31, 2023 quantitative impairment test, and the sensitivity of the October 31, 2023 quantitative test results to changes in assumptions through December 31, 2023. Based on these considerations, management concluded that it was not more-likely-than-not that the fair value of either of its reporting units is below its respective carrying amount as of December 31, 2023.
For additional information regarding Goodwill, see Note 10.
Fair Value
We asses the fair value of assets and liabilities by applying various valuation methodologies which may involve a significant degree of judgment, particularly when active markets do not exist for the items being valued. Quoted market prices are used to estimate the fair value of certain assets such as trading assets, investment securities and residential real estate loans held for sale. Assumptions are used to estimate the fair value of items for which an observable active market does not exist and include discount rates, rates of return on assets, repayment rates, cash flows, default rates, costs of servicing and liquidation values. The use of different assumptions could produce significantly different fair value estimates, which could have a material impact on our results of operations, financial condition or fair value disclosures.
We also assess whether there are any declines in fair value below the carrying value of assets that require recognition of a loss in the Consolidated Statements of Operations, including certain investments, capitalized servicing assets, goodwill, and core deposit and other intangible assets.
For additional information regarding our fair value measurements, see Note 20.
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ACCOUNTING AND REPORTING DEVELOPMENTS
Accounting standards issued but not adopted as of December 31, 2023
Pronouncement Summary of Guidance Effects on Financial Statements
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RISK GOVERNANCE
We are committed to maintaining a strong, integrated and proactive approach to the management of all risks to which we are exposed in pursuit of our business objectives. A key aspect of our Board’s responsibility as the main decision-making body is setting our risk appetite to ensure that the levels of risk that we are willing to accept in the attainment of our strategic business and financial objectives are clearly understood.
To enable our Board to carry out its objectives, it has delegated authority for risk management activities, as well as governance and oversight of those activities, to a number of Board and executive management level risk committees. The Executive Risk Committee, chaired by the Chief Risk Officer, is responsible for oversight of risk across the enterprise and actively considers our inherent material risks, analyzes our overall risk profile and seeks confirmation that the risks are being appropriately identified, assessed and mitigated. Reporting to the Executive Risk Committee are the following committees covering specific areas of risk: Compliance and Operational Risk, Model Risk, Credit Policy, Asset Liability, Business Initiatives Review, and Conduct and Ethics.
Risk Framework
Our risk management framework is embedded in our business through a “Three Lines of Defense” model which defines responsibilities and accountabilities for risk management activities.
First Line of Defense
The business lines, including their associated support functions, are the first line of defense and are accountable for identifying, assessing, managing, and controlling the risks associated with the products and services they provide. The business lines are responsible for performing regular risk assessments to identify and assess the material risks that arise in their area of responsibility, complying with relevant risk policies, testing and certifying the adequacy and effectiveness of their operational and financial reporting controls on a regular basis, establishing and documenting operating procedures, and establishing a governance structure for identifying and managing risk.
Second Line of Defense
The second line of defense includes independent monitoring and control functions accountable for the development of risk and control frameworks and related policies, and their associated implementation. This centralized risk function is independent from the business and is accountable for overseeing and challenging our business lines on the effective management of their risks, including, but not limited to, credit, market, operational, regulatory, reputational, interest rate, liquidity, legal and strategic risks.
Third Line of Defense
Our Internal Audit function is the third line of defense providing independent assurance of the effectiveness of our internal controls, governance practices, and culture so that risk is managed appropriately for the size, complexity, and risk profile of the organization. Internal Audit has complete and unrestricted access to all of our records, physical properties and personnel. Internal Audit issues a report following each internal review and provides an audit opinion to the Board’s Audit Committee on a quarterly basis.
Credit Review reports to the Chief Audit Executive and provides the Board, senior management and other stakeholders with independent assurance on the quality of credit portfolios and adherence to agreed Credit Risk Appetite and Credit Policies and processes. In line with its procedures and regulatory expectations, the Credit Review function undertakes a program of portfolio testing, assessing and reporting through four Risk Pillars of Asset Quality, Rating and Data Integrity, Risk Management and Credit Risk Appetite.
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite is a strategic business and risk management tool. We define our risk appetite as the maximum limit of acceptable risk beyond which we could be unable to achieve our strategic objectives and capital adequacy obligations.
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Our principal non-market risks include credit, operational, regulatory, reputational, liquidity and strategic risks. We are also subject to certain market risks which include potential losses arising from changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, commodity prices and/or other relevant market rates or prices. Market risk in our business arises from trading activities that serve customer needs, including hedging of interest rates, foreign exchange risk and non-trading activities within capital markets. We have established enterprise-wide policies and methodologies to identify, measure, monitor and report on market risk. We actively manage both trading and non-trading market risks. See “Market Risk” for further information. Our risk appetite is reviewed and approved annually by the Board Risk Committee.
Credit Risk
Overview
Credit risk represents the potential for loss arising from a customer, counterparty, or issuer failing to perform in accordance with the contractual terms of the obligation. While the majority of our credit risk is associated with lending activities, we do engage with other financial counterparties for a variety of purposes including investing, asset and liability management, and trading activities. Given the financial impact of credit risk on our earnings and balance sheet, the assessment, approval and management of credit risk represents a major part of our overall risk-management responsibility.
Objective
The independent Credit Risk Function is responsible for reviewing and approving credit risk appetite across all lines of business and credit products, approving larger and higher-risk credit transactions, monitoring portfolio performance, identifying problem credit exposures, and ensuring remedial management.
Organizational Structure
Management and oversight of credit risk is the responsibility of both the business line and the second line of defense. The second line of defense, the independent Credit Risk Function, is led by the Chief Credit Officer who oversees all credit risk and reports to the Chief Risk Officer. The Chief Credit Officer, acting in a manner consistent with Board policies, has responsibility for, among other things, the governance process around policies, procedures, risk acceptance criteria, credit risk appetite, limits and authority delegation. The Chief Credit Officer and team also have responsibility for credit approvals for larger and higher-risk transactions and oversight of line of business credit risk activities. Reporting to the Chief Credit Officer are the heads of the second line of defense credit functions specializing in: Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, Citizens Restructuring Management, Portfolio and Corporate Reporting, ALLL Analytics, Current Expected Credit Loss, and Credit Policy and Administration. Each team under these leaders is composed of experienced credit professionals.
Governance
The primary mechanisms used to govern our credit risk function are our consumer and commercial credit policies. These policies outline the minimum acceptable lending standards that align with our desired risk appetite. Material changes in our business model and strategies that identify a need to change our risk appetite or highlight a risk not previously contemplated are identified by the individual committees and presented to the Credit Policy Committee, Executive Risk Committee and the Board Risk Committee for approval, as appropriate.
Key Management Processes
We employ a comprehensive and integrated risk control program to proactively identify, measure, monitor, and mitigate existing and emerging credit risks across the credit life cycle including origination, account/portfolio management, and loss mitigation and recovery.
Consumer
On the Consumer Banking side of credit risk, our teams use models to evaluate consumer loans across the life cycle of the loan. Credit scoring models are used to forecast the probability of default of an applicant at origination. When approving customers for a new loan or extension of an existing credit line, credit scores are used in conjunction with other credit risk variables such as affordability, length of term, collateral value, collateral type, and lien subordination.
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Lending authority is granted by the second line of defense credit risk function to each underwriter to ensure proper oversight of the underwriting teams. The amount of delegated authority depends on the experience of the individual. We periodically evaluate the performance of each underwriter and annually reauthorize their delegated authority. Only senior members of the second line of defense credit risk team are authorized to approve significant exceptions to credit policies. It is not uncommon to make exceptions to established policies when compensating factors are present. There are exception limits which, when reached, trigger a comprehensive analysis.
Credit scores and collateral values are refreshed at regular intervals once an account is established to allow for proactive identification of increasing or decreasing levels of credit risk. Our approach to managing credit risk is highly analytical and, where appropriate, is automated to ensure consistency and efficiency.
Commercial
On the Commercial Banking side of credit risk, risk management begins with defined credit products and policies and is separated into commercial and industrial loans, CRE and leases. Within commercial and industrial loans and leases there are separate verticals established for certain specialty products (e.g., asset-based lending, leasing, franchise finance, health care, technology and mid-corporate). A “specialty vertical” is a stand-alone team of industry or product specialists. Substantially all activity that falls under the ambit of the defined industry or product is managed through a specialty vertical when one exists. CRE also operates as a specialty vertical.
Commercial transactions are subject to individual analysis and approval at origination and, with few exceptions, are subject to a formal annual review requirement. The underwriting process includes the establishment and approval of credit grades that establish the PD and LGD. All material transactions require the approval of both a business line approver and an independent credit approver with the requisite level of delegated authority. The approval level of a particular credit facility is determined by the size of the credit relationship as well as the PD. The checks and balances in the credit process and the independence of the credit approver function are designed to appropriately assess and sanction the level of credit risk being accepted, facilitate the early recognition of credit problems when they occur, and to provide for effective problem asset management and resolution. All authority to grant credit is delegated through the independent Credit Risk function and is closely monitored and updated annually at a minimum.
The primary factors considered in commercial credit approvals are the financial strength of the borrower, assessment of the borrower’s management capabilities, cash flows from operations, industry sector trends, type and sufficiency of collateral, type of exposure, transaction structure, and the general economic outlook. While these are the primary factors considered, there are a number of other factors that may be considered in the decision process. In addition to the credit analysis conducted during the approval process at origination and annual review, our Credit Review group performs testing to provide an independent review and assessment of the quality of the portfolio and new originations. This group conducts portfolio reviews on a risk-based cycle to evaluate individual loans and validate risk ratings, as well as test the consistency of the credit processes and the effectiveness of credit risk management.
The maximum level of credit exposure to individual credit borrowers is limited by policy guidelines based on the perceived risk of each borrower or related group of borrowers. Concentration risk is managed through limits on industry asset class and loan quality factors. We focus predominantly on extending credit to commercial customers with existing or expandable relationships within our primary markets, although we do engage in lending opportunities outside our primary markets if we believe that the associated risks are acceptable and aligned with strategic initiatives.
Substantially all loans categorized as Classified are managed by a specialized group of credit professionals.
MARKET RISK
Market risk refers to potential losses arising from changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, commodity prices and/or other relevant market rates or prices. Modest market risk arises from trading activities that serve customer needs, including the hedging of interest rate and foreign exchange risk. As described below, the market risk arising from our non-trading banking activities, such as the origination of loans and deposit-gathering, is more significant. We have established enterprise-wide policies and methodologies to identify, measure, monitor and report market risk. We actively manage market risk for both non-trading and trading activities.
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Non-Trading Risk
Our non-trading banking activities expose us to market risk. This market risk is composed of interest rate risk, as we have no commodity risk and de minimis direct currency and equity risk. We also have market risk related to capital markets loan originations, as well as the valuation of our MSRs.
Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk emerges from the balance sheet after the aggregation of our assets, liabilities and equity. We refer to this non-trading risk embedded in the balance sheet as “structural interest rate risk” or “interest rate risk in the banking book.”
A major source of structural interest rate risk is a difference in the repricing of assets relative to liabilities and equity. There are differences in the timing and drivers of rate changes reflecting the maturity and/or repricing of assets and liabilities. For example, the rate earned on a commercial loan may reprice monthly with changes in the benchmark rate, while the rate paid on debt or certificates of deposit may be fixed for a longer period. There may also be differences in the drivers of rate changes. Loans may be tied to a specific index rate such as SOFR or Prime, while deposits may not be as correlated with such rates and more dependent upon competitive demand. Due to these basis differences, net interest income is sensitive to changes in spreads between certain indices or repricing rates.
A primary source of our structural interest rate risk relates to faster repricing of floating-rate loans relative to core deposit funding. This source of asset sensitivity is more biased toward the short end of the yield curve.
The secondary source of our interest rate risk is driven by longer term rates comprising the rollover or reinvestment risk on fixed-rate loans, as well as prepayment risk on mortgage-related loans and securities funded by non-rate sensitive deposits and equity.
Another important source of structural interest rate risk relates to the potential exercise of explicit or embedded options. For example, most consumer loans can be prepaid without penalty and most consumer deposits can be withdrawn without penalty. The exercise of such options by customers can exacerbate the timing differences discussed above.
The primary goal of interest rate risk management is to control exposure to interest rate risk within policy limits approved by our Board. These limits and guidelines reflect our tolerance for interest rate risk over both short-term and long-term horizons. To ensure that exposure to interest rate risk is managed within our risk appetite, we measure the exposure and hedge it, as necessary. The Treasury Asset and Liability Management team is responsible for measuring, monitoring and reporting on our structural interest rate risk position. These exposures are reported on a monthly basis to the Asset Liability Committee and at Board meetings.
We measure structural interest rate risk through a variety of metrics intended to quantify both short-term and long-term exposures. The primary method we use to quantify interest rate risk is simulation analysis in which we model net interest income from assets, liabilities and hedge derivative positions under various interest rate scenarios over a three-year horizon. Exposure to interest rate risk is reflected in the variation of forecasted net interest income across these scenarios.
Key assumptions in this simulation analysis relate to the behavior of interest rates and spreads, changes in product balances and the behavior of our loan and deposit customers in different rate environments. Repricing characteristics and balance fluctuations of deposits with indeterminate (i.e., non-contractual) maturities, as well as the pace of mortgage prepayments are the most significant behavioral assumptions. We utilize product level models that consider specific product characteristics and composition of the deposit portfolio, along with current and forward-looking market dynamics, to project deposit rates. Similarly, we employ dynamic prepayment and mortgage rate models to project prepayment behaviors specific to each of our product offerings. These models are developed based on internal performance data over prior interest rate cycles and calibrated to our experience and outlook for rates across a diverse set of market environments. We assess our models and assumptions periodically by running sensitivity analyses to determine the impact of changes to inputs or assumptions on our risk results, which are reported to the Asset Liability Committee.
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Since we cannot predict the future path of interest rates, we use simulation analysis to project net interest income under various interest rate scenarios including a “most likely” (implied forward) scenario, as well as a variety of extreme and unlikely scenarios. These scenarios may assume gradual ramping of the overall level of interest rates, immediate shocks to the level of rates and various yield curve twists in which movements in short- or long-term rates predominate. Generally, projected net interest income in any interest rate scenario is compared to net interest income in a base case where market-forward rates are realized.
The table below reports net interest income exposures against a variety of interest rate scenarios. Our policies involve measuring exposures as a percentage change in net interest income over the next year due to either instantaneous or gradual parallel changes in rates relative to the market implied forward yield curve. As the following table illustrates, our balance sheet is marginally asset-sensitive; net interest income would benefit from an increase in interest rates, while exposure to a decline in interest rates is within limits established and monitored by senior management. While an instantaneous and severe shift in interest rates is included in this analysis, we believe that any actual shift in interest rates would be more gradual and, therefore, have a more modest impact.
The table below presents the sensitivity of net interest income to various parallel yield curve shifts from the market implied forward yield curve:
Table 27: Sensitivity of Net Interest Income
Estimated % Change inNet Interest Income over 12 Months
December 31,
Instantaneous Change in Interest Rates
Gradual Change in Interest Rates
We continue to manage asset sensitivity within the scope of our policy, changing market conditions and changes in our balance sheet. The Company’s base case net interest income assumes the forward-rate path implied by the yield curve is realized, which reflects a Fed Funds rate of 4.25% at the end of 2024, reflecting five 25 basis point reductions beginning in the second quarter of 2024. The rate risk exposure is then measured based on assumed changes from that base case rate path.
As of December 31, 2023, our asset sensitivity has shifted to a more neutral position compared to 2022. This reflects the impacts of changes in our balance sheet mix, including securities, loans, deposits, borrowed funds and ongoing hedge activity, which is primarily comprised of received fixed swaps that offset our naturally asset-sensitive balance sheet. Our sensitivity profile exhibits asymmetry for up and down rate scenarios as we expect to see incremental deposit migration to higher rate products in response to rising rate scenarios compared to declining rate scenario.
We use a valuation measure of exposure to structural interest rate risk, EVE, as a supplement to net interest income simulations. EVE complements net interest income simulation analysis as it estimates risk exposure over a long-term horizon. EVE measures the extent to which the economic value of assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet instruments may change in response to fluctuations in interest rates. This analysis is highly dependent upon assumptions applied to assets and liabilities with non-contractual maturities. We employ sophisticated models for prepayments and deposit pricing and attrition, which provide a granular view of cash flows based on the unique characteristics of the underlying products and customer segments. The change in value is expressed as a percentage of regulatory capital.
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We use interest rate contracts as part of our ALM strategy to manage exposure to the variability in the interest cash flows on our floating-rate assets and wholesale funding, the variability in the fair value of AFS securities, and to hedge market risk on fixed-rate capital markets debt issuances.
The following table presents interest rate derivative contracts that we have entered into as of December 31, 2023 and 2022.
Weighted Average Weighted Average
Fair value hedges:
Asset conversion swaps:
AFS securities:
Pay fixed/receive SOFR $5,365 6.2 3.8 % 5.4 % $— — — % — %
Liability conversion swaps:
Long-term borrowed funds:
Receive fixed/pay 3-month LIBOR — — — — 1,000 1.6 2.7 4.7
Receive fixed/pay SOFR 500 1.9 2.6 5.6 — — — —
Cash flow hedges:
Asset conversion swaps:
Loans:
Swaps
Receive fixed/pay 1-month LIBOR - forward-starting — — — — 2,000 5.2 2.9 4.9
Basis swaps
Receive SOFR/pay 1-month term SOFR 5,000 1.0 — 5.3/5.3 — — — —
Floor Rate Cap Rate Floor Rate Cap Rate
Options
Floor spreads - forward-starting(2) 2,500 2.8 2.2/3.2 — — — — —
(1) Weighted average floor and cap rates represent strike rates through which CFG will receive interest if the SOFR rate falls below the floor strike rate and pay interest if the SOFR rate exceeds the cap strike rate.
(2) Weighted average floor rate represents strike rates for the short and long interest rate floors, respectively. CFG will receive interest if the SOFR rate falls below the upper strike rate and pay interest if the SOFR rate falls below the lower strike rate, effectively hedging the corridor between the two strike rates. The structure also includes a short cap and a long floor which are utilized to neutralize the initial premium.
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The following table presents the average active notional amounts for our interest rate derivatives, based on contract effective date, for the next five years:
Table 29: Average Active Notional for Interest Rate Derivative Contracts
Year Ended
Fair value hedges
Receive fixed/pay SOFR(2) 500 441 — — —
Cash flow hedges
Weighted average receive fixed rate 3.2 % 3.2 % 3.5 % 3.7 % 2.6 %
Weighted average pay fixed rate 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7
(1) Pay fixed rate leg of the interest rate derivative contract is included in the computation of the weighted average pay fixed rate.
(2) Receive fixed rate leg of the interest rate derivative contract is included in the computation of the weighted average receive fixed rate.
Year Ended December 31,
Amount of pre-tax net gains (losses) recognized in OCI ($145) ($1,806)
Using the interest rate curve at December 31, 2023, we estimate that approximately $914 million in pre-tax net losses related to cash flow hedge strategies will be reclassified from AOCI to net interest income over the next 12 months, including $460 million from terminated swaps. This amount could differ from amounts actually recognized due to changes in interest rates, hedge de-designations and the addition of other hedges subsequent to December 31, 2023.
LIBOR Transition
In July 2017, the United Kingdom’s FCA announced that it would no longer require banks to submit LIBOR rates after 2021. On March 5, 2021, the FCA formally announced the future cessation of 1-week and 2-month U.S. Dollar LIBOR rates as of December 31, 2021, with all other U.S. Dollar LIBOR tenors ceasing as of June 30, 2023. In the United States, the Alternative Reference Rates Committee, a group of private-market participants convened to help ensure a successful transition away from U.S. Dollar LIBOR, identified SOFR as its recommended alternative rate.
On March 15, 2022, the Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act (the “LIBOR Act”) was signed into law, with the FRB adopting its final rule, effective February 27, 2023, to implement the LIBOR Act on December 16, 2022. The final rule addresses references to LIBOR in contracts that (i) are governed by U.S. law; (ii) will not mature before June 30, 2023; and (iii) lack fallback provisions providing for a clearly defined and practical replacement for LIBOR. The Company assessed the impact of this legislation and applied its provisions accordingly to transition its LIBOR contracts to an alternative rate.
As of June 30, 2023, the Company’s transition and remediation efforts were complete, with ongoing monitoring for LIBOR-based financial instruments that will transition to alternative rates at their next interest rate reset date.
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Capital Markets
A key component of our capital markets activities is the underwriting and distribution of corporate credit facilities to finance merger and acquisition transactions for our clients. We have a rigorous risk management process around these activities, including a limit structure capping our underwriting risk, potential loss, and sub-limits for specific asset classes. Further, the ability to approve underwriting exposure is delegated only to senior level individuals in the credit risk management and capital markets organizations with each transaction adjudicated in the Loan Underwriting Approval Committee.
Mortgage Servicing Rights
We have market risk associated with the value of residential MSRs, which are impacted by various types of inherent risks, including duration, basis, convexity, volatility and yield curve.
As part of our overall risk management strategy we enter into various free-standing derivatives, such as interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions, interest rate futures and forward contracts to purchase mortgage-backed securities to economically hedge the change in fair value of our MSRs. As of December 31, 2023 and 2022, the fair value of our MSRs was $1.6 billion and $1.5 billion, respectively, and the total notional amount of related derivative contracts was $15.1 billion and $12.9 billion, respectively. Gains and losses on MSRs and the related derivatives used for hedging are included in mortgage banking fees in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
As with our traded market risk-based activities, earnings at risk excludes the impact of MSRs. MSRs are captured under our single price risk management framework that is used for calculating a management value at risk consistent with the definition used by banking regulators.
Trading Risk
We are exposed to market risk primarily through client facilitation activities including derivatives and foreign exchange products as well as underwriting and market making activities. Exposure is created as a result of changes in interest rates and related basis spreads and volatility, foreign exchange rates, equity prices, and credit spreads on a select range of interest rates, foreign exchange, commodities, equity securities, corporate bonds and secondary loan instruments. These securities underwriting and trading activities are conducted through CBNA and Citizens JMP Securities, LLC.
Client facilitation activities consist primarily of interest rate derivatives, financially settled commodity derivatives and foreign exchange contracts where we enter into offsetting trades with a separate counterparty or exchange to manage our market risk exposure. In addition, we operate trading desks covering secondary loans, corporate bonds, and equity securities, with the objective of meeting secondary liquidity needs of our issuing clients’ transactions and investor clients. We do not engage in any trading activities to benefit from short-term price differences.
Market Risk Governance
The process of setting our market risk limit is established in accordance with the formal enterprise risk appetite process and policy, which reflects the strategic and enterprise level articulation of opportunities for creating franchise value set to the boundaries of how much market risk to assume. Dealing authorities represent the key control tool in the management of market risk that allows the cascading of the risk appetite throughout the enterprise. A dealing authority sets the operational scope and tolerances within which a business and/or trading desk is permitted to operate, which is reviewed annually at a minimum. Dealing authorities are structured to accommodate client facing trades and hedges needed to manage the risk profile, with responsibility for remaining within established tolerances residing with the business. Key risk indicators, including VaR, open foreign currency positions and single name risk are monitored daily and reported against tolerances consistent with our risk appetite and business strategy to the appropriate business line management and risk counterparts.
Market Risk Measurement
We use VaR as a statistical measure for estimating potential exposure of our traded market risk in normal market conditions. Our VaR framework for risk management and regulatory reporting is the same. Risk management VaR is based on a one-day holding period to a 99% confidence level and regulatory VaR is based on a ten-day holding period to the same confidence level. In addition to VaR, non-statistical measurements for measuring risk such as sensitivity analysis, market value and stress testing are employed.
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Our market risk platform and associated market risk and valuation models capture correlation effects across all our “covered positions” and allow for aggregation of market risk across products, risk types, business lines and legal entities. We measure, monitor and report market risk for management and regulatory capital purposes.
VaR Overview
The market risk measurement model is based on historical simulation. The VaR measure estimates the extent of any fair value losses on trading positions that may occur due to broad market movements (General VaR) such as changes in the level of interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices and commodity prices. It is calculated on the basis that current positions remain relatively unaltered over the course of a given holding period with the assumption that markets are sufficiently liquid to allow the business to close its positions, if required, within this holding period. Based on the composition of our “covered positions,” we also use a standardized add-on approach for the loan trading and high yield bond desks’ Specific Risk capital, which estimates the extent of any losses that may occur from factors other than broad market movements. The General VaR approach is expressed in terms of a confidence level over the past 500 trading days. The internal VaR measure, used as the basis of the main VaR trading limits, is a 99% confidence level with a one-day holding period, indicating that a loss greater than the VaR is expected to occur, on average, on only one day in 100 trading days (i.e., 1% of the time). Theoretically, there should be a loss event greater than VaR two to three times per year. The regulatory measure of VaR is a 99% confidence level with a ten-day holding period. The historical market data applied to calculate the VaR is updated on a two-business day lag. Refer to “Market Risk Regulatory Capital” below for details of our ten-day VaR metrics for the quarters ended December 31, 2023 and 2022.
Market Risk Regulatory Capital
The U.S. banking regulators’ “Market Risk Rule” covers the calculation of market risk capital. Under this rule all of our client facing trades and associated hedges maintain a net low risk and qualify as “covered positions.” The internal management VaR measure is calculated based on the same population of trades that is utilized for regulatory VaR.
Market Risk Category Period End Average High Low Period End Average High Low
Foreign Exchange Currency Rate — — 2 — — — — —
Commodity — — — — — — — —
Specific Risk VaR — — — — — — — —
Stressed Specific Risk VaR — — — — — — — —
Market Risk Regulatory Capital $33 $39
Specific Risk Not Modeled Add-on 17 20
de Minimis Exposure Add-on 1 —
Total Market Risk Regulatory Capital $51 $59
Market Risk-Weighted Assets $643 $739
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Stressed VaR
SVaR is an extension of VaR and utilizes a longer historical look-back horizon, fixed from January 3, 2005, to identify headline risks from more volatile periods and to provide a counterbalance to VaR, which may be low during periods of low volatility. The holding period for profit and loss determination is ten days. In addition to its utilization for risk management purposes, SVaR is a component of market risk regulatory capital. We calculate SVaR daily under its own dynamic window regime whereby values of the ten-day, 99% VaR are calculated over all 260-day periods that can be obtained from the complete historical data set. Refer to “Market Risk Regulatory Capital” above for SVaR metrics.
Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis is the measure of exposure to a single risk factor, such as a one basis point change in rates or credit spread. We conduct and monitor sensitivity on interest rates, basis spreads, foreign exchange exposures, option prices and credit spreads. Since VaR is based on previous moves in market risk factors over recent periods, it may not be an accurate predictor of future market moves. Sensitivity analysis complements VaR as it provides an indication of risk relative to each factor irrespective of historical market moves and is an effective tool in evaluating the appropriateness of hedging strategies and concentrations.
Stress Testing
Conducting a stress test of a portfolio consists of running risk models with the inclusion of key variables that simulate various historical or hypothetical scenarios. For historical stress tests, profit and loss results are simulated for select time periods corresponding to the most volatile underlying returns, while hypothetical stress tests aim to consider concentration risk, illiquidity under stressed market conditions and risk arising from our trading activities that may not be fully captured by our other risk-measurement methodologies. Hypothetical scenarios also assume that market moves occur simultaneously and no repositioning or hedging activity takes place to mitigate losses as market events unfold. Stress tests of our trading positions are generated daily.
VaR Model Review and Validation
Our market risk measurement models are independently reviewed and subject to ongoing performance analysis by the model owners. This independent review and validation focuses on model methodology, market data and performance and is the responsibility of Citizens’ Model Risk Management and Validation team. This team challenges the assumptions used and quantitative techniques employed, including the theoretical justification supporting them, and performs an assessment of the soundness of the required data over time. The quantitative impact of the major underlying modeling assumptions is estimated (e.g., through developing alternative models), if possible. The market risk models may be periodically enhanced due to changes in market price levels and price action regime behavior. The Market Risk Management and Validation team conducts internal validation before a new or changed model element is implemented and before a change is made to market data mapping.
VaR Backtesting
Backtesting is one form of validation of the VaR model and is run daily. The Market Risk Rule requires a comparison of our internal VaR measure to the actual net trading revenue (excluding fees, commissions, reserves, intra-day trading and net interest income) for each day over the preceding year (the most recent 250 business days). Any observed loss in excess of the VaR number is taken as an exception. The level of exceptions determines the multiplication factor used to derive the VaR and SVaR-based capital requirement for regulatory reporting purposes, when applicable. We perform sub-portfolio backtesting as required under the Market Risk Rule, using models approved by our banking regulators for interest rate, credit spread and foreign exchange positions.
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The following graph shows our daily net trading revenue and total internal, modeled VaR for the year ended December 31, 2023.
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NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES AND RECONCILIATIONS
For more information on the computation of non-GAAP financial measures, see “Introduction — Non-GAAP Financial Measures,” included in this Report. The following table presents computations of non-GAAP financial measures representing our “Underlying” results used in the MD&A:
Table 32: Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Measures
Year Ended December 31,
(dollars in millions, except per share data) Ref. 2023 2022
Noninterest income, Underlying:
Noninterest income (GAAP) A $1,983 $2,009
Less: Notable items — (31)
Noninterest income, Underlying (non-GAAP) B $1,983 $2,040
Total revenue, Underlying:
Less: Notable items — (31)
Total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP) D $8,224 $8,052
Noninterest expense, Underlying:
Noninterest expense (GAAP) E $5,507 $4,892
Noninterest expense, Underlying (non-GAAP) F $5,001 $4,630
Pre-provision profit:
Less: Noninterest expense (GAAP) E 5,507 4,892
Pre-provision profit (non-GAAP) $2,717 $3,129
Pre-provision profit, Underlying:
Total revenue, Underlying (non-GAAP) D $8,224 $8,052
Less: Noninterest expense, Underlying (non-GAAP) F 5,001 4,630
Pre-provision profit, Underlying (non-GAAP) $3,223 $3,422
Provision (benefit) for credit losses, Underlying:
Provision (benefit) for credit losses (GAAP) $687 $474
Less: Notable items — 169
Provision (benefit) for credit losses, Underlying (non-GAAP) $687 $305
Income before income tax expense, Underlying:
Income before income tax expense (GAAP) G $2,030 $2,655
Income before income tax expense, Underlying (non-GAAP) H $2,536 $3,117
Income tax expense and effective income tax rate, Underlying:
Income tax expense (GAAP) I $422 $582
Less: Income tax expense (benefit) related to notable items (149) (110)
Income tax expense, Underlying (non-GAAP) J $571 $692
Effective income tax rate (GAAP) I/G 20.76 % 21.93 %
Effective income tax rate, Underlying (non-GAAP) J/H 22.48 22.19
Net income, Underlying:
Add: Notable items, net of income tax benefit 357 352
Net income, Underlying (non-GAAP) L $1,965 $2,425
Net income available to common stockholders, Underlying:
Net income available to common stockholders (GAAP) M $1,491 $1,960
Add: Notable items, net of income tax benefit 357 352
Return on average common equity and return on average common equity, Underlying:
Return on average common equity M/O 6.90 % 9.02 %
Return on average common equity, Underlying (non-GAAP) N/O 8.56 10.64
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Year Ended December 31,