AWK close: $147 on 2023-07-31 to $138 on 2026-07-29.
Daily closing price, split-adjusted to the current basis; 3y shown of 4,593 bars on file. Sampled to 240 points — every point is a real close, none averaged. Price return, not total return (dividends excluded). Source marketstack.
At a glance
Fair value (model)$60.15
Implied upside−56.4%
Valuation confidenceHIGH
Price impliesAGGRESSIVE · 20.6% growth
Short interest5.5% of sh out
Days to cover5.5d
13F net flow (QoQ)+2.24%
Top-10 13F concentration49.0%
Next report (est.)2026-10-28
Fair value, confidence and the reverse-DCF grade are the MATERIALIZED daily snapshot (the same columns the screener serves), not a live model run. Short interest is FINRA semi-monthly, settlement 2026-07-15. 13F figures are quarterly filings, period 2026-Q1 — a lower bound on true ownership.
Key fundamentalsFY 2025
P/E (FY)24.3×
Sales (TTM)$5.28B
Trailing returns
YTD+7.3%
1Y+0.6%
3Y+0.6%
5Y−10.2%
10Y+103.5%
Since incept. (ann.)+13.7%
Total return through 2026-07-29 · series begins 2008-04-23. Only the windows this history actually covers are shown.
Risk
Ann. volatility (1Y)22.7%
Ann. volatility (3Y)22.6%
Sharpe (1Y)0.21
Sharpe (3Y)0.13
Max drawdown (1Y)−15.4%
Max drawdown (3Y)−21.5%
Beta (3Y vs SPY)0.05
Daily simple returns, annualized; drawdown is peak-to-trough within the window. Beta is the OLS slope of monthly returns on SPY's over three years. Each figure is labeled by the window it was measured over — they are not comparable across windows.
Top institutional holders13F 2026-Q1
Manager
Shares
Value
% sh out
QoQ
BlackRock, Inc.
19.5M
$2.7B
9.82%
−0.1%
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
12.7M
$1.7B
6.39%
new
STATE STREET CORP
12.0M
$1.6B
6.06%
+0.0%
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
11.3M
$1.5B
5.69%
new
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP
11.0M
$1.5B
5.55%
+55.5%
GQG Partners LLC
6.4M
$875M
3.24%
−1.0%
Aristotle Capital Management, LLC
5.8M
$791M
2.93%
−3.3%
GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
5.2M
$700M
2.60%
+2.4%
Reported 13F long positions as filed for 2026-Q1 (change vs 2025-Q4). 13F covers US-listed long equity only — the sum is a LOWER BOUND on institutional ownership, never a total.
Latest reported quarterslast report 2026-04-29
Period end
Reported
EPS
EPS YoY
Revenue
Rev YoY
2026-03-31
2026-04-29
$1.00
−4.8%
$1.21B
+5.7%
2025-12-31
2026-02-18
—
—
$1.27B
+5.8%
2025-09-30
2025-10-29
$1.94
+7.8%
$1.45B
+9.7%
2025-06-30
2025-07-30
$1.48
+4.2%
$1.28B
+11.1%
EPS and revenue as reported in this filer's own XBRL — our extraction of the filings, not a vendor consensus feed, and never a beat/miss claim (we carry no estimates). YoY compares the same fiscal quarter a year earlier. Next report 2026-10-28 is ESTIMATED from filing cadence (median gap 91d) — not company-confirmed.
Basis & disclosures
End-of-day only. Every price on this sheet is a stored CLOSE — the last one is 2026-07-29. Nothing here is live, intraday or delayed-real-time, and the sheet does not update after it is printed.
Nothing is imputed. A figure that is not in the underlying filing or feed renders as “—”. We never fill a gap with an estimate, a peer median or a carried-forward value.
Mixed as-of dates by design. Prices are at the last close; fundamentals are at the latest reported fiscal period; 13F ownership is at the latest filed quarter (45+ days in arrears); short interest is the latest FINRA settlement. Each block states its own basis above.
Not investment advice. Model fair values, reverse-DCF grades and confidence labels are the output of published, disclosed methods on public filings — they are analysis, not a recommendation, a price target or a solicitation.
Fundamentals and ownership derive from SEC EDGAR (and equivalent foreign registers); prices from a licensed end-of-day vendor, shown under a neutral source label. Full methodology at spzco.com/methodology.
Earnings (TTM)$1.13B
ROE10.5%
Net margin21.6%
ROIC14.0%
EPS growth 3Y8.1%
Sales growth 3Y10.7%
Screener basis: ratios from the latest reported fiscal year; Sales/Earnings are trailing twelve months in the reporting currency (USD). The P/E is a trailing FULL-YEAR P/E, not TTM. Missing lines are absent from the filings, never imputed.
