ARCB close: $116 on 2023-07-31 to $141 on 2026-07-29.
Daily closing price, split-adjusted to the current basis; 3y shown of 5,293 bars on file. Sampled to 240 points — every point is a real close, none averaged. Price return, not total return (dividends excluded). Source marketstack.
At a glance
Fair value (model)$30.42
Implied upside−78.5%
Valuation confidenceMEDIUM
Price impliesHEROIC · 36.7% growth
Short interest5.7% of sh out
Days to cover3.8d
13F net flow (QoQ)−2.60%
Top-10 13F concentration56.8%
Next report (est.)2026-10-27
Fair value, confidence and the reverse-DCF grade are the MATERIALIZED daily snapshot (the same columns the screener serves), not a live model run. Short interest is FINRA semi-monthly, settlement 2026-07-15. 13F figures are quarterly filings, period 2026-Q1 — a lower bound on true ownership.
Key fundamentalsFY 2025
P/E (FY)54.0×
Sales (TTM)$4.04B
Trailing returns
YTD+91.1%
1Y+73.5%
3Y+23.5%
5Y+144.3%
10Y+717.5%
Since incept. (ann.)+7.9%
Total return through 2026-07-29 · series begins 2005-07-11. Only the windows this history actually covers are shown.
Risk
Ann. volatility (1Y)49.7%
Ann. volatility (3Y)49.7%
Sharpe (1Y)1.29
Sharpe (3Y)0.37
Max drawdown (1Y)−30.0%
Max drawdown (3Y)−62.4%
Beta (3Y vs SPY)1.87
Daily simple returns, annualized; drawdown is peak-to-trough within the window. Beta is the OLS slope of monthly returns on SPY's over three years. Each figure is labeled by the window it was measured over — they are not comparable across windows.
Top institutional holders13F 2026-Q1
Manager
Shares
Value
% sh out
QoQ
BlackRock, Inc.
3.4M
$334M
15.24%
−0.6%
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP
1.4M
$137M
6.28%
+3.5%
AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC
1.4M
$136M
6.21%
+5.7%
FMR LLC
1.3M
$127M
5.80%
+109.8%
VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC
1.3M
$125M
5.70%
new
VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC
1.0M
$99M
4.51%
new
STATE STREET CORP
957,682
$94M
4.30%
+1.0%
Invesco Ltd.
809,204
$80M
3.63%
−12.1%
Reported 13F long positions as filed for 2026-Q1 (change vs 2025-Q4). 13F covers US-listed long equity only — the sum is a LOWER BOUND on institutional ownership, never a total. Institutional 13F holdings sum to 103.6% of shares outstanding. Readings above 100% reflect securities-lending double counting: shares on loan to short sellers are reported long by both the lending institution and the one that bought them. FINRA short interest of 1,174,946 shares (settlement 2026-04-30) accounts for the excess.
Latest reported quarterslast report 2026-04-28
Period end
Reported
EPS
EPS YoY
Revenue
Rev YoY
2026-03-31
2026-04-28
−$0.05
−138.5%
$998.8M
+3.3%
2025-12-31
2026-01-30
—
—
$972.7M
−2.9%
2025-09-30
2025-11-05
$1.72
−59.3%
$1.05B
−1.4%
2025-06-30
2025-07-30
$1.12
−42.9%
$1.02B
−5.2%
EPS and revenue as reported in this filer's own XBRL — our extraction of the filings, not a vendor consensus feed, and never a beat/miss claim (we carry no estimates). YoY compares the same fiscal quarter a year earlier. Next report 2026-10-27 is ESTIMATED from filing cadence (median gap 91d) — not company-confirmed.
Segment mixFY2025 (ended Dec 2025)
Asset Based 65% · Asset Light 35% · Corporate And Other 0%
business segments · each slice's share of TAGGED segment revenue in the latest annual filing (XBRL, as filed). Untagged revenue is excluded from the denominator, so slices need not sum to consolidated sales.
Basis & disclosures
End-of-day only. Every price on this sheet is a stored CLOSE — the last one is 2026-07-29. Nothing here is live, intraday or delayed-real-time, and the sheet does not update after it is printed.
Nothing is imputed. A figure that is not in the underlying filing or feed renders as “—”. We never fill a gap with an estimate, a peer median or a carried-forward value.
Mixed as-of dates by design. Prices are at the last close; fundamentals are at the latest reported fiscal period; 13F ownership is at the latest filed quarter (45+ days in arrears); short interest is the latest FINRA settlement. Each block states its own basis above.
Not investment advice. Model fair values, reverse-DCF grades and confidence labels are the output of published, disclosed methods on public filings — they are analysis, not a recommendation, a price target or a solicitation.
Fundamentals and ownership derive from SEC EDGAR (and equivalent foreign registers); prices from a licensed end-of-day vendor, shown under a neutral source label. Full methodology at spzco.com/methodology.
Earnings (TTM)$55.9M
ROE4.6%
Net margin1.5%
ROIC4.8%
Debt / equity0.17×
Total debt / EBITDA0.86×
EPS growth 3Y−39.3%
Sales growth 3Y−7.3%
Screener basis: ratios from the latest reported fiscal year; Sales/Earnings are trailing twelve months in the reporting currency (USD). The P/E is a trailing FULL-YEAR P/E, not TTM. Missing lines are absent from the filings, never imputed.
